Kondisi Energi Primer (Minyak dan Gas) Indonesia - Teknik Elektro ...

KONDISI ENERGI PRIMER(MINYAK DAN GAS) INDONESIAOleh:Eko WidiantoVP EP Technology CenterPT PERTAMINA (Persero)Disampaikan pada:Pertemuan NasionalForum Komunikasi Pendidikan TinggiTeknik Elektro Indonesia 2007Yogyakarta, 5 – 6 Desember 2007

CURRICULUM VITAEName: Ir. Eko Widianto, MTPlace of Birth : Semarang, 3 September 1955Marital Status : MarriedAddress : Rancho Indah, Jl. Tanjung 19 / Blok G-21Tanjung Barat, Jakarta Selatan 12530Email : eko.widianto@pertamina.comAcademic Record : 1982 : S1 Geologi UGM1999 : S2 Applied Geophysic ITBWork History :1982 – 1985 : Pertamina Exploration Division Jakarta1986 – 1993 : Pertamina Exploration Department Plaju1993 – 1994 : Pertamina BPPKA Jakarta1994 – 1997 : Head of Exploration Planning Jakarta1998 – 2000 : Exploration Manager JOB Pertamina – Greka Energy2000 – 2002 : Chief Geophysic Pertamina UpstreamChairman of HAGI2002 – 2006 : GM JOB Pertamina-ConocoPhillips (Sakakemang) Ltd.2006 – 2006 : Head of New Venture Division Pertamina2006 – now : VP EP Technology Center PertaminaPT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)PERTAMINAPage 2

AGENDA• PENDAHULUAN• PRODUKSI DAN KONSUMSI MINYAK BUMI• PRODUKSI DAN KONSUMSI GAS BUMI• CADANGAN MIGAS NASIONAL•KESIMPULAN3

History of Oil & Gas Exploration in IndonesiaDutch Colonial – Law 8/1971 EraThe history of Indonesia’s petroleum industry goes back to theDutch colonialism era and was marked by the beginning ofsystematic oil exploration in 1865. The first well wasdrilled in 1871, and the first oil field discovery was made in1885.Since the independence of Indonesia in 1945 and up to 1950,most oil fields had been discovered in East Java, South andCentral Sumatra, and East Kalimantan. In 1966, Pertaminawas established as a merger of several upstream anddownstream Dutch oil companies.The new contract system (PSC) was first introduced in thesame year. In 1971, a new law no 8 clarified Pertamina’sroles as an upstream and downstream operator, as well ascontractors’ regulator. A 2001 law specified thederegulation of the country’s oil and gas industryPT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)PERTAMINAPage 4

REFORM PHILOSOPHYPREVIOUSN E WPERTAMINA(GOVERNMENT)• REGULATOR• PLAYER1971 - 2001(LAW NO. 8/1971)PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)PERTAMINAPLAYERPERTAMINA& OTHERSREGULATORDOWNSTREAMPage 5GOVERNMENTPOLICY’SBOUNDARYSUPERVISORUPSTREAM2001-RECENT(LAW NO. 22/2001)Heri Purnomo, 2006

INDONESIA TOP 10 OIL and GAS PRODUCERSRef PetroEnergy Magazine No. 6 Year II Oct – November 2005Note : * PERTAMINA Production = PERTAMINA EP + Joint CompanyCALTEX PACIFIC INDONESIA452.63TOTAL2,679.00PERTAMINA*136.12PERTAMINA*1,107.00CONOCOPHILLIPS LTD92.80EXXONMOBIL OIL INDONESIA986.00TOTAL69CONOCOPHILLIPS LTD839.00CNOOC(SES) BV65.93VICO613.00PETROCHINA INT’L IND.LTD53.8UNOCAL INDONESIA191.00MEDCO E&P INDONESIA52.95PREMIER OIL151.00UNOCAL45.24MEDCO E&P INDONESIA115.64VICOBPINDONESIAOil, MBOPD25.7023.12KODECOPETROCHINA INT’L IND LTDGas, MMSCFD113.7082.68GEOTHERMAL WORLD INSTALLED CAPACITYMW2.228USA1.909PHILLIPINE855MEXICO852INDONESIA785ITALY546JAPAN437NEW ZEALAND172.1ICELAND161.1EL SALVADOR142.5COSTA RICAPT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)PERTAMINARef International Geothermal Association, Nov 2005Note : PERTAMINA EP Geothermal Electric Power Capacity : 162 MWPage 6

Produksi dan KonsumsiMinyak bumi7

9000REALISASI DAN PROYEKSI ENERGI PRIMER800070006000SBM/hari500040003000200010000199019921994199619982000200220042006200820102012201420162018202020222024Minyak Bumi Batubara Gas Tenaga Air Panas Bumi EBT LainnyaPERTAMINA PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)Page 8

INDONESIA: Oil production (bars) & consumption (dots)Thousands of barrels of oil per day20001800160014001200100080060040020001955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000© Energyfiles LtdYearPT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

INDONESIA: Oil production forecast to 20502000Thousands of barrels of oil per day18001600140012001000800600400200© Energyfiles Ltd01930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050YearPT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

1800REALISASI DAN PROYEKSI MINYAK BUMI(SKENARIO PESIMIS)15001200Ribu Barrel/hari90060030001990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 2020 2023PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)PERTAMINAProduksi Skenario PesimisKebutuhan DomestikPage 11

Produksi dan KonsumsiGas bumi12

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CADANGAN MINYAK INDONESIAN DAN PROVEN GAS OIL AND TERBUKTI GAS RESERVES INDONESIA1980 -200614,0003,50012,0003,00010,0002,5008,0002,000MMBOTCF6,0001,5004,0002,000019801981Annual report OPEC 2006PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)198219831984198519861987198819891990199119921993YEAR199419951996199719981999200020012002200320042005OIL (mmbo)GAS (TCF)20061,0005000

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PRODUKSI GAS ALAM INDONESIANATURAL GAS OF INDONESIA(1980-2006) dalam in MMSCF) MMSCFD100,00090,00080,00070,00060,00050,00040,000Gross Production mmscfMarketed ProductionFlaringReinjectionShrinkage30,00020,00010,00001980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005Annual report OPEC 2006PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

14000PEMANFAATAN VS PRODUKSI GAS BUMI(REALISASI DAN PRODUKSI)1200010000MMSCFD800060004000200001990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 2020 2023Catatan: Berdasarkan cadangan P1 dan P2 status saat iniPT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)PERTAMINAKontrak Ekspor Kontrak Domestik Tambahan Domestik Produksi CBMImpor LNG Produksi Kemampuan ProduksiPage 17

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Cadangan dan Sumberdaya MigasNasionalPT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)PERTAMINAPage 21

INDONESIA TERTIARY SEDIMENTARY BASINSSOUTH CHINA SEASULAWESISEAeasternPACIFIC OCEAN400 KMINDIAN OCEANBANDA SEAwesternTOTAL OF60 BASINSUNDRILLED22DRILLED38PRODUCING15NON PRODUCING23DISCOVERY8NON DISCOVERY15OIL & GAS RESOURCES & RESERVESRESOURCESOIL(BBO)84.47GAS(TCF)384.27RESERVES8.88133.37Status : Jan 01, 1999PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)PERTAMINAPage 22

INDONESIA OIL RESERVEACEHNATUNA148.6NorthSumatraCentralSumatra111.02,398.10.2EastKalimantan582.339.5IRIAN JAYA92.1SouthSumatra682.710.2500.4OIL RESERVE 1P (MMSTB)PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)PERTAMINAWest Java162.9East JavaPROVEN : 4,728 MMSTBPOTENTIAL : 5,024.6 MMSTBTOTAL : 9,746.4 MMSTBPage 23DINAS STUDI EKS.& EVAL JIAN-BANG.

INDONESIA NATURAL GAS RESERVEACEHNATUNA3,896NorthSumatera728CentralSumateraSouthSumatera3,2214,26052,0805,190West JavaNATURAL GAS 2P (BSCF)4,395East JavaEastKalimantan31,8143,6541P : 91,170.2 BSCF2P : 134,015.5 BSCF3P : 178,128.8 BSCFIRIAN JAYA14,782DINAS STUDI EKS.& EVAL JIAN-BANG.PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)PERTAMINAPage 24

WILAYAH KERJA PT PERTAMINA (EP)OIL & GAS POTENTIAL1093314765358515233349967246Total: 4 BB0 & 35.5 TCFG625342330646024 2221417210865233095816812466: oil bubble-graph: gas bubble-graph2466 : oil in MMbbls9314 : gas in Bcu.ft65 : number of closurePT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)Total Luas WK : 142.510 km2

Newton (2004)Awang H. Satyana - BPMIGASPT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

INDONESIAN ENERGYPOTENTIAL 2007FOSSILENERGYRESOURCES RESERVES PRODUCTIONRESERVE/PRODUCTION(YEAR)Oil86.9 billion barrel9.1 billionbarrel*)365 millionbarrel25Gas 384.7 TSCF 187 TSCF 2.77 TSCF 68Coal90.5 billion ton18.7 billion ton170 millionton110CBM 453 TSCF - - -PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

Kesimpulan• Secara nasional pemenuhan kebutuhan gas hingga 2011 akanterpenuhi.• Reserve to Production Ratio untuk minyak adalah 25 tahunsedang untuk gas adalah 68 tahun.• Dengan asumsi commercial success dari resources menjadireserve adalah 46%, akan didapatkan tambahan reserveminyak sebesar 40 Billion Barrel dan gas sebesar 177 TCF.• Tetap perlunya upaya peningkatan eksplorasi migas Indonesiauntuk memenuhi kebutuhan energi primer sesuai target mixenergy• Option pengalihan sebagian gas alam untuk ekspor menjadiuntuk kebutuhan dalam negri layak dipertimbangkan.• Perlunya pembangunan infrastruktur penyaluran gas bumidari lapangan penghasil ke pasar.• Proyek gas yang akan onstream sebaiknya tidak mengalamikelambatanPT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

Terima kasih29

TARGET OF ENERGY MIX(PRESIDENTIAL DECREE NO. 5 YEAR 2006)CURRENT ENERGI MIX (1 million BOE)Hydro Power,3.11%Geothermal,1.32%National (Primary) Energy MixNatural Gas,28.57%Gas, 30%Target of Energy Mix 2025 (3 million BOE)Oil,20%Biofuel, 5%RE,17%Geothermal, 5%Oil51.66%Biomass, Nuclear, HydroSolar Energy,Wind Power, 5%Coal, 15.34%Coal , 33%Coal Liquefaction2%PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

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