evsjv‡`k Dbœq b mgx¶v - BIDS
evsjv‡`k Dbœq b mgx¶v - BIDS evsjv‡`k Dbœq b mgx¶v - BIDS
158evsjv‡`k Dbœqb mgxvGwkqv Z_v we‡k¦i wewfbœ †`‡k cÖexY RbmsL¨v e„w×i †mªvZavivi mv‡_ Zvj wgwj‡q evsjv‡`kIGwM‡q hv‡”Q| mviv we†k¦i g‡Zv GKB avivq evsjv‡`‡kI gvby‡li Rxeb cÖZ¨vkv `xN©vwqZ n‡”QGes †gvU cÖRbb-nvi n«v‡mi mv‡_ mv‡_ Rb¥-nviI n«vm cv‡”Q (mviwY 2)| d‡j †`‡ki †gvURbmsL¨vi Zzjbvq cÖexY RbmsL¨vi AvbycvwZK nvi µgvš^‡q EaŸ© MwZ jvf Ki‡Q|eQiMo Rb¥-nvi(CBR)(cÖwZ nvRv‡i)mviwY 2evsjv‡`‡k RbwgwZK DËiY (demographic transition)Mo g„Zz¨-nvi(CDR)(cÖwZ nvRv‡i)wkïg„Zz¨-nvi(cÖwZ nvRv‡i)†gvU cÖRbbnvi(TFR)(cÖwZ nvRvicÖm~wZ‡Z Rxeš—cÖme `vb)Rb¥-wbqš¿Yc×wZe¨env‡imdjZvinviRb¥j‡Mœ Mo AvqyicÖZ¨vkv1980 33.4 10.2 Gb.G 4.99 Gb.G 56.5 54.91985 34.6 12.1 112 4.71 25.3 54.3 54.11990 32.8 11.4 94 4.33 39.2 56.4 55.41995 26.5 8.4 71 3.45 48.7 58.4 58.12000 19.0 4.9 58 2.59 53.8 61.7 62.72001 18.9 4.8 56 2.56 Gb.G 62.5 64.12002 20.1 5.1 53 2.56 Gb.G 64.5 65.42003 20.9 5.9 53 2.57 Gb.G 64.3 65.42004 20.8 5.8 52 2.51 58.1 64.4 65.72005 20.7 5.8 50 2.46 Gb.G 64.4 65.82006 20.6 5.6 45 2.41 Gb.G 64.5 66.62007 20.9 6.2 43 2.39 55.8 65.4 67.92008 20.5 6.0 40 2.30 Gb.G 65.6 68.0gš—e¨: Gb.G cÖKvk Ki‡Q Z_¨ cvIqv hvqwb|Durm: BBS, Statistical Yearbook of Bangladesh, different issues; For Contraceptive Prevalence Rate:1.Bangladesh demographic and Health Survey, different issues;2. NIPORT, Bangladesh Contraceptive Prevalence Survey, different issues.cyi“lgwnjv4.2| cÖexY RbmsL¨vi wPÎevsjv‡`‡ki wewfbœ Av`gïgvixi cwimsL¨vb †_‡K cwijwZ nq †h, we‡k¦i Ab¨vb¨ ‡`‡kig‡Zv GLv‡bI †gvU RbmsL¨v e„w×i nv‡ii Zzjbvq cÖexY RbmsL¨v e„w×i nvi A‡bK †ewk I`ª“Z| 1961 I 1991 mv‡j evsjv‡`‡ki †gvU cÖexY RbmsL¨v wQj h_vµ‡g 2.7 wgwjqb I 5.7wgwjqb, A_©vr †gvU RbmsL¨vi m‡½ Zuv‡`i AvbycvwZK nvi wQj h_vµ‡g 5.2 I 5.4 kZvsk|A_P 2001 mv‡j †gvU RbmsL¨vi m‡½ Zuv‡`i AvbycvwZK nvi wQj 6.1 kZvsk (BBS,Bangladesh Population Census, different years)| RbmsL¨vi Awf‡c Abyhvqx 2011 I2021 mv‡j cÖexY‡`i msL¨v `uvov‡e h_vµ‡g 10.1 wgwjqb I 13.5 wgwjqb| Avi 2050 mv‡j†`‡ki †gvU RbmsL¨v `uvov‡e 217.8 wgwjqb Ges cÖexY‡`i msL¨v 40 wgwjq‡biI Dc‡i| H
Bmjvg: wek¦ RbmsL¨vq `ª“Z ea©bkxj cÖexY Rb‡Mvôx 159mg‡q cÖexY RbmsL¨v n‡e †gvU RbmsL¨vi cÖvq 19 kZvsk| cÖexY‡`i Giƒc e„w×i nvi gwnjv Icyi“l Df‡qi †‡ÎB cÖvq mgvb e‡j cwijwZ n‡”Q (mviwY 3)|eQimviwY 3evsjv‡`‡ki cÖexY RbmsL¨v (60 eQi I Z`~aŸ© eq¯‹ RbmsL¨v)†gvU RmmsL¨v('000)60 eQi IZ`~aŸ© eq¯‹RbmsL¨v('000)`yB Av`gïgvixi ga¨eZ©x mg‡qRbmsL¨vi cÖe„w×i nvi†gvU RbmsL¨v 60 eQi I Z`~aŸ©eq¯‹ RbmsL¨vcÖexY RbmsL¨v†gvU RbmsL¨vikZKiv nviwnmv‡e1951 41,932 1,858 - - 4.431961 50,840 2,654 2.12 4.28 5.221974 71,479 4,060 3.12 4.08 5.681981 87,120 4,905 3.13 2.97 5.631991 106,315 5,699 2.20 1.62 5.362001 123,841 7,590 1.54 2.18 6.132010 (A) 153,437 8,869 1.59 3.01 5.782020(A) 172,900 12,967 1.27 4.63 7.502030(A) 191,097 19,855 1.05 5,31 10.392040(A) 204,458 30,178 0.70 5.20 14.762050(A) 217,819 40,514 0.65 3.43 18.60gš—e¨: ÔAÕ Awf‡c wb‡`©k Ki‡Q|Durm: Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics, Population Census of Bangladesh, different years; UN, World PopulationProjections, 2001.4.3| wj½†f‡` cÖexY RbmsL¨vi ZviZg¨1951 mv‡j evsjv‡`‡k 60 eQi I Z`~aŸ© eq¯‹ cyi“l I gwnjv‡`i msL¨v wQj h_vµ‡g 1wgwjqb I 0.8 wgwjqb Ges Zv‡`i AvbycvwZK nvi wQj h_vµ‡g 55.01 kZvsk I 44.99kZvsk| 2001 mv‡ji Av`gïgvix‡ZI Zv‡`i AvbycvwZK nv‡i †Zgb cv_©K¨ cwijwZ nqwb|Z‡e RbmsL¨vi Awf‡c Abyhvqx cwi`„ó nq †h, 2050 mv‡j Zv‡`i AvbycvwZK nv‡iD‡j−L‡hvM¨ cwieZ©b Avm‡e| A_©vr Zv‡`i AvbycvwZK nvi `uvov‡e h_vµ‡g 47.43 kZvsk I52.56 kZvsk| 1951 mv‡j †gvU RbmsL¨vi m‡½ cÖexY cyi“l I gwnjv‡`i AvbycvwZK nvi wQjh_vµ‡g 4.66 kZvsk I 4.17 kZvsk hv 2001 mv‡j wQj 6.59 kZvsk I 5.64 kZvsk|A_©vr Dfq mgqKv‡jB cyi“l‡`i Zzjbvq gwnjv cÖexY‡`i msL¨v ev AvbycvwZK nvi wQj Kg|wKš‘ RbmsL¨vi Awf‡c Abyhvqx 2050 mv‡j cyi“l‡`i Zzjbvq gwnjv‡`i msL¨v ev AvbycvwZKnvi wecixZ MwZgyLx n‡q hv‡e| A_©vr Zv‡`i AvbycvwZK nvi `uvov‡e h_vµ‡g 17.61 kZvsk I19.59 kZvsk (mviwY 4)|
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158<strong>evsjv‡`k</strong> <strong>Dbœq</strong>b mgxvGwkqv Z_v we‡k¦i wewfbœ †`‡k cÖexY RbmsL¨v e„w×i †mªvZavivi mv‡_ Zvj wgwj‡q <strong>evsjv‡`k</strong>IGwM‡q hv‡”Q| mviv we†k¦i g‡Zv GKB avivq evsjv‡`‡kI gvby‡li Rxeb cÖZ¨vkv `xN©vwqZ n‡”QGes †gvU cÖRbb-nvi n«v‡mi mv‡_ mv‡_ Rb¥-nviI n«vm cv‡”Q (mviwY 2)| d‡j †`‡ki †gvURbmsL¨vi Zzjbvq cÖexY RbmsL¨vi AvbycvwZK nvi µgvš^‡q EaŸ© MwZ jvf Ki‡Q|eQiMo Rb¥-nvi(CBR)(cÖwZ nvRv‡i)mviwY 2evsjv‡`‡k RbwgwZK DËiY (demographic transition)Mo g„Zz¨-nvi(CDR)(cÖwZ nvRv‡i)wkïg„Zz¨-nvi(cÖwZ nvRv‡i)†gvU cÖRbbnvi(TFR)(cÖwZ nvRvicÖm~wZ‡Z Rxeš—cÖme `vb)Rb¥-wbqš¿Yc×wZe¨env‡imdjZvinviRb¥j‡Mœ Mo AvqyicÖZ¨vkv1980 33.4 10.2 Gb.G 4.99 Gb.G 56.5 54.91985 34.6 12.1 112 4.71 25.3 54.3 54.11990 32.8 11.4 94 4.33 39.2 56.4 55.41995 26.5 8.4 71 3.45 48.7 58.4 58.12000 19.0 4.9 58 2.59 53.8 61.7 62.72001 18.9 4.8 56 2.56 Gb.G 62.5 64.12002 20.1 5.1 53 2.56 Gb.G 64.5 65.42003 20.9 5.9 53 2.57 Gb.G 64.3 65.42004 20.8 5.8 52 2.51 58.1 64.4 65.72005 20.7 5.8 50 2.46 Gb.G 64.4 65.82006 20.6 5.6 45 2.41 Gb.G 64.5 66.62007 20.9 6.2 43 2.39 55.8 65.4 67.92008 20.5 6.0 40 2.30 Gb.G 65.6 68.0gš—e¨: Gb.G cÖKvk Ki‡Q Z_¨ cvIqv hvqwb|Durm: BBS, Statistical Yearbook of Bangladesh, different issues; For Contraceptive Prevalence Rate:1.Bangladesh demographic and Health Survey, different issues;2. NIPORT, Bangladesh Contraceptive Prevalence Survey, different issues.cyi“lgwnjv4.2| cÖexY RbmsL¨vi wPÎevsjv‡`‡ki wewfbœ Av`gïgvixi cwimsL¨vb †_‡K cwijwZ nq †h, we‡k¦i Ab¨vb¨ ‡`‡kig‡Zv GLv‡bI †gvU RbmsL¨v e„w×i nv‡ii Zzjbvq cÖexY RbmsL¨v e„w×i nvi A‡bK †ewk I`ª“Z| 1961 I 1991 mv‡j evsjv‡`‡ki †gvU cÖexY RbmsL¨v wQj h_vµ‡g 2.7 wgwjqb I 5.7wgwjqb, A_©vr †gvU RbmsL¨vi m‡½ Zuv‡`i AvbycvwZK nvi wQj h_vµ‡g 5.2 I 5.4 kZvsk|A_P 2001 mv‡j †gvU RbmsL¨vi m‡½ Zuv‡`i AvbycvwZK nvi wQj 6.1 kZvsk (BBS,Bangladesh Population Census, different years)| RbmsL¨vi Awf‡c Abyhvqx 2011 I2021 mv‡j cÖexY‡`i msL¨v `uvov‡e h_vµ‡g 10.1 wgwjqb I 13.5 wgwjqb| Avi 2050 mv‡j†`‡ki †gvU RbmsL¨v `uvov‡e 217.8 wgwjqb Ges cÖexY‡`i msL¨v 40 wgwjq‡biI Dc‡i| H
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