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Rol van Fossiele bronnen: rapport - Instituut Samenleving en ...

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eserves attributed to improved recovery methods wh<strong>en</strong> (a) a project or pilot is<br />

planned, but not in operation and (b) rock, fluid, and reservoir characteristics are<br />

such that a reasonable doubt exists that the project will be commercial, and (5)<br />

reserves in an area of the formation that appears to be separated from the<br />

proved area by faulting and geological interpretation indicates the subject area is<br />

structurally lower than the proved area. Oft<strong>en</strong> referred to as 3P.<br />

Mate <strong>van</strong> zekerheid (in %)<br />

Probable Reserves – Waarschijnlijke reserves<br />

Probable reserves are those unproved reserves which analysis of geological and<br />

<strong>en</strong>gineering data suggests are more likely than not to be recoverable. In this<br />

context, wh<strong>en</strong> probabilistic methods are used, there should be at least a 50%<br />

probability that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the sum of<br />

estimated proved plus probable reserves. In g<strong>en</strong>eral, probable reserves may include<br />

(1) reserves anticipated to be proved by normal step-out drilling where subsurface<br />

control is inadequate to classify these reserves as proved, (2) reserves in<br />

formations that appear to be productive, based on well log characteristics, but<br />

lack core data or definitive tests and which are not analogous to producing or<br />

proved reservoirs in the area, (3) increm<strong>en</strong>tal reserves attributable to infill drilling<br />

that could have be<strong>en</strong> classified as proved if closer statutory spacing had be<strong>en</strong><br />

approved at the time of the estimate, (4) reserves attributable to improved<br />

recovery methods that have be<strong>en</strong> established by repeated commercially<br />

successful applications wh<strong>en</strong> (a) a project or pilot is planned, but not in operation<br />

and (b) rock, fluid, and reservoir characteristics appear favorable for commercial<br />

application, (5) reserves in an area of the formation that appears to be separated<br />

from the proved area by faulting and the geologic interpretation indicates the<br />

subject area is structurally higher than the proved area, (6) reserves attributable<br />

to a future workover, treatm<strong>en</strong>t, re-treatm<strong>en</strong>t, change of equipm<strong>en</strong>t, or other<br />

mechanical procedures, where such procedure has not be<strong>en</strong> proved successful<br />

in wells which exhibit similar behavior in analogous reservoirs, and (7)<br />

increm<strong>en</strong>tal reserves in proved reservoirs where an alternative interpretation of<br />

performance or volumetric data indicates more reserves than can be classified as<br />

proved. Oft<strong>en</strong> referred to as 2P.<br />

144<br />

90%<br />

50%<br />

10%<br />

totale voorraad<br />

totale bek<strong>en</strong>de voorraad<br />

totale reserves<br />

bewez<strong>en</strong> reserves<br />

waarschijnlijke reserves niet winbaar geacht onbek<strong>en</strong>de voorraad<br />

mogelijke reserves<br />

Zoek<strong>en</strong>, vind<strong>en</strong> <strong>en</strong> winn<strong>en</strong>

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