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Global Jihad: temi, piste di diffusione e il fenomeno del reducismo ...

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classified literature, could possibly design and bu<strong>il</strong>d a crude nuclear device.” 168 In<br />

1987, a group of former weapons designers calculated that “the number of specialists<br />

required [to construct a crude nuclear weapon]…could be scarcely fewer than three<br />

or four and might as well be more.” 169<br />

The manufacture of a ra<strong>di</strong>ological weapon is vastly less complicated than the<br />

assembly of a nuclear explosive device, and may be well within a terrorist groups<br />

capab<strong>il</strong>ity,<br />

although the handling and <strong>di</strong>spersion of highly ra<strong>di</strong>oactive materials<br />

poses health and safety challenges that a terrorist group might not wish to risk for<br />

fear of incapacitation or <strong>di</strong>scovery. The quantity of ra<strong>di</strong>oactive materials needed for a<br />

<strong>di</strong>spersal device is substantially less than the amount of plutonium<br />

needed to bu<strong>il</strong>d<br />

an explosive device. Nor would the terrorist group be limited to plutonium or HEU<br />

for<br />

source materials; any highly ra<strong>di</strong>oactive substance could cause contamination<br />

and necessitate an expensive clean up if <strong>di</strong>spersed effectively. 170<br />

Section 1 Conclusion<br />

The lesson from this section is that ultimately the threat posed by NR terrorism can<br />

only be gauged by looking at the convergence of the in<strong>di</strong>vidual elements involved.<br />

The intent and w<strong>il</strong>lingness of a terrorist organisation to perpetrate a nuclear or<br />

ra<strong>di</strong>ological attack is equally as important as the means by which they can obtain the<br />

technologies, materials and knowledge to do so.<br />

The means (or “supply-side”) by which terrorists can access potentially dangerous<br />

substances are becoming more numerous and the danger is real as<br />

shown by the rise<br />

168 Office of Technology Assessment, Nuclear Proliferation and Safeguards (New York: Praeger Press, 1997), p141<br />

169 Carson, M.J., Taylor, T et al, “Can Terrorists Bu<strong>il</strong>d a Nuclear Weapon?” in Leventhal and Alexander, Preventing<br />

Nuclear Terrorism (Lexington, MA: Lexington Books, 1987), p58<br />

170 NTI, Introduction to Ra<strong>di</strong>ological Terrorism, Nuclear Threat Initiative, [Online]<br />

http://www.nti.org/h_learnmore/radtutorial/ [Last Accessed 17/04/04]<br />

241

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