investments into properties – see table 1. JPY appreciation could be seen in a significant, butonly temporary decrease in surplus of the trade balance. Unemployment also developedfavourably, inflation slightly grew.1.2 Bubble disruption and transition of the economy into recessionIn 1989 the BOJ increased the discount rate from 2.5% to 4.25% and in 1990 even to6%. The central bank took this step from fear of potential inflationary pressures caused byincreased money supply and because of continuous yen devaluation. While in 1988 prices ofconsumer goods grew by 0.7%, in 1989 it was already by 2.3% and in 1990 by 3.1% – see table1. Monetary control was tightened and the amount of money which banks were allowed toborrow against mortgages in the form of property was limited.Tightening of monetary policy led to a dramatic decrease in asset prices. The stockexchange index Nikkei 225 Average slumped by 44% by1992 compared to 1989 and land priceindexes experienced a similar slump, even though with a certain delay. Immediate impact of thedecrease in asset prices were substantial capital losses – in cumulative expression according tothe OECD in 1990-1996 they reached approximately JPY 967 trillion, i.e. twice the one-yearJapanese GDP. Households carried more than 44% of overall capital losses, non-financialinstitutions 34%. 9The bubble disrupted and the economy slumped into recession during which, however,absolute decrease in current or real GDP was not experienced. In 1990 the growth in real GDPwas still recorded at 5.2%, but already in 1991 the pace started to slow down – see table 1.According to an official statement of the EPA/ESRI the recession started in March 1991 andlasted till October 1993. It was the second longest recession after the recession in 1980-1983. 10Also other developed countries experienced a slowdown in the growth at the beginning of the1990s, many of them also passed through recession, however, from different reasons. Forexample the pace of GDP growth in Germany fell by 1.1% in 1993 and by 0.5% in the USA in1991. 11 In 1991 the BOJ started to cut the discount rate (from 6% down to 1.75% in 1993) toencourage the “strangled” economy. However, the BOJ did not manage to stop the decrease inprivate consumption and gross fixed investments. Japanese government also focused on thesupport of weakened domestic demand. In 1991 the government approved a new 5-year plan for1992-1996. In compliance with the strategy from the 1980s the plan was aimed at improvingthe living standard of Japanese citizens and development of domestic economy and in sametime at a more obliging attitude of Japan to global community. The success, however, was notbig. In the same time three incentive “packages” amounting to JPY 29.9 trillion, i.e. 2-3% ofGDP were adopted in 1992-1993. 12 These fiscal measures should have supported mainly publicinvestments and housing construction and included also reduction in taxes.Thanks to monetary and fiscal measures private investments into properties started togrow slightly, nevertheless private capital investments continued to decline. Only SMEsresponded to the decrease in interest rates, as they are more sensitive to their changes than bigbusinesses. And it is the decrease in fixed investments that is to be blamed for a significantdecrease in the pace of GDP growth. The growth in private consumption also slowed down inthe period in question. 13Although economic dynamics slowed down during the recession, it did not cause anymore substantial problems with unemployment or inflation. Till 1993 the inflation increased9 OECD (1998): OECD Economic Survey – Japan 1997-1998, p. 46.10 ESRI (2011): Guide for Using Diffusion Indexes and Composite Indexes.11 OECD (2001): OECD Economic Outlook No. 7, 2001, p. 205.12 OECD (2000): OECD Economic Survey – Japan 1999-2000, p. 53.13 CAO (2006): Annual Report on the Japanese Economy and Public Finance 2006.MEDZINÁRODNÉ VZŤAHY, 2012, 4 ○ 133
only to 2.5%, i.e. by 0.4 percentage points compared with 1990. As the BOJ intended with itsstrict anti-inflationary packages, the inflation slowed down to 1.2% in 1993 – see table 1.However, the price for this success proved to be too high compared with recession and furtherdecrease in prices. The yen started to appreciate hand in hand with growing real interest rates –this contributed to strengthening deflationary pressures, which caused serious problems to theeconomy in the ensuing period.Due to deepening problems and unclear future of the economy there were significantchanges also on the domestic political scene. In 1993 for the first time since the World War IIthe position of one party, Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) was suppressed. In January 1993Prime Minister Miyazawa was forced to resign due to several corruption scandals andincreasing disagreement among individual fractions in the LDP. Japan New Party won themajority in elections in July 1993. Coalition governments (after 1994 again with the LDP) werenevertheless very fragile and changed very often. There were eight different Prime Ministers inJapan from 1990 to 2000. Domestic political instability and insufficient consensus amongleading parties over the solution to main issues influenced negatively forming of the economicpolicy..2 Recovery of the economy in 1994-1996The recovery phase lasted from November 1993 to May 1997, i.e. 43 months. As thiswas the third longest after-war expansion, 14 the government held the impacts of the precedingserious recession for solved and the phase of stock adjustment for finished. Nevertheless,private investments and consumption were rather instable in this period (particularlyinvestments into real estates) and grew slowly, prices of real estates also continued to decline.Positive development was attributed mainly to ongoing monetary and fiscal incentive measures.However, already in June 1997 the economy fell into another serious recession, which foundexpression even in the decline in the real GDP of 1.8% in 1998 and 0.2% in 1999 – see table 2.Table 2: Japan – Main Economic Indicators, 1994-2000Item 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000GDP in current prices (SNA93) 486,5 493,3 502,6 512,2 503,0 495,2 501,1Nominal growth rates (%) 1,2 1,4 1,9 1,9 -1,8 -1,5 1,2Real growth rates (%) 1,1 1,9 2,6 1,4 -1,8 -0,2 2,9- Private final consumption (%) 2,7 1,8 2,3 0,8 -0,8 1,1 1,1- Residential investment (%) 7,2 -4,8 11,8 -12,0 -14,2 0,1 0,9- Private capital investment (%) -5,7 3,1 1,8 6,6 -5,2 -4,3 7,9Unemployment rate (%) 2,9 3,2 3,4 3,4 4,1 4,7 4,7Consumer price index (CPI, %) 0,7 -0,1 0,1 1,8 0,6 -0,3 -0,7Trade balance (trillion JPY) 14,7 12,3 9,1 12,3 16,0 14,0 12,6Yen exchange rate against U.S.Dollar 107,0 93,0 106,0 120,0 130,0 118,0 106,0Monetary base growth (%, M2+CD) 1 2,1 3,0 3,3 3,1 4,0 3,6 2,1Discount rate (end of year, %) 1,75 0,5 0,5 0,5 0,5 0,5 0,5Note: Shaded areas indicate periods of economic recession.1 The monetary base is defined asthe total of cash in circulation (including cash held by financial institutions) and currentdeposits of financial institutions at the central bank.Source: CAO (2006): Annual Report on The Japanese Economy and Public Finance 2006,(GDP growth rates, inflation, monetary base); Statistics Bureau (2008): Historical Statistics ofJapan (unemployment rate, trade balance, exchange rate); Statistics Bureau (1998): JapanStatistical Yearbook 1998, p. 451 (discount rate); own calculations.14 ESRI (2011): Guide for Using Diffusion Indexes and Composite Indexes.134 ○ MEDZINÁRODNÉ VZŤAHY, 2012, 4
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ObsahPôvodné vedecké článkyZEN
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ContentOriginal scientific papersZE
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epublikou a Indickou republikou? Za
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spočiatku javí iba ako malá sekt
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Z kulturologického hľadiska tento
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6. LEHMANNOVÁ, Z. a kol.(2010): Pa
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krajiny 2 . Zatiaľ čo pri cle pla
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Textilv ekonomike (P SA /P TA ). 7
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TextilGraf 3: Účinky subvencií n
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TextilGraf 4: Účinky subvencií n
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P Ô V O D N Ý V E D E C K Ý Č L
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dohody, ktorú členský štát uza
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Na základe návrhu Európskej komi
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do svojej výlučnej kompetencie, n
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6. Stanovisko Generálneho advokát
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a jadrovým programom. Takmer úpln
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Južná Kórea sa ďalej rozvíjala
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Napätie medzi obomi štátmi na K
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Graf 2: Štruktúra tvorby HDP KĽD
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a luxusného tovaru. Rada bezpečno
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Osobitnú skupinu ŠEZ tvoria zóny
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systému na potraviny a iný priemy
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7. SINGH, L. 2012. India and North
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D I S K U S I AVÝVOJ MULTILATERÁL
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chybět příslušné pravomoce k u
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socialistickou federativní sověts
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uzavírat bilaterální dohody mezi
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2 Stěžejní multilaterální obch
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Pod záštitou UNCTAD byl během ro
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Celní úmluva ATA karnet pro doča
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těchto práv jednotlivými státy
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zejména na nastolování obchodu v
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33. ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OP
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D I S K U S I AFAKTORY ROZVOJA A RA
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tradície a pomerne ľahko sa dost
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1979 ajatollách Chomejní povolil
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moslimských krajín - vytvárať n
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nachádzali v Pakistane, kde v úlo
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právnom rámci, ktorý poskytne od
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Tretím a posledným princípom je
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III.IV.s adekvátnou ochranou vodn
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Podľa princípu spravodlivého a r
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POUŽITÁ LITERATÚRA:1. BENCALA, K
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1 Funkcia ropného trhuPodľa zákl
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neštandardné pohyby cien v roku 2
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forwardových obchodov, kde je kaž
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