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A Bayesian Spatial Model for Panel Time Series DataHelio dos Santos MigonIM & COPPE - <strong>UFRJ</strong>The focus of this talk will be on the development of spatio-temporal econometrics models for paneldata, whose elements correspond to economic agents. The spatial dependence between agents’ will betake into account via an exogenous economic distance, which will be incorporated both in the mean andvariance structure of the model. In order to accomodate the presence of occasional outliers a t-Studentregression model is also introduced. The sensitivity to alternative hyperparameters prior specificationswill be evaluated. An illustrative application, using our proposed models, is presented to show how thejoint movements in output growth across Brazilian industrial sectors depends on the similarity of sectors’technologies. This is joint work with: Esther Salazar and Larissa Alves.17
“Objective Bayes” - A Dangerous DelusionAnthony O’HaganUniversity of Sheffield, United KingdomThe so-called “objective Bayes” movement justifies itself by arguments like this: Bayesian methodsare subjective and this is hindering the growth of Bayesian statistics, so let’s invent something called“objective Bayes”. I will argue instead that “objective Bayes” is dishonest and dangerous. My talk willincidentally answer questions like, What is objectivity? Just how objective is science? Just how objectiveare “objective Bayes” methods? If the “subjectivity” tag is a problem, what should we do about it?18
Page 4 and 5: 10 o Encontro Brasileiro de Estatí
Page 9 and 10: Particle LearningCarlos M. Carvalho
Page 12 and 13: Uso de Métodos Bayesianos em Anál
Page 15 and 16: Bayesian Inference for Aggregated F
Page 17: Product Partition Models with Corre
Page 21 and 22: Bayesian Non-Parametric Inference f
Page 23 and 24: Bayesian Computing with INLAHåvard
Page 27 and 28: Bayesian Inference for a Skew-Norma
Page 29 and 30: Bayesian Coalescent Modeling of the
Page 31 and 32: Partitioning Diversity Measure for
Page 33 and 34: Exact Simulation and Bayesian Infer
Page 35 and 36: Spatially Varying Autoregressive Pr
Page 37 and 38: Bayesian Beta Dynamic Model and App
Page 51 and 52: Generalized Exponential Distributio
Page 53 and 54: Análise Bayesiana da Priori Jeffer
Page 55 and 56: Neighborhood Dependence in Bayesian
Page 57 and 58: Aplicação do Algoritmo MCMC de Sa
Page 59 and 60: Decisões de Investimento e Restri
Page 61 and 62: Test for Symmetry in Contingency Ta
Page 63 and 64: Aplicações de Inferência Bayesia
Page 65 and 66: Uma Abordagem Bayesiana do Modelo M
Page 67 and 68: Accounting for Latent Spatio-Tempor
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Uma Abordagem Bayesiana para Proces
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A Bayesian Analysis for the General
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Comparação de um Modelo Dinâmico
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Estimando Variações de Temperatur
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A Bayesian Approach to Multivariate
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Bayesian Inference for Gamma Modula
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Computational Tools for Comparing A
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Modelo Partição Produto com “Cl
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BIC Criterion for Minimal Markov Mo
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Estimadores Lineares Bayesianos em
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Modelos de Volatilidade Estocástic
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Processo de Difusão Multivariado c
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Generalized Latent Factor Models fo
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Measuring Vulnerability via Spatial
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Medidas do Valor Preditivo de um Mo
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Aproximações Analíticas para Pos
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Modelo de Risco Logístico Dependen
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A Practical Approach to Elicit Mult
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Modelos Dinâmicos para Deformaçã
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A Semiparametric Bayesian Approach
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Modelo Weibull Modificado de Longa
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Abordagem Bayesiana para Modelos GA
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Modelo Bayesiano Geral de Classe La
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Métodos de Estimação em Modelos
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LASSO Bayesiano no Mapeamento de QT
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Estudo das Matrizes de Covariância
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Sensibilidade da Inferência Bayesi
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Análise Bayesiana para o Estudo de
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Uma Abordagem Bayesiana para Modelo
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Construção de Tábuas de Mortalid
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Um Procedimento Bayesiano para a An
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Um Novo Modelo para Dependência Es
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Distribuição Geométrica Exponenc
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Morbidade Pulmonar e Condições Cl
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Standard Setting for a Rasch Poisso
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Modelo Logístico Misto com Classes
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Metodologia Bayesiana para Detecç
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Modelos Espaço-Temporais para Dado
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Comparação de Modelos para a Iden
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Modelos Multivariados de Regressão
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Estimação Bayesiana em Modelos de
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Previsão de Resultados de Jogos de
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Uma Abordagem Bayesiana para Modelo
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Análise Bayesiana do Modelo Log-Bi
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Desempate TécnicoFilipe Jaeger Zab
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10 o Encontro Brasileiro de Estatí
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