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<strong>LitNet</strong> Akademies Jaargang 9(2), Augustus 2012<br />

significance regard<strong>in</strong>g the lat<strong>te</strong>r are the at<strong>te</strong>mpts by revolutionary and left-w<strong>in</strong>g parties to<br />

delibera<strong>te</strong>ly crea<strong>te</strong> so-called party sta<strong>te</strong>s.<br />

Regard<strong>in</strong>g the macrostructural factors, the follow<strong>in</strong>g are important: Firstly, the low levels of<br />

socio-econ<strong>om</strong>ic development <strong>in</strong> almost every African sta<strong>te</strong>. Modernisation theorists are<br />

unanimous <strong>in</strong> their belief that for a democratic sys<strong>te</strong>m to survive it needs high levels of socioecon<strong>om</strong>ic<br />

development. However, when survey<strong>in</strong>g the African cont<strong>in</strong>ent it is noticeable that<br />

it is the only region <strong>in</strong> the world that has bec<strong>om</strong>e poorer over the past 25 years. Widespread<br />

poverty is perhaps the most salient charac<strong>te</strong>ristic of every African society. Indicative of the<br />

dire situation is the fact that only two of the 54 sta<strong>te</strong>s on the cont<strong>in</strong>ent are not <strong>in</strong>cluded <strong>in</strong> the<br />

lowest third of the Human Development Index (HDI) of the Uni<strong>te</strong>d Nations Development<br />

Program (UNDP).<br />

The second macrostructural factor <strong>in</strong>hibit<strong>in</strong>g democratic transition is the <strong>in</strong>cidence of conflict<br />

and violence occurr<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> many sta<strong>te</strong>s. In <strong>te</strong>rms of democratic peace theory the establishment<br />

of a democratic sys<strong>te</strong>m of government should br<strong>in</strong>g about a more peaceful society. However,<br />

<strong>in</strong> Africa this does not happen. On the contrary, conflict and violence <strong>in</strong> and among sta<strong>te</strong>s are<br />

still evident despi<strong>te</strong> the democratisation process. It even appears as if the democratisation<br />

process itself is generat<strong>in</strong>g conflict and violence.<br />

The third macrostructural obstacle <strong>in</strong> the way of successful democratic consolidation <strong>in</strong><br />

Africa is the divisive <strong>in</strong>fluence of ethnicity. Accord<strong>in</strong>g to observers politicised ethnic<br />

relations and the politics of ethnic mobilisation are not only the ma<strong>in</strong> sources of conflict <strong>in</strong><br />

Africa s<strong>in</strong>ce <strong>in</strong>dependence, but also the ma<strong>in</strong> stumbl<strong>in</strong>g-block <strong>in</strong> the socio-econ<strong>om</strong>ic<br />

development of most sta<strong>te</strong>s. Indicative of the divisive effects of ethnicity <strong>in</strong> the political life<br />

of many African sta<strong>te</strong>s is the formation of ethnically <strong>in</strong>spired opposition movements,<br />

guerrilla <strong>in</strong>surgencies and separatist movements. In extreme cases ethnicity has even led to<br />

the partition<strong>in</strong>g of sta<strong>te</strong>s and acts of genocide.<br />

Key words: democracy; democratisation; democratic consolidation; civil society; political<br />

culture; political eli<strong>te</strong>; ethnicity; neopatrimonialism; media freed<strong>om</strong>; socio-econ<strong>om</strong>ic<br />

development<br />

1. Die politieke-kultuur-faktore<br />

1.1 Die bestaan van ’n onderworpe politieke kultuur <strong>in</strong> k<strong>om</strong>b<strong>in</strong>asie met parogiale politieke<br />

oriëntasies<br />

Politieke kultuur word deur politieke we<strong>te</strong>nskaplikes beskryf as <strong>die</strong> patroon van oriëntasies of<br />

<strong>in</strong>ges<strong>te</strong>ldhede van ’n samelew<strong>in</strong>g jeens politieke objek<strong>te</strong> soos partye, reger<strong>in</strong>gs en <strong>die</strong><br />

grondwet en uitgedruk <strong>in</strong> oortuig<strong>in</strong>gs, simbole en waardes. Politieke kultuur verskil van<br />

openbare men<strong>in</strong>g deurdat dit gevorm is uit lang-gekoes<strong>te</strong>rde waardes en gebruike eerder as<br />

mense se reaksies op spesifieke beleidsrigt<strong>in</strong>gs, gebeure en probleme (Heywood 2002:200).<br />

In ’n pog<strong>in</strong>g <strong>om</strong> <strong>die</strong> politieke kultuur <strong>te</strong> identifiseer wat as <strong>die</strong> mees geskik<strong>te</strong> beskou word <strong>om</strong><br />

’n demokratiese politieke bes<strong>te</strong>l <strong>te</strong> onderhou, het Almond en Verba (1989:1–29) drie<br />

547

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