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D. MARINKOVIĆ et al.: MOTOR FUEL CONSUMPTION IN SERBIA Hem. ind. 66 (3) 413–423 (2012) Figure 9. Ratio of realized consumption gasoline/diesel in Croatia, New EU members, Serbia and model results for Serbia. Through the achieved results of the consumption of LPG in the period 2001–2009 fitted a Boltzmann sigmoid curve, which has the form: −434974 LPGj = + 435000 (6) ( GDP PPPPC, 8748.96)/1151.23 1 e j − + χ 2 distribution value is 2.926×10 8 ; LPGj represents LPG consumption in the year j. In Figures 10–13 the results of the total consumption of motor fuels and results in derivatives individually are shown. In addition to the results obtained from the model, the results of achieved consumption for the period 2001–2009 are shown in the charts. It may be noted that the model results agree with achieved statistics data very well. Statistical analysis shows that the correlation coefficient of realized total consumption and modelled consumption in the period 2001–2009 amounts to 420 0.938, which represents a strongly positive correlation. The accuracy of the model in the control period made it clear that the extrapolation model for a longer period, i.e. forecasting achievement of national consumption of motor fuels by 2025, makes sense. Figure 11 shows the model results of gasoline consumption in Serbia in the period 2001–2025. The correlation coefficient between realized and modeled consumption of motor gasoline in the period 2001–2009 is 0.95. Figure 12 shows the model results of consumption of diesel fuel in Serbia in the period 2001–2025. The correlation coefficient between achieved consumption of diesel fuel and modelled diesel fuel consumption in the period 2001–2009 was also 0.95. Figure 13 shows the model results of consumption of LPG in Serbia in the period from 2001 to 2025. The correlation coefficient of realized consumption and modelled consumption of LPG for the period 2001–2009 is 0.99. Figure 10. Results of the model of total consumption of motor fuels in Serbia in the period from 2001 to 2025.
D. MARINKOVIĆ et al.: MOTOR FUEL CONSUMPTION IN SERBIA Hem. ind. 66 (3) 413–423 (2012) Figure 11. Results of the model of consumption of gasoline in Serbia in the period from 2001 to 2025. Figure 12. Results of the model of consumption of diesel in Serbia in the period from 2001 to 2025. Figure 13. Results of the model of consumption of liquefied petroleum gasses (LPG) in Serbia in the period from 2001 to 2025. 421
Page 1 and 2: B I O G R A F I J A Име и пр
Page 3 and 4: Библиографија радо
Page 5 and 6: Modeling of motor fuel consumption
Page 7 and 8: D. MARINKOVIĆ et al.: MOTOR FUEL C
Page 11: D. MARINKOVIĆ et al.: MOTOR FUEL C
Page 17 and 18: Abstrakt UKLANJANJE ARSENA IZ PODZE
Page 19 and 20: Socio-ekonomski uslovi u Republici
Page 21 and 22: Metod rada Specifičnost i težina
Page 23 and 24: Slika 3. Dijagram zavisnosti koncen
Page 25 and 26: Reference (1) 20060905 Product broc
Page 27 and 28: U predhodnom periodu, tokom ispitiv
Page 29 and 30: ODREĐIVANJE ADSORPCIONOG KAPACITET
Page 31 and 32: može objasniti u relacijama poveć
Page 33 and 34: 1,4 1,2 1 0,8 0,6 0,4 0,2 0 1,6 1,4
Page 35 and 36: 10. Macko , The removal of organic
Page 37 and 38: ORGANIZATORI • Tehnološko‐meta
Page 39 and 40: Izdavač: FORUM KVALITETA Asocijaci
Page 41 and 42: životne sredine i moguća rešenja
Page 43 and 44: CHYMICUS IV Četvrti međunarodni k
Page 45 and 46: SADRŽAJ UVODNA IZLAGANJA Đorđe
Page 47 and 48: CHYMICUS IV Tea Spasojević‐Šan
Page 49 and 50: EKO SISTEMI I NJIHOVA ZAŠTITA; OST
Page 51 and 52: 1. UVOD Strana 2 Forum kvaliteta CH
Page 53 and 54: Strana 4 Forum kvaliteta CHYMICUS I
Page 55 and 56: Udeo obnovljivih alternativnih gori
Page 57 and 58: Strana 8 Forum kvaliteta CHYMICUS I
Page 59 and 60: CIP ‐ Каталогизациј
Page 61 and 62: XIII • YuCorr Savez inženjera Sr
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REVITALIZACIJA I RAZVOJ PROIZVODNJE
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Posebno velike ekonomske i nemerlji
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Treba pomenuti da je globalno aktue
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Zapadnoevropski petrohemijski proiz
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sekundarnih petrohemijskih derivata
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Na skromnom nivou su i investicije
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UDC:502 ISSN 0354 - 3285 No - 63
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SADRŽAJ - CONTENT Scientific paper
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Milan Radosavljević, Maja Anđelko
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NOVI MATERIJALI SADRŽAJ - TEHNIKA
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Pregledni rad Prateći ekološko-ek
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prostor je blizu, odnosno pored, pr
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Deponija matalurških materijala im
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Literatura 1. Lokalni ekološki akc
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UNIVERZITET U BEOGRADU TEHNOLOŠKO-
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UNIVERZITET U BEOGRADU TEHNOLOŠKO-
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Modeling of motor fuel consumption
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Sadržaj II DEO MODELOVANJE EMISIJE
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I DEO MODELOVANJE POTROŠNJE NAFTNI
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Uvod I deo goriva u sektoru saobra
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Potrosnja svih derivata, t 2,6x10 6
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Metodologija I deo Matematička fun
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Identifikacija parametara I deo eko
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Identifikacija parametara I deo Na
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Identifikacija parametara I deo kil
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Identifikacija parametara I deo god
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Parametar promene cene sirove nafte
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Potrosnja alternativnih goriva, m 3
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Alternativna goriva, % 13 12 11 10
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Identifikacija parametara I deo Me
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gde su: = ∙ ∙ , parametar vredn
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Identifikacija parametara I deo izb
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Vozila starosti izmedju 2-5 godina,
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) Grupa starosti vozila od 2 do 5 g
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Identifikacija parametara I deo Def
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Ukupna potrosnja motornih goriva, t
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Rezultati i diskusija I deo 1.1.2.1
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Rezultati i diskusija I deo nešto
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Potrosnja TNG-a, t Potrosnja TNG-a,
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Potrosnja TNG-a, t 500.000 400.000
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Potrosnja dizel goriva, t 2.200.000
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Potrosnja dizel goriva, t 2.200.000
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Zaključak I deo periodu od 2001. g
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2.1. Uvod Zagađen vazduh i dalje o
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2.2. Zagađenje vazduha u urbanim s
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Zagađenje vazduha u urbanim sredin
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Zagađenje vazduha u urbanim sredin
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Emisioni trendovi u svetu II deo Se
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Emisioni trendovi u svetu II deo me
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1.2. Metodologija Zagađen vazduh i
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Metodologija II deo ( ) = ∑ ∙ (
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Metodologija II deo univerzitetu (S
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Metodologija II deo Sa slike 2.6. s
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Metodologija II deo Tabela 2.7. Upo
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E f (NO x ), g/l 35 30 25 20 15 10
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Metodologija II deo razliku od rani
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Metodologija II deo U slučaju Srbi
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Metodologija II deo Rezultati radov
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Metodologija II deo neophodno uvest
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2.5. Rezultati i diskusija Rezultat
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Rezultati i diskusija II deo Karakt
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Rezultati i diskusija II deo Rezult
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2.5.3. Emisija ugljovodonika Rezult
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HC, t 180.000 160.000 140.000 120.0
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CO 2 , t 10.000.000 9.000.000 8.000
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Rezultati i diskusija II deo Upored
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Rezultati i diskusija II deo Tabela
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Zaključak II deo krenuti postepeni
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Dodatak Tabela 3.2. Vrednosti param
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Dodatak Tabela 3.4. Prikaz kretanja
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Dodatak Tabela 3.6. Vrednosti param
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Dodatak Tabela 3.8. Razvoj motoriza
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Dodatak Tabela 3.10. Kretanje broja
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Dodatak Tabela 3.12. Prikaz kretanj
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Dodatak Tabela 3.13. Kretanje broja
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Dodatak Tabela 3.15. Iznosi potroš
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Dodatak Tabela 3.17. Prikaz rezulta
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Dodatak Tabela 3.19. Uporedni prika
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Dodatak Tabela 3.25. Iznosi godišn
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Dodatak jest ukupnu disperziju eksp
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Reference [1] M. Belhaj, Vehicle an
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Reference [38] Regulation of Fuels
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Reference [73] S. S. Pokharel, G. A
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Reference [107] A. P. Grieshop, E.
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Радно искуство - IHTM - Универзитет у Београду

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