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demographic yearbook annuaire demographique 1951

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There has been considerable improvement over the years<br />

in the reporting of specific diagnoses. The relative decline<br />

in the percentage of deaths attributed to the group of illdefined<br />

or unknown causes has been significantly large in<br />

many areas of the world. This factor needs to be taken into<br />

consideration in the interpretation of mortality trends for<br />

specific causes of death. However, the quality of medical<br />

certification is still so poor in many areas as to make data<br />

concerning specific causes of death of questionable value.<br />

Another important consideration is the increasing accuracy<br />

of diagnoses that has come about through the advancement<br />

of medical knowledge and the development of<br />

new diagnostic tests and procedures. Certain diseases and<br />

conditions that were seldom recognized in the past are now<br />

being recognized and reported with much greater frequency,<br />

with the result that death rates from these causes may show<br />

a rising trend which did not in fact occur.<br />

On the whole, the most that statistics on causes of death<br />

can be expected to do is to reflect average medical opinion<br />

concerning the causes of death in a population. Despite the<br />

many factors that complicate the interpretation of these<br />

data, they furnish a useful, if not a wholly accurate and<br />

consistent, record of changing patterns of mortality. In the<br />

field of <strong>demographic</strong> analysis, they are of great value for<br />

the interpretation of population trends and prospects.<br />

26

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