Rol van Fossiele bronnen: rapport - Instituut Samenleving en ...

Rol van Fossiele bronnen: rapport - Instituut Samenleving en ... Rol van Fossiele bronnen: rapport - Instituut Samenleving en ...

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(NOC’s) in OPEC countries. Some countries, like Saudi Arabia and Kuwait are capable of doing these. Other countries have problems to invest, since they do not let in foreign capital or spend their income on other, politically driven, issues like local subsidies or weapons. Moreover, in many (potential) production countries local or general opposition exists against the production of coal, oil, gas and uranium, because insufficient care is taken of the interest and health of the inhabitants. On the long term both the availability and use of the energy resources will become a real problem, with respect to the effect on sustainability. Geopolitical relations and responses As a consequence of the developing tension between demand and supply the role of geopolitical considerations will increase. One of the resulting effects will be that governments of consumer countries will explicitly use the supply certainty of energy as an aim in their energy policy, where this was left to the market in the recent past. Both with respect to the certainty of energy supply and sustainability it does not seem obvious anymore that market forces alone will yield the desired situation. Governmental steering is required. Supply, in terms of available and producible reserves of coal, oil, gas and uranium, is especially determined by the way in which the industry and governments will be able to create a balanced value chain. The interaction between governments and market actors is fundamental for the future supply of energy carriers. Beside a physical component, including adequate production, transport and buffer capacity, the chain requires a coherent institutional component, in which the financial-economic mix is taken care of in such a way that minimal (geo)political and social tensions will arise, whereas sufficient certainty exist to make the necessary investments. For the energy policy of North West European governments this means that it is important to take measures which are effective in stimulating the investment climate on the shorter term and on an international scale. Basic elements are the mining and tax regimes, market regulations and market forces policy, environmental and other licenses and freedom of capital movement. In the long run price effects, related to shortages and dependence effects will automatically become stronger driving forces. To mould the market forces on the middle long term in the desired direction, mondial and local environmental environmental effects and dependence relationships must be made visible in the costs and prices of energy. An important conclusion is that the expected market developments must be assessed within the correct time frame for an adequate policy reaction. Sustainability as a challenge An aspect not to be neglected is that the extraction of the energy carriers has consequences for the environment and for the people living in the vicinity of the extraction locations. Disadvantageous impacts for example are the pollution of the local environment, emission with a negative health impact for the local people, but sometimes also bad working conditions and the exhaustion of the local resources. Sustainable development starts with the search for a long term balance between the environment, economy and solidarity with future generations. Policy thinking that links sustainability to the extraction of coal, oil, gas and uranium, does require a 6 Zoeken, vinden en winnen

widening of the traditional scope, both with respect to time and the area covered, and asks for insight in the justice of the energy and environmental policy. In the report the external impact of the current Flemish energy policy has been expressed in economic terms by means of the concept of ‘external costs’. For this the Extern-E-programma was used, which has been developed for the European Commission. The total external costs of the use of fossil energy carriers and uranium in Flanders amounts to almost € 1 billion per year. In the cost assessment the origin of the energy flows has been taken into account. The major part of the external costs is linked to the use of oil. These costs arise by the burning of acid gasses associated to the oil extraction in Russia and the related emission of SO2. On the second place the external costs related to the upstream processes in the chain for uranium follow. These are mainly caused by exhibition to radiation, as a consequence of radon emissions from storage deposits for radioactive waste at the mining sites. Significance for Flanders For the Flemish government there are in principle two policy areas where choices will have to be made and solutions can be promoted. These are the availability of sufficient sources and the more sustainable development of the extraction locations. Political choices are required to achieve effective impact in these areas. One of the most important conclusions drawn from the study is that an explicit distinction has to be made between, on one hand, the demand - and supply aspects, which are related to the current market circumstances and, on the other hand, the developments which will become relevant in the longer term. If this distinction is not made explicitly, wrong policy decisions, with really negative impacts are likely. The piling-up of market interventions that do not relate well to the real problems and to the term on which they occur, can have serious negative consequences for the energy market and for the energy security of supply in broader sense. On top of this, for Flanders the international and the federal policy component are very important. Security of supply is of vital interest for all EU Member States. If any doubt arises in this area or asymmetry between the countries, the tendency will grow to implement unilateral energy policies. However, because of the European integration of energy markets and the liberalisation of these markets, less and less possibilities exist to pursue effective national policy. In general sense it is important to create an acceptable balance between producers and consumers by means of starting dialogues on aforesaid and other aspects, such as technology transfer, support in generating added value, etc. Frameworks for the policy in the longer term and at international level are described under the head "geopolitical relations and the responses to these" above. With regard to the more sustainable development on the extraction locations it is possible for Flanders to stop own local subsidies, which promote wrong situations elsewhere. To start with these types of subsidies have to be mapped for Flanders, like as this for example was done for the Netherlands. It is not simple to enforce better working conditions and environmental care from Flanders. However, for some carriers direct possibilities seem of existing. In the report several measures are suggested, such as making demands to the origin of uranium and license requirements for the exploitation of biomass. Zoeken, vinden en winnen 7

wid<strong>en</strong>ing of the traditional scope, both with respect to time and the area covered, and<br />

asks for insight in the justice of the <strong>en</strong>ergy and <strong>en</strong>vironm<strong>en</strong>tal policy.<br />

In the report the external impact of the curr<strong>en</strong>t Flemish <strong>en</strong>ergy policy has be<strong>en</strong><br />

expressed in economic terms by means of the concept of ‘external costs’. For this the<br />

Extern-E-programma was used, which has be<strong>en</strong> developed for the European<br />

Commission. The total external costs of the use of fossil <strong>en</strong>ergy carriers and uranium<br />

in Flanders amounts to almost € 1 billion per year. In the cost assessm<strong>en</strong>t the origin<br />

of the <strong>en</strong>ergy flows has be<strong>en</strong> tak<strong>en</strong> into account.<br />

The major part of the external costs is linked to the use of oil. These costs arise by<br />

the burning of acid gasses associated to the oil extraction in Russia and the related<br />

emission of SO2. On the second place the external costs related to the upstream<br />

processes in the chain for uranium follow. These are mainly caused by exhibition to<br />

radiation, as a consequ<strong>en</strong>ce of radon emissions from storage deposits for radioactive<br />

waste at the mining sites.<br />

Significance for Flanders<br />

For the Flemish governm<strong>en</strong>t there are in principle two policy areas where choices will<br />

have to be made and solutions can be promoted. These are the availability of<br />

suffici<strong>en</strong>t sources and the more sustainable developm<strong>en</strong>t of the extraction locations.<br />

Political choices are required to achieve effective impact in these areas.<br />

One of the most important conclusions drawn from the study is that an explicit<br />

distinction has to be made betwe<strong>en</strong>, on one hand, the demand - and supply aspects,<br />

which are related to the curr<strong>en</strong>t market circumstances and, on the other hand, the<br />

developm<strong>en</strong>ts which will become rele<strong>van</strong>t in the longer term. If this distinction is not<br />

made explicitly, wrong policy decisions, with really negative impacts are likely. The<br />

piling-up of market interv<strong>en</strong>tions that do not relate well to the real problems and to<br />

the term on which they occur, can have serious negative consequ<strong>en</strong>ces for the<br />

<strong>en</strong>ergy market and for the <strong>en</strong>ergy security of supply in broader s<strong>en</strong>se.<br />

On top of this, for Flanders the international and the federal policy compon<strong>en</strong>t are<br />

very important. Security of supply is of vital interest for all EU Member States. If any<br />

doubt arises in this area or asymmetry betwe<strong>en</strong> the countries, the t<strong>en</strong>d<strong>en</strong>cy will grow<br />

to implem<strong>en</strong>t unilateral <strong>en</strong>ergy policies. However, because of the European<br />

integration of <strong>en</strong>ergy markets and the liberalisation of these markets, less and less<br />

possibilities exist to pursue effective national policy.<br />

In g<strong>en</strong>eral s<strong>en</strong>se it is important to create an acceptable balance betwe<strong>en</strong> producers<br />

and consumers by means of starting dialogues on aforesaid and other aspects, such<br />

as technology transfer, support in g<strong>en</strong>erating added value, etc. Frameworks for the<br />

policy in the longer term and at international level are described under the head<br />

"geopolitical relations and the responses to these" above.<br />

With regard to the more sustainable developm<strong>en</strong>t on the extraction locations it is<br />

possible for Flanders to stop own local subsidies, which promote wrong situations<br />

elsewhere. To start with these types of subsidies have to be mapped for Flanders,<br />

like as this for example was done for the Netherlands.<br />

It is not simple to <strong>en</strong>force better working conditions and <strong>en</strong>vironm<strong>en</strong>tal care from<br />

Flanders. However, for some carriers direct possibilities seem of existing. In the<br />

report several measures are suggested, such as making demands to the origin of<br />

uranium and lic<strong>en</strong>se requirem<strong>en</strong>ts for the exploitation of biomass.<br />

Zoek<strong>en</strong>, vind<strong>en</strong> <strong>en</strong> winn<strong>en</strong><br />

7

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