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Market Prospects for Groundnut in West Africa COMMON FUND ...

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In addition, a bilateral trade agreement was reached between the US and<br />

Argent<strong>in</strong>a <strong>in</strong> 1994, allocat<strong>in</strong>g to Argent<strong>in</strong>a upto 78% of the US groundnut<br />

tariff-rate quota over the follow<strong>in</strong>g five years, from 26,341 MT <strong>in</strong> 1995 to<br />

43,901 MT <strong>in</strong> 2000. A similar tariff-rate quota allocation was given under the<br />

agreement <strong>for</strong> Argent<strong>in</strong>e peanut paste and peanut butter, with an <strong>in</strong>-quota<br />

amount of 3,650 MT dur<strong>in</strong>g 1995, with an <strong>in</strong>-quota tariff rate identical to, and<br />

fixed <strong>for</strong> reduction at the same level as that of Canada under NAFTA.<br />

Until recently, Argent<strong>in</strong>a, Mexico and Nicaragua accounted <strong>for</strong> over 90<br />

percent of US groundnut imports (USDA/FAS 2000), with Argent<strong>in</strong>a<br />

provid<strong>in</strong>g 75 percent. In 2000, however, Ch<strong>in</strong>a has recently surpassed<br />

Nicaragua to provide the third largest share of US groundnut imports, with a<br />

trade volume of 4,900 MT dur<strong>in</strong>g 2000.<br />

This volume is <strong>for</strong>eseen to <strong>in</strong>crease, as Ch<strong>in</strong>a – already a ‘Most Favored<br />

Nation’ (MFN) under US trade concessions – is expected to negotiate <strong>for</strong> a<br />

larger share of the US groundnut TRQ under bilateral trade agreements, and<br />

<strong>in</strong> future meet<strong>in</strong>gs of the WTO.<br />

Given the costs <strong>in</strong>volved <strong>in</strong> ‘rent’ to ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong> the US groundnut tariff<br />

quota, there is some recent speculation that the groundnut TRQs have<br />

outlived their usefulness, and that their elim<strong>in</strong>ation would only benefit<br />

domestic consumers and would have little impact on producers.<br />

4.4 South <strong>Africa</strong><br />

While not specifically mentioned <strong>in</strong> the terms of reference <strong>for</strong> this<br />

assignment, the South <strong>Africa</strong>n groundnut market is highly significant <strong>in</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong>ternational terms, and it may prove useful to consider recent developments<br />

<strong>in</strong> the task of build<strong>in</strong>g an <strong>in</strong>creased presence <strong>for</strong> <strong>West</strong> <strong>Africa</strong>n groundnut<br />

producers <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternational trade.<br />

In addition to its productivity and reliability as a source of high-quality<br />

groundnut to serve <strong>in</strong>ternational markets, domestic demand <strong>for</strong> groundnut <strong>in</strong><br />

South <strong>Africa</strong> rides consistently higher than supply. Because groundnut quality<br />

standards <strong>for</strong> the domestic market are considerably less str<strong>in</strong>gent than those<br />

govern<strong>in</strong>g the export market (particularly to Europe), domestic demand<br />

serves as a market buffer, absorb<strong>in</strong>g stocks that are affected by lower levels of<br />

aflatox<strong>in</strong>.<br />

Even dur<strong>in</strong>g a normal year, groundnut is required to serve domestic<br />

market demand, and is imported from southern <strong>Africa</strong>n countries (notably<br />

Zimbabwe and Malawi), and even from further afield. One European<br />

31

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