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1
Monthly automotive aftermarket magazine<br />
GROUP CHAIRMAN<br />
H. FERRUH ISIK<br />
PUBLISHER:<br />
İstmag Magazin Gazetecilik<br />
İç ve Dış Ticaret Ltd. Şti.<br />
Managing Editor (Responsible)<br />
Mehmet Söztutan<br />
mehmet.soztutan@img.com.tr<br />
Advertising Sales Consultant<br />
Adem Saçın<br />
+90 505 577 36 42<br />
adem.sacin@img.com.tr<br />
Enes Karadayı<br />
enes.karadayi@img.com.tr<br />
International Marketing Coordinator<br />
Ayca Sarioglu<br />
ayca.sarioglu@img.com.tr<br />
Advisory Editor<br />
Yusuf Okçu<br />
yusuf.okcu@img.com.tr<br />
Finance Manager<br />
Cuma Karaman<br />
cuma.karaman@img.com.tr<br />
Digital Assets Manager<br />
Emre Yener<br />
emre.yener@img.com.tr<br />
Technical Manager<br />
Tayfun Aydın<br />
tayfun.aydin@img.com.tr<br />
Graphic & Design Advisor<br />
Sami aktaş<br />
sami.aktas@img.com.tr<br />
Accountant<br />
Yusuf Demirkazık<br />
yusuf.demirkazik@img.com.tr<br />
Subsciption<br />
İsmail Özçelik<br />
ismail.ozcelik@img.com.tr<br />
HEAD OFFICE:<br />
İstmag Magazin Gazetecilik<br />
İç ve Dış Ticaret Ltd. Şti.<br />
Ihlas Media Center<br />
Merkez Mah. 29 Ekim Caddesi No: 11B / 21<br />
Yenibosna Bahcelievler, Istanbul / TÜRKİYE<br />
Tel: +90 212 454 22 22<br />
www.img.com.tr sales@img.com.tr<br />
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PRINTED BY:<br />
İHLAS GAZETECİLİK A.Ş.<br />
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No:11 A/41 Yenibosna–Bahçelievler/ İSTANBUL<br />
Tel: 0212 454 30 00<br />
www.ihlasmatbaacilik.com<br />
Mehmet Soztutan, Editor-in-Chief<br />
mehmet.soztutan@img.com.tr<br />
Dynamism prevails as usual<br />
Türkiye’s automotive industry dates back to the early 1960s. During a period of rapid<br />
industrialization and progress, this key sector transformed itself from assembly-based<br />
partnerships to a full-fledged industry with design capability and massive production<br />
capacity within the last decade.<br />
Foreign partners have begun to view their facilities in Türkiye as their production center<br />
for the global markets. Türkiye is home to many global suppliers. There are more than 250<br />
global suppliers that use Türkiye as a production base, with 30 of them ranking among the<br />
50 largest global suppliers.<br />
The auto parts industry of Türkiye has developed rapidly as a consequence of<br />
developments in the automotive industry.<br />
The Turkish auto parts industry with its large capacity, wide variety of production and high<br />
standards, supports automotive industry production and the vehicles in Türkiye and also<br />
has ample potential for exports.<br />
The Turkish automotive and auto spare parts industry have prospered dynamically in line<br />
with ever increasing demand from abroad. So, business people operating in the industry<br />
have become outward oriented more than ever before. This fact is also reflected through<br />
the pages of our publications.<br />
It is hard to keep its competitive position in the world market full of emerging players.<br />
Thus, manufacturers have shifted their operations to value-added automotive products<br />
and brand names. Currently, Turkish manufacturers have their own designs and brands in<br />
international markets.<br />
In evaluating the future export potential of the automotive industry, using cross-country<br />
statistics, it is possible to indicate that Turkish automotive industry has comparative<br />
advantage regarding labor productivity, labor cost and the share of capital in the value<br />
added, especially with respect to the mature producers in the world. More than half of<br />
these manufacturers compete in international markets and set high standards of export<br />
figures.<br />
Our publications remain at the service of those businesses people seeking to increase<br />
their share in the increasingly competitive foreign markets.<br />
As usual, we convey the message of the Turkish automotive and auto spare parts<br />
exporters by participating in major fairs and exhibitions around the world.<br />
We are convinced that the events in which we participate would be instrumental to<br />
increase business opportunities in the automotive industry.<br />
We wish lucrative trade for all participants.<br />
automotiveexport<br />
EDİToR<br />
automotiveexports<br />
8
Auto production rises 13 percent in eight months<br />
Turkish carmakers produced more than<br />
943,000 vehicles in the first eight months<br />
of <strong>2023</strong>, a 13 percent increase from a year<br />
ago, according to the data from <strong>Automotive</strong><br />
Manufacturers’ Association (OSD).<br />
Passenger car output grew 21 percent<br />
year-on-year to nearly 600,000, but the<br />
annual increase in commercial vehicle production<br />
was lower at 2 percent to 344,000.<br />
Local carmakers boosted their exports by<br />
11 percent, shipping some 660,000 vehicles<br />
to foreign markets in the January-August<br />
period, with passenger car exports rising 26<br />
percent to 426,000.<br />
The industry’s export revenues amounted<br />
to $23.3 billion during this period, pointing<br />
to a robust 17 percent annual increase.<br />
In August alone, its export revenues rose<br />
by 21 percent to $2.7 billion.<br />
In the first eight months of the year,<br />
787,197 vehicles were sold on the local<br />
market, marking a 63 percent increase<br />
compared with the same period of 2022.<br />
Passenger car sales grew 64 percent year-on-year<br />
to nearly 583,000.<br />
Vehicle sales grew 73 percent year-on-year<br />
in August alone to 90,400, while the<br />
passenger car market expanded 88 percent<br />
to 66,000.<br />
Türkiye increased passenger car imports<br />
by 118 percent from a year ago to nearly<br />
52,000, which meant that imported cars<br />
accounted for 78 percent of all cars sold<br />
on the local market. In August, both total<br />
vehicle and passenger car production declined<br />
by 21.2 percent year-on-year. Some large<br />
carmakers suspended production due to<br />
maintenance work which could explain the<br />
drop in the industry’s output. The Turkish<br />
automotive industry has a total production<br />
capacity of 2 million vehicles. In terms of<br />
production, it ranks fourth in Europe and<br />
14th in the world, employing more than<br />
500,000 people.<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 10
Backed by EVs,<br />
Turkish auto<br />
sales soar to<br />
extend record<br />
streak<br />
Sales of cars in Türkiye hit another all-time<br />
high in September, adding to the peaks<br />
since the beginning of the year, according<br />
to industry data that also showed electric<br />
vehicle (EV) purchases maintaining an<br />
unprecedented trend.<br />
A record 96,793 passenger cars and light<br />
commercial vehicles exchanged hands<br />
last month, the <strong>Automotive</strong> Distributors<br />
and Mobility Association (ODMD) said in<br />
a statement, marking a 55.9% year-overyear<br />
increase. Car sales in September<br />
surged by 76.7%, totaling 78,971 units,<br />
the data showed, while the market for<br />
light commercial vehicles saw a more<br />
modest increase of 2.4%, with sales<br />
reaching 17,822 units. Demand soared as<br />
depreciation in the Turkish lira and soaring<br />
prices prompted consumers to continue to<br />
opt for cars they see as a tool to safeguard<br />
themselves from high inflation.<br />
The boost resulted in the overall<br />
automobile and light commercial vehicle<br />
market surpassing the average September<br />
sales of the past decade by 58.1%.<br />
From January to September, the combined<br />
sales reached a fresh record of 857,575<br />
units, marking a year-over-year growth of<br />
64.8%. The figure surpasses the whole of<br />
2022, when some 783,283 cars and light<br />
commercial vehicles exchanged hands.<br />
Car sales in the first nine months soared<br />
by 67%, reaching 666,890 units, the ODMD<br />
said. The light commercial vehicle market<br />
saw an increase of 57.2%, with sales<br />
totaling 190,685 units.<br />
Fiat led the way among carmakers in<br />
September, achieving sales of 15,537 units,<br />
followed by Renault at 11,714 and Ford at<br />
7,023.<br />
Meanwhile, electric cars have also been<br />
booming this year, capturing a market<br />
share unseen to date, backed by the first<br />
homegrown battery-powered vehicle brand<br />
that has been adding momentum to its<br />
deliveries. Nearly 34,600 EVs have been<br />
sold from January through September<br />
of this year, the data showed, marking a<br />
333.86% year-over-year increase.<br />
Togg, the manufacturer of Türkiye’s first<br />
electric car, delivered some 2,204 units of<br />
its C-segment SUV T10X in September. This<br />
figure brings its deliveries since late April to<br />
5,604 units. Togg ranked second just after<br />
Tesla, which sold 4,700 units of its Model<br />
Y last month. The carmaker has delivered<br />
some 10,200 units so far this year.<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 12
Türkiye’s automotive production, car exports soar Jan-Sept.<br />
Türkiye’s automotive production increased<br />
by 12% in the January-September period,<br />
while automobile production rose by 21%<br />
when compared to the same period last<br />
year, official data released showed.<br />
The country’s <strong>Automotive</strong> Manufacturers<br />
Association (OSD) said total automotive<br />
production surpassed the 1 million mark<br />
and stood at 1,074,155 units in the first<br />
nine months, including 687,817 units of<br />
automobiles.<br />
When combined with tractor production,<br />
total production reached 1,117,620<br />
units. In the first nine months of the year,<br />
commercial vehicle production decreased<br />
by 1% compared to the same period<br />
last year, while light commercial vehicle<br />
production decreased by 4%.<br />
Production in the heavy commercial vehicle<br />
category meanwhile increased by 26%.<br />
Meanwhile, the sector’s total sales in the<br />
first nine months of the year increased by<br />
63% to 894,663 units when compared to<br />
the same period last year. Car sales in the<br />
first nine months soared by 67%, reaching<br />
666,890 units. Backed by a significant boom<br />
in electric car sales, the total auto sales this<br />
year according to market predictions are<br />
poised to hit the 1 million mark.<br />
On a quantity basis, the total automotive<br />
exports in the first nine months of the year<br />
surged by 7% versus the same period last<br />
year, reaching 733,956 units.<br />
During this period, car exports increased<br />
by 20%, while commercial vehicle exports<br />
were down by 11%.<br />
According to the data from the Turkish<br />
Exporters Assembly (TIM), the total<br />
automotive industry’s exports maintained<br />
its top position in sectoral exports with a<br />
16% increase in the January-September<br />
period. Meanwhile, according to the figures<br />
from the Bursa-based Uludağ <strong>Automotive</strong><br />
Industry Exporters’ Union, total automotive<br />
exports during the same period increased<br />
by 16% to reach $26.2 billion (TL 728.38<br />
billion) compared to the same period in<br />
2022.<br />
Passanger car exports<br />
Local carmakers shipped over $8 billion<br />
worth of passenger cars in the first<br />
nine months to some 110 countries,<br />
autonomous regions and free zones,<br />
according to the data.<br />
Throughout this period, the share of<br />
passenger cars constituted 31.3% of the<br />
total exports of the automotive industry.<br />
France was the largest market for Turkish<br />
passenger car producers. Shipments to<br />
this country rose by 60.95% to reach $1.52<br />
billion. Passenger cars worth $948.7 million<br />
were sold to the Western European country<br />
in the same period last year.<br />
The United Kingdom came second as it<br />
purchased $848.8 million in the first nine<br />
months of <strong>2023</strong> from local companies,<br />
pointing to 5.7% rise when compared to<br />
the first nine months of 2022.<br />
Total foreign sales to France and the United<br />
Kingdom, which reached $2.38 billion<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 16
therefore constituted 29.61% of overall<br />
passenger car exports.<br />
Türkiye’s passenger car exports to Spain,<br />
the third largest export destination, grew<br />
by 32% to reach $839.1 million. According<br />
to the data, Italy ranked fourth with a<br />
37% increase on an annual basis between<br />
January and September, while Poland stood<br />
fifth, with a 32% increase.<br />
The list of top 10 countries Türkiye<br />
exported passenger cars to included<br />
Germany, Slovenia, Belgium, Israel and<br />
Bulgaria. In the same period, notable<br />
increases in exports to Algeria, Kazakhstan<br />
and Libya were observed as well.<br />
<strong>November</strong><br />
17 <strong>2023</strong>
EV charging network to extend further in Türkiye<br />
The Parliamentary Committee on Public<br />
Works, Urbanization, Transportation and<br />
Tourism Chairperson Adil Karaismailoğlu<br />
announced that the optimal location for<br />
electric vehicle charging stations that will<br />
cover all intercity road trips by determining<br />
the required number of electric vehicle<br />
charging stations and sockets for the<br />
years 2029, 2035 and 2053 have been<br />
determined.<br />
The former minister of Transport<br />
and Infrastructure noted in a written<br />
statement on the X social media platform,<br />
formerly known as Twitter, that their<br />
environmentally friendly steps in the green<br />
transformation journey continue.<br />
“Our goal is net zero emissions by 2053. In<br />
order for electric vehicles in our country to<br />
have a sustainable and accessible charging<br />
infrastructure, we conducted planning<br />
based on the spatial analysis of charging<br />
stations, taking into account factors such<br />
as average travel, energy consumption and<br />
driving time within the framework of the<br />
Transportation and Logistics Master Plan<br />
Model,” Karaismailoğlu said.<br />
“By promoting electric vehicles in our country<br />
and contributing to the future of sustainable<br />
transportation, under the leadership of<br />
our President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan in the<br />
Century of Türkiye, we will turn every dream<br />
into reality and decisively achieve our 2053<br />
zero-emission goals.” According to the<br />
infographic shared by Karaismailoğlu, the goal<br />
is to increase the number of electric vehicle<br />
charging sockets from 3,378 in <strong>2023</strong> to some<br />
37,946 in 2053 and to increase the electric<br />
demand from electric vehicles from 2.6<br />
gigawatts (Gw) to 64.46 Gw.<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 22
Industrial output rises 7.4 percent<br />
Industrial production increased by 7.4<br />
percent in July from a year ago, after rising<br />
at a paltry 0.2 percent in the previous two<br />
months, the official data showed on Sept. 11.<br />
Manufacturing output also expanded 7.4<br />
percent year-on-year, while the annual<br />
increase in the capital goods sector’s<br />
production was 25.6 percent, said the<br />
Turkish Statistical Institute (TÜİK).<br />
Intermediate goods production grew 3.2<br />
percent from July 2022. The 16 percent rise<br />
in the durable goods sector was noticeable.<br />
In the energy sector, production increased<br />
by 0.9 percent in July from the same month<br />
of last year. TÜİK said industrial production<br />
fell 0.4 percent month-on-month in July,<br />
after rising 1.2 percent and 1.4 percent on<br />
a monthly basis in June and May.<br />
The growth of the Turkish manufacturing<br />
sector moderated in August as firms faced<br />
challenges in securing new business, a<br />
survey conducted jointly by the Istanbul<br />
Chamber of Industry (ISO) and S&P Global<br />
showed. The headline PMI in August<br />
stood at 49, from 49.9 in July, below the<br />
50 no-change mark for the second month<br />
running. Meanwhile, interest rates on<br />
commercial loans climbed above the<br />
interest rates local banks charge on housing<br />
and car loans as of Sept. 1, reaching 38<br />
percent. The interest rates on personal<br />
loans, car loans and housing loans were 53<br />
percent, 36.7 percent, and 35.7 percent,<br />
respectively.<br />
The interest rates on loans have been rising<br />
after the Central Bank started to hike its<br />
policy rate. Since June, the bank delivered<br />
a total of 1,650 bps hike in the one-week<br />
repo auction rate to 25 percent.<br />
The Central Bank’s Monetary Policy<br />
Committee will meet again on Sept. 21 to<br />
decide about its policy rate.<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 24
<strong>Automotive</strong> exports expected to be $34 billion this year<br />
The Turkish automotive sector’s export<br />
revenues may climb to $34 billion this year,<br />
according to a report by KPMG.<br />
Last year, the local industry produced<br />
1.3 million vehicles and sales on the<br />
local market amounted to 827,000 while<br />
970,000 vehicles were shipped to foreign<br />
markets.<br />
Data from the <strong>Automotive</strong> Manufacturers’<br />
Association (OSD) showed that export<br />
revenues of Turkish carmakers increased by<br />
5.5 percent last year compared with 2021<br />
to stand at $31.5 billion.<br />
The industry’s exports have exceeded $20<br />
billion in the first seven months of <strong>2023</strong>,<br />
rising 16 percent from the same period<br />
of last year, according to the Turkish<br />
Exporters’ Assembly (TİM).<br />
The automotive sector accounted for 16<br />
percent of Türkiye’s total exports in the<br />
January-July period.<br />
The KPMG report noted the availability<br />
problems in the auto market due to the<br />
semiconductor shortages, coupled with<br />
the special consumption rates depressed<br />
domestic demand in 2022.<br />
However, the local auto industry appeared<br />
to have overcome this availability problem.<br />
In July, the combined sales of passenger<br />
cars and light commercial vehicles (LCV)<br />
leaped 115.4 percent from a year ago.<br />
Passenger car sales grew more than 109<br />
percent to around 86,000, while LCV sales<br />
soared almost 138 percent to 27,000.<br />
Experts said that carmakers were able<br />
to deliver the orders to their customers,<br />
which partially explained the surge in sales.<br />
Consumers also decided to buy now,<br />
anticipating that the car prices will<br />
increase in the coming months due to the<br />
depreciation of the Turkish Lira, which led<br />
to a sharp rise in vehicle demand in July,<br />
according to experts. Demand has been<br />
strong over the past months also because<br />
people purchased cars as an investment<br />
to protect their savings against inflation.<br />
Those, who cannot buy a house, which is<br />
a favorite investment among Turks, due to<br />
exorbitant property prices, turned to cars,<br />
said experts.<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 28
Chinese EV Skywell maker agrees<br />
deal to build Türkiye battery plant<br />
China’s technology company Skyworth has<br />
reached an investment agreement with a<br />
Turkish group to build a battery factory in<br />
Türkiye, a statement said.<br />
The manufacturer of the Skywell electric<br />
vehicle (EV) brand, Skyworth said the<br />
deal was reached with Ulubaşlar Group to<br />
develop and produce batteries, without<br />
disclosing the location of the factory.<br />
The companies will invest $25 million each<br />
in the plant that is planned to be opened<br />
by the first quarter of 2024, the statement<br />
said.<br />
The factory will manufacture batteries<br />
featuring 800V+4C super-fast charging<br />
technology architecture. This will enable a<br />
charging power to increase from 120 kW<br />
to 480 kW, allowing the vehicles to charge<br />
80% in eight minutes, according to the<br />
statement.<br />
“The battery is a key element in the<br />
transformation of the automotive market,<br />
and producing this technology here will<br />
provide Türkiye with important capabilities<br />
and will make significant contributions to<br />
the economy of our country,” said Mahmut<br />
Ulubaş, CEO of Skywell Türkiye.<br />
Ulubaş also stressed on the impact the<br />
investment would have on employment<br />
and exports.<br />
Among others, the Chinese company could<br />
also launch production of Skywell’s new<br />
models that are planned to be launched on<br />
the market within three years in Türkiye,<br />
said Ulubaş.<br />
Ulubaşlar Group’s subsidiary Ulu Motor is a<br />
distributor of Skywell operating in Türkiye<br />
and 15 other countries.<br />
Ulubaş’s remarks were echoed by Wu<br />
Longba, co-founder and CEO of Skywell,<br />
who stressed the company’s close<br />
cooperation with Ulu Motor and also noted<br />
the plans to establish an assembly line in<br />
the country.<br />
“We will initiate feasibility studies for this<br />
collaboration (battery factory) as soon as<br />
possible, which will be a significant turning<br />
point in Türkiye-China relations. We are<br />
very enthusiastic about this partnership,”<br />
he noted.<br />
“Moreover, we plan to establish a vehicle<br />
production line, bring spare parts supply<br />
system to Türkiye, and manufacture certain<br />
components here,” he said.<br />
“We anticipate various future business<br />
partnerships with Ulu Motor throughout<br />
these processes. Our objective is to<br />
contribute to the development of Türkiye’s<br />
new energy vehicle industry technology<br />
and capacity.”<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 30
US expands probe into 709,000 Ford SUVs,<br />
trucks over engine failures<br />
U.S. auto safety investigators announced<br />
they have expanded an investigation into<br />
Ford Motor Co. sport utility vehicles and<br />
trucks over catastrophic engine failures tied<br />
to a faulty valve to include nearly 709,000<br />
vehicles.<br />
The National Highway Traffic Safety<br />
Administration (NHTSA) also said in<br />
documents posted on its website that<br />
it upgraded the investigation to an<br />
engineering analysis, a step closer to a<br />
recall.<br />
The investigation now covers Ford’s F-150<br />
pickup truck, as well as Explorer, Bronco<br />
and Edge SUVs and Lincoln Nautilus and<br />
Aviator SUVs. All are from the 2021 and<br />
2022 model years and are equipped with<br />
2.7-liter or 3.0-liter V6 turbocharged<br />
engines.<br />
The agency says that under normal driving<br />
conditions, the engines can lose power due<br />
to catastrophic engine failure related to<br />
allegedly faulty valves.<br />
The agency opened its initial investigation<br />
in May of last year after getting three<br />
letters from owners. Initially, the probe was<br />
looking at a failure of the 2.7-liter engine<br />
on Broncos. Since then, Ford has reported<br />
861 customer complaints, warranty claims,<br />
and engine replacements including the<br />
other models. No crashes or injuries were<br />
reported.<br />
The company told the agency in documents<br />
that defective intake valves generally<br />
fail early in a vehicle’s life, and most of<br />
the failures have already happened. The<br />
company told NHTSA said it made a valve<br />
design change in October of 2021.<br />
Ford said in a statement that it’s working<br />
with NHTSA to support the investigation.<br />
The agency says it will evaluate how<br />
often the problem happens and review<br />
the effectiveness of Ford’s manufacturing<br />
improvements designed to address the<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 32
Japan slams brake on lucrative used-car trade with Russia<br />
Japan’s decision to ban most used-car sales<br />
to Russia has slashed a trade worth nearly<br />
$2 billion a year that had boomed following<br />
sanctions over Ukraine elsewhere,<br />
according to business data and market<br />
participants.<br />
In early August, Japan’s government<br />
banned exports of all but subcompact<br />
cars to Russia, cutting off a lucrative<br />
backchannel in trade in used Toyotas,<br />
Hondas and Nissans for a network of<br />
brokers and smaller ports, especially<br />
Fushiki, an export hub on the Sea of Japan.<br />
While wiping out Russia’s biggest source of<br />
used cars, the sanctions have driven down<br />
prices for second-hand cars in Japan and<br />
left brokers scrambling to send vehicles to<br />
other regions, especially right-hand drive<br />
markets in New Zealand, Southeast Asia<br />
and Africa. Russia’s demand for secondhand<br />
cars from Japan jumped sharply after<br />
global automakers, including Toyota, pulled<br />
back from operations following Moscow’s<br />
invasion of Ukraine.<br />
By last year, with sanctions elsewhere<br />
tightening, Russia was buying more than a<br />
quarter of Japan’s used car exports for an<br />
average price of almost $8,200. That was<br />
more than double the price in 2020, when<br />
Russia took about 15% of Japan’s used-car<br />
exports. Those sales had been on track to<br />
top $1.9 billion for all of <strong>2023</strong> before Japan<br />
imposed its own tougher sanctions, trade<br />
data show. More than half of the 303,000<br />
used cars imported by Russia in the first<br />
eight months of the year came from<br />
Japan, according to figures from Russian<br />
analytical agency Autostat. That compared<br />
to sales of 606,950 new cars of mainly<br />
Russian and Chinese brands over the same<br />
period, Autostat data showed. Toyamabased<br />
SV Alliance, a 2-year-old car export<br />
business, had been part of the wartime<br />
boom that sent an average of some 6,500<br />
used cars to Russia every month through<br />
July from Japan’s Fushiki. The port is about<br />
800 kilometers (500 miles) from Russia’s<br />
Vladivostok, within two day’s sailing for a<br />
cargo ship.<br />
“Business is down about 70%, and we’ve<br />
had to let a couple of people go because<br />
there isn’t enough work,” said Olesya<br />
Alekseeva, a logistics coordinator at SV<br />
Alliance.<br />
Cheaper cars for recyclers<br />
Japan has been a leading used-car exporter<br />
for decades. A system of mandatory<br />
inspections pushes the cost of maintaining<br />
used cars higher for customers in Japan.<br />
Financing costs for new car purchases, by<br />
contrast, are low.<br />
The result: an export industry that has sent<br />
hundreds of thousands of cars on the road<br />
from Malaysia to Mongolia and Pakistan to<br />
Tanzania that were first purchased in Japan.<br />
Takanori Kikuchi, a director for automotive<br />
trade policy at Japan’s Ministry of Economy,<br />
Trade and Industry, said the government<br />
was “watching to see what kind of an<br />
impact” the new sanctions would have.<br />
Japan had originally banned exporting<br />
luxury vehicles to Russia in April last year. It<br />
added a prohibition on the export of heavy<br />
trucks in June. Under the new sanctions,<br />
dealers can still export smaller cars, such as<br />
the Toyota Yaris or the Honda Fit, to Russia.<br />
Element Trading, a used-car dealer in<br />
Niigata prefecture that borders Toyama,<br />
has seen the share of Russia in its business<br />
slide from a peak of above 50% to below<br />
20%, chief executive Wataru Nishiwaki said.<br />
The number of used cars on offer surged<br />
more than 20% in August from a year<br />
earlier, while average vehicle selling prices<br />
posted a 7% drop, preliminary data from<br />
auto auction house USS showed.<br />
The price decline was welcomed by some.<br />
Battery recycling firm 4R Energy has seen a<br />
“significant” tail wind from declining usedcar<br />
prices, including the Nissan Leaf, said<br />
chief executive Yutaka Horie.<br />
Lower prices give the joint venture<br />
between Nissan and trading house<br />
Sumitomo a wider opportunity to secure<br />
supplies, he said.<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 36
Fitch cites<br />
Türkiye’s policy<br />
shift as driver<br />
behind outlook<br />
upgrade<br />
Fitch Ratings cited a return to more<br />
conventional economic policymaking since<br />
the May election as the primary driver<br />
behind its decision to upgrade Türkiye’s<br />
credit rating outlook.<br />
The credit rating agency revised the<br />
outlook on the nation’s long-term foreigncurrency<br />
issuer default rating to “stable”<br />
from “negative.” It affirmed its debt grade<br />
at “B,” five notches below investment<br />
grade.<br />
In its assessment released, the agency said<br />
the revision reflected the return to a more<br />
conventional and consistent policy mix that<br />
reduces near-term macro-financial stability<br />
risks and eases balance of payments<br />
pressures, according to Erich Arispe<br />
Morales, a senior director in Fitch Ratings’<br />
sovereigns group.<br />
In an interview with Anadolu Agency (AA),<br />
Morales shared insights into Türkiye’s<br />
economic outlook, highlighting several key<br />
factors that have led to a more positive<br />
assessment.<br />
He also discussed the country’s growth<br />
prospects and weighed in on the possibility<br />
of an upgrade to “investment grade.”<br />
Morales explained that the country has<br />
moved away from targeted financial<br />
regulations that were perceived as<br />
“interventionist and unpredictable.”<br />
“This refers to reducing the monetary<br />
policy rate as the main mechanism to<br />
signal the central bank’s policy direction.<br />
We have also seen that policy is more<br />
consistent than before and we have a<br />
very mixed policy focused on growth and<br />
employment,” he said.<br />
This shift toward more consistent and<br />
growth-focused policies despite previous<br />
macroeconomic imbalances has helped<br />
stabilize the country’s economic outlook,<br />
he added.<br />
“We can point out also that we have<br />
seen some reduction in uncertainty after<br />
the elections, given now that the policy<br />
direction is clear,” he said.<br />
The change of policy direction since the<br />
May election, though, has seen President<br />
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan bring in two former<br />
Wall Street bankers to run the economy.<br />
Treasury and Finance Minister Mehmet<br />
Şimşek and Central Bank of the Republic<br />
of Türkiye (CBRT) Governor Hafize Gaye<br />
Erkan have shifted away from ultra-loose<br />
monetary policy and have dramatically<br />
raised interest rates in a bid to tackle the<br />
country’s long-term inflation problem.<br />
Under Erkan, the central bank has roughly<br />
tripled its benchmark policy rate to 25%<br />
and pledged that monetary tightening will<br />
gradually be strengthened as needed.<br />
Regarding Türkiye’s economic growth,<br />
Morales acknowledged that the second<br />
quarter of the year saw greater policy<br />
stimulus due to the general elections.<br />
Looking ahead, Fitch Ratings predicts a<br />
growth rate of around 4.3% for this year.<br />
He said, however, that if policy consistency<br />
and tighter fiscal measures continue,<br />
growth could slow to 3% next year before<br />
recovering to approximately 3.4% in 2025.<br />
While acknowledging that credit pressures<br />
have eased due to recent policy shifts,<br />
Morales emphasized that macroeconomic<br />
and external financial challenges persist.<br />
Türkiye currently faces inflation of 59% as<br />
well as challenges related to an exploitative<br />
foreign exchange-protected Turkish lira<br />
deposit scheme, he said.<br />
Morales pointed out that achieving<br />
“investment grade” status for a country is<br />
a long-term effort and requires sustained<br />
policy improvements over time.<br />
This effort not only boosts economic<br />
resilience but also enhances predictability<br />
for investors and benefits economic actors<br />
in Türkiye, he added.<br />
Morales also commented on recent<br />
announcements, including funding from<br />
Gulf countries and the World Bank’s<br />
decision to double investments in Türkiye.<br />
He highlighted the importance of access<br />
to financing, especially concerning the<br />
country’s current account deficit.<br />
The three-year commitment of bilateral<br />
and official financing represents a positive<br />
development for Türkiye, providing a stable<br />
source of funding for external accounts, he<br />
underlined.<br />
In terms of opportunities, Morales noted<br />
that Türkiye currently enjoys a degree of<br />
credibility among investors due to recent<br />
policy adjustments.<br />
Despite past reversals, the government’s<br />
efforts to address macroeconomic<br />
imbalances and provide stability have<br />
garnered investor confidence, he<br />
underscored.<br />
However, geopolitical risks, exposure to<br />
trade shocks, and global economic patterns<br />
remain concerns for the nation.<br />
The key near-term risk, according to<br />
Morales, is policy predictability, especially<br />
with local elections on the horizon in<br />
March 2024, where additional stimulus<br />
measures could be deployed.<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 38
Togg dominates as electric vehicle sales boom in Türkiye<br />
Sales of electric cars in Türkiye have been<br />
booming this year, capturing a market<br />
share unseen to date, dominated by the<br />
first homegrown battery-powered vehicle<br />
brand that has been adding momentum to<br />
its deliveries.<br />
Nearly 22,900 electric vehicles (EVs) have<br />
been sold from January through August<br />
of this year, according to the <strong>Automotive</strong><br />
Distributors and Mobility Association<br />
(ODMD) data.<br />
This translates into over 597% increase<br />
compared to 3,283 electric cars that were<br />
sold in the same period a year ago.<br />
Their gasoline-electric hybrid rival also<br />
maintained a robust pace and saw sales<br />
jump 65.7% in the first eight months to<br />
60,489 units. Despite having launched<br />
its deliveries just four months ago, Togg,<br />
Türkiye’s first domestically produced<br />
electric vehicle, has managed to swiftly<br />
become the bestselling brand with a top<br />
model in the electric car segment.<br />
The brand said it delivered 3,400 of its<br />
T10X as of the end of August. Of this, 1,965<br />
were delivered. Mass production of the<br />
fully electric C-segment SUV was launched<br />
last October, and deliveries started in late<br />
April. The carmaker had said it planned<br />
to deliver about 20,000 units by the end<br />
of <strong>2023</strong>. Overall, passenger cars and light<br />
commercial vehicle sales in Türkiye from<br />
January through August reached 755,282<br />
units, an increase of 64.7% versus the same<br />
period a year ago.<br />
Passenger cars surged by 64.3%, totaling<br />
582,419 units, while light commercial<br />
vehicle sales witnessed a 66.4% growth,<br />
reaching 172,863 units.<br />
Demand has been notably high as<br />
depreciation in the Turkish lira and soaring<br />
prices prompted consumers to continue to<br />
opt for cars they see as a tool to safeguard<br />
themselves from high inflation.<br />
Annual inflation surged to 58.94% over the<br />
12 months ending in August. It had reached<br />
a 24-year high of 85.5% last October and<br />
stood at 47.83% this July after regressing to<br />
as low as 38.21% in June. Battery-powered<br />
and hybrid vehicles saw their market<br />
shares reach 3.9% and 10.4%, up from just<br />
0.9% and 10.3% in the first eight months<br />
of last year, respectively. Cars powered<br />
by gasoline held a 61.6% share in the<br />
overall sales in the January-August period,<br />
down from 70% a year ago, while that of<br />
diesel vehicles fell to 15.7%, from 17%.<br />
Togg’s T10X now holds an 18.2% share in<br />
the overall EV market, a 33% in electric<br />
SUV and a 55.3% in C-SUV segments. It<br />
accounted for 3% of all passenger car sales<br />
in August. The company has become the<br />
leading brand and model in the Turkish<br />
electric vehicle market, overshadowing<br />
international competitors like Tesla, which<br />
opts not to disclose country-based sales<br />
figures. In addition to Tesla, many other<br />
brands have launched sales of models they<br />
had earlier announced. Many Chinese<br />
companies have also ramped up deliveries<br />
to the country. The T10X is initially being<br />
sold with one engine type and two battery<br />
options. It will feature battery packs with<br />
52.4 and 88.5 kilowatt-hour capacities,<br />
boasting ranges of 314 and 523 kilometers<br />
(195 and 325 miles).<br />
The batteries of the T10X can be recharged<br />
to up to 80% from 20% in less than 28<br />
minutes at fast-charging stations.<br />
A consortium of five Turkish companies<br />
called the Automobile Initiative Group<br />
of Türkiye, or Togg, is manufacturing the<br />
vehicle in cooperation with the Union of<br />
Chambers and Commodity Exchanges of<br />
Türkiye (TOBB). Besides the SUV, Togg will<br />
manufacture four other models – a sedan,<br />
C-hatchback, B-SUV and B-MPV – by 2030.<br />
The sedan will follow the mass production<br />
of the SUV. The current production capacity<br />
of around 100,000 vehicles per year will<br />
reach 175,000 once Togg’s factory reaches<br />
total capacity. President Recep Tayyip<br />
Erdoğan has said some 28,000 units would<br />
be produced this year. The brand aims<br />
to manufacture 1 million vehicles across<br />
the five segments by 2030. Togg plans to<br />
begin exports as of 2025, while the initial<br />
production will be tailored for the domestic<br />
market.<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 40
Türkiye seeking to lure more foreign carmakers<br />
Talks are ongoing with carmakers from<br />
Europe and Asia, including China, to<br />
lure more investments into Türkiye’s<br />
automotive sector, Industry and Technology<br />
Minister Fatih Kacır has said.<br />
“We are hoping that at least one of them<br />
will announce an investment decision by<br />
the end of the year,” he said.<br />
Those companies may produce electric and<br />
hybrid vehicles in Türkiye, and the western<br />
province of Manisa appears to be the likely<br />
candidate for possible plant investment,<br />
Kacır said.<br />
“Volkswagen made a mistake. It missed<br />
an opportunity in Manisa. I hope they<br />
reconsider their decision. The site for a<br />
plant is ready in Manisa for those that want<br />
to make an investment,” he added.<br />
The German carmaker had abandoned its<br />
plan to build a factory in Manisa with a<br />
more than $1 billion investment.<br />
“We are holding talks with almost all<br />
carmakers from Europe and the Far East,<br />
including China. We, particularly, focus on<br />
luring investments for new generation,<br />
electric and hybrid vehicle production.<br />
Talks are ongoing with companies, which<br />
currently do not have investments in<br />
Türkiye,” he told a group of reporters.<br />
Kacır also said one of the global carmakers,<br />
which already operates in Türkiye, may<br />
announce new investments. He, however,<br />
did not name the company or provide<br />
other details. The minister recalled that<br />
the government provided a substantial<br />
incentive for Ford’s electric vehicle<br />
production initiative.<br />
“Also, Toyota will begin manufacturing a<br />
new hybrid model vehicle in Türkiye. There<br />
is strong demand from companies for<br />
electric vehicle investments in the country,”<br />
he said, noting that the government<br />
will continue to provide support for EV<br />
production. Türkiye is one of the largest<br />
automotive manufacturers in Europe. Last<br />
year, 1.35 million vehicles were produced<br />
in the country, pointing to a 6 percent<br />
increase compared with 2021.<br />
Passenger car production grew 3.6 percent<br />
in 2022 from the previous year to nearly<br />
811,000, according to data from the<br />
<strong>Automotive</strong> Manufacturers’ Association<br />
(OSD). In the first five months of <strong>2023</strong>,<br />
automotive production leaped 20 percent<br />
to 616,000, with passenger car output<br />
rising more than 30 percent year-on-year<br />
to 386,000. The <strong>Automotive</strong> Distributors<br />
and Mobility Association (ODMD) reported<br />
earlier that 556,000 passenger cars and<br />
light commercial vehicles were sold in<br />
January-June, up 56 percent from the same<br />
period last year. Passenger car sales grew<br />
55 percent to 430,400.<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 42
Business circles<br />
welcome new<br />
medium-term<br />
program<br />
Türkiye’s leading business associations have<br />
welcomed the government’s new mediumterm<br />
program, as they expect the economic<br />
roadmap to increase predictability.<br />
The new medium-term program,<br />
which covers 2024-2026, outlines a<br />
comprehensive strategy aimed at reducing<br />
inflation, fostering growth and addressing<br />
various key challenges.<br />
President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan unveiled<br />
the program on Sept. 6. Among the<br />
program’s goals, Erdoğan highlighted the<br />
aspiration for Türkiye to join the ranks of<br />
high-income countries, projecting a GDP<br />
size exceeding $1.3 trillion and a per capita<br />
national income of $14,855 in 2026.<br />
Business associations agree that the<br />
program will increase stability and<br />
predictability and improve investment<br />
environment. They also hail the program’s<br />
special focus on green transformation and<br />
digitalization.<br />
“We highly value the medium-term<br />
program as it will reduce uncertainties.<br />
We expect the program to give a boost<br />
to economic activity and predictability,”<br />
said Rifat Hisarcıklıoğlu, the president of<br />
the Union of Chambers and Commodity<br />
Exchanges of Turkey (TOBB).<br />
It is also very important that the program<br />
focuses on improving business climate as<br />
well as green and digital transformation,<br />
he added, noting they expect reforms to be<br />
implemented within the time frame.<br />
According to the program, the government<br />
plans reforms in seven key areas, including<br />
green and digital transformation, growth<br />
and trade, price stability, public finances,<br />
investment environment, employment and<br />
human capital and disaster management.<br />
Export and employment targets set out<br />
in the program are realistic, said Mustafa<br />
Gültepe, the president of the Turkish<br />
Exporters’ Assembly (TİM).<br />
“The emphasis on price stability is very<br />
important to exporters. We had problems<br />
in production and sales in the past periods<br />
due to high inflation,” he said while praising<br />
the program for including the goal of green<br />
and digital transition.<br />
The program will serve as an important<br />
anchor to manage market expectations,<br />
according to Şekib Avdagiç, the president of<br />
the Istanbul Chamber of Commerce (İTO).<br />
Avdagiç, who agreed that the targets<br />
in the program are realistic, also noted<br />
the program’s balanced approach<br />
toward maintaining fiscal discipline and<br />
considering the real sector’s concerns.<br />
He also welcomed the structural<br />
reforms aimed at achieving sustainable<br />
development.<br />
Gürsel Baran, the chair of the Ankara<br />
Chamber of Commerce (ATO), emphasized<br />
the need for combatting inflation,<br />
describing it as Türkiye’s most pressing<br />
issue.<br />
“This program, which aims to lower<br />
inflation to single digits while prioritizing<br />
investments, production and exports, gives<br />
reasons to us to be hopeful about the<br />
future,” Baran said.<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 44
BUGATTI: <strong>Automotive</strong> Artistry to Admire<br />
From the day it was formed in 1909, Bugatti<br />
has embodied exquisite design, with<br />
founder Ettore Bugatti hailing from a family<br />
of acclaimed artists. Ettore’s grandfather,<br />
Giovanni, was a celebrated architect;<br />
his father, Carlo, was an internationally<br />
renowned furniture and jewelry designer;<br />
and his brother Rembrandt was an admired<br />
sculptor. These artistic influences define<br />
the Bugatti brand. As such, Bugatti takes<br />
center stage not just in the automotive<br />
sphere but across the cultural spectrum,<br />
enlightening museums, institutions and<br />
exhibitions all over the world.<br />
To this day, the brand’s commitment to<br />
excellence extends beyond power output<br />
and speed. Because of such a deep and<br />
rich heritage, each Bugatti must be a<br />
masterpiece in its own right.<br />
It is the incomparable timeless design<br />
and daring engineering expertise that<br />
epitomizes the brand, placing Bugatti cars<br />
as revered and cherished artifacts in the<br />
eyes of many.<br />
An homage to vehicle design from<br />
“MR. BUGATTI” in America<br />
In the coastal city of Oxnard, California,<br />
is the Mullin <strong>Automotive</strong> Museum – a<br />
captivating tribute to the artistry and<br />
innovation of French automotive design,<br />
founded by businessman and car<br />
enthusiast Peter W. Mullin. The collection<br />
features, among others, iconic models from<br />
Bugatti’s past, and beyond the remarkable<br />
cars on display, the museum’s architecture<br />
itself is a work of art, blending seamlessly<br />
with the automotive masterpieces within.<br />
Displaying the remarkable talent of<br />
the entire Bugatti family, the Mullin<br />
<strong>Automotive</strong> Museum houses more than<br />
75 pieces of furniture by Carlo Bugatti,<br />
numerous sculptures by Rembrandt, and<br />
the largest private collection of Ettore and<br />
Jean Bugatti automobiles in the world. For<br />
a long time, the highlight of the exhibit was<br />
the Jean Bugatti-designed 1936 Type 57SC<br />
Atlantic.<br />
Peter Mullin wasn’t just a fan of Bugatti, he<br />
was a close friend of the brand. A man with<br />
the ambition to make Bugatti respected<br />
and formidable as it had been in its peak<br />
years of the 20th century, Peter regularly<br />
centered his exhibitions around his Bugatti<br />
masterpieces. Peter’s recent passing was<br />
felt greatly by the entire Bugatti family, but<br />
in the iconic Mullin <strong>Automotive</strong> Museum<br />
his legacy lives on forever.<br />
Robert Petersen’s celebration of<br />
automotive art<br />
The Petersen <strong>Automotive</strong> Museum, nestled<br />
along the Miracle Mile in Los Angeles,<br />
stands asa testament to architectural<br />
innovation and automotive passion.<br />
Inspired by the form of acar, the building<br />
of the Petersen <strong>Automotive</strong> Museum’s<br />
stainless-steel ‘body’ wraps around the<br />
‘chassis’ of the existing museum. It is<br />
architectural artwork that represents<br />
aspects of automotive history as important<br />
as the vehicles displayed inside. Yet, the<br />
principal piece of art sits behind the bold<br />
steel structure: the 1939 Bugatti Type 57C<br />
‘Shah’.<br />
A true one-of-one tour-de-force, the ‘Shah’<br />
wraps a supercharged 3.3-liter twin-cam<br />
straight-eight engine in a dramatic body<br />
from Vanvooren of Paris designed in the<br />
style of Figoni et Falaschi, one of the most<br />
progressive coachbuilders of the day. Sold<br />
out of the Shah’s Imperial Garage for a<br />
sum equivalent to $275 in 1959, the ‘Shah’<br />
tragically remained hidden from public gaze<br />
until full restoration in 1983.<br />
The ‘Shah’ does not stand alone as the<br />
only Bugatti gem within the Petersen<br />
<strong>Automotive</strong> Museum, however. Visitors can<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 46
also admire the Bugatti Type 57 Atalante<br />
and an EB 110 GT, two exquisitely designed<br />
pieces of automotive heritage.<br />
An incomparable collection from the<br />
Schlumpf Brothers<br />
Situated in Mulhouse, within the famed<br />
Alsace region of France, home to Bugatti,<br />
the Musée National de l’Automobile brings<br />
together more than 600 revolutionary<br />
and emblematic automotive creations,<br />
including more than 100 of Bugatti’s most<br />
acclaimed models – each one painstakingly<br />
acquired by the Schlumpf brothers over a<br />
period of three decades.<br />
From the Bugatti Type 28 to the Bugatti<br />
Royale conceived in 1930, each car is<br />
hand-picked for its historic significance<br />
and breathtaking proportions. The jewel<br />
in the crown, however, is the modern-day<br />
icon that is the Bugatti Veyron. Placed on<br />
a rotating base, the Musée National de<br />
l’Automobile offers an exceptional stage for<br />
an extraordinary piece of design.<br />
Two generations of automotive<br />
legacy in the hague<br />
Housed within the imposing architectural<br />
structure created by renowned American<br />
architect Michael Graves, the Louwman<br />
Museum in The Hague, Netherlands, is a<br />
historical treasure trove that showcases the<br />
world’s most revered automotive designs<br />
and artwork. It is the result of more than<br />
80 years of automotive dedication by two<br />
generations of the Louwman family, with<br />
over 275 classic and historical models<br />
in the collection covering 16,000 m2 of<br />
floorspace.<br />
Bugatti’s presence in the Louwman<br />
Museum, from the 1913 Type 18 ‘Black<br />
Bess’ to the 1934 Type 57 Roadster<br />
Grand Raid Gangloff, pays homage to the<br />
designs that not only shaped automotive<br />
history but also the designs that represent<br />
the relentless pursuit of automotive<br />
perfection. Exhibiting six of Bugatti’s most<br />
memorable cars, the Louwman Museum<br />
truly underscores a remarkable legacy of<br />
incomparable aesthetics and innovation for<br />
Bugatti.<br />
Over 150 years of design history at<br />
the Nationales Automuseum<br />
Opened in July <strong>2023</strong>, and already revered<br />
as one of the most comprehensive<br />
and prestigious composition of works<br />
in Europe, the Stiftung Nationales<br />
Automuseum – The Loh Collection in<br />
Dietzhölztal, Germany, features around<br />
150 unique automobiles from 135 years of<br />
automotive history. Holding prominence<br />
amongst this field of automotive legends at<br />
the Stiftung Nationales Automuseum is the<br />
Bugatti Veyron Super Sport. The illustrious<br />
8.0-litre quad-turbocharged W16 engine<br />
is the embodiment of form and function<br />
going hand-in-hand – an ethos that is the<br />
lifeblood of Bugatti.<br />
It is this lifeblood that has run through<br />
Bugatti’s history, and the Loh Collection is<br />
also home to some of the most remarkable<br />
models at the very heart of this history,<br />
including the captivating Type 57C Aravis<br />
and Type 57C Atalante.<br />
An exceptional insight into the history of<br />
Bugatti<br />
Founded by a small fraternity of Bugatti<br />
enthusiasts back in October 1987, the<br />
Bugatti Trust encourages and facilitates<br />
research into the work of Ettore Bugatti<br />
and the Bugatti family.<br />
The organization was originally led by<br />
the late H G Conway, who was widely<br />
acknowledged as a leading Bugatti<br />
authority in the UK and globally. The<br />
Trust was conceived as a repository for<br />
Hugh’s extensive historical collection of<br />
photographs, correspondence, documents<br />
and Bugatti factory drawings.<br />
Located near the historic town of<br />
Cheltenham, UK, next to the historic<br />
Prescott Hillclimb, the Bugatti Trust is also<br />
home to some iconic Bugatti models. The<br />
Trust is open to the public and additionally<br />
runs an educational outreach program for<br />
schools and universities making use of its<br />
ever-expanding archive as well as physical<br />
museum artefacts.<br />
Last year the organization dedicated its<br />
main exhibition to Jean Bugatti, celebrating<br />
his life and pioneering influence on the<br />
Bugatti Type 57.<br />
<strong>November</strong><br />
47 <strong>2023</strong>
Driverless taxis gain ground in San Francisco<br />
California authorities have taken a major<br />
step forward in expanding driverless taxi<br />
services in San Francisco, giving the green<br />
light for operators Waymo and Cruise to<br />
compete with ride-share services and cabs.<br />
The California Public Utilities Commission<br />
(CPUC) heard six hours of public comment<br />
before voting three-to-one to let Waymo,<br />
a unit of Google-parent Alphabet, and<br />
General Motors-owned Cruise essentially<br />
run 24-hour robotaxi services in San<br />
Francisco.<br />
Waymo cars were cleared to travel at<br />
speeds as fast as 65 miles per hour (105<br />
kilometers per hour) without human<br />
drivers at the wheel, even in some<br />
inclement weather.<br />
It also won permission to offer driverless<br />
car rides to paying passengers in its home<br />
city of Mountain View, in Silicon Valley.<br />
Cruise was approved to run fared<br />
passenger service in San Francisco at no<br />
faster than 35 miles per hour and not<br />
through dense fog or heavy smoke.<br />
Previously, Cruise could charge customers<br />
only during certain hours of the day.<br />
Waymo had not been allowed to charge for<br />
rides without a human driver on board.<br />
Driverless cars were first introduced in San<br />
Francisco in 2014 with a mandatory human<br />
“safety driver” on board.<br />
Four years later, California scrapped its<br />
requirement for a human driver to be in<br />
the car.<br />
The CPUC session drew commenters from<br />
all sides of the issue, with some calling<br />
robotaxis unsafe menaces while others<br />
lauded them as solutions to everything<br />
from climate change to road rage.<br />
Driverless cars have gotten stuck in the<br />
middle of roads, blocked bus lanes or<br />
even interfered in police or firefighter<br />
operations.<br />
But others at the hearing praised the<br />
vehicles for giving independence to people<br />
with disabilities, making roads safer and<br />
helping eliminate discrimination.<br />
Others opposed cars of any kind, saying<br />
the future lies in clean, convenient and<br />
affordable public transit.<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 48
BMW to invest $750M in UK Mini plants<br />
to fuel electric car output<br />
German auto giant BMW announced it will<br />
invest 600 million pounds ($750 million)<br />
at its U.K. plants to take its iconic Mini<br />
brand all-electric by 2030, a fresh boost<br />
for Britain’s car industry following years of<br />
Brexit-related uncertainty.<br />
From 2026, BMW will make two electric<br />
models at its Mini plant in Oxford – the<br />
Mini Cooper 3-door and the compact<br />
crossover Mini Aceman. The plant will<br />
make only electric models as of 2030. The<br />
same two models will also be made in<br />
China and exports of those cars will begin<br />
in 2024.<br />
British business minister Kemi Badenoch<br />
will visit the plant in Oxford for the<br />
announcement of the investment, which<br />
the government said boosted total<br />
investment in the automotive sector in<br />
recent years to over 6 billion pounds.<br />
“BMW’s investment is another shining<br />
example of how the United Kingdom is<br />
the best place to build cars of the future,”<br />
British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak said<br />
in a statement.The carmaker said the<br />
U.K. government had provided support<br />
for the investment but did not provide<br />
details.<br />
BMW will also invest in its U.K. plant<br />
in Swindon which makes parts for Mini<br />
models. The company did not say what<br />
would happen to its engine plant in<br />
Hams Hall. The small, fast and affordable<br />
original Mini went on sale in 1959 and has<br />
remained popular under BMW since it<br />
revived the brand in 2001, but its future in<br />
Britain has been uncertain for years.<br />
Still, the industry remains on edge with<br />
both Britain and Europe’s carmakers calling<br />
for a delay in the implementation of post-<br />
Brexit “rules of origin”, under which 45%<br />
of the value of an EV being sold in the<br />
European Union must come from Britain or<br />
the EU from 2024 to avoid tariffs.<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 50
Türkiye ‘back in the game’ with lira carry trade<br />
A top Wall Street bank has said it expects<br />
real interest rates to turn positive by the<br />
end of the year and predicts a potential<br />
revival of Turkish lira carry trade as<br />
Ankara continues its overhaul in economic<br />
policymaking.<br />
Analysts at Goldman Sachs said Türkiye’s<br />
accelerated path toward rate normalization<br />
continued, as the country’s central bank<br />
delivered another sizable interest rate hike<br />
to rein in stubborn inflation.<br />
The policy shift from a yearslong easing<br />
cycle after President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s<br />
reelection in May has seen the country’s<br />
central bank triple its benchmark one-week<br />
repo rate to 30%.<br />
The bank has vowed readiness to raise rates<br />
further if needed to curb inflation, which<br />
shot back to nearly 60% in August.<br />
Erdoğan has publicly expressed his backing<br />
for the aggressive monetary tightening<br />
that seeks to cool inflation, rebuild foreign<br />
currency reserves and curb the chronic<br />
current account deficit.<br />
In a report titled “Türkiye is back in the<br />
game,” Goldman Sachs said real rates in<br />
Türkiye, still deeply negative despite the<br />
rate hikes, were on track to turn positive<br />
by year-end. Adjusted for the future<br />
inflationary outlook, real rates currently<br />
stand minus 29%.<br />
The report highlighted a shift in Türkiye’s<br />
economic approach and said the recent<br />
increase in policy rates suggests that<br />
deposit rates are likely to increase further,<br />
noting “support of a positive real rate<br />
strategy,” in sharp contrast to previous<br />
years, although implementation risks<br />
remain.<br />
The report emphasizes the renewed<br />
determination of the economic<br />
administration to provide positive real<br />
interest rates, saying it may now be<br />
possible to “beat the FX depreciation<br />
reflected in forward pricing” and that carry<br />
trade in the lira could be “back in the fray.”<br />
Goldman Sachs says a policy interest rate<br />
of 40% or above by the end of the year<br />
would bring Türkiye’s real rates into positive<br />
territory, given that it would surpass the<br />
inflation forecast for the next 12 months.<br />
Such a trend would reignite interest among<br />
foreign investors, including carry trade<br />
enthusiasts. Carry trade is a strategy where<br />
investors borrow money in countries with<br />
low-interest rates to invest in a currency<br />
with higher returns. The lira has weakened<br />
more than 30% against the United States<br />
dollar this year. Analysts at Goldman Sachs<br />
forecast that the currency would trade<br />
at 28 and 29 against the dollar in three<br />
and six months, respectively, stronger<br />
than the levels in the forward markets, at<br />
approximately 30 and 33<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 52
EBRD ups Türkiye growth outlook,<br />
sees inflow of foreign capital<br />
The European Bank for Reconstruction and<br />
Development (EBRD) raised its outlook<br />
for growth in Türkiye, marking the latest<br />
upward revision prompted by the fiscal<br />
stimulus in the run-up to the May elections<br />
and the post-vote shift in the economic<br />
policymaking. Growth for Türkiye, the<br />
single biggest recipient of EBRD funds,<br />
has been revised up to 3.5% from 2.5%<br />
for <strong>2023</strong>, the lender’s latest bi-annual<br />
growth forecast showed. This will help to<br />
partially offset weaker growth prospects in<br />
emerging Europe and the Mediterranean<br />
region, according to the bank.The EBRD<br />
still highlighted the challenging external<br />
balances and maintained its view for the<br />
next year when it expects the Turkish<br />
economy to grow by 3%. Overall, the EBRD<br />
region, which covers some 40 economies,<br />
is expected to expand by an average of<br />
2.4% this year before picking up speed to<br />
register output growth of 3.2% in 2024 as<br />
inflation eases further.<br />
Multiple global institutions, including the<br />
Organisation for Economic Co-operation<br />
and Development (OECD) as well as rating<br />
agencies Fitch and Moody’s, upgraded their<br />
<strong>2023</strong> forecast for Türkiye’s gross domestic<br />
product (GDP) growth.<br />
The revisals followed data showing the<br />
economy expanded by a more-thanexpected<br />
3.8% in the second quarter,<br />
following the revised growth of 3.9% in the<br />
first three months.<br />
Yet, activity is expected to slow through<br />
year-end as election-related stimulus fades<br />
and big rate hikes weigh.<br />
After winning reelection in May, President<br />
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan reshuffled his<br />
Cabinet and named an economy team of<br />
respected technocrats to lead a turn from<br />
a years-long easing cycle to aggressive<br />
monetary tightening to tackle the stubborn<br />
inflation.<br />
Mehmet Şimşek was appointed as treasury<br />
and finance minister, and Hafize Gaye Erkan<br />
took the helm of the country’s central<br />
bank.<br />
Since June, the central bank has tripled its<br />
benchmark one-week repo rate to 30%,<br />
including two sizable hikes in August and<br />
September. It says it is ready to raise rates<br />
further than needed to rein in inflation,<br />
which shot back to nearly 60% in August.<br />
The EBRD highlighted foreign financing<br />
imbalances, stressing the short-term<br />
external debt exceeding $200 billion and<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 54
the current account deficit at nearly $60<br />
billion.<br />
The lender also pointed out that foreign<br />
exchange reserves are increasing but<br />
continue to remain at a modest level.<br />
The central bank’s net international<br />
reserves have recovered strongly since<br />
June, increasing $30 billion in around four<br />
months.<br />
EBRD economists say Türkiye has shown<br />
a relatively strong growth performance<br />
in recent years, but there has been a<br />
slowdown.<br />
The report stated that GDP growth<br />
decreased from 5.6% to 3.9% in the first<br />
half of <strong>2023</strong> compared to the same period<br />
of 2022. It also highlighted the upward<br />
course in inflation, which is expected to rise<br />
to 60% by the end of <strong>2023</strong>.<br />
The new measures have encouraged an<br />
inflow of foreign capital, according to Rafik<br />
Selim, a regional chief economist at the<br />
EBRD, in what he says signals a return of<br />
foreign investors and helping rebuild the<br />
country’s reserves.<br />
Selim said the shift toward orthodox<br />
economic policies needs to be sustained,<br />
noting that the steps since the May<br />
elections have been received with cautious<br />
optimism by markets.<br />
“We are witnessing a decline in Türkiye’s<br />
credit risk premium (CDS) from its historic<br />
peak in May <strong>2023</strong>. We are also seeing<br />
an improvement in investor confidence.<br />
Foreigners’ holdings of Turkish equities and<br />
bonds have picked up strongly,” he told<br />
Anadolu Agency (AA).<br />
A measure of protection against potential<br />
EBRD Regional Chief Economist<br />
credit events, such as default, the CDS<br />
score, which stood at as high as 700 points<br />
before the May election, fell below 400<br />
basis points following the policy pivot and<br />
unveiling of the country’s new three-year<br />
medium-term economic program.<br />
“The new measures, such as consecutive<br />
hikes in policy interest rates, increases<br />
in the value-added and other taxes, and<br />
cutting back on interventions to defend the<br />
lira are expected to also lead to lowering<br />
the current account deficit, which has<br />
widened significantly, and rebuilding<br />
foreign exchange reserves,” Selim said.<br />
“The Medium-Term Program that was<br />
released in September has also been<br />
received positively by investors, signaling<br />
the authorities’ commitment to price<br />
stability, efficient distribution of resources<br />
and the sustainability of growth.”<br />
Selim said tighter fiscal and monetary<br />
policies will lead to a slowdown in growth<br />
in the second half of <strong>2023</strong>.<br />
“Leading indicators suggest that consumers<br />
and businesses are becoming more<br />
pessimistic and spending less. The fiscal<br />
deficit is also expected to remain larger<br />
than in recent years,” he added.<br />
Allowing the Turkish lira to depreciate led<br />
to a monthly current account surplus in<br />
July, the first since October 2021, and also<br />
because of solid tourism income, he said.<br />
“The depreciated lira will also help increase<br />
the competitiveness of Turkish exports,”<br />
Selim said.<br />
“Foreign capital is flowing, signaling a<br />
return of foreign investors, and helping<br />
in the rebuilding of reserves,” he said,<br />
adding that Türkiye was also able to secure<br />
investments from Gulf countries to the<br />
tune of $50 billion in different sectors, such<br />
as space and defense, energy and natural<br />
resources. Şimşek said the country had<br />
secured $10.4 billion in external financing<br />
since June. Out of this, the banking sector<br />
secured over $6.7 billion, the real sector<br />
attracted $3.26 billion and the non-banking<br />
financial sector accounted for $367 million.<br />
Selim stressed the importance of sustaining<br />
the shift toward orthodox economic<br />
policies, terming it crucial to attract<br />
investors and sustain their confidence, as<br />
well as ensuring more sustainable growth.<br />
“There is also a need to strengthen the<br />
monetary transmission mechanism to<br />
continue with the revisions in macro<br />
prudential policies and to gradually phase<br />
out schemes introduced to support the<br />
lira,” he said.<br />
“At the same time, the structural<br />
reform agenda must be reinvigorated to<br />
improve the business environment and<br />
the investment climate. This includes<br />
addressing systemic issues affecting<br />
Türkiye’s long-term growth potential.”<br />
<strong>November</strong><br />
55 <strong>2023</strong>
World Bank has confidence in economic team’s policies<br />
The World Bank has confidence in the<br />
policies of Türkiye’s new economic team,<br />
says Humberto Lopez, the bank’s country<br />
director, adding that the economic outlook<br />
for the Turkish economy will improve in<br />
mid-2024.<br />
Earlier in September, the global lender<br />
decided to more than double its funding<br />
for Türkiye to $35 billion over the next<br />
three years.<br />
“With those funds, both public and private<br />
sector will be supported,” Lopez told daily<br />
Hürriyet. They particularly aim to facilitate<br />
exporters’ access to loans, he added.<br />
One of the reasons for the World Bank’s<br />
decision to provide additional funding<br />
to Türkiye is the confidence in the new<br />
economic team’s policies, according to<br />
Lopez. Several factors played a role in the<br />
bank’s decision to boost its exposure to<br />
Türkiye, he noted.<br />
“The current road map for the economy<br />
and the macroeconomic adjustments<br />
that are being undertaken by Finance<br />
Minister Mehmet Şimşek and Central<br />
Bank Governor [Hafize Gaye] Erkan are<br />
increasing our confidence,” Lopez said.<br />
The Turkish economy will take a sigh of<br />
relief in mid-2024, and the economy will<br />
emerge stronger, Lopez said.<br />
“We forecast a growth rate above 3<br />
percent. We are very optimistic about it<br />
and do not expect economic activity to<br />
deteriorate.”<br />
In June, in its Global Economic Prospects<br />
report, the World Bank revised its GDP<br />
growth estimate for the Turkish economy<br />
for <strong>2023</strong> upwards from a previous 2.7<br />
percent to 3.2 percent. The bank’s growth<br />
forecasts for 2024 and 2025 are 4.3 percent<br />
and 4.1 percent, respectively.<br />
“There will be light at the end of the tunnel<br />
in the mid-2024. I am very optimistic about<br />
the outlook. I believe Türkiye will emerge<br />
from this difficult situation stronger.”<br />
“I am saying this because of two reasons:<br />
The Turkish private sector and people are<br />
resilient. They have the experience from<br />
the past crises, and they can adapt. Also,<br />
we see improvements in the data regarding<br />
the economy.”<br />
He recalled that two credit rating agencies<br />
have upgraded Türkiye’s outlook to stable<br />
from negative. “This is an important<br />
indicator.”<br />
Lopez, however, said that lowering inflation<br />
will take time.<br />
While commenting on the additional funds,<br />
Lopez stated, “We assessed the current<br />
situation and the needs and agreed that a<br />
new package worth $18 billion would be<br />
appropriate.”<br />
Some $6 billion will be allocated to the<br />
public sector and $9 billion to the World<br />
Bank’s International Finance Corporation<br />
(IFC), Lopez said.<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 58
EU seeks to put brakes on China without hurting ties<br />
When the EU launched an investigation<br />
into Chinese electric car subsidies, Brussels<br />
wanted the world to know that it will<br />
protect the automotive sector that is the<br />
jewel in Europe’s industrial crown, even<br />
if it upsets Beijing. European Commission<br />
President Ursula von der Leyen was<br />
resolute when she announced the probe<br />
on Sept. 13, denouncing unfair practices<br />
that undercut European competitors, but<br />
sparked an angry retort from China.<br />
Beijing warned the investigation would<br />
harm trade ties and accused the EU of<br />
“naked protectionism”, triggering fears<br />
of a trade war. The EU faces an almost<br />
impossible balancing act in its relations<br />
with China, which the bloc variously<br />
describes as a partner on global issues, an<br />
economic competitor and a systemic rival.<br />
On one hand, Brussels wants to maintain<br />
ties with Beijing to help resolve issues it<br />
believes can only be solved on a global<br />
level, such as climate change.<br />
On the other, the EU is seeking to reduce<br />
its dependence on China, heeding lessons<br />
from its past over-reliance on Russia for<br />
fossil fuels.<br />
Experts say this latest move demonstrates<br />
that the EU is willing to take action in line<br />
with its oft-repeated claim that it will “derisk”<br />
but not “decouple” from China.<br />
The driving force behind von der Leyen’s<br />
announcement was the EU’s bitter<br />
experience with China over solar panels.<br />
The car industry is significant for Europe,<br />
providing direct and indirect jobs to around<br />
14 million Europeans, some 6.1 percent of<br />
all EU employment.<br />
China’s carmakers are a growing threat,<br />
and this year it became the world’s largest<br />
exporter of cars, overtaking Japan for the<br />
first time. The share of Chinese electric<br />
car brands in Europe is surging, reaching<br />
6.1 percent between January and July this<br />
year, rising from a low base of 0.5 percent<br />
in 2019.<br />
China’s success is in large part due to<br />
its early investment in batteries and its<br />
domination of critical raw materials used<br />
in much clean tech. The EU is also rushing<br />
to pass a law to move away from relying<br />
on China for key materials such as lithium<br />
as part of a broader approach to bring<br />
more production to Europe and diversify its<br />
trading partners. Not everyone is convinced<br />
that China is guilty of unfair practices.<br />
Ferdinand Dudenhoeffer, an expert<br />
at the Center <strong>Automotive</strong> Research in<br />
Germany, accused von der Leyen of making<br />
“unfounded” claims, stressing that China’s<br />
success was due to “long-term” thinking<br />
and a “very strong” focus on developing<br />
electric cars.<br />
France pushed for a probe because “the<br />
French car industry is almost invisible in<br />
China”, Dudenhoeffer said, accusing Paris<br />
of seeking to protect its manufacturers at<br />
the expense of Germany’s carmakers, since<br />
40 percent of their sales are in China.<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 60
Togg to produce 1 mln vehicles by 2032<br />
Türkiye’s first electric carmaker Togg will<br />
produce a total of 1 million vehicles by<br />
2032, Industry and Technology Minister<br />
Fatih Kacır has said.<br />
Some 97 percent of those vehicles will<br />
be sold to consumers while the public<br />
institutions will buy the remaining 3<br />
percent, the minister told a group of<br />
journalists.<br />
“The target is to manufacture 175,000 Togg<br />
vehicles in five years. The charging stations<br />
with 1,662 outlets are now available in 81<br />
provinces of Türkiye,” he added.<br />
A total of 1,571 charging stations will be<br />
set up across the country and they will<br />
be available on all intercity highways,<br />
according to the minister. By the end of<br />
this year 20,000 Togg vehicles will be on<br />
the roads, he said. Türkiye may become an<br />
important player in autonomous cars, Kacır<br />
stressed.<br />
“We are very successful in unmanned<br />
aerial vehicles. Togg has a research center<br />
in Ankara. Some 200 highly qualified<br />
engineers, most of them have previously<br />
worked in the defense industry, are<br />
working there.” Kacır also announced a<br />
joint investment with Qatar to produce<br />
65 nanometer chips. The size of the<br />
investment will be $60 million, according<br />
to the minister. “Those chips are widely<br />
used in the automotive and white goods<br />
industries. Türkiye is a leading producer<br />
in those sectors. In while goods, it is the<br />
second largest producer in the world and<br />
the top producer in Europe.”<br />
He also said that Türkiye will contribute<br />
46 million euros to NATO’s 1 billion euro<br />
Innovation Fund.<br />
“Our target is to help Turkish tech<br />
enterprises receive resources, much larger<br />
than our contribution, from this fund.”<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 62
Turkish Airlines<br />
receives ‘World<br />
Class’ award for<br />
3rd time<br />
National flag carrier Turkish Airlines (THY) has been awarded the<br />
APEX World Class for the third time for its global leadership in guest<br />
experience and service quality in the aviation industry, according to<br />
the company’s statement.<br />
Besides Turkish Airlines, the 2024 APEX World Class airlines are<br />
Emirates, Japan Airlines, KLM Royal Dutch Airlines, Qatar Airways,<br />
SAUDIA, Singapore Airlines and Xiamen Airlines.<br />
Air carriers that win the award “truly master” guest experience by<br />
delivering outstanding customer service, as evaluated through a<br />
comprehensive audit of quality of service, safety and health control<br />
initiatives, according to APEX.<br />
Ahmet Olmuştur, Turkish Airlines’ chief marketing officer, said<br />
the award shows how well the carrier’s strategies and efforts are<br />
working.<br />
“Our ergonomic seats, personalized services, and unique offerings<br />
aimed at meeting our guests’ needs are all part of our efforts to<br />
make the flight experience exceptional,” he added.<br />
“In the world of elevated aviation experiences, Turkish Airlines<br />
soars above five-star airline status as a paragon of excellence,<br />
winning as one of the few prestigious 2024 APEX World Class<br />
airlines in the world,” said APEX CEO Joe Leader.<br />
He also praised Turkish Airlines’ on-board meals, saying: “With<br />
the touch of a Turkish Airlines flying chef, every meal becomes<br />
an unparalleled culinary journey, reminiscent of candlelit<br />
soirées under a starry Anatolian sky. Yet, it’s their authentic and<br />
extravagant Turkish hospitality, a blend of warmth and luxury, that<br />
truly encapsulates the heart of their service.”<br />
Founded in 1933, Turkish Airlines flies to 344 destinations in<br />
129 countries with a fleet of 429 aircraft.<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 64
World central banks rally behind ‘higher for longer’ credo<br />
Central banks of the world’s biggest<br />
economies have served notice that they<br />
will keep interest rates as high as needed<br />
to tame inflation, even as two years of<br />
unprecedented global policy tightening<br />
reaches a peak. The so-called “higher for<br />
longer” mantra is now the official stance of<br />
the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed), European<br />
Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England<br />
(BoE), as well as being echoed by monetary<br />
policy-makers from Oslo to Taipei.<br />
For central bankers first chastised for being<br />
late to spot the post-pandemic surge in<br />
inflation and then cautioned for overdoing<br />
their response, the prize of returning the<br />
global economy to stable prices without a<br />
recession is now within sight.<br />
Their task is to convince financial markets<br />
not to undo their work with bets on early<br />
rate cuts, and to watch for new risks<br />
such as rising oil prices – while hoping<br />
governments help with budgets that do not<br />
further fuel inflation.<br />
“We will need to keep interest rates high<br />
enough for long enough to ensure that we<br />
get the job done,” BoE Governor Andrew<br />
Bailey said after policymakers narrowly<br />
decided to hold its main interest rate at<br />
5.25%. Fed policymakers had a similar<br />
message. They held the Fed’s benchmark<br />
rate at 5.25%-5.50% but stressed they<br />
would remain tough in an inflation fight<br />
they now see lasting into 2026.<br />
In Europe, ECB President Christine Lagarde<br />
was adamant that further hikes for the<br />
20-country eurozone could not be ruled<br />
out. The central banks of Norway and<br />
Sweden both signaled they could hike<br />
again, with even the Swiss National Bank<br />
holding out the prospect of further interest<br />
rate hikes despite inflation at a comfortable<br />
1.6%.<br />
Türkiye’s central bank confirmed its<br />
hawkish turn while in Asia, Taiwan’s<br />
central bank flagged continued tight policy.<br />
The South African Reserve Bank held its<br />
key rate steady, but policymakers cited<br />
continued risks to the inflation outlook.<br />
Significant outliers include the Bank of<br />
Japan (BOJ), which kept interest rates ultralow,<br />
and the People’s Bank of China, where<br />
recent better economic prospects allowed<br />
it to keep rates on hold.<br />
Belgian central bank chief and ECB board<br />
member Pierre Wunsch – an early voice<br />
urging tougher central bank action to<br />
counter inflation from end-2021 – said that<br />
monetary policy was now at the right level.<br />
“At some point we were, I believe, lagging<br />
behind and we had to do some catch-up.<br />
But that’s over. We’ve done this catch-up,”<br />
Wunsch told. Despite gradually cooling,<br />
inflation in most large economies remains<br />
well above the target 2% level which<br />
central bankers deem healthy. In August it<br />
stood at 3.7% in the United States and 5.2%<br />
in the eurozone.<br />
But investors remain skeptical that central<br />
banks will stay the course given doubts<br />
over the strength of the Chinese economy<br />
and geopolitical worries from the Ukraine<br />
war to U.S.-Chinese rivalry.<br />
“By this time next year, we anticipate that<br />
21 out of the world’s 30 major central<br />
banks will be cutting interest rates,” Capital<br />
Economics wrote in a commentary entitled<br />
“A tipping point for global monetary policy.”<br />
It’s a potential twist that rattled markets.<br />
World stocks fell and the dollar gained<br />
as Treasury yields rose to levels last seen<br />
before the Great Financial Crisis. Sterling<br />
and the Swiss franc both tumbled.<br />
That said, the prospect that global interest<br />
rates are pretty close to peak will be<br />
of huge relief to emerging economies<br />
suffering from heavy debt servicing loads.<br />
With the United States and Europe both<br />
seen avoiding the outright recession once<br />
predicted, the enticing view of a “soft<br />
landing” for the global economy is coming<br />
back into sight, largely thanks to unusually<br />
buoyant labor markets.<br />
Policymakers admit they have yet to agree<br />
on an explanation for this. Some suggest<br />
firms are anxious to avoid a repeat of the<br />
skills shortages they suffered when the<br />
global economy took off in 2021 after<br />
COVID-19 lockdowns and so are “labor<br />
hoarding.”<br />
That unsolved puzzle means opinions are<br />
divided as to what the real underlying<br />
strength of the global economy is.<br />
Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda<br />
cautioned against declaring victory just yet.<br />
“We’ve seen heightening hopes for a U.S.<br />
soft landing. But there’s still uncertainty on<br />
whether that will indeed be the case,” he<br />
said. Some argue that this was why they<br />
detected, through all the tough talk, a noncommittal<br />
tone to the Federal Reserve’s<br />
language on the likelihood of a further rate<br />
hike this year.<br />
“(Fed chair Jerome) Powell was noncommittal<br />
and even faintly dovish about<br />
another <strong>2023</strong> hike, which is the actual<br />
here-and-now decision,” said Evercore ISI<br />
Vice Chairperson Krishna Guha. “This is a<br />
Fed that sees an opening for a soft landing<br />
and will try not to blow it.”<br />
mechanism to continue with the revisions<br />
in macro prudential policies and to<br />
gradually phase out schemes introduced to<br />
support the lira,” he said.<br />
“At the same time, the structural<br />
reform agenda must be reinvigorated to<br />
improve the business environment and<br />
the investment climate. This includes<br />
addressing systemic issues affecting<br />
Türkiye’s long-term growth potential.”<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 66
The Little Car Company Unveils the Tamiya Wild<br />
One MAX: A Fullscale, Road Legal, Electric Vehicle<br />
Built with Adventurein Mind<br />
The Little Car Company, manufacturers of<br />
hand built electric scaled cars, officially<br />
revealed the highly anticipated Tamiya Wild<br />
One MAX. Based on the original Tamiya<br />
Wild One (58050) radio-controlled car- first<br />
released in 1985 the Tamiya Wild One<br />
MAX has been relaunched as a full-scale<br />
vehicle and is now on sale worldwide, with<br />
road legal versions available for customers<br />
in the UK and EU. The Tamiya Wild<br />
One MAX from The Little Car Company<br />
represents a culmination of careful<br />
design, extensive feedback from deposit<br />
holders and subsequent upgrades on the<br />
original concept to deliver outstanding<br />
performance and usability. Despite<br />
industry-wide supply delays, The Little Car<br />
Company has taken the time to listen to the<br />
community and implement improvements<br />
that enhance the overall experience.<br />
Tamiya Wild One MAX<br />
The Tamiya Wild One MAX comes<br />
equipped with premium features including<br />
Cobrabucket seats with 4-point harnesses,<br />
a 5” digital screen with marine-grade<br />
switches, Brembo disc brakes all round, and<br />
adjustable Bilstein dampers paired with<br />
Eibach springs. It utilises 14” Maxxis offroad<br />
tyres front and rear.<br />
To enhance safety and comfort, The<br />
Little Car Company has made some<br />
modifications to the original R/C car<br />
design. The cockpit has been widened<br />
to comfortably accommodate two adult<br />
passengers, addressing a consistent<br />
request from existing deposit holders.<br />
Meanwhile, the front suspension turrets<br />
have been smoothed, improving visibility<br />
and pedestrian safety, while the front<br />
suspension itself has been upgraded<br />
from a “trailing arm” design to double<br />
wishbones. Ongoing development has seen<br />
the car increase in size, now measuring<br />
3.6m (141.7”) in length and 1.9m<br />
(74.8”) in width. The Little Car Company<br />
has also developed a windscreen and<br />
wiper mechanism to enhance the car’s<br />
practicality.<br />
For off-road enthusiasts, the Wild One<br />
MAX offers a ground clearance of 270mm,<br />
an approach angle of 34.1 degrees, a<br />
breakover angle of 28.4 degrees, and a<br />
departure angle of 50.8 degrees.<br />
The Wild One MAX is powered by eight<br />
swappable battery packs, providing a<br />
total capacity of 14.4kWh, a maximum<br />
estimated range of 200km (on road) and<br />
a top speed of up to 62 mph (100km/h),<br />
with the vehicle weighing around 500kg in<br />
total. When existing deposit holders were<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 68
surveyed about their interest in a road legal<br />
version, an overwhelming 95% expressed<br />
their desire for it. Consequently, each Wild<br />
One MAX has been developed by The<br />
Little Car Company to include a road legal<br />
pack in compliance with L7e quadricycle<br />
regulations* for the UK and EU markets.<br />
The Wild One MAX will be available in<br />
both left- hand drive and right-hand drive<br />
configurations.<br />
Tamiya Wild One MAX Launch<br />
Edition<br />
Strictly limited to the first 100 customers<br />
who place a deposit, the Launch Edition<br />
comeswith exclusive features in addition<br />
to the already high specification vehicle.<br />
Once the 100 Launch Edition examples are<br />
accounted for, the company will offer the<br />
standard Tamiya Wild One MAX vehicles at<br />
the same price and in an unlimited number.<br />
Each Launch Edition vehicle proudly<br />
displays a titanium plaque on the<br />
dashboard, acknowledging its status as<br />
one of the rare 1 of 100 Launch Edition<br />
units. The Launch Edition also encompasses<br />
a captivating carbon fibre dashboard,<br />
harmonising seamlessly with the matching<br />
carbon fibre key-fob. Additionally, in<br />
recognition of the vehicle’s influence<br />
and significance, Tamiya has decided<br />
to reintroduce a limited number of the<br />
original Wild One r/c model kits and, as<br />
part of the 100 limited-run Launch Edition<br />
package, the first 100 customers will be<br />
given a coveted Tamiya model kit of the<br />
iconic Wild One to build whilst they are<br />
waiting for delivery of their full-size car.<br />
To add a touch of personalisation, the<br />
holographic decals that are only on the<br />
LaunchEdition will be replicated at scale,<br />
allowing owners to embellish the rollbars<br />
on their r/cmodel vehicles to match their<br />
full-size equivalent.<br />
Ben Hedley, CEO of The Little Car Company,<br />
said: “Here at The Little Car Company we<br />
are on a mission to show that electric cars<br />
can be fun. We believe that you don’t<br />
need one thousand horsepower, stomach<br />
churning acceleration or electronic torque<br />
vectoring systems to make EVs enjoyable.<br />
We’ve strived to make the Tamiya Wild<br />
One MAX an exhilarating drive by following<br />
Colin Chapman’s ethos of “Simplify, then<br />
add lightness”. In my opinion, modern<br />
cars are now too large, too fast, too<br />
complicated, and too heavy - we believe<br />
that there is an alternative. Our goal is<br />
to create innovative lightweight vehicles<br />
which bring the purity and fun back into<br />
driving. I’m extremely proud of our talented<br />
engineering team who have brought this<br />
iconic Tamiya R/C car to life as a full-size<br />
car, capturing the nostalgia of the 1980s<br />
and bringing it to a brand-new audience<br />
with today’s technology. We also want<br />
to express our heartfelt gratitude to the<br />
Tamiya community and deposit holders for<br />
their unwavering support and invaluable<br />
input throughout the design process. Their<br />
enthusiasm, suggestions and feedback have<br />
delivered what we are proud to unveil to<br />
the world today. We’re looking forward to<br />
delivering this premium spec version of the<br />
Tamiya Wild One MAX with all the “bells<br />
and whistles”. Meanwhile, development<br />
will continue for both lower specification<br />
versions and kits for future launch.”<br />
<strong>November</strong><br />
69 <strong>2023</strong>