Sborník 2009 díl 2. - Fakulta informatiky a managementu - Univerzita ...

Luboš Smutka, Michal Steininger, Ondřej Miffek CZECH AGRICULTURAL FOREIGN TRADE
DEVELOPMENT
very difficult to estimate future agrarian trade development. There are too many factors
which are making this activity very difficult. Of course there are many predictions, but
because of the many factors which have been influencing agricultural production and
trade, it is very difficult to analyse agricultural trade development into the future.
For this reason, the end part of this paper contains only a list of those factors which will
have a significant influence on future agricultural production and trade development:
1) Climate changes and changes connected with the living environment,
2) Growth of population,
3) Growth of food consumption and changes in consumption pattern,
4) Lack of agricultural land,
5) Lack of fresh water,
6) Lack of raw materials and primary commodities,
7) Growth of economy, especially in the most populous regions of the World,
8) Level of urbanisation process,
9) Permanent growth of demand for raw materials, energy and fuels,
10) Growth of bio fuel production,
11) Currency stability,
12) International political situation.
References:
[1] FAO, FAOSTAT database, Rome, 2008, http://faostat.fao.org/site/340/default.aspx,
20 th October 2008
[2] Czech Statistical Office in Prague, foreign trade database,
http://dw.czso.cz/pls/stazo, on-line 27 th October 2008
[3] Research Institute of Agricultural Economics, Agrarian Monitoring of Agrarian
Foreign Trade, http://www.vuze.cz/index.asp?pg=en/info/moni/moni_s.asp, on-line
database, 20 th October 2008
229