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Automotive Ekports November 2023

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1


Monthly automotive aftermarket magazine<br />

GROUP CHAIRMAN<br />

H. FERRUH ISIK<br />

PUBLISHER:<br />

İstmag Magazin Gazetecilik<br />

İç ve Dış Ticaret Ltd. Şti.<br />

Managing Editor (Responsible)<br />

Mehmet Söztutan<br />

mehmet.soztutan@img.com.tr<br />

Advertising Sales Consultant<br />

Adem Saçın<br />

+90 505 577 36 42<br />

adem.sacin@img.com.tr<br />

Enes Karadayı<br />

enes.karadayi@img.com.tr<br />

International Marketing Coordinator<br />

Ayca Sarioglu<br />

ayca.sarioglu@img.com.tr<br />

Advisory Editor<br />

Yusuf Okçu<br />

yusuf.okcu@img.com.tr<br />

Finance Manager<br />

Cuma Karaman<br />

cuma.karaman@img.com.tr<br />

Digital Assets Manager<br />

Emre Yener<br />

emre.yener@img.com.tr<br />

Technical Manager<br />

Tayfun Aydın<br />

tayfun.aydin@img.com.tr<br />

Graphic & Design Advisor<br />

Sami aktaş<br />

sami.aktas@img.com.tr<br />

Accountant<br />

Yusuf Demirkazık<br />

yusuf.demirkazik@img.com.tr<br />

Subsciption<br />

İsmail Özçelik<br />

ismail.ozcelik@img.com.tr<br />

HEAD OFFICE:<br />

İstmag Magazin Gazetecilik<br />

İç ve Dış Ticaret Ltd. Şti.<br />

Ihlas Media Center<br />

Merkez Mah. 29 Ekim Caddesi No: 11B / 21<br />

Yenibosna Bahcelievler, Istanbul / TÜRKİYE<br />

Tel: +90 212 454 22 22<br />

www.img.com.tr sales@img.com.tr<br />

KONYA:<br />

Metin Demir<br />

Hazım Uluşahin İş Merkezi C Blok<br />

Kat: 6 No: 603-604-605 KONYA<br />

Tel: (90.332)238 10 71 Fax: (90.332)238 01 74<br />

PRINTED BY:<br />

İHLAS GAZETECİLİK A.Ş.<br />

Merkez Mahallesi 29 Ekim Caddesi İhlas Plaza<br />

No:11 A/41 Yenibosna–Bahçelievler/ İSTANBUL<br />

Tel: 0212 454 30 00<br />

www.ihlasmatbaacilik.com<br />

Mehmet Soztutan, Editor-in-Chief<br />

mehmet.soztutan@img.com.tr<br />

Dynamism prevails as usual<br />

Türkiye’s automotive industry dates back to the early 1960s. During a period of rapid<br />

industrialization and progress, this key sector transformed itself from assembly-based<br />

partnerships to a full-fledged industry with design capability and massive production<br />

capacity within the last decade.<br />

Foreign partners have begun to view their facilities in Türkiye as their production center<br />

for the global markets. Türkiye is home to many global suppliers. There are more than 250<br />

global suppliers that use Türkiye as a production base, with 30 of them ranking among the<br />

50 largest global suppliers.<br />

The auto parts industry of Türkiye has developed rapidly as a consequence of<br />

developments in the automotive industry.<br />

The Turkish auto parts industry with its large capacity, wide variety of production and high<br />

standards, supports automotive industry production and the vehicles in Türkiye and also<br />

has ample potential for exports.<br />

The Turkish automotive and auto spare parts industry have prospered dynamically in line<br />

with ever increasing demand from abroad. So, business people operating in the industry<br />

have become outward oriented more than ever before. This fact is also reflected through<br />

the pages of our publications.<br />

It is hard to keep its competitive position in the world market full of emerging players.<br />

Thus, manufacturers have shifted their operations to value-added automotive products<br />

and brand names. Currently, Turkish manufacturers have their own designs and brands in<br />

international markets.<br />

In evaluating the future export potential of the automotive industry, using cross-country<br />

statistics, it is possible to indicate that Turkish automotive industry has comparative<br />

advantage regarding labor productivity, labor cost and the share of capital in the value<br />

added, especially with respect to the mature producers in the world. More than half of<br />

these manufacturers compete in international markets and set high standards of export<br />

figures.<br />

Our publications remain at the service of those businesses people seeking to increase<br />

their share in the increasingly competitive foreign markets.<br />

As usual, we convey the message of the Turkish automotive and auto spare parts<br />

exporters by participating in major fairs and exhibitions around the world.<br />

We are convinced that the events in which we participate would be instrumental to<br />

increase business opportunities in the automotive industry.<br />

We wish lucrative trade for all participants.<br />

automotiveexport<br />

EDİToR<br />

automotiveexports<br />

8


Auto production rises 13 percent in eight months<br />

Turkish carmakers produced more than<br />

943,000 vehicles in the first eight months<br />

of <strong>2023</strong>, a 13 percent increase from a year<br />

ago, according to the data from <strong>Automotive</strong><br />

Manufacturers’ Association (OSD).<br />

Passenger car output grew 21 percent<br />

year-on-year to nearly 600,000, but the<br />

annual increase in commercial vehicle production<br />

was lower at 2 percent to 344,000.<br />

Local carmakers boosted their exports by<br />

11 percent, shipping some 660,000 vehicles<br />

to foreign markets in the January-August<br />

period, with passenger car exports rising 26<br />

percent to 426,000.<br />

The industry’s export revenues amounted<br />

to $23.3 billion during this period, pointing<br />

to a robust 17 percent annual increase.<br />

In August alone, its export revenues rose<br />

by 21 percent to $2.7 billion.<br />

In the first eight months of the year,<br />

787,197 vehicles were sold on the local<br />

market, marking a 63 percent increase<br />

compared with the same period of 2022.<br />

Passenger car sales grew 64 percent year-on-year<br />

to nearly 583,000.<br />

Vehicle sales grew 73 percent year-on-year<br />

in August alone to 90,400, while the<br />

passenger car market expanded 88 percent<br />

to 66,000.<br />

Türkiye increased passenger car imports<br />

by 118 percent from a year ago to nearly<br />

52,000, which meant that imported cars<br />

accounted for 78 percent of all cars sold<br />

on the local market. In August, both total<br />

vehicle and passenger car production declined<br />

by 21.2 percent year-on-year. Some large<br />

carmakers suspended production due to<br />

maintenance work which could explain the<br />

drop in the industry’s output. The Turkish<br />

automotive industry has a total production<br />

capacity of 2 million vehicles. In terms of<br />

production, it ranks fourth in Europe and<br />

14th in the world, employing more than<br />

500,000 people.<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 10


Backed by EVs,<br />

Turkish auto<br />

sales soar to<br />

extend record<br />

streak<br />

Sales of cars in Türkiye hit another all-time<br />

high in September, adding to the peaks<br />

since the beginning of the year, according<br />

to industry data that also showed electric<br />

vehicle (EV) purchases maintaining an<br />

unprecedented trend.<br />

A record 96,793 passenger cars and light<br />

commercial vehicles exchanged hands<br />

last month, the <strong>Automotive</strong> Distributors<br />

and Mobility Association (ODMD) said in<br />

a statement, marking a 55.9% year-overyear<br />

increase. Car sales in September<br />

surged by 76.7%, totaling 78,971 units,<br />

the data showed, while the market for<br />

light commercial vehicles saw a more<br />

modest increase of 2.4%, with sales<br />

reaching 17,822 units. Demand soared as<br />

depreciation in the Turkish lira and soaring<br />

prices prompted consumers to continue to<br />

opt for cars they see as a tool to safeguard<br />

themselves from high inflation.<br />

The boost resulted in the overall<br />

automobile and light commercial vehicle<br />

market surpassing the average September<br />

sales of the past decade by 58.1%.<br />

From January to September, the combined<br />

sales reached a fresh record of 857,575<br />

units, marking a year-over-year growth of<br />

64.8%. The figure surpasses the whole of<br />

2022, when some 783,283 cars and light<br />

commercial vehicles exchanged hands.<br />

Car sales in the first nine months soared<br />

by 67%, reaching 666,890 units, the ODMD<br />

said. The light commercial vehicle market<br />

saw an increase of 57.2%, with sales<br />

totaling 190,685 units.<br />

Fiat led the way among carmakers in<br />

September, achieving sales of 15,537 units,<br />

followed by Renault at 11,714 and Ford at<br />

7,023.<br />

Meanwhile, electric cars have also been<br />

booming this year, capturing a market<br />

share unseen to date, backed by the first<br />

homegrown battery-powered vehicle brand<br />

that has been adding momentum to its<br />

deliveries. Nearly 34,600 EVs have been<br />

sold from January through September<br />

of this year, the data showed, marking a<br />

333.86% year-over-year increase.<br />

Togg, the manufacturer of Türkiye’s first<br />

electric car, delivered some 2,204 units of<br />

its C-segment SUV T10X in September. This<br />

figure brings its deliveries since late April to<br />

5,604 units. Togg ranked second just after<br />

Tesla, which sold 4,700 units of its Model<br />

Y last month. The carmaker has delivered<br />

some 10,200 units so far this year.<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 12


Türkiye’s automotive production, car exports soar Jan-Sept.<br />

Türkiye’s automotive production increased<br />

by 12% in the January-September period,<br />

while automobile production rose by 21%<br />

when compared to the same period last<br />

year, official data released showed.<br />

The country’s <strong>Automotive</strong> Manufacturers<br />

Association (OSD) said total automotive<br />

production surpassed the 1 million mark<br />

and stood at 1,074,155 units in the first<br />

nine months, including 687,817 units of<br />

automobiles.<br />

When combined with tractor production,<br />

total production reached 1,117,620<br />

units. In the first nine months of the year,<br />

commercial vehicle production decreased<br />

by 1% compared to the same period<br />

last year, while light commercial vehicle<br />

production decreased by 4%.<br />

Production in the heavy commercial vehicle<br />

category meanwhile increased by 26%.<br />

Meanwhile, the sector’s total sales in the<br />

first nine months of the year increased by<br />

63% to 894,663 units when compared to<br />

the same period last year. Car sales in the<br />

first nine months soared by 67%, reaching<br />

666,890 units. Backed by a significant boom<br />

in electric car sales, the total auto sales this<br />

year according to market predictions are<br />

poised to hit the 1 million mark.<br />

On a quantity basis, the total automotive<br />

exports in the first nine months of the year<br />

surged by 7% versus the same period last<br />

year, reaching 733,956 units.<br />

During this period, car exports increased<br />

by 20%, while commercial vehicle exports<br />

were down by 11%.<br />

According to the data from the Turkish<br />

Exporters Assembly (TIM), the total<br />

automotive industry’s exports maintained<br />

its top position in sectoral exports with a<br />

16% increase in the January-September<br />

period. Meanwhile, according to the figures<br />

from the Bursa-based Uludağ <strong>Automotive</strong><br />

Industry Exporters’ Union, total automotive<br />

exports during the same period increased<br />

by 16% to reach $26.2 billion (TL 728.38<br />

billion) compared to the same period in<br />

2022.<br />

Passanger car exports<br />

Local carmakers shipped over $8 billion<br />

worth of passenger cars in the first<br />

nine months to some 110 countries,<br />

autonomous regions and free zones,<br />

according to the data.<br />

Throughout this period, the share of<br />

passenger cars constituted 31.3% of the<br />

total exports of the automotive industry.<br />

France was the largest market for Turkish<br />

passenger car producers. Shipments to<br />

this country rose by 60.95% to reach $1.52<br />

billion. Passenger cars worth $948.7 million<br />

were sold to the Western European country<br />

in the same period last year.<br />

The United Kingdom came second as it<br />

purchased $848.8 million in the first nine<br />

months of <strong>2023</strong> from local companies,<br />

pointing to 5.7% rise when compared to<br />

the first nine months of 2022.<br />

Total foreign sales to France and the United<br />

Kingdom, which reached $2.38 billion<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 16


therefore constituted 29.61% of overall<br />

passenger car exports.<br />

Türkiye’s passenger car exports to Spain,<br />

the third largest export destination, grew<br />

by 32% to reach $839.1 million. According<br />

to the data, Italy ranked fourth with a<br />

37% increase on an annual basis between<br />

January and September, while Poland stood<br />

fifth, with a 32% increase.<br />

The list of top 10 countries Türkiye<br />

exported passenger cars to included<br />

Germany, Slovenia, Belgium, Israel and<br />

Bulgaria. In the same period, notable<br />

increases in exports to Algeria, Kazakhstan<br />

and Libya were observed as well.<br />

<strong>November</strong><br />

17 <strong>2023</strong>


EV charging network to extend further in Türkiye<br />

The Parliamentary Committee on Public<br />

Works, Urbanization, Transportation and<br />

Tourism Chairperson Adil Karaismailoğlu<br />

announced that the optimal location for<br />

electric vehicle charging stations that will<br />

cover all intercity road trips by determining<br />

the required number of electric vehicle<br />

charging stations and sockets for the<br />

years 2029, 2035 and 2053 have been<br />

determined.<br />

The former minister of Transport<br />

and Infrastructure noted in a written<br />

statement on the X social media platform,<br />

formerly known as Twitter, that their<br />

environmentally friendly steps in the green<br />

transformation journey continue.<br />

“Our goal is net zero emissions by 2053. In<br />

order for electric vehicles in our country to<br />

have a sustainable and accessible charging<br />

infrastructure, we conducted planning<br />

based on the spatial analysis of charging<br />

stations, taking into account factors such<br />

as average travel, energy consumption and<br />

driving time within the framework of the<br />

Transportation and Logistics Master Plan<br />

Model,” Karaismailoğlu said.<br />

“By promoting electric vehicles in our country<br />

and contributing to the future of sustainable<br />

transportation, under the leadership of<br />

our President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan in the<br />

Century of Türkiye, we will turn every dream<br />

into reality and decisively achieve our 2053<br />

zero-emission goals.” According to the<br />

infographic shared by Karaismailoğlu, the goal<br />

is to increase the number of electric vehicle<br />

charging sockets from 3,378 in <strong>2023</strong> to some<br />

37,946 in 2053 and to increase the electric<br />

demand from electric vehicles from 2.6<br />

gigawatts (Gw) to 64.46 Gw.<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 22


Industrial output rises 7.4 percent<br />

Industrial production increased by 7.4<br />

percent in July from a year ago, after rising<br />

at a paltry 0.2 percent in the previous two<br />

months, the official data showed on Sept. 11.<br />

Manufacturing output also expanded 7.4<br />

percent year-on-year, while the annual<br />

increase in the capital goods sector’s<br />

production was 25.6 percent, said the<br />

Turkish Statistical Institute (TÜİK).<br />

Intermediate goods production grew 3.2<br />

percent from July 2022. The 16 percent rise<br />

in the durable goods sector was noticeable.<br />

In the energy sector, production increased<br />

by 0.9 percent in July from the same month<br />

of last year. TÜİK said industrial production<br />

fell 0.4 percent month-on-month in July,<br />

after rising 1.2 percent and 1.4 percent on<br />

a monthly basis in June and May.<br />

The growth of the Turkish manufacturing<br />

sector moderated in August as firms faced<br />

challenges in securing new business, a<br />

survey conducted jointly by the Istanbul<br />

Chamber of Industry (ISO) and S&P Global<br />

showed. The headline PMI in August<br />

stood at 49, from 49.9 in July, below the<br />

50 no-change mark for the second month<br />

running. Meanwhile, interest rates on<br />

commercial loans climbed above the<br />

interest rates local banks charge on housing<br />

and car loans as of Sept. 1, reaching 38<br />

percent. The interest rates on personal<br />

loans, car loans and housing loans were 53<br />

percent, 36.7 percent, and 35.7 percent,<br />

respectively.<br />

The interest rates on loans have been rising<br />

after the Central Bank started to hike its<br />

policy rate. Since June, the bank delivered<br />

a total of 1,650 bps hike in the one-week<br />

repo auction rate to 25 percent.<br />

The Central Bank’s Monetary Policy<br />

Committee will meet again on Sept. 21 to<br />

decide about its policy rate.<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 24


<strong>Automotive</strong> exports expected to be $34 billion this year<br />

The Turkish automotive sector’s export<br />

revenues may climb to $34 billion this year,<br />

according to a report by KPMG.<br />

Last year, the local industry produced<br />

1.3 million vehicles and sales on the<br />

local market amounted to 827,000 while<br />

970,000 vehicles were shipped to foreign<br />

markets.<br />

Data from the <strong>Automotive</strong> Manufacturers’<br />

Association (OSD) showed that export<br />

revenues of Turkish carmakers increased by<br />

5.5 percent last year compared with 2021<br />

to stand at $31.5 billion.<br />

The industry’s exports have exceeded $20<br />

billion in the first seven months of <strong>2023</strong>,<br />

rising 16 percent from the same period<br />

of last year, according to the Turkish<br />

Exporters’ Assembly (TİM).<br />

The automotive sector accounted for 16<br />

percent of Türkiye’s total exports in the<br />

January-July period.<br />

The KPMG report noted the availability<br />

problems in the auto market due to the<br />

semiconductor shortages, coupled with<br />

the special consumption rates depressed<br />

domestic demand in 2022.<br />

However, the local auto industry appeared<br />

to have overcome this availability problem.<br />

In July, the combined sales of passenger<br />

cars and light commercial vehicles (LCV)<br />

leaped 115.4 percent from a year ago.<br />

Passenger car sales grew more than 109<br />

percent to around 86,000, while LCV sales<br />

soared almost 138 percent to 27,000.<br />

Experts said that carmakers were able<br />

to deliver the orders to their customers,<br />

which partially explained the surge in sales.<br />

Consumers also decided to buy now,<br />

anticipating that the car prices will<br />

increase in the coming months due to the<br />

depreciation of the Turkish Lira, which led<br />

to a sharp rise in vehicle demand in July,<br />

according to experts. Demand has been<br />

strong over the past months also because<br />

people purchased cars as an investment<br />

to protect their savings against inflation.<br />

Those, who cannot buy a house, which is<br />

a favorite investment among Turks, due to<br />

exorbitant property prices, turned to cars,<br />

said experts.<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 28


Chinese EV Skywell maker agrees<br />

deal to build Türkiye battery plant<br />

China’s technology company Skyworth has<br />

reached an investment agreement with a<br />

Turkish group to build a battery factory in<br />

Türkiye, a statement said.<br />

The manufacturer of the Skywell electric<br />

vehicle (EV) brand, Skyworth said the<br />

deal was reached with Ulubaşlar Group to<br />

develop and produce batteries, without<br />

disclosing the location of the factory.<br />

The companies will invest $25 million each<br />

in the plant that is planned to be opened<br />

by the first quarter of 2024, the statement<br />

said.<br />

The factory will manufacture batteries<br />

featuring 800V+4C super-fast charging<br />

technology architecture. This will enable a<br />

charging power to increase from 120 kW<br />

to 480 kW, allowing the vehicles to charge<br />

80% in eight minutes, according to the<br />

statement.<br />

“The battery is a key element in the<br />

transformation of the automotive market,<br />

and producing this technology here will<br />

provide Türkiye with important capabilities<br />

and will make significant contributions to<br />

the economy of our country,” said Mahmut<br />

Ulubaş, CEO of Skywell Türkiye.<br />

Ulubaş also stressed on the impact the<br />

investment would have on employment<br />

and exports.<br />

Among others, the Chinese company could<br />

also launch production of Skywell’s new<br />

models that are planned to be launched on<br />

the market within three years in Türkiye,<br />

said Ulubaş.<br />

Ulubaşlar Group’s subsidiary Ulu Motor is a<br />

distributor of Skywell operating in Türkiye<br />

and 15 other countries.<br />

Ulubaş’s remarks were echoed by Wu<br />

Longba, co-founder and CEO of Skywell,<br />

who stressed the company’s close<br />

cooperation with Ulu Motor and also noted<br />

the plans to establish an assembly line in<br />

the country.<br />

“We will initiate feasibility studies for this<br />

collaboration (battery factory) as soon as<br />

possible, which will be a significant turning<br />

point in Türkiye-China relations. We are<br />

very enthusiastic about this partnership,”<br />

he noted.<br />

“Moreover, we plan to establish a vehicle<br />

production line, bring spare parts supply<br />

system to Türkiye, and manufacture certain<br />

components here,” he said.<br />

“We anticipate various future business<br />

partnerships with Ulu Motor throughout<br />

these processes. Our objective is to<br />

contribute to the development of Türkiye’s<br />

new energy vehicle industry technology<br />

and capacity.”<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 30


US expands probe into 709,000 Ford SUVs,<br />

trucks over engine failures<br />

U.S. auto safety investigators announced<br />

they have expanded an investigation into<br />

Ford Motor Co. sport utility vehicles and<br />

trucks over catastrophic engine failures tied<br />

to a faulty valve to include nearly 709,000<br />

vehicles.<br />

The National Highway Traffic Safety<br />

Administration (NHTSA) also said in<br />

documents posted on its website that<br />

it upgraded the investigation to an<br />

engineering analysis, a step closer to a<br />

recall.<br />

The investigation now covers Ford’s F-150<br />

pickup truck, as well as Explorer, Bronco<br />

and Edge SUVs and Lincoln Nautilus and<br />

Aviator SUVs. All are from the 2021 and<br />

2022 model years and are equipped with<br />

2.7-liter or 3.0-liter V6 turbocharged<br />

engines.<br />

The agency says that under normal driving<br />

conditions, the engines can lose power due<br />

to catastrophic engine failure related to<br />

allegedly faulty valves.<br />

The agency opened its initial investigation<br />

in May of last year after getting three<br />

letters from owners. Initially, the probe was<br />

looking at a failure of the 2.7-liter engine<br />

on Broncos. Since then, Ford has reported<br />

861 customer complaints, warranty claims,<br />

and engine replacements including the<br />

other models. No crashes or injuries were<br />

reported.<br />

The company told the agency in documents<br />

that defective intake valves generally<br />

fail early in a vehicle’s life, and most of<br />

the failures have already happened. The<br />

company told NHTSA said it made a valve<br />

design change in October of 2021.<br />

Ford said in a statement that it’s working<br />

with NHTSA to support the investigation.<br />

The agency says it will evaluate how<br />

often the problem happens and review<br />

the effectiveness of Ford’s manufacturing<br />

improvements designed to address the<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 32


Japan slams brake on lucrative used-car trade with Russia<br />

Japan’s decision to ban most used-car sales<br />

to Russia has slashed a trade worth nearly<br />

$2 billion a year that had boomed following<br />

sanctions over Ukraine elsewhere,<br />

according to business data and market<br />

participants.<br />

In early August, Japan’s government<br />

banned exports of all but subcompact<br />

cars to Russia, cutting off a lucrative<br />

backchannel in trade in used Toyotas,<br />

Hondas and Nissans for a network of<br />

brokers and smaller ports, especially<br />

Fushiki, an export hub on the Sea of Japan.<br />

While wiping out Russia’s biggest source of<br />

used cars, the sanctions have driven down<br />

prices for second-hand cars in Japan and<br />

left brokers scrambling to send vehicles to<br />

other regions, especially right-hand drive<br />

markets in New Zealand, Southeast Asia<br />

and Africa. Russia’s demand for secondhand<br />

cars from Japan jumped sharply after<br />

global automakers, including Toyota, pulled<br />

back from operations following Moscow’s<br />

invasion of Ukraine.<br />

By last year, with sanctions elsewhere<br />

tightening, Russia was buying more than a<br />

quarter of Japan’s used car exports for an<br />

average price of almost $8,200. That was<br />

more than double the price in 2020, when<br />

Russia took about 15% of Japan’s used-car<br />

exports. Those sales had been on track to<br />

top $1.9 billion for all of <strong>2023</strong> before Japan<br />

imposed its own tougher sanctions, trade<br />

data show. More than half of the 303,000<br />

used cars imported by Russia in the first<br />

eight months of the year came from<br />

Japan, according to figures from Russian<br />

analytical agency Autostat. That compared<br />

to sales of 606,950 new cars of mainly<br />

Russian and Chinese brands over the same<br />

period, Autostat data showed. Toyamabased<br />

SV Alliance, a 2-year-old car export<br />

business, had been part of the wartime<br />

boom that sent an average of some 6,500<br />

used cars to Russia every month through<br />

July from Japan’s Fushiki. The port is about<br />

800 kilometers (500 miles) from Russia’s<br />

Vladivostok, within two day’s sailing for a<br />

cargo ship.<br />

“Business is down about 70%, and we’ve<br />

had to let a couple of people go because<br />

there isn’t enough work,” said Olesya<br />

Alekseeva, a logistics coordinator at SV<br />

Alliance.<br />

Cheaper cars for recyclers<br />

Japan has been a leading used-car exporter<br />

for decades. A system of mandatory<br />

inspections pushes the cost of maintaining<br />

used cars higher for customers in Japan.<br />

Financing costs for new car purchases, by<br />

contrast, are low.<br />

The result: an export industry that has sent<br />

hundreds of thousands of cars on the road<br />

from Malaysia to Mongolia and Pakistan to<br />

Tanzania that were first purchased in Japan.<br />

Takanori Kikuchi, a director for automotive<br />

trade policy at Japan’s Ministry of Economy,<br />

Trade and Industry, said the government<br />

was “watching to see what kind of an<br />

impact” the new sanctions would have.<br />

Japan had originally banned exporting<br />

luxury vehicles to Russia in April last year. It<br />

added a prohibition on the export of heavy<br />

trucks in June. Under the new sanctions,<br />

dealers can still export smaller cars, such as<br />

the Toyota Yaris or the Honda Fit, to Russia.<br />

Element Trading, a used-car dealer in<br />

Niigata prefecture that borders Toyama,<br />

has seen the share of Russia in its business<br />

slide from a peak of above 50% to below<br />

20%, chief executive Wataru Nishiwaki said.<br />

The number of used cars on offer surged<br />

more than 20% in August from a year<br />

earlier, while average vehicle selling prices<br />

posted a 7% drop, preliminary data from<br />

auto auction house USS showed.<br />

The price decline was welcomed by some.<br />

Battery recycling firm 4R Energy has seen a<br />

“significant” tail wind from declining usedcar<br />

prices, including the Nissan Leaf, said<br />

chief executive Yutaka Horie.<br />

Lower prices give the joint venture<br />

between Nissan and trading house<br />

Sumitomo a wider opportunity to secure<br />

supplies, he said.<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 36


Fitch cites<br />

Türkiye’s policy<br />

shift as driver<br />

behind outlook<br />

upgrade<br />

Fitch Ratings cited a return to more<br />

conventional economic policymaking since<br />

the May election as the primary driver<br />

behind its decision to upgrade Türkiye’s<br />

credit rating outlook.<br />

The credit rating agency revised the<br />

outlook on the nation’s long-term foreigncurrency<br />

issuer default rating to “stable”<br />

from “negative.” It affirmed its debt grade<br />

at “B,” five notches below investment<br />

grade.<br />

In its assessment released, the agency said<br />

the revision reflected the return to a more<br />

conventional and consistent policy mix that<br />

reduces near-term macro-financial stability<br />

risks and eases balance of payments<br />

pressures, according to Erich Arispe<br />

Morales, a senior director in Fitch Ratings’<br />

sovereigns group.<br />

In an interview with Anadolu Agency (AA),<br />

Morales shared insights into Türkiye’s<br />

economic outlook, highlighting several key<br />

factors that have led to a more positive<br />

assessment.<br />

He also discussed the country’s growth<br />

prospects and weighed in on the possibility<br />

of an upgrade to “investment grade.”<br />

Morales explained that the country has<br />

moved away from targeted financial<br />

regulations that were perceived as<br />

“interventionist and unpredictable.”<br />

“This refers to reducing the monetary<br />

policy rate as the main mechanism to<br />

signal the central bank’s policy direction.<br />

We have also seen that policy is more<br />

consistent than before and we have a<br />

very mixed policy focused on growth and<br />

employment,” he said.<br />

This shift toward more consistent and<br />

growth-focused policies despite previous<br />

macroeconomic imbalances has helped<br />

stabilize the country’s economic outlook,<br />

he added.<br />

“We can point out also that we have<br />

seen some reduction in uncertainty after<br />

the elections, given now that the policy<br />

direction is clear,” he said.<br />

The change of policy direction since the<br />

May election, though, has seen President<br />

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan bring in two former<br />

Wall Street bankers to run the economy.<br />

Treasury and Finance Minister Mehmet<br />

Şimşek and Central Bank of the Republic<br />

of Türkiye (CBRT) Governor Hafize Gaye<br />

Erkan have shifted away from ultra-loose<br />

monetary policy and have dramatically<br />

raised interest rates in a bid to tackle the<br />

country’s long-term inflation problem.<br />

Under Erkan, the central bank has roughly<br />

tripled its benchmark policy rate to 25%<br />

and pledged that monetary tightening will<br />

gradually be strengthened as needed.<br />

Regarding Türkiye’s economic growth,<br />

Morales acknowledged that the second<br />

quarter of the year saw greater policy<br />

stimulus due to the general elections.<br />

Looking ahead, Fitch Ratings predicts a<br />

growth rate of around 4.3% for this year.<br />

He said, however, that if policy consistency<br />

and tighter fiscal measures continue,<br />

growth could slow to 3% next year before<br />

recovering to approximately 3.4% in 2025.<br />

While acknowledging that credit pressures<br />

have eased due to recent policy shifts,<br />

Morales emphasized that macroeconomic<br />

and external financial challenges persist.<br />

Türkiye currently faces inflation of 59% as<br />

well as challenges related to an exploitative<br />

foreign exchange-protected Turkish lira<br />

deposit scheme, he said.<br />

Morales pointed out that achieving<br />

“investment grade” status for a country is<br />

a long-term effort and requires sustained<br />

policy improvements over time.<br />

This effort not only boosts economic<br />

resilience but also enhances predictability<br />

for investors and benefits economic actors<br />

in Türkiye, he added.<br />

Morales also commented on recent<br />

announcements, including funding from<br />

Gulf countries and the World Bank’s<br />

decision to double investments in Türkiye.<br />

He highlighted the importance of access<br />

to financing, especially concerning the<br />

country’s current account deficit.<br />

The three-year commitment of bilateral<br />

and official financing represents a positive<br />

development for Türkiye, providing a stable<br />

source of funding for external accounts, he<br />

underlined.<br />

In terms of opportunities, Morales noted<br />

that Türkiye currently enjoys a degree of<br />

credibility among investors due to recent<br />

policy adjustments.<br />

Despite past reversals, the government’s<br />

efforts to address macroeconomic<br />

imbalances and provide stability have<br />

garnered investor confidence, he<br />

underscored.<br />

However, geopolitical risks, exposure to<br />

trade shocks, and global economic patterns<br />

remain concerns for the nation.<br />

The key near-term risk, according to<br />

Morales, is policy predictability, especially<br />

with local elections on the horizon in<br />

March 2024, where additional stimulus<br />

measures could be deployed.<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 38


Togg dominates as electric vehicle sales boom in Türkiye<br />

Sales of electric cars in Türkiye have been<br />

booming this year, capturing a market<br />

share unseen to date, dominated by the<br />

first homegrown battery-powered vehicle<br />

brand that has been adding momentum to<br />

its deliveries.<br />

Nearly 22,900 electric vehicles (EVs) have<br />

been sold from January through August<br />

of this year, according to the <strong>Automotive</strong><br />

Distributors and Mobility Association<br />

(ODMD) data.<br />

This translates into over 597% increase<br />

compared to 3,283 electric cars that were<br />

sold in the same period a year ago.<br />

Their gasoline-electric hybrid rival also<br />

maintained a robust pace and saw sales<br />

jump 65.7% in the first eight months to<br />

60,489 units. Despite having launched<br />

its deliveries just four months ago, Togg,<br />

Türkiye’s first domestically produced<br />

electric vehicle, has managed to swiftly<br />

become the bestselling brand with a top<br />

model in the electric car segment.<br />

The brand said it delivered 3,400 of its<br />

T10X as of the end of August. Of this, 1,965<br />

were delivered. Mass production of the<br />

fully electric C-segment SUV was launched<br />

last October, and deliveries started in late<br />

April. The carmaker had said it planned<br />

to deliver about 20,000 units by the end<br />

of <strong>2023</strong>. Overall, passenger cars and light<br />

commercial vehicle sales in Türkiye from<br />

January through August reached 755,282<br />

units, an increase of 64.7% versus the same<br />

period a year ago.<br />

Passenger cars surged by 64.3%, totaling<br />

582,419 units, while light commercial<br />

vehicle sales witnessed a 66.4% growth,<br />

reaching 172,863 units.<br />

Demand has been notably high as<br />

depreciation in the Turkish lira and soaring<br />

prices prompted consumers to continue to<br />

opt for cars they see as a tool to safeguard<br />

themselves from high inflation.<br />

Annual inflation surged to 58.94% over the<br />

12 months ending in August. It had reached<br />

a 24-year high of 85.5% last October and<br />

stood at 47.83% this July after regressing to<br />

as low as 38.21% in June. Battery-powered<br />

and hybrid vehicles saw their market<br />

shares reach 3.9% and 10.4%, up from just<br />

0.9% and 10.3% in the first eight months<br />

of last year, respectively. Cars powered<br />

by gasoline held a 61.6% share in the<br />

overall sales in the January-August period,<br />

down from 70% a year ago, while that of<br />

diesel vehicles fell to 15.7%, from 17%.<br />

Togg’s T10X now holds an 18.2% share in<br />

the overall EV market, a 33% in electric<br />

SUV and a 55.3% in C-SUV segments. It<br />

accounted for 3% of all passenger car sales<br />

in August. The company has become the<br />

leading brand and model in the Turkish<br />

electric vehicle market, overshadowing<br />

international competitors like Tesla, which<br />

opts not to disclose country-based sales<br />

figures. In addition to Tesla, many other<br />

brands have launched sales of models they<br />

had earlier announced. Many Chinese<br />

companies have also ramped up deliveries<br />

to the country. The T10X is initially being<br />

sold with one engine type and two battery<br />

options. It will feature battery packs with<br />

52.4 and 88.5 kilowatt-hour capacities,<br />

boasting ranges of 314 and 523 kilometers<br />

(195 and 325 miles).<br />

The batteries of the T10X can be recharged<br />

to up to 80% from 20% in less than 28<br />

minutes at fast-charging stations.<br />

A consortium of five Turkish companies<br />

called the Automobile Initiative Group<br />

of Türkiye, or Togg, is manufacturing the<br />

vehicle in cooperation with the Union of<br />

Chambers and Commodity Exchanges of<br />

Türkiye (TOBB). Besides the SUV, Togg will<br />

manufacture four other models – a sedan,<br />

C-hatchback, B-SUV and B-MPV – by 2030.<br />

The sedan will follow the mass production<br />

of the SUV. The current production capacity<br />

of around 100,000 vehicles per year will<br />

reach 175,000 once Togg’s factory reaches<br />

total capacity. President Recep Tayyip<br />

Erdoğan has said some 28,000 units would<br />

be produced this year. The brand aims<br />

to manufacture 1 million vehicles across<br />

the five segments by 2030. Togg plans to<br />

begin exports as of 2025, while the initial<br />

production will be tailored for the domestic<br />

market.<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 40


Türkiye seeking to lure more foreign carmakers<br />

Talks are ongoing with carmakers from<br />

Europe and Asia, including China, to<br />

lure more investments into Türkiye’s<br />

automotive sector, Industry and Technology<br />

Minister Fatih Kacır has said.<br />

“We are hoping that at least one of them<br />

will announce an investment decision by<br />

the end of the year,” he said.<br />

Those companies may produce electric and<br />

hybrid vehicles in Türkiye, and the western<br />

province of Manisa appears to be the likely<br />

candidate for possible plant investment,<br />

Kacır said.<br />

“Volkswagen made a mistake. It missed<br />

an opportunity in Manisa. I hope they<br />

reconsider their decision. The site for a<br />

plant is ready in Manisa for those that want<br />

to make an investment,” he added.<br />

The German carmaker had abandoned its<br />

plan to build a factory in Manisa with a<br />

more than $1 billion investment.<br />

“We are holding talks with almost all<br />

carmakers from Europe and the Far East,<br />

including China. We, particularly, focus on<br />

luring investments for new generation,<br />

electric and hybrid vehicle production.<br />

Talks are ongoing with companies, which<br />

currently do not have investments in<br />

Türkiye,” he told a group of reporters.<br />

Kacır also said one of the global carmakers,<br />

which already operates in Türkiye, may<br />

announce new investments. He, however,<br />

did not name the company or provide<br />

other details. The minister recalled that<br />

the government provided a substantial<br />

incentive for Ford’s electric vehicle<br />

production initiative.<br />

“Also, Toyota will begin manufacturing a<br />

new hybrid model vehicle in Türkiye. There<br />

is strong demand from companies for<br />

electric vehicle investments in the country,”<br />

he said, noting that the government<br />

will continue to provide support for EV<br />

production. Türkiye is one of the largest<br />

automotive manufacturers in Europe. Last<br />

year, 1.35 million vehicles were produced<br />

in the country, pointing to a 6 percent<br />

increase compared with 2021.<br />

Passenger car production grew 3.6 percent<br />

in 2022 from the previous year to nearly<br />

811,000, according to data from the<br />

<strong>Automotive</strong> Manufacturers’ Association<br />

(OSD). In the first five months of <strong>2023</strong>,<br />

automotive production leaped 20 percent<br />

to 616,000, with passenger car output<br />

rising more than 30 percent year-on-year<br />

to 386,000. The <strong>Automotive</strong> Distributors<br />

and Mobility Association (ODMD) reported<br />

earlier that 556,000 passenger cars and<br />

light commercial vehicles were sold in<br />

January-June, up 56 percent from the same<br />

period last year. Passenger car sales grew<br />

55 percent to 430,400.<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 42


Business circles<br />

welcome new<br />

medium-term<br />

program<br />

Türkiye’s leading business associations have<br />

welcomed the government’s new mediumterm<br />

program, as they expect the economic<br />

roadmap to increase predictability.<br />

The new medium-term program,<br />

which covers 2024-2026, outlines a<br />

comprehensive strategy aimed at reducing<br />

inflation, fostering growth and addressing<br />

various key challenges.<br />

President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan unveiled<br />

the program on Sept. 6. Among the<br />

program’s goals, Erdoğan highlighted the<br />

aspiration for Türkiye to join the ranks of<br />

high-income countries, projecting a GDP<br />

size exceeding $1.3 trillion and a per capita<br />

national income of $14,855 in 2026.<br />

Business associations agree that the<br />

program will increase stability and<br />

predictability and improve investment<br />

environment. They also hail the program’s<br />

special focus on green transformation and<br />

digitalization.<br />

“We highly value the medium-term<br />

program as it will reduce uncertainties.<br />

We expect the program to give a boost<br />

to economic activity and predictability,”<br />

said Rifat Hisarcıklıoğlu, the president of<br />

the Union of Chambers and Commodity<br />

Exchanges of Turkey (TOBB).<br />

It is also very important that the program<br />

focuses on improving business climate as<br />

well as green and digital transformation,<br />

he added, noting they expect reforms to be<br />

implemented within the time frame.<br />

According to the program, the government<br />

plans reforms in seven key areas, including<br />

green and digital transformation, growth<br />

and trade, price stability, public finances,<br />

investment environment, employment and<br />

human capital and disaster management.<br />

Export and employment targets set out<br />

in the program are realistic, said Mustafa<br />

Gültepe, the president of the Turkish<br />

Exporters’ Assembly (TİM).<br />

“The emphasis on price stability is very<br />

important to exporters. We had problems<br />

in production and sales in the past periods<br />

due to high inflation,” he said while praising<br />

the program for including the goal of green<br />

and digital transition.<br />

The program will serve as an important<br />

anchor to manage market expectations,<br />

according to Şekib Avdagiç, the president of<br />

the Istanbul Chamber of Commerce (İTO).<br />

Avdagiç, who agreed that the targets<br />

in the program are realistic, also noted<br />

the program’s balanced approach<br />

toward maintaining fiscal discipline and<br />

considering the real sector’s concerns.<br />

He also welcomed the structural<br />

reforms aimed at achieving sustainable<br />

development.<br />

Gürsel Baran, the chair of the Ankara<br />

Chamber of Commerce (ATO), emphasized<br />

the need for combatting inflation,<br />

describing it as Türkiye’s most pressing<br />

issue.<br />

“This program, which aims to lower<br />

inflation to single digits while prioritizing<br />

investments, production and exports, gives<br />

reasons to us to be hopeful about the<br />

future,” Baran said.<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 44


BUGATTI: <strong>Automotive</strong> Artistry to Admire<br />

From the day it was formed in 1909, Bugatti<br />

has embodied exquisite design, with<br />

founder Ettore Bugatti hailing from a family<br />

of acclaimed artists. Ettore’s grandfather,<br />

Giovanni, was a celebrated architect;<br />

his father, Carlo, was an internationally<br />

renowned furniture and jewelry designer;<br />

and his brother Rembrandt was an admired<br />

sculptor. These artistic influences define<br />

the Bugatti brand. As such, Bugatti takes<br />

center stage not just in the automotive<br />

sphere but across the cultural spectrum,<br />

enlightening museums, institutions and<br />

exhibitions all over the world.<br />

To this day, the brand’s commitment to<br />

excellence extends beyond power output<br />

and speed. Because of such a deep and<br />

rich heritage, each Bugatti must be a<br />

masterpiece in its own right.<br />

It is the incomparable timeless design<br />

and daring engineering expertise that<br />

epitomizes the brand, placing Bugatti cars<br />

as revered and cherished artifacts in the<br />

eyes of many.<br />

An homage to vehicle design from<br />

“MR. BUGATTI” in America<br />

In the coastal city of Oxnard, California,<br />

is the Mullin <strong>Automotive</strong> Museum – a<br />

captivating tribute to the artistry and<br />

innovation of French automotive design,<br />

founded by businessman and car<br />

enthusiast Peter W. Mullin. The collection<br />

features, among others, iconic models from<br />

Bugatti’s past, and beyond the remarkable<br />

cars on display, the museum’s architecture<br />

itself is a work of art, blending seamlessly<br />

with the automotive masterpieces within.<br />

Displaying the remarkable talent of<br />

the entire Bugatti family, the Mullin<br />

<strong>Automotive</strong> Museum houses more than<br />

75 pieces of furniture by Carlo Bugatti,<br />

numerous sculptures by Rembrandt, and<br />

the largest private collection of Ettore and<br />

Jean Bugatti automobiles in the world. For<br />

a long time, the highlight of the exhibit was<br />

the Jean Bugatti-designed 1936 Type 57SC<br />

Atlantic.<br />

Peter Mullin wasn’t just a fan of Bugatti, he<br />

was a close friend of the brand. A man with<br />

the ambition to make Bugatti respected<br />

and formidable as it had been in its peak<br />

years of the 20th century, Peter regularly<br />

centered his exhibitions around his Bugatti<br />

masterpieces. Peter’s recent passing was<br />

felt greatly by the entire Bugatti family, but<br />

in the iconic Mullin <strong>Automotive</strong> Museum<br />

his legacy lives on forever.<br />

Robert Petersen’s celebration of<br />

automotive art<br />

The Petersen <strong>Automotive</strong> Museum, nestled<br />

along the Miracle Mile in Los Angeles,<br />

stands asa testament to architectural<br />

innovation and automotive passion.<br />

Inspired by the form of acar, the building<br />

of the Petersen <strong>Automotive</strong> Museum’s<br />

stainless-steel ‘body’ wraps around the<br />

‘chassis’ of the existing museum. It is<br />

architectural artwork that represents<br />

aspects of automotive history as important<br />

as the vehicles displayed inside. Yet, the<br />

principal piece of art sits behind the bold<br />

steel structure: the 1939 Bugatti Type 57C<br />

‘Shah’.<br />

A true one-of-one tour-de-force, the ‘Shah’<br />

wraps a supercharged 3.3-liter twin-cam<br />

straight-eight engine in a dramatic body<br />

from Vanvooren of Paris designed in the<br />

style of Figoni et Falaschi, one of the most<br />

progressive coachbuilders of the day. Sold<br />

out of the Shah’s Imperial Garage for a<br />

sum equivalent to $275 in 1959, the ‘Shah’<br />

tragically remained hidden from public gaze<br />

until full restoration in 1983.<br />

The ‘Shah’ does not stand alone as the<br />

only Bugatti gem within the Petersen<br />

<strong>Automotive</strong> Museum, however. Visitors can<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 46


also admire the Bugatti Type 57 Atalante<br />

and an EB 110 GT, two exquisitely designed<br />

pieces of automotive heritage.<br />

An incomparable collection from the<br />

Schlumpf Brothers<br />

Situated in Mulhouse, within the famed<br />

Alsace region of France, home to Bugatti,<br />

the Musée National de l’Automobile brings<br />

together more than 600 revolutionary<br />

and emblematic automotive creations,<br />

including more than 100 of Bugatti’s most<br />

acclaimed models – each one painstakingly<br />

acquired by the Schlumpf brothers over a<br />

period of three decades.<br />

From the Bugatti Type 28 to the Bugatti<br />

Royale conceived in 1930, each car is<br />

hand-picked for its historic significance<br />

and breathtaking proportions. The jewel<br />

in the crown, however, is the modern-day<br />

icon that is the Bugatti Veyron. Placed on<br />

a rotating base, the Musée National de<br />

l’Automobile offers an exceptional stage for<br />

an extraordinary piece of design.<br />

Two generations of automotive<br />

legacy in the hague<br />

Housed within the imposing architectural<br />

structure created by renowned American<br />

architect Michael Graves, the Louwman<br />

Museum in The Hague, Netherlands, is a<br />

historical treasure trove that showcases the<br />

world’s most revered automotive designs<br />

and artwork. It is the result of more than<br />

80 years of automotive dedication by two<br />

generations of the Louwman family, with<br />

over 275 classic and historical models<br />

in the collection covering 16,000 m2 of<br />

floorspace.<br />

Bugatti’s presence in the Louwman<br />

Museum, from the 1913 Type 18 ‘Black<br />

Bess’ to the 1934 Type 57 Roadster<br />

Grand Raid Gangloff, pays homage to the<br />

designs that not only shaped automotive<br />

history but also the designs that represent<br />

the relentless pursuit of automotive<br />

perfection. Exhibiting six of Bugatti’s most<br />

memorable cars, the Louwman Museum<br />

truly underscores a remarkable legacy of<br />

incomparable aesthetics and innovation for<br />

Bugatti.<br />

Over 150 years of design history at<br />

the Nationales Automuseum<br />

Opened in July <strong>2023</strong>, and already revered<br />

as one of the most comprehensive<br />

and prestigious composition of works<br />

in Europe, the Stiftung Nationales<br />

Automuseum – The Loh Collection in<br />

Dietzhölztal, Germany, features around<br />

150 unique automobiles from 135 years of<br />

automotive history. Holding prominence<br />

amongst this field of automotive legends at<br />

the Stiftung Nationales Automuseum is the<br />

Bugatti Veyron Super Sport. The illustrious<br />

8.0-litre quad-turbocharged W16 engine<br />

is the embodiment of form and function<br />

going hand-in-hand – an ethos that is the<br />

lifeblood of Bugatti.<br />

It is this lifeblood that has run through<br />

Bugatti’s history, and the Loh Collection is<br />

also home to some of the most remarkable<br />

models at the very heart of this history,<br />

including the captivating Type 57C Aravis<br />

and Type 57C Atalante.<br />

An exceptional insight into the history of<br />

Bugatti<br />

Founded by a small fraternity of Bugatti<br />

enthusiasts back in October 1987, the<br />

Bugatti Trust encourages and facilitates<br />

research into the work of Ettore Bugatti<br />

and the Bugatti family.<br />

The organization was originally led by<br />

the late H G Conway, who was widely<br />

acknowledged as a leading Bugatti<br />

authority in the UK and globally. The<br />

Trust was conceived as a repository for<br />

Hugh’s extensive historical collection of<br />

photographs, correspondence, documents<br />

and Bugatti factory drawings.<br />

Located near the historic town of<br />

Cheltenham, UK, next to the historic<br />

Prescott Hillclimb, the Bugatti Trust is also<br />

home to some iconic Bugatti models. The<br />

Trust is open to the public and additionally<br />

runs an educational outreach program for<br />

schools and universities making use of its<br />

ever-expanding archive as well as physical<br />

museum artefacts.<br />

Last year the organization dedicated its<br />

main exhibition to Jean Bugatti, celebrating<br />

his life and pioneering influence on the<br />

Bugatti Type 57.<br />

<strong>November</strong><br />

47 <strong>2023</strong>


Driverless taxis gain ground in San Francisco<br />

California authorities have taken a major<br />

step forward in expanding driverless taxi<br />

services in San Francisco, giving the green<br />

light for operators Waymo and Cruise to<br />

compete with ride-share services and cabs.<br />

The California Public Utilities Commission<br />

(CPUC) heard six hours of public comment<br />

before voting three-to-one to let Waymo,<br />

a unit of Google-parent Alphabet, and<br />

General Motors-owned Cruise essentially<br />

run 24-hour robotaxi services in San<br />

Francisco.<br />

Waymo cars were cleared to travel at<br />

speeds as fast as 65 miles per hour (105<br />

kilometers per hour) without human<br />

drivers at the wheel, even in some<br />

inclement weather.<br />

It also won permission to offer driverless<br />

car rides to paying passengers in its home<br />

city of Mountain View, in Silicon Valley.<br />

Cruise was approved to run fared<br />

passenger service in San Francisco at no<br />

faster than 35 miles per hour and not<br />

through dense fog or heavy smoke.<br />

Previously, Cruise could charge customers<br />

only during certain hours of the day.<br />

Waymo had not been allowed to charge for<br />

rides without a human driver on board.<br />

Driverless cars were first introduced in San<br />

Francisco in 2014 with a mandatory human<br />

“safety driver” on board.<br />

Four years later, California scrapped its<br />

requirement for a human driver to be in<br />

the car.<br />

The CPUC session drew commenters from<br />

all sides of the issue, with some calling<br />

robotaxis unsafe menaces while others<br />

lauded them as solutions to everything<br />

from climate change to road rage.<br />

Driverless cars have gotten stuck in the<br />

middle of roads, blocked bus lanes or<br />

even interfered in police or firefighter<br />

operations.<br />

But others at the hearing praised the<br />

vehicles for giving independence to people<br />

with disabilities, making roads safer and<br />

helping eliminate discrimination.<br />

Others opposed cars of any kind, saying<br />

the future lies in clean, convenient and<br />

affordable public transit.<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 48


BMW to invest $750M in UK Mini plants<br />

to fuel electric car output<br />

German auto giant BMW announced it will<br />

invest 600 million pounds ($750 million)<br />

at its U.K. plants to take its iconic Mini<br />

brand all-electric by 2030, a fresh boost<br />

for Britain’s car industry following years of<br />

Brexit-related uncertainty.<br />

From 2026, BMW will make two electric<br />

models at its Mini plant in Oxford – the<br />

Mini Cooper 3-door and the compact<br />

crossover Mini Aceman. The plant will<br />

make only electric models as of 2030. The<br />

same two models will also be made in<br />

China and exports of those cars will begin<br />

in 2024.<br />

British business minister Kemi Badenoch<br />

will visit the plant in Oxford for the<br />

announcement of the investment, which<br />

the government said boosted total<br />

investment in the automotive sector in<br />

recent years to over 6 billion pounds.<br />

“BMW’s investment is another shining<br />

example of how the United Kingdom is<br />

the best place to build cars of the future,”<br />

British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak said<br />

in a statement.The carmaker said the<br />

U.K. government had provided support<br />

for the investment but did not provide<br />

details.<br />

BMW will also invest in its U.K. plant<br />

in Swindon which makes parts for Mini<br />

models. The company did not say what<br />

would happen to its engine plant in<br />

Hams Hall. The small, fast and affordable<br />

original Mini went on sale in 1959 and has<br />

remained popular under BMW since it<br />

revived the brand in 2001, but its future in<br />

Britain has been uncertain for years.<br />

Still, the industry remains on edge with<br />

both Britain and Europe’s carmakers calling<br />

for a delay in the implementation of post-<br />

Brexit “rules of origin”, under which 45%<br />

of the value of an EV being sold in the<br />

European Union must come from Britain or<br />

the EU from 2024 to avoid tariffs.<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 50


Türkiye ‘back in the game’ with lira carry trade<br />

A top Wall Street bank has said it expects<br />

real interest rates to turn positive by the<br />

end of the year and predicts a potential<br />

revival of Turkish lira carry trade as<br />

Ankara continues its overhaul in economic<br />

policymaking.<br />

Analysts at Goldman Sachs said Türkiye’s<br />

accelerated path toward rate normalization<br />

continued, as the country’s central bank<br />

delivered another sizable interest rate hike<br />

to rein in stubborn inflation.<br />

The policy shift from a yearslong easing<br />

cycle after President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s<br />

reelection in May has seen the country’s<br />

central bank triple its benchmark one-week<br />

repo rate to 30%.<br />

The bank has vowed readiness to raise rates<br />

further if needed to curb inflation, which<br />

shot back to nearly 60% in August.<br />

Erdoğan has publicly expressed his backing<br />

for the aggressive monetary tightening<br />

that seeks to cool inflation, rebuild foreign<br />

currency reserves and curb the chronic<br />

current account deficit.<br />

In a report titled “Türkiye is back in the<br />

game,” Goldman Sachs said real rates in<br />

Türkiye, still deeply negative despite the<br />

rate hikes, were on track to turn positive<br />

by year-end. Adjusted for the future<br />

inflationary outlook, real rates currently<br />

stand minus 29%.<br />

The report highlighted a shift in Türkiye’s<br />

economic approach and said the recent<br />

increase in policy rates suggests that<br />

deposit rates are likely to increase further,<br />

noting “support of a positive real rate<br />

strategy,” in sharp contrast to previous<br />

years, although implementation risks<br />

remain.<br />

The report emphasizes the renewed<br />

determination of the economic<br />

administration to provide positive real<br />

interest rates, saying it may now be<br />

possible to “beat the FX depreciation<br />

reflected in forward pricing” and that carry<br />

trade in the lira could be “back in the fray.”<br />

Goldman Sachs says a policy interest rate<br />

of 40% or above by the end of the year<br />

would bring Türkiye’s real rates into positive<br />

territory, given that it would surpass the<br />

inflation forecast for the next 12 months.<br />

Such a trend would reignite interest among<br />

foreign investors, including carry trade<br />

enthusiasts. Carry trade is a strategy where<br />

investors borrow money in countries with<br />

low-interest rates to invest in a currency<br />

with higher returns. The lira has weakened<br />

more than 30% against the United States<br />

dollar this year. Analysts at Goldman Sachs<br />

forecast that the currency would trade<br />

at 28 and 29 against the dollar in three<br />

and six months, respectively, stronger<br />

than the levels in the forward markets, at<br />

approximately 30 and 33<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 52


EBRD ups Türkiye growth outlook,<br />

sees inflow of foreign capital<br />

The European Bank for Reconstruction and<br />

Development (EBRD) raised its outlook<br />

for growth in Türkiye, marking the latest<br />

upward revision prompted by the fiscal<br />

stimulus in the run-up to the May elections<br />

and the post-vote shift in the economic<br />

policymaking. Growth for Türkiye, the<br />

single biggest recipient of EBRD funds,<br />

has been revised up to 3.5% from 2.5%<br />

for <strong>2023</strong>, the lender’s latest bi-annual<br />

growth forecast showed. This will help to<br />

partially offset weaker growth prospects in<br />

emerging Europe and the Mediterranean<br />

region, according to the bank.The EBRD<br />

still highlighted the challenging external<br />

balances and maintained its view for the<br />

next year when it expects the Turkish<br />

economy to grow by 3%. Overall, the EBRD<br />

region, which covers some 40 economies,<br />

is expected to expand by an average of<br />

2.4% this year before picking up speed to<br />

register output growth of 3.2% in 2024 as<br />

inflation eases further.<br />

Multiple global institutions, including the<br />

Organisation for Economic Co-operation<br />

and Development (OECD) as well as rating<br />

agencies Fitch and Moody’s, upgraded their<br />

<strong>2023</strong> forecast for Türkiye’s gross domestic<br />

product (GDP) growth.<br />

The revisals followed data showing the<br />

economy expanded by a more-thanexpected<br />

3.8% in the second quarter,<br />

following the revised growth of 3.9% in the<br />

first three months.<br />

Yet, activity is expected to slow through<br />

year-end as election-related stimulus fades<br />

and big rate hikes weigh.<br />

After winning reelection in May, President<br />

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan reshuffled his<br />

Cabinet and named an economy team of<br />

respected technocrats to lead a turn from<br />

a years-long easing cycle to aggressive<br />

monetary tightening to tackle the stubborn<br />

inflation.<br />

Mehmet Şimşek was appointed as treasury<br />

and finance minister, and Hafize Gaye Erkan<br />

took the helm of the country’s central<br />

bank.<br />

Since June, the central bank has tripled its<br />

benchmark one-week repo rate to 30%,<br />

including two sizable hikes in August and<br />

September. It says it is ready to raise rates<br />

further than needed to rein in inflation,<br />

which shot back to nearly 60% in August.<br />

The EBRD highlighted foreign financing<br />

imbalances, stressing the short-term<br />

external debt exceeding $200 billion and<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 54


the current account deficit at nearly $60<br />

billion.<br />

The lender also pointed out that foreign<br />

exchange reserves are increasing but<br />

continue to remain at a modest level.<br />

The central bank’s net international<br />

reserves have recovered strongly since<br />

June, increasing $30 billion in around four<br />

months.<br />

EBRD economists say Türkiye has shown<br />

a relatively strong growth performance<br />

in recent years, but there has been a<br />

slowdown.<br />

The report stated that GDP growth<br />

decreased from 5.6% to 3.9% in the first<br />

half of <strong>2023</strong> compared to the same period<br />

of 2022. It also highlighted the upward<br />

course in inflation, which is expected to rise<br />

to 60% by the end of <strong>2023</strong>.<br />

The new measures have encouraged an<br />

inflow of foreign capital, according to Rafik<br />

Selim, a regional chief economist at the<br />

EBRD, in what he says signals a return of<br />

foreign investors and helping rebuild the<br />

country’s reserves.<br />

Selim said the shift toward orthodox<br />

economic policies needs to be sustained,<br />

noting that the steps since the May<br />

elections have been received with cautious<br />

optimism by markets.<br />

“We are witnessing a decline in Türkiye’s<br />

credit risk premium (CDS) from its historic<br />

peak in May <strong>2023</strong>. We are also seeing<br />

an improvement in investor confidence.<br />

Foreigners’ holdings of Turkish equities and<br />

bonds have picked up strongly,” he told<br />

Anadolu Agency (AA).<br />

A measure of protection against potential<br />

EBRD Regional Chief Economist<br />

credit events, such as default, the CDS<br />

score, which stood at as high as 700 points<br />

before the May election, fell below 400<br />

basis points following the policy pivot and<br />

unveiling of the country’s new three-year<br />

medium-term economic program.<br />

“The new measures, such as consecutive<br />

hikes in policy interest rates, increases<br />

in the value-added and other taxes, and<br />

cutting back on interventions to defend the<br />

lira are expected to also lead to lowering<br />

the current account deficit, which has<br />

widened significantly, and rebuilding<br />

foreign exchange reserves,” Selim said.<br />

“The Medium-Term Program that was<br />

released in September has also been<br />

received positively by investors, signaling<br />

the authorities’ commitment to price<br />

stability, efficient distribution of resources<br />

and the sustainability of growth.”<br />

Selim said tighter fiscal and monetary<br />

policies will lead to a slowdown in growth<br />

in the second half of <strong>2023</strong>.<br />

“Leading indicators suggest that consumers<br />

and businesses are becoming more<br />

pessimistic and spending less. The fiscal<br />

deficit is also expected to remain larger<br />

than in recent years,” he added.<br />

Allowing the Turkish lira to depreciate led<br />

to a monthly current account surplus in<br />

July, the first since October 2021, and also<br />

because of solid tourism income, he said.<br />

“The depreciated lira will also help increase<br />

the competitiveness of Turkish exports,”<br />

Selim said.<br />

“Foreign capital is flowing, signaling a<br />

return of foreign investors, and helping<br />

in the rebuilding of reserves,” he said,<br />

adding that Türkiye was also able to secure<br />

investments from Gulf countries to the<br />

tune of $50 billion in different sectors, such<br />

as space and defense, energy and natural<br />

resources. Şimşek said the country had<br />

secured $10.4 billion in external financing<br />

since June. Out of this, the banking sector<br />

secured over $6.7 billion, the real sector<br />

attracted $3.26 billion and the non-banking<br />

financial sector accounted for $367 million.<br />

Selim stressed the importance of sustaining<br />

the shift toward orthodox economic<br />

policies, terming it crucial to attract<br />

investors and sustain their confidence, as<br />

well as ensuring more sustainable growth.<br />

“There is also a need to strengthen the<br />

monetary transmission mechanism to<br />

continue with the revisions in macro<br />

prudential policies and to gradually phase<br />

out schemes introduced to support the<br />

lira,” he said.<br />

“At the same time, the structural<br />

reform agenda must be reinvigorated to<br />

improve the business environment and<br />

the investment climate. This includes<br />

addressing systemic issues affecting<br />

Türkiye’s long-term growth potential.”<br />

<strong>November</strong><br />

55 <strong>2023</strong>


World Bank has confidence in economic team’s policies<br />

The World Bank has confidence in the<br />

policies of Türkiye’s new economic team,<br />

says Humberto Lopez, the bank’s country<br />

director, adding that the economic outlook<br />

for the Turkish economy will improve in<br />

mid-2024.<br />

Earlier in September, the global lender<br />

decided to more than double its funding<br />

for Türkiye to $35 billion over the next<br />

three years.<br />

“With those funds, both public and private<br />

sector will be supported,” Lopez told daily<br />

Hürriyet. They particularly aim to facilitate<br />

exporters’ access to loans, he added.<br />

One of the reasons for the World Bank’s<br />

decision to provide additional funding<br />

to Türkiye is the confidence in the new<br />

economic team’s policies, according to<br />

Lopez. Several factors played a role in the<br />

bank’s decision to boost its exposure to<br />

Türkiye, he noted.<br />

“The current road map for the economy<br />

and the macroeconomic adjustments<br />

that are being undertaken by Finance<br />

Minister Mehmet Şimşek and Central<br />

Bank Governor [Hafize Gaye] Erkan are<br />

increasing our confidence,” Lopez said.<br />

The Turkish economy will take a sigh of<br />

relief in mid-2024, and the economy will<br />

emerge stronger, Lopez said.<br />

“We forecast a growth rate above 3<br />

percent. We are very optimistic about it<br />

and do not expect economic activity to<br />

deteriorate.”<br />

In June, in its Global Economic Prospects<br />

report, the World Bank revised its GDP<br />

growth estimate for the Turkish economy<br />

for <strong>2023</strong> upwards from a previous 2.7<br />

percent to 3.2 percent. The bank’s growth<br />

forecasts for 2024 and 2025 are 4.3 percent<br />

and 4.1 percent, respectively.<br />

“There will be light at the end of the tunnel<br />

in the mid-2024. I am very optimistic about<br />

the outlook. I believe Türkiye will emerge<br />

from this difficult situation stronger.”<br />

“I am saying this because of two reasons:<br />

The Turkish private sector and people are<br />

resilient. They have the experience from<br />

the past crises, and they can adapt. Also,<br />

we see improvements in the data regarding<br />

the economy.”<br />

He recalled that two credit rating agencies<br />

have upgraded Türkiye’s outlook to stable<br />

from negative. “This is an important<br />

indicator.”<br />

Lopez, however, said that lowering inflation<br />

will take time.<br />

While commenting on the additional funds,<br />

Lopez stated, “We assessed the current<br />

situation and the needs and agreed that a<br />

new package worth $18 billion would be<br />

appropriate.”<br />

Some $6 billion will be allocated to the<br />

public sector and $9 billion to the World<br />

Bank’s International Finance Corporation<br />

(IFC), Lopez said.<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 58


EU seeks to put brakes on China without hurting ties<br />

When the EU launched an investigation<br />

into Chinese electric car subsidies, Brussels<br />

wanted the world to know that it will<br />

protect the automotive sector that is the<br />

jewel in Europe’s industrial crown, even<br />

if it upsets Beijing. European Commission<br />

President Ursula von der Leyen was<br />

resolute when she announced the probe<br />

on Sept. 13, denouncing unfair practices<br />

that undercut European competitors, but<br />

sparked an angry retort from China.<br />

Beijing warned the investigation would<br />

harm trade ties and accused the EU of<br />

“naked protectionism”, triggering fears<br />

of a trade war. The EU faces an almost<br />

impossible balancing act in its relations<br />

with China, which the bloc variously<br />

describes as a partner on global issues, an<br />

economic competitor and a systemic rival.<br />

On one hand, Brussels wants to maintain<br />

ties with Beijing to help resolve issues it<br />

believes can only be solved on a global<br />

level, such as climate change.<br />

On the other, the EU is seeking to reduce<br />

its dependence on China, heeding lessons<br />

from its past over-reliance on Russia for<br />

fossil fuels.<br />

Experts say this latest move demonstrates<br />

that the EU is willing to take action in line<br />

with its oft-repeated claim that it will “derisk”<br />

but not “decouple” from China.<br />

The driving force behind von der Leyen’s<br />

announcement was the EU’s bitter<br />

experience with China over solar panels.<br />

The car industry is significant for Europe,<br />

providing direct and indirect jobs to around<br />

14 million Europeans, some 6.1 percent of<br />

all EU employment.<br />

China’s carmakers are a growing threat,<br />

and this year it became the world’s largest<br />

exporter of cars, overtaking Japan for the<br />

first time. The share of Chinese electric<br />

car brands in Europe is surging, reaching<br />

6.1 percent between January and July this<br />

year, rising from a low base of 0.5 percent<br />

in 2019.<br />

China’s success is in large part due to<br />

its early investment in batteries and its<br />

domination of critical raw materials used<br />

in much clean tech. The EU is also rushing<br />

to pass a law to move away from relying<br />

on China for key materials such as lithium<br />

as part of a broader approach to bring<br />

more production to Europe and diversify its<br />

trading partners. Not everyone is convinced<br />

that China is guilty of unfair practices.<br />

Ferdinand Dudenhoeffer, an expert<br />

at the Center <strong>Automotive</strong> Research in<br />

Germany, accused von der Leyen of making<br />

“unfounded” claims, stressing that China’s<br />

success was due to “long-term” thinking<br />

and a “very strong” focus on developing<br />

electric cars.<br />

France pushed for a probe because “the<br />

French car industry is almost invisible in<br />

China”, Dudenhoeffer said, accusing Paris<br />

of seeking to protect its manufacturers at<br />

the expense of Germany’s carmakers, since<br />

40 percent of their sales are in China.<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 60


Togg to produce 1 mln vehicles by 2032<br />

Türkiye’s first electric carmaker Togg will<br />

produce a total of 1 million vehicles by<br />

2032, Industry and Technology Minister<br />

Fatih Kacır has said.<br />

Some 97 percent of those vehicles will<br />

be sold to consumers while the public<br />

institutions will buy the remaining 3<br />

percent, the minister told a group of<br />

journalists.<br />

“The target is to manufacture 175,000 Togg<br />

vehicles in five years. The charging stations<br />

with 1,662 outlets are now available in 81<br />

provinces of Türkiye,” he added.<br />

A total of 1,571 charging stations will be<br />

set up across the country and they will<br />

be available on all intercity highways,<br />

according to the minister. By the end of<br />

this year 20,000 Togg vehicles will be on<br />

the roads, he said. Türkiye may become an<br />

important player in autonomous cars, Kacır<br />

stressed.<br />

“We are very successful in unmanned<br />

aerial vehicles. Togg has a research center<br />

in Ankara. Some 200 highly qualified<br />

engineers, most of them have previously<br />

worked in the defense industry, are<br />

working there.” Kacır also announced a<br />

joint investment with Qatar to produce<br />

65 nanometer chips. The size of the<br />

investment will be $60 million, according<br />

to the minister. “Those chips are widely<br />

used in the automotive and white goods<br />

industries. Türkiye is a leading producer<br />

in those sectors. In while goods, it is the<br />

second largest producer in the world and<br />

the top producer in Europe.”<br />

He also said that Türkiye will contribute<br />

46 million euros to NATO’s 1 billion euro<br />

Innovation Fund.<br />

“Our target is to help Turkish tech<br />

enterprises receive resources, much larger<br />

than our contribution, from this fund.”<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 62


Turkish Airlines<br />

receives ‘World<br />

Class’ award for<br />

3rd time<br />

National flag carrier Turkish Airlines (THY) has been awarded the<br />

APEX World Class for the third time for its global leadership in guest<br />

experience and service quality in the aviation industry, according to<br />

the company’s statement.<br />

Besides Turkish Airlines, the 2024 APEX World Class airlines are<br />

Emirates, Japan Airlines, KLM Royal Dutch Airlines, Qatar Airways,<br />

SAUDIA, Singapore Airlines and Xiamen Airlines.<br />

Air carriers that win the award “truly master” guest experience by<br />

delivering outstanding customer service, as evaluated through a<br />

comprehensive audit of quality of service, safety and health control<br />

initiatives, according to APEX.<br />

Ahmet Olmuştur, Turkish Airlines’ chief marketing officer, said<br />

the award shows how well the carrier’s strategies and efforts are<br />

working.<br />

“Our ergonomic seats, personalized services, and unique offerings<br />

aimed at meeting our guests’ needs are all part of our efforts to<br />

make the flight experience exceptional,” he added.<br />

“In the world of elevated aviation experiences, Turkish Airlines<br />

soars above five-star airline status as a paragon of excellence,<br />

winning as one of the few prestigious 2024 APEX World Class<br />

airlines in the world,” said APEX CEO Joe Leader.<br />

He also praised Turkish Airlines’ on-board meals, saying: “With<br />

the touch of a Turkish Airlines flying chef, every meal becomes<br />

an unparalleled culinary journey, reminiscent of candlelit<br />

soirées under a starry Anatolian sky. Yet, it’s their authentic and<br />

extravagant Turkish hospitality, a blend of warmth and luxury, that<br />

truly encapsulates the heart of their service.”<br />

Founded in 1933, Turkish Airlines flies to 344 destinations in<br />

129 countries with a fleet of 429 aircraft.<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 64


World central banks rally behind ‘higher for longer’ credo<br />

Central banks of the world’s biggest<br />

economies have served notice that they<br />

will keep interest rates as high as needed<br />

to tame inflation, even as two years of<br />

unprecedented global policy tightening<br />

reaches a peak. The so-called “higher for<br />

longer” mantra is now the official stance of<br />

the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed), European<br />

Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England<br />

(BoE), as well as being echoed by monetary<br />

policy-makers from Oslo to Taipei.<br />

For central bankers first chastised for being<br />

late to spot the post-pandemic surge in<br />

inflation and then cautioned for overdoing<br />

their response, the prize of returning the<br />

global economy to stable prices without a<br />

recession is now within sight.<br />

Their task is to convince financial markets<br />

not to undo their work with bets on early<br />

rate cuts, and to watch for new risks<br />

such as rising oil prices – while hoping<br />

governments help with budgets that do not<br />

further fuel inflation.<br />

“We will need to keep interest rates high<br />

enough for long enough to ensure that we<br />

get the job done,” BoE Governor Andrew<br />

Bailey said after policymakers narrowly<br />

decided to hold its main interest rate at<br />

5.25%. Fed policymakers had a similar<br />

message. They held the Fed’s benchmark<br />

rate at 5.25%-5.50% but stressed they<br />

would remain tough in an inflation fight<br />

they now see lasting into 2026.<br />

In Europe, ECB President Christine Lagarde<br />

was adamant that further hikes for the<br />

20-country eurozone could not be ruled<br />

out. The central banks of Norway and<br />

Sweden both signaled they could hike<br />

again, with even the Swiss National Bank<br />

holding out the prospect of further interest<br />

rate hikes despite inflation at a comfortable<br />

1.6%.<br />

Türkiye’s central bank confirmed its<br />

hawkish turn while in Asia, Taiwan’s<br />

central bank flagged continued tight policy.<br />

The South African Reserve Bank held its<br />

key rate steady, but policymakers cited<br />

continued risks to the inflation outlook.<br />

Significant outliers include the Bank of<br />

Japan (BOJ), which kept interest rates ultralow,<br />

and the People’s Bank of China, where<br />

recent better economic prospects allowed<br />

it to keep rates on hold.<br />

Belgian central bank chief and ECB board<br />

member Pierre Wunsch – an early voice<br />

urging tougher central bank action to<br />

counter inflation from end-2021 – said that<br />

monetary policy was now at the right level.<br />

“At some point we were, I believe, lagging<br />

behind and we had to do some catch-up.<br />

But that’s over. We’ve done this catch-up,”<br />

Wunsch told. Despite gradually cooling,<br />

inflation in most large economies remains<br />

well above the target 2% level which<br />

central bankers deem healthy. In August it<br />

stood at 3.7% in the United States and 5.2%<br />

in the eurozone.<br />

But investors remain skeptical that central<br />

banks will stay the course given doubts<br />

over the strength of the Chinese economy<br />

and geopolitical worries from the Ukraine<br />

war to U.S.-Chinese rivalry.<br />

“By this time next year, we anticipate that<br />

21 out of the world’s 30 major central<br />

banks will be cutting interest rates,” Capital<br />

Economics wrote in a commentary entitled<br />

“A tipping point for global monetary policy.”<br />

It’s a potential twist that rattled markets.<br />

World stocks fell and the dollar gained<br />

as Treasury yields rose to levels last seen<br />

before the Great Financial Crisis. Sterling<br />

and the Swiss franc both tumbled.<br />

That said, the prospect that global interest<br />

rates are pretty close to peak will be<br />

of huge relief to emerging economies<br />

suffering from heavy debt servicing loads.<br />

With the United States and Europe both<br />

seen avoiding the outright recession once<br />

predicted, the enticing view of a “soft<br />

landing” for the global economy is coming<br />

back into sight, largely thanks to unusually<br />

buoyant labor markets.<br />

Policymakers admit they have yet to agree<br />

on an explanation for this. Some suggest<br />

firms are anxious to avoid a repeat of the<br />

skills shortages they suffered when the<br />

global economy took off in 2021 after<br />

COVID-19 lockdowns and so are “labor<br />

hoarding.”<br />

That unsolved puzzle means opinions are<br />

divided as to what the real underlying<br />

strength of the global economy is.<br />

Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda<br />

cautioned against declaring victory just yet.<br />

“We’ve seen heightening hopes for a U.S.<br />

soft landing. But there’s still uncertainty on<br />

whether that will indeed be the case,” he<br />

said. Some argue that this was why they<br />

detected, through all the tough talk, a noncommittal<br />

tone to the Federal Reserve’s<br />

language on the likelihood of a further rate<br />

hike this year.<br />

“(Fed chair Jerome) Powell was noncommittal<br />

and even faintly dovish about<br />

another <strong>2023</strong> hike, which is the actual<br />

here-and-now decision,” said Evercore ISI<br />

Vice Chairperson Krishna Guha. “This is a<br />

Fed that sees an opening for a soft landing<br />

and will try not to blow it.”<br />

mechanism to continue with the revisions<br />

in macro prudential policies and to<br />

gradually phase out schemes introduced to<br />

support the lira,” he said.<br />

“At the same time, the structural<br />

reform agenda must be reinvigorated to<br />

improve the business environment and<br />

the investment climate. This includes<br />

addressing systemic issues affecting<br />

Türkiye’s long-term growth potential.”<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 66


The Little Car Company Unveils the Tamiya Wild<br />

One MAX: A Fullscale, Road Legal, Electric Vehicle<br />

Built with Adventurein Mind<br />

The Little Car Company, manufacturers of<br />

hand built electric scaled cars, officially<br />

revealed the highly anticipated Tamiya Wild<br />

One MAX. Based on the original Tamiya<br />

Wild One (58050) radio-controlled car- first<br />

released in 1985 the Tamiya Wild One<br />

MAX has been relaunched as a full-scale<br />

vehicle and is now on sale worldwide, with<br />

road legal versions available for customers<br />

in the UK and EU. The Tamiya Wild<br />

One MAX from The Little Car Company<br />

represents a culmination of careful<br />

design, extensive feedback from deposit<br />

holders and subsequent upgrades on the<br />

original concept to deliver outstanding<br />

performance and usability. Despite<br />

industry-wide supply delays, The Little Car<br />

Company has taken the time to listen to the<br />

community and implement improvements<br />

that enhance the overall experience.<br />

Tamiya Wild One MAX<br />

The Tamiya Wild One MAX comes<br />

equipped with premium features including<br />

Cobrabucket seats with 4-point harnesses,<br />

a 5” digital screen with marine-grade<br />

switches, Brembo disc brakes all round, and<br />

adjustable Bilstein dampers paired with<br />

Eibach springs. It utilises 14” Maxxis offroad<br />

tyres front and rear.<br />

To enhance safety and comfort, The<br />

Little Car Company has made some<br />

modifications to the original R/C car<br />

design. The cockpit has been widened<br />

to comfortably accommodate two adult<br />

passengers, addressing a consistent<br />

request from existing deposit holders.<br />

Meanwhile, the front suspension turrets<br />

have been smoothed, improving visibility<br />

and pedestrian safety, while the front<br />

suspension itself has been upgraded<br />

from a “trailing arm” design to double<br />

wishbones. Ongoing development has seen<br />

the car increase in size, now measuring<br />

3.6m (141.7”) in length and 1.9m<br />

(74.8”) in width. The Little Car Company<br />

has also developed a windscreen and<br />

wiper mechanism to enhance the car’s<br />

practicality.<br />

For off-road enthusiasts, the Wild One<br />

MAX offers a ground clearance of 270mm,<br />

an approach angle of 34.1 degrees, a<br />

breakover angle of 28.4 degrees, and a<br />

departure angle of 50.8 degrees.<br />

The Wild One MAX is powered by eight<br />

swappable battery packs, providing a<br />

total capacity of 14.4kWh, a maximum<br />

estimated range of 200km (on road) and<br />

a top speed of up to 62 mph (100km/h),<br />

with the vehicle weighing around 500kg in<br />

total. When existing deposit holders were<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2023</strong> 68


surveyed about their interest in a road legal<br />

version, an overwhelming 95% expressed<br />

their desire for it. Consequently, each Wild<br />

One MAX has been developed by The<br />

Little Car Company to include a road legal<br />

pack in compliance with L7e quadricycle<br />

regulations* for the UK and EU markets.<br />

The Wild One MAX will be available in<br />

both left- hand drive and right-hand drive<br />

configurations.<br />

Tamiya Wild One MAX Launch<br />

Edition<br />

Strictly limited to the first 100 customers<br />

who place a deposit, the Launch Edition<br />

comeswith exclusive features in addition<br />

to the already high specification vehicle.<br />

Once the 100 Launch Edition examples are<br />

accounted for, the company will offer the<br />

standard Tamiya Wild One MAX vehicles at<br />

the same price and in an unlimited number.<br />

Each Launch Edition vehicle proudly<br />

displays a titanium plaque on the<br />

dashboard, acknowledging its status as<br />

one of the rare 1 of 100 Launch Edition<br />

units. The Launch Edition also encompasses<br />

a captivating carbon fibre dashboard,<br />

harmonising seamlessly with the matching<br />

carbon fibre key-fob. Additionally, in<br />

recognition of the vehicle’s influence<br />

and significance, Tamiya has decided<br />

to reintroduce a limited number of the<br />

original Wild One r/c model kits and, as<br />

part of the 100 limited-run Launch Edition<br />

package, the first 100 customers will be<br />

given a coveted Tamiya model kit of the<br />

iconic Wild One to build whilst they are<br />

waiting for delivery of their full-size car.<br />

To add a touch of personalisation, the<br />

holographic decals that are only on the<br />

LaunchEdition will be replicated at scale,<br />

allowing owners to embellish the rollbars<br />

on their r/cmodel vehicles to match their<br />

full-size equivalent.<br />

Ben Hedley, CEO of The Little Car Company,<br />

said: “Here at The Little Car Company we<br />

are on a mission to show that electric cars<br />

can be fun. We believe that you don’t<br />

need one thousand horsepower, stomach<br />

churning acceleration or electronic torque<br />

vectoring systems to make EVs enjoyable.<br />

We’ve strived to make the Tamiya Wild<br />

One MAX an exhilarating drive by following<br />

Colin Chapman’s ethos of “Simplify, then<br />

add lightness”. In my opinion, modern<br />

cars are now too large, too fast, too<br />

complicated, and too heavy - we believe<br />

that there is an alternative. Our goal is<br />

to create innovative lightweight vehicles<br />

which bring the purity and fun back into<br />

driving. I’m extremely proud of our talented<br />

engineering team who have brought this<br />

iconic Tamiya R/C car to life as a full-size<br />

car, capturing the nostalgia of the 1980s<br />

and bringing it to a brand-new audience<br />

with today’s technology. We also want<br />

to express our heartfelt gratitude to the<br />

Tamiya community and deposit holders for<br />

their unwavering support and invaluable<br />

input throughout the design process. Their<br />

enthusiasm, suggestions and feedback have<br />

delivered what we are proud to unveil to<br />

the world today. We’re looking forward to<br />

delivering this premium spec version of the<br />

Tamiya Wild One MAX with all the “bells<br />

and whistles”. Meanwhile, development<br />

will continue for both lower specification<br />

versions and kits for future launch.”<br />

<strong>November</strong><br />

69 <strong>2023</strong>

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