20.05.2013 Views

Global Jihad: temi, piste di diffusione e il fenomeno del reducismo ...

Global Jihad: temi, piste di diffusione e il fenomeno del reducismo ...

Global Jihad: temi, piste di diffusione e il fenomeno del reducismo ...

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

This work assesses the threat of nuclear and ra<strong>di</strong>ological terrorism separately, and<br />

therefore <strong>di</strong>scusses the dangers associated with RDDs under the rubric of<br />

ra<strong>di</strong>ological terrorism, ad<strong>di</strong>ng a further scenario – that of ra<strong>di</strong>ological assassination.<br />

1. The Magnitude of the Threat<br />

The extent of the danger posed by each of these scenarios is best evaluated by<br />

assessing the various elements that must converge in order to produce favourable<br />

con<strong>di</strong>tions for an attack. Each in<strong>di</strong>vidual factor is a necessary pre-con<strong>di</strong>tion, but not<br />

sufficient in and of itself to lead to an NR terrorist event. These factors are:<br />

• The intention of a sub-national group to pursue, and ultimately use, a nuclear<br />

or ra<strong>di</strong>ological weapon;<br />

• The ava<strong>il</strong>ab<strong>il</strong>ity of sufficient nuclear or ra<strong>di</strong>ological sources;<br />

• The means to obtain the necessary technologies and materials;<br />

• The technical<br />

knowledge and expertise to use the materials and technologies<br />

to create a viable weapon<br />

The factors can be more simply described as the w<strong>il</strong>l and the way.<br />

215

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!