saarCevno kampaniebis momzadeba da Catareba
saarCevno kampaniebis momzadeba da Catareba
saarCevno kampaniebis momzadeba da Catareba
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amomrCevelTa kategoriebis gansazRvra<br />
upirveles yovlisa, saWiroa Segrovdes Semdegi monacemebi wina arCevnebis Sesaxeb:<br />
1. registrirebul amomrCevelTa raodenoba. aucilebelia yvelaze axali<br />
monacemebis, agreTve wina wlebis cifrebis miReba.<br />
2. arCevnebis Sedegebi olqis yvela <strong>saarCevno</strong> ubanze xelisuflebis federalur <strong>da</strong><br />
adgilobriv organoebSi bolo ramodenime arCevnebis mixedviT.<br />
meore rigSi, monacemTa ga<strong>da</strong>muSavebis <strong>da</strong>wyebamde saWiroa Semowmdes rukaze,<br />
Secvlilia Tu ara ubnebis sazRvrebi, raTa Secdoma ar iqnas <strong>da</strong>Svebuli. Tu ubnebis<br />
sazRvrebi Secvlilia, maSin im monacemebis misaRebad, romelTa Sepirispireba SeiZleba,<br />
saWiro iqneba arCevnebis Sedegebis Sejameba ramodenime ubnis mixedviT.<br />
a) formula sxva<strong>da</strong>sxva <strong>saarCevno</strong> ubnis Se<strong>da</strong>rebiTi analizisaTvis<br />
upirveles yovlisa, un<strong>da</strong> ganisazRvros arCevnebSi gasamarjveblad aucilebel xmaTa<br />
raodenoba. MmagaliTad, gasamarjveblad Tqveni kandi<strong>da</strong>tebisaTvis saWiroa 50%+1 xmaTa<br />
raodenoba. magram, imasTan <strong>da</strong>kavSirebiT, rom xmebi SeiZleba TiTqmis Tanatolad<br />
ganawildes <strong>da</strong> gamarjveba xeli<strong>da</strong>n iqnas gaSvebuli Tu gind sul mcire Secdomis gamo<br />
xmebis <strong>da</strong>Tvlisas, amosaval cifrad un<strong>da</strong> iqnas aRebuli amomrCevelTa xmebis mosalodneli<br />
raodenobis 52%. (wina arCevnebis Sedegebi saSualebas iZleva miaxloebiT ganisazRvros,<br />
Tu ramdeni amomrCeveli mova <strong>saarCevno</strong> ubanSi.) erTis mxriv, zedmeti ori procenti<br />
niSnavs u<strong>da</strong>vo gamarjvebas, xolo meores mxriv – is amcirebs Secdomis risks im<br />
SemTxvevaSi, Tu navaraudevi prognozi arazusti aRmoCndeba.<br />
ZiriTa<strong>da</strong>d <strong>saarCevno</strong> ubnebis klasificirebis ori meTodi arsebobs erTi sxva<strong>da</strong>sxva<br />
politikuri orientaciis kandi<strong>da</strong>tTa wina Sedegebis mixedviT, xolo meore imis mixedviT,<br />
Tu ramdenad eqcevian wina<strong>saarCevno</strong> agitaciis gavlenis qveS amomrCevlebi. wina arCevnebze<br />
politikuri partiebis kandi<strong>da</strong>tTa mier miRebuli Sedegebi imis indikators warmoadgenen,<br />
Tu ramdenad popularulia es partiebi mocemuli <strong>saarCevno</strong> ubnis amomrCevelTa Soris.<br />
amomrCevelze agitaciis zegavlenis xarisxze miuTiTebs maT Soris garkveuli politikuri<br />
midrekilebis armqone meryevi azris mqone amomrCevlebis arsebobac.<br />
garkveuli politikuri midrekilebis armqone amomrCevlebad iTvlebian iseTi<br />
amomrCevlebi, romlebic erTi <strong>saarCevno</strong> periodis ganmavlobaSi xmas aZleven sxva<strong>da</strong>sxva<br />
partiebis kandi<strong>da</strong>tebs. meryevi azris mqone amomrCevlebi TavianT erTgulebas erTi an<br />
meore kandi<strong>da</strong>tisadmi cvlian arCevnebi<strong>da</strong>n arCevnebamde.<br />
amomrCevelTa Soris arian agreTve romelime partiis an ideologiis mtkice<br />
momxreebi, romlebic nebismier pirobebSi xmas aZleven mxolod Tavisi partiis<br />
kandi<strong>da</strong>tebs. radganac umetes wina<strong>saarCevno</strong> kampaniebSi, rogorc wesi, arCevnebis Sedegebs<br />
wyveten meryevi azris mqone an garkveuli politikuri midrekilebis armqone<br />
amomrCevlebi, metad mniSvnelovania gamomJRavnebul iqnas iseTi raionebi, romlebsac ufro<br />
meti potenciali gaaCnia saagitacio kampaniis Catarebis TvalsazrisiT.<br />
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