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demographic yearbook annuaire demographique 1951

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those for Europe and Oceania may be regarded as fairly<br />

accurate.<br />

Table 2 presents, for the 172 countries having had one or<br />

more censuses since 1900, the dates of such enumerations,<br />

the total population enumerated at each census and the<br />

area of the country at the time of the census. As in table 1,<br />

estimates for excluded groups or underenumeration are<br />

noted in so far as they are known. Where the area and<br />

population at successive censuses were regarded as sufficiently<br />

comparable, the average annual percentage rate of<br />

change computed by the compound interest formula,<br />

PI = Po (1 + r)t, is shown. Unusually high rates of increase<br />

or decrease are explained in footnotes wherever the explanation<br />

could be determined. However, a number of extreme<br />

rates remain without annotation. Some ofthese are no doubt<br />

largely attributable to differences in completeness of enumeration.<br />

The footnotes to this table have been expanded<br />

to give a more precise account of the territorial changes<br />

that occurred during the periods covered by the statistics.<br />

Since territorial footnotes in the later tables are generally<br />

given in briefer form, it is necessary to refer to table 2<br />

(and, in some cases, to table 1) to obtain information as to<br />

the size of the area and the approximate number of persons<br />

affected by the changes.<br />

Table 3 gives annual estimates of total population for 136<br />

areas. Data are shown for the years 1932 to 1950 and, unless<br />

otherwise indicated, refer to the middle of the specified<br />

calendar year. In cases where official estimates were available<br />

only for 31 December the arithmetic mean of two consecutive<br />

end-of-year estimates was computed and is presented<br />

in this table as the midyear estimate. In previous issues<br />

of the Yearbook estimates for 1 July were distinguished from<br />

means of end-year estimates by notations shown in the<br />

table. This distinction is not made in the present table on<br />

the assumption that the difference involved is negligible.<br />

In a few cases, where official estimates are regularly prepared<br />

for a date other than 1 July or 31 December, the<br />

official figures are given in the table with a note indicating<br />

the date to which they refer. In years for which the results<br />

of a current enumeration were available the census figure<br />

has sometimes been preferred to a midyear estimate, regardless<br />

of the census date, if the two figures appeared not to be<br />

in sufficient agreement. Census counts are shown in heavy<br />

type.<br />

In a number ofcases where preliminary results of censuses<br />

taken in 1950 or <strong>1951</strong> are only recently available, intercensal<br />

estimates have not yet been revised and brought into agreement<br />

with the new population counts. For some of the<br />

series, the need for revision is obvious and may be readily<br />

identified by inspection of the data shown in the table. In<br />

other cases, only minor fluctuations are implied by the<br />

unrevised data. Probably the intercensal estimates will not<br />

be revised until final resultil ofthe new censuses are available.<br />

AGE AND SEX COMPOSITION<br />

Statistics of the population classified by 5-year age groups<br />

and sex are presented in table 4 for 40 areas. This table is a<br />

supplement to the one presented in the last issue of the<br />

Yearbook since only new data or data not before presented<br />

are shown. The total number of areas for which statistics for<br />

one or more years are shown in the two volumes taken<br />

together is 109. Unless otherwise noted, the data relate to<br />

age in completed years (or age at last birthday).<br />

Certain irregularities appear in the age-sex data of many<br />

countries. These include: (1) underenumeration of infants<br />

and young children, (2) heaping at ages ending in 0 and 5,<br />

(3) a preference for even ages over odd ages, (4) unexpectedly<br />

large differences between the numbers of males and<br />

females at certain ages and (5) unaccountably large differences<br />

between the numbers in successive or adjacent age<br />

groups. Some of these irregularities are obscured or eliminated<br />

when the data are combined into 5-year age groups,<br />

but the underenumeration of young children, the aberrations<br />

in the sex ratio and some of the fluctuations in numbers<br />

generally are still apparent.<br />

Comparison between successive censuses of statistics for<br />

identical age-sex cohorts as well as study of the age-sex<br />

composition in each census indicates these and other inconsistencies,<br />

some of which are characteristic of even the most<br />

"modern" censuses. Examination of the data on age and sex<br />

presented in this and earlier issues ofthe Yearbook has shown<br />

that in some cases the statistics are particularly faulty in<br />

these respects. However, since further study is needed in<br />

order to make an accurate appraisal, the results so far<br />

obtained have not been incorporated in this issue of the<br />

Yearbook. It is hoped that a reliable evaluation of statistics<br />

by age and sex can be presented in a future issue. Meanwhile,<br />

the data must be approached with some caution,<br />

particularly for those areas or population groups where the<br />

level of literacy is low and where census methods are not<br />

the most rigorous.<br />

VITAL STATISTICS<br />

Statistics relating to births, deaths, stillbirths, marriages<br />

and divorces are presented in tables 5 to 26. These data,<br />

being based on registration records, vary widely in coverage<br />

and completeness. In some areas registration is not compulsory;<br />

in others it is compulsory for only a part of the<br />

population (e.g., "Europeans" in certain African territories).<br />

Some countries have developed "registration areas" which<br />

comprise only a part of the country, the remainder being<br />

excluded for reasons ofinaccessibility or because ofeconomic<br />

and cultural considerations that make regular registration<br />

a practical impossibility. Whenever the area covered by<br />

registration is less than the entire country it is noted in<br />

the tables.<br />

In so far as possible, the data presented in these tables<br />

refer to events occurring during the specified year rather<br />

than to events registered during the year. However, a considerable<br />

number of countries tabulate their statistics by<br />

date of registration, including delayed registrations in the<br />

statistics for the year when they were reported rather than<br />

in those for the year when the births, deaths, marriages or<br />

divorces occurred. The lag is normally less than a month<br />

in countries with efficient registration systems and the effect<br />

on annual totals is negligible; but in some areas a lag of as<br />

much as two years is not uncommon. Where numbers are<br />

changing significantly from year to year or where there is<br />

an appreciable variation in the time elapsed between occurrence<br />

and registration, the results may be misleading as to<br />

the number of vital events that actually occurred during the<br />

specified year. This consideration is particularly important<br />

in relation to statistics of births. Deaths and marriages are<br />

ordinarily more promptly reported.<br />

Countries for which the data are known to be on a dateof-occurrence<br />

basis are:<br />

America, North:<br />

Alaska [U.S.]<br />

Canada<br />

Canal Zone [U.S.]<br />

Dominican Republic<br />

(births)<br />

Panama (beginning 1943)<br />

Puerto Rico [U.S.]<br />

29

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