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Market Prospects for Groundnut in West Africa COMMON FUND ...

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2. Producers with a history of groundnut production dur<strong>in</strong>g the<br />

1998-2001 period receive a fixed “decoupled” payment and a<br />

countercyclical payment. Eligible production is the product of<br />

average yield <strong>in</strong> the base period and 85 percent of base-period<br />

acres. The countercyclical payment kicks <strong>in</strong> when market prices<br />

fall below an established target price of $495 net of the direct<br />

payment ($36/short ton). The payment rate is the difference<br />

between the target price net of the fixed payment and the higher<br />

of the 12-month national average market price <strong>for</strong> the market<strong>in</strong>g<br />

year <strong>for</strong> groundnuts or the market<strong>in</strong>g assistance loan rate.<br />

3. Former owners of groundnut quotas receive compensation<br />

payments <strong>for</strong> the loss of quota asset value (see Revoredo and<br />

Fletcher 2002 <strong>for</strong> details).<br />

The elim<strong>in</strong>ation of production quotas decreased the price paid by<br />

US food processors and thus <strong>in</strong>creased domestic use of peanuts. It<br />

also took away the logic of import<strong>in</strong>g confectionery peanuts to<br />

lower the cost of process<strong>in</strong>g food items <strong>in</strong>tensive <strong>in</strong> peanuts. The<br />

US TRQ scheme is still <strong>in</strong> place but is redundant and the TRQs<br />

rema<strong>in</strong> underfilled (Fletcher and Revoredo 2003). The lower cost<br />

of production of peanut butter/paste <strong>in</strong> the United States follows<br />

the same logic. The <strong>in</strong>centive to import cheaper peanut butter/<br />

paste from Argent<strong>in</strong>a or Mexico has thus been seriously mitigated<br />

by the recent changes <strong>in</strong> the farm program. Production <strong>in</strong>centives<br />

created by the 2002 farm bill vary among different types of<br />

producers but the net effect is likely to be an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong><br />

production. The fixed and countercyclical payments provide some<br />

<strong>in</strong>centives to <strong>in</strong>crease production and can be viewed as supply<strong>in</strong>duc<strong>in</strong>g<br />

subsidies (Adams et al. 2001).<br />

<strong>Groundnut</strong> of US orig<strong>in</strong> consistently sets the upper price limit of the<br />

<strong>in</strong>ternational market, with export prices from $600 to as high as $950 per ton.<br />

US groundnut enjoys an envied reputation <strong>for</strong> quality as well as reliability of<br />

supply.<br />

This is not to imply that the US crop is always a reliable source of supply,<br />

nor that it is always uni<strong>for</strong>mly free of aflatox<strong>in</strong>, which has <strong>in</strong>deed proven to be<br />

a serious problem <strong>in</strong> recent years. The most notable aflatox<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>festation of the<br />

US crop was seen <strong>in</strong> the 1999, particularly <strong>in</strong> the southeastern US production<br />

areas (<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g Georgia and Virg<strong>in</strong>ia) – which suffered 60-70% rejection<br />

19

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