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כל הזכויות שמורות למכון ירושלים לחקר ישראלtime there has been a dramatic increase in the proportions of the Ultra-Orthodox(^1Haredi") population, also due to very high fertility rates. Today, more thanhalf of the residents of Jerusalem are either not Jewish or Haredi. In addition tohaving large families, the level of income of these two population groups, and ofthe city, is further diminished by their low rate of participation in the labor force(mostly of women among the Palestinians, and of men among the Haredim) andlow earning potential.The poverty of the population results in a poor city and municipality, hencelow tax revenue, poor services and an eroded economic base; these, in turn, bringabout a chain reaction that includes the departure of families with higher incomeand socioeconomic status — as well as a concomitant high tax burden - out tosurrounding metropolitan areas or even further away.A careful analysis of trends over the last decade shows that the increase inthe proportion of the Palestinian population contributed only about 10 percentto the deterioration of income and rise in poverty in Jerusalem; all the rest isexplained by developments among the Jewish majority, most of it by the rise inthe proportion of the Haredi population and the decline in its income level. Theoutward migration of strong elements within the non-Haredi, general, population,contributes to the decline in the socioeconomic level of this group too.If current demographic, work habits and migration trends continue, by 2020the Haredipopulation will become almost half of the Jewish population and thepresent economic trends will only accelerate. This future image can already beobserved: in 2005 children attending Haredi schools in grades 1-6 comprised56% of all Jewish children attending school in the city, though they accounted foronly 15% back in 1975.In addition to the demographic developments, one can attribute part of thedeterioration in the status of Jerusalem to the neglect and deterioration of thecity center, to some extent a result of the intensive development of satelliteneighborhoods at its outskirts. Another part of the decline is attributable to theongoing precarious security situation in the city (which has improved somewhatonly recently) and the general political uncertainty in the region. On top of allthese, there is a dearth of housing and employment opportunities. The generalpicture is one of a city in decline - an image that itself exacerbates the negativetrends.vi
כל הזכויות שמורות למכון ירושלים לחקר ישראלA Vision for Jerusalem:Plan for Revitalizing Jerusalem, the Capital of IsraelGur Ofer and the team of "A Vision for Jerusalem" 1AbstractJerusalem, the capital of Israel and of the Jewish people, encompasses withinits borders precious assets and sites of world heritage, including historical,cultural and religious places holy to Jews, Christians, and Muslims. The HebrewUniversity and other major medical centers have created an agglomeration of topinstitutions of higher education, scientific research, and learning in all fields. Theconcentration of most government bodies of Israel and of the Jewish people addsto the centrality and economic status of the city. Yet despite all this, we have beenwitness to a process of serious deterioration in the social and economic standingof Jerusalem, and with them its image and status.In recent years Jgrusalem has been ranked among the cities of Israel withthe lowest level of income per capita. Having been almost equal to Tel Avivback in 1980, it is now down to 60 percent of Tel Aviv's level. According to asocioeconomic index compiled by the Central Bureau of Statistics, since 1995Jerusalem deteriorated from the 59 th to 111 th place among towns in Israel leavingabove it former development towns like Dimona and Beit Shean. Over the lastthree decades the flow out of the city of young and economically strong populationhas grown and the number of new immigrants choosing to settle in Jerusalem hasdwindled.A primary cause of the retreat of Jerusalem is its special demographic structureand its dynamics over time. The re-unification of Jerusalem in 1967 incorporatedinto it a large Palestinian population that has since grown rapidly both becauseof a high fertility rate and inward migration from the West Bank. At the same1See the Table of Contents for a list of participants. Shimon Livshitz coordinated the work on theproject.v
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כל הזכויות שמורות למכון ירושלים לחקר ישראלA Vision for Jerusalem:Plan for Revitalizing Jerusalem, the Capital of IsraelGur Ofer and the team of "A Vision for Jerusalem" 1AbstractJerusalem, the capital of Israel and of the Jewish people, encompasses withinits borders precious assets and sites of world heritage, including historical,cultural and religious places holy to Jews, Christians, and Muslims. The HebrewUniversity and other major medical centers have created an agglomeration of topinstitutions of higher education, scientific research, and learning in all fields. Theconcentration of most government bodies of Israel and of the Jewish people addsto the centrality and economic status of the city. Yet despite all this, we have beenwitness to a process of serious deterioration in the social and economic standingof Jerusalem, and with them its image and status.In recent years Jgrusalem has been ranked among the cities of Israel withthe lowest level of income per capita. Having been almost equal to Tel Avivback in 1980, it is now down to 60 percent of Tel Aviv's level. According to asocioeconomic index compiled by the Central Bureau of Statistics, since 1995Jerusalem deteriorated from the 59 th to 111 th place among towns in Israel leavingabove it former development towns like Dimona and Beit Shean. Over the lastthree decades the flow out of the city of young and economically strong populationhas grown and the number of new immigrants choosing to settle in Jerusalem hasdwindled.A primary cause of the retreat of Jerusalem is its special demographic structureand its dynamics over time. The re-unification of Jerusalem in 1967 incorporatedinto it a large Palestinian population that has since grown rapidly both becauseof a high fertility rate and inward migration from the West Bank. At the same1See the Table of Contents for a list of participants. Shimon Livshitz coordinated the work on theproject.v