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demographic yearbook annuaire demographique 1951

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from the previous lists. 6 The new classification serves a dual<br />

purpose-to classify causes of illness as well as causes of<br />

death for statistical use. As an extension of the mortality<br />

list to serve also as a morbidity list, it necessarily differs<br />

considerably from the previous lists. However, the general<br />

structure of the old classification has been preserved because<br />

of the demonstrated usefulness of the basic framework.<br />

The Sixth Revision detailed list consists of 16 sections<br />

subdivided into 612 categories of diseases and morbid conditions,<br />

plus an additional section concerned with injuries<br />

and consisting of a dual classification which provides 153<br />

categories for the classification of external causes and 189<br />

categories for the characterization of injuries according to<br />

the nature of the injury. Provisions are made for securing<br />

still more detailed information by further subdivisions of<br />

many of the categories. However, the use of these subdivisions<br />

by nations is optional.<br />

The detailed list is prescribed for classification purposes,<br />

but the following special lists are also provided for tabulation<br />

and publication purposes: (1) an intermediate list of<br />

150 causes for tabulation of morbidity and mortality by age<br />

groups and other <strong>demographic</strong> characteristics; (2) an abbreviated<br />

list of 50 causes for tabulation of mortality in administrative<br />

subdivisions; (3) a special list of 50 causes for<br />

tabulation of morbidity for social insurance purposes.<br />

PROBLEMS OF JOINT-CAUSE CLASSIFICATION<br />

The production of statistics on causes of death is relatively<br />

simple when only one clearly defined morbid condition is<br />

involved. However, when complications of a disease arise,<br />

or when there is an intercurrent infection, more than one<br />

condition may contribute to death. In such cases, either the<br />

medical certifier or the statistical office is faced with the<br />

necessity of selecting a single cause for statistical tabulation.<br />

Variations in selection procedures<br />

It was with this problem in mind that Jacques Bertillon<br />

appended to the 1900 revision of the International List of<br />

Causes of Death a commentary noting the most frequent<br />

complications of each important disease and indicating<br />

those complications which need not be taken into account.<br />

He also developed the following general rules to be followed<br />

when two or more causes of death were reported jointly:<br />

"Rule 1. Ifone of the two diseases is an immediate and<br />

frequent complication of the other, the death<br />

should be classified under the head of the<br />

primary disease.<br />

"Rule 2. If it is not absolutely certain that one of the<br />

diseases is an immediate result of the other,<br />

we must see if there is a very great difference<br />

in the gravity of the two, and classify the<br />

death under the head of the more dangerous.<br />

"Rule 3. When among the two causes of death there<br />

is a transmissible disease, it is preferable to<br />

assign the death to it, for statistics of infectious<br />

diseases are particularly interesting to<br />

the sanitarian, and it is important that they<br />

shall be as complete as possible.<br />

"Rule 4. If a disease whose evolution is rapid is given<br />

in connection with another whose evolution<br />

6 World Health Organization, Manual oj the International Statistical<br />

Classification oj Diseases, Injuries and Causes oj Death, Vol. I and II,<br />

Geneva, 1948.<br />

is slow, it is preferable to charge the death to<br />

the first. Again, if a death is simultaneously<br />

attributed to a disease and to an external<br />

violence, it is usually proper to assign it to<br />

the latter.<br />

"Rule 5. Finally, if none of the preceding rules is<br />

applicable, the diagnosis most characteristic<br />

of the case should be selected." 7<br />

These rules have long served as guides for many national<br />

statistical offices, though, as a result of their rather general<br />

character, the specific manner in which they have been<br />

applied has varied considerably. Thus, a report by Michel<br />

Huber, prepared in 1926, showed that while the specific<br />

rules differed greatly, most countries accorded precedence<br />

to the causes of violent death, to infectious diseases, and to<br />

diseases most frequently causing death, in the order named. 8<br />

But the major weakness in such general rules is the absence<br />

of a definitive procedure for selecting the principal or primary<br />

cause of death.<br />

The findings of a questionnaire survey made in 1947 by<br />

the United States Committee on Joint Causes of Death 9<br />

were similar to those reported by Huber twenty years earlier.<br />

Some progress had been made in the adoption of<br />

medical certification forms designed to record the physician's<br />

opinion on the sequence of events leading up to death<br />

so that the various contributing causes could be evaluated.<br />

However, there seemed to have been few developments of<br />

definite rules of procedure for selecting the main cause of<br />

death. Many of the countries apparently had no rules at all<br />

or only a few very general rules; on the other hand, some<br />

countries had adopted a comprehensive set of rigid rules<br />

(e.g., the Manual of Joint Causes of Death, adopted by the<br />

United States; also, the procedures developed in England<br />

and Wales, which provided the basic pattern for the international<br />

rules adopted in 1948).<br />

The application of different procedures would obviously<br />

produce different results. The extent of these differences was<br />

demonstrated in a study made in 1935. 10 The United States<br />

Bureau of the Census, at the request of the Commission for<br />

Revision of the International List of Causes of Death, prepared<br />

descriptions of 1,032 cases, each involving from two<br />

to five causes of death. These cases were submitted to the<br />

statistical offices of various countries with the request that<br />

they be classified according to the selection principles followed<br />

currently in those offices. The analysis of the returns<br />

included data for 18 countries.<br />

The return of each country was compared, cause by<br />

cause, with that of each of the others and percentages of<br />

agreement were computed on the basis of each comparison<br />

for each cause and for all causes combined. (One group,<br />

involving deaths of infants under one year of age, was<br />

treated as a separate category). As shown in the table below,<br />

the overall average agreement in the selection ofthe primary<br />

cause of death in the 1,032 cases was only 57.5 per cent.<br />

7 United States Census Office, Manual oj International Classification<br />

oj Causes oj Death, Government Printing Office, Washington, 1902,<br />

page 13.<br />

8 Huber, Michel, "Report on Methods of Issuing Certificates of<br />

Death and Its Causes," Bulletin de l'Institut International de Statistique,<br />

Vol. 22, Livr. 3, The Hague, 1926, pages 23-66.<br />

9 World Health Organization, Problem oj Joint Causes oj Death, Final<br />

report oj the United States Committee on Joint Causes oj Death. WHO.IC/<br />

MS/11, Rev. 2.<br />

10 United States Bureau of the Census, Classification ofJoint Causes<br />

of Death. Vital Statistics-Special Reports, Vol. 5, No. 47, August 30,<br />

1938, Washington, 1938.<br />

20

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