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Inserção internacional, arranjos financeiros e crescimento da ...

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RESUMOPartindo <strong>da</strong> abor<strong>da</strong>gem Minskyana de instabili<strong>da</strong>de financeira e <strong>da</strong> abor<strong>da</strong>gem neoschumpeterianasobre a relação entre o Sistema Nacional de Inovações (SNI) e a competitivi<strong>da</strong>de <strong>da</strong>seconomias, chega-se a um padrão dos ciclos de <strong>crescimento</strong> <strong>da</strong>s economias com sistema financeirodeficiente e cujo SNI apresenta deficiências em relação aos SNIs <strong>da</strong>s economias desenvolvi<strong>da</strong>s.Segundo tal padrão, os ciclos de <strong>crescimento</strong> dessas economias iniciam-se a partir <strong>da</strong> estruturação de<strong>arranjos</strong> <strong>financeiros</strong> de financiamento e sustentação do <strong>crescimento</strong> econômico e terminam com crisescambiais e desestruturação desses <strong>arranjos</strong>. Conclui-se que os ciclos de <strong>crescimento</strong> <strong>da</strong> economiabrasileira entre 1947 e 2003 apresentam eleva<strong>da</strong> aderência em relação ao citado padrão.Palavras Chave: vulnerabili<strong>da</strong>de externa, <strong>arranjos</strong> <strong>financeiros</strong>, <strong>crescimento</strong> econômico brasileiro.ABSTRACTBy using the Minskyan approach of financial instability and the neo-schumpeterian approachto the relationship between the National System of Innovation (NSI) and economic competitiveness, astan<strong>da</strong>rd was obtained for growth cycles of economies whose NSI shows deficiencies when comparedwith the NSI of the developed countries. According to this stan<strong>da</strong>rd, growth cycles begin with thestructuring of financial arrangements and end with exchange crises and collapse of thosearrangements. It was concluded that growth cycles in the Brazilian economy between 1947 and 2003closely followed the above-mentioned stan<strong>da</strong>rd.Key-Words: external vulnerability, financial arrangements, Brazilian economic growth.Classificação JEL: E12, F37, F43, O11, O35

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