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miuxedavad Cveni mZime politikuri mdgomareobisa, samxreT kavkasiaSi geografiulad<br />

da geopolitikurad wamyvani regionia, Tundac imiT, rom zRvas vesazRvrebiT, es<br />

nebismier SemTxvevaSi aris samxreT kavkasiis geopolitikuri gasaRebi. ruseTis<br />

gavlenisgan Tavisufali samxreT kavkasia warmoSobs safrTxes, rom Tundac<br />

energomatareblebiT mdidari islamuri samyaro centraluri aziis saxiT, ruseTis<br />

gverdis avliT SeiZleba daukavSirdes evropas. es ruseTisTvis miuRebelia.<br />

SeuZlebelia ruseTis politika ar iyos mimarTuli iqiT, rom saqarTveloSi<br />

damkvidrdes maTi eqskluziuri gavlena, ara aqvs mniSvneloba, vinc ar unda movides<br />

qveynis saTaveSi. ruseTis nebismieri xelmZRvaneloba, romelic amaze uars ityvis da<br />

Seecdeba, rom aq dauSvas amerikis SeerTebuli Statebis Tu sxva qveynis gavlena,<br />

aucileblad imuSavebs ruseTis saxelmwifos winaaRmdeg da daasustebs ruseTis<br />

gavlenas ara marto am konkretul regionSi, aramed evropaSic. amitom es sakiTxi<br />

ruseTisTvis sasicocxlod mniSvnelovania. ar miyvars iseTi emociuri Sefasebebi,<br />

rogoric aris ,,mteri~, magram is, rom ruseTis saxelmwifoebriv interesebSi ar<br />

Sedis qarTuli saxelmwifos Zliereba, es aris geopolitikuri realoba. ubralod,<br />

ar SeiZleba iyos sxvanairad. Zlieri saxelmwifo niSnavs damoukidebeli politikis<br />

gatarebas, Tavisi arCevani gaakeTos da ar gaiTvaliswinos misi interesebi, ar<br />

daemorCilos mis gavlenas. amitom iseTi saxelmwifo, romelic ar eqvemdebareba mis<br />

gavlenas, cxadia, ruseTis interesebSi ar Sedis, amitom misi politika aseTi iqneba.<br />

es Cans praqtikaSic da amaSi verafers iracionalurs ver vxedav. SeiZleba<br />

nawilobriv daeTanxmo imas, rom ruseTs saqarTvelos mimarT gansakuTrebuli<br />

damokidebuleba aqvs, magram esec rom ar iyos, wminda geopolitikuri<br />

mdgomareobidan gamomdinare, ruseTs sxvanairi politika ver eqneba. afxazeTi da<br />

cxinvalis regionic nebismier SemTxvevaSi berketad iqneboda gamoyenebuli. mas<br />

sWirdeba berketi samxreT kavkasiaSi dasamkvidreblad, saqarTveloze gavleniT mas<br />

meti gavlena eqneba somxeTsa da azerbaijanzec, esec realuria geopolitikuri<br />

realobidan gamodinare. aseTia ruseTis politikis geopolitikuri arsi.<br />

axla Cveni poziciidan SevxedoT am situacias. aq yvelaze ufro araswori<br />

iqneboda da aris aseTi tendencia, rom radgan ruseTs aseTi politika aqvs Cvens<br />

mimarT, maqsimalurad unda SevecadoT gasvlas rusuli kulturuli arealidan, misi<br />

yvelanairi gavlenisgan gaTavisuflebas, magram me mgoni, piriqiT aris. imitom rom<br />

batonma iraklim swori brZana, rodesac ici, rom saxelmwifos geopolitikuri da<br />

geostrategiuli amocana Seni saxelmwifoebriobis winaaRmdeg aris momarTuli,<br />

aucilebelia kargad icnobde am qveyanas, kargad gqondes Seswavlili da rac ufro<br />

meti iseTi adamiani geyoleba iq, visac kargad ecodineba ruseTis politikuri<br />

elitis mdgomareoba, rac meti lobisti geyoleba, aseT situaciaSi miT ukeTesi<br />

iqneba. megobruli qveyana rom yofiliyo, es problema ar iqneboda, magram swored<br />

aseTi radgan aris, miT ufro gWirdeba misi kargad Seswavla. garda amisa, rusuli<br />

ena, azerbaijanTan urTierToba ginda, ukrainasTan Tu centralur aziasTan,<br />

saerTaSoriso enaa am qveynebisTvis. amitom ruseTTan mWidro urTierTobas verc erT<br />

variantSi ver avcdebiT. yovelive amis gaTvaliswinebiT qarTuli politikis,<br />

strategiis gamomuSaveba ar aris advili saqme. imitom rom erTis mxriv kargad unda<br />

vacnobierebdeT imas, rom ruseTis geostrategiul interesebSi ar Sedis Zlieri<br />

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