Ryktet om industrins död är betydligt överdrivet - Arena Idé
Ryktet om industrins död är betydligt överdrivet - Arena Idé Ryktet om industrins död är betydligt överdrivet - Arena Idé
! 0,5 0,45 0,4 0,35 0,3 0,25 0,2 0,15 0,1 0,05 0 Diagram 7. Andelar av BNP, 1980-2007. Källa: SCB, KI och egna beräkningar. 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 Industrins andel av real BNP Industrins andel av nominell BNP Tjänstesektorns andel av real BNP Tjänstesektorns andel av nominell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a[! 9MQ'\D6H'1&[! &1A.#C! %07! 5/6#6H/1..! H1&E/01! '/..! .%F/H'/A[! &Y:F/E6/6F! %07! ,'-/.:6/6FB! ^6! /6:,H'&/$&%:,A'! D&! #..'! C/6:&1! 16! k$&%:,A'k! %07! #..'! C1&! 16! -D&#&1! #E! ED&:1HA#$#6:1! k'\D6H'1&k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d%CC1&HA%..1F/,C!N)2(2PB! 26 !9!:16!%55/0/1..#!H'#'/H'/A16!A.#HH/5/01&#H!54&1'#F!%07!#&-1'HH'D..16!15'1&!:1&#H!7,E,:H#A./F#!E1&AH#C71'B!I1''#! /661-D&!#''!1''!54&1'#F!'/..74&!/6:,H'&/6!%C!:1HH!7,E,:H#A./F#!,$$F/5'!D&!#''!$&%:,01&#!/6:,H'&/$&%:,A'1&B! ^551A'16!#E!:1''#!D&!#''!HCY!E1&AH#C71'H54&D6:&/6F#&!A#6!/661-D&#!#''!54&1'#F!%CA.#HH/5/01&#H!%07!:D&C1:! A%CC1&!:1!#6H'D..:#!%0AHY!#''!'/..74&#!16!#66#6!-H07B!Le
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!<br />
0,5<br />
0,45<br />
0,4<br />
0,35<br />
0,3<br />
0,25<br />
0,2<br />
0,15<br />
0,1<br />
0,05<br />
0<br />
Diagram 7. Andelar av BNP, 1980-2007. Källa: SCB, KI och egna<br />
beräkningar.<br />
1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006<br />
Industrins andel av real BNP Industrins andel av n<strong>om</strong>inell BNP<br />
Tjänstesektorns andel av real BNP Tjänstesektorns andel av n<strong>om</strong>inell BNP<br />
I16! EDO#6:1! HA/..6#:16! /! $&%:,A'/E/'1'H'/..EDO'! C1..#6! /6:,H'&/6! %07! '\D6H'1H1A'%&6! W! H%C!<br />
,6:1&!:1!H16#H'1!(U!Y&16!7#&!4A#'!5&Y6!/!F16%CH6/''!([U!'/..!6D&C#&1!5V&#!$&%016'1671'1&!$1&!<br />
Y&! W! /661-D&! %0AHY[! E/:! 16! F/E16! &1.#'/E! 15'1&5&YF16/EY[! #''! #E/6:,H'&/#./H1&/6F16! /!<br />
HVHH1.HD''6/6FH'1&C1&!7#&!/6'16H/5/1&#'HB!?16!5#A',C!D&!#''!/6:,H'&/6H!'/..EDO'!H1:#6!(SS2!7#&!<br />
E#&/'!,6F15D&!:,--1.'!HY!74F!$1&!Y&!H%C!/!'\D6H'1H1A'%&6B!I1''#!7#&!-/:&#F/'!'/..!#''!/6:,H'&/Q<br />
HVHH1.HD''6/6F16H! #6:1.! #E! :16! '%'#.#! HVHH1.HD''6/6F16! /6'1! 7#&! 5#../'! C1&! D6! E#:! :16! 7#&!<br />
F\%&'B!<br />
!<br />
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-,&/'! #''! /6:,H'&/HVHH1.HD''6/6F16! 7#&! C/6HA#'B! ?1:! 16! F16%CH6/''./F! Y&./F!<br />
$&%:,A'/E/'1'H'/..EDO'!$Y!H1O!$&%016'!,6:1&!:1!H16#H'1!(U!Y&16!/661-D&!:1'!#''!15'1&5&YF#6!$Y!<br />
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/6:,H'&/HVHH1.HD''6/6F16!/6'1!HA,..1!7#!5#../'B!X/E1'!#''!15'1&5&YF#6!/6'1!7#:1!$YE1&A#'H!NE/.A1'!<br />
D&!74FH'!%H#66%./A'P!HA,..1!16!$&%:,A'/E/'1'H'/..EDO'!,6:1&!:1!H16#H'1!(U!Y&16!H%C!7#:1!.1F#'!<br />
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