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demographic yearbook annuaire demographique 1951

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CHAPTER II.<br />

DEVELOPMENT OF STATISTICS OF CAUSES OF DEATH<br />

Statistics of causes of death grew out of the need for information<br />

concerning epidemic diseases which from time to<br />

time have taken heavy tolls of the population. These data<br />

have proved invaluable for identifying the locale and measuring<br />

the severity of epidemics, for indicating the effectiveness<br />

of attempts to prevent the spread of epidemic diseases<br />

and for recording progress in the conquest of communicable<br />

disease in general. They have been important guide-posts in<br />

the development of modern programmes of public health<br />

and sanitation. They are basic to any real understanding<br />

of mortality trends and prospects.<br />

With the broadening of health programmes beyond primary<br />

interest in the control of communicable diseases (especially<br />

in areas where these diseases are no longer a major<br />

cause of death), the statistics have become useful in connection<br />

with other aspects of mortality. Information on the<br />

relative frequency of deaths from non-communicable causes<br />

(e.g. from organic or degenerative diseases such as cancer,<br />

diseases of the heart and circulatory system etc., from mental<br />

diseases, from accidents, violence or suicide) points the way<br />

to needed medical research and serves as a guide in the<br />

campaign to remedy various conditions that contribute to<br />

premature or unnecessary loss of life.<br />

While cause-of-death statistics measure the rate at which<br />

deaths from the various diseases occur in a population, they<br />

cannot be taken as a measure or as a reflection of the frequency<br />

with which these diseases occur in the same population<br />

(the morbidity rate). Fatality rates vary widely among<br />

the diseases. Some illnesses (for example, the "common<br />

cold") seldom result in death; others may have fatality rates<br />

approaching 100 per cent. A given disease may have a<br />

higher fatality rate at one time than at another, depending<br />

on the virulence of the organism (in the case of communicable<br />

disease), on the state of medical knowledge or on other<br />

factors. However, significant changes or trends in the death<br />

rate from a given disease generally reflect similar changes<br />

,or trends in the incidence of that disease. Consequently,<br />

cause-of-death statistics have a definite, though limited,<br />

value for indicating the health, or illness, situation of the<br />

living population.<br />

The development of comparability in statistics of causes<br />

of death is one of the most complex and difficult in the<br />

whole field of demography, arising both from the variety<br />

of causes that can produce death and from the variations in<br />

diagnosis or medical practice that occur over time in a<br />

given area and among areas at a given time. As a result,<br />

differences indicated by the recorded figures, even though<br />

the data may be accurate from the statistical point of view,<br />

must be interpreted with some care. This is especially true<br />

with regard to statistics for different countries.<br />

The problem ofinternational comparability has been met,<br />

in part, by the adoption of an internationally agreed list of<br />

causes of death which is revised from time to time as conditions<br />

dictate. Nevertheless, as the discussion that follows<br />

will show, there remain many difficulties that have yet to<br />

be solved.<br />

INTERNATIONAL LISTS OF CAUSES OF DEATH<br />

Historical summary<br />

The need for a uniform classification of causes of death<br />

has long been recognized. The First Statistical Congress,<br />

held in Brussels in 1853, requested Dr. William Farr of the<br />

General Register Office of England and Wales and Dr. Marc<br />

d'Espine, of Geneva, to prepare lists of diseases suitable for<br />

use by statistical offices in the classification ofcauses ofdeath.<br />

They submitted two separate lists to the Second Statistical<br />

Congress, in 1855, and a compromise list was adopted by<br />

the Congress. This list was revised from time to time over<br />

the next thirty years, but it was not generally followed as a<br />

standard of classification.<br />

It was not until 1893 that significant progress was made.<br />

At that time, the International Statistical Institute adopted<br />

a draft list of causes of death, as presented by Jacques<br />

Bertillon on behalf of a special committee previously appointed<br />

by the Institute. It is this list, with its various<br />

revisions, that is still known as the "International List of<br />

Causes of Death."<br />

In 1898, the American Public Health Association recommended<br />

that the list be revised before the beginning of each<br />

decennium in order to reflect appropriately developments<br />

in medical science and statistical procedure. This proposal<br />

was approved by the International Institute of Statistics in<br />

1899, and six revisions have since been made in conferences<br />

convened for the purpose by the French Government in<br />

1900,1909,1920,1929,1938 and 1948. The agenda for the<br />

first three revision conferences were prepared by Jacques<br />

Bertillon. After his death in 1922, a J oint Committee of the<br />

International Institute of Statistics and ofthe Health Organization<br />

of the League of Nations carried out this function.<br />

After the dissolution of the League of Nations, an international<br />

health conference, held in New York in 1946,<br />

requested the Interim Commission of the World Health<br />

Organization to review the list, suggest revisions and undertake<br />

the preparation of an international list of causes of<br />

morbidity, for consideration at the sixth decennial revision<br />

conference. The Interim Commission appointed a committee<br />

of experts to do this work.<br />

The sixth revision conference, held in Paris in 1948,<br />

approved the list submitted by the Expert Committee and<br />

recommended that the World Health Assembly adopt suitable<br />

regulations to ensure international application of the<br />

proposed system of classification. In July 1948, the First<br />

World Health Assembly adopted Regulations No.1 regarding<br />

Nomenclature with Respect to Diseases and Causes of Death. 2<br />

2 See Official Records oj the World Health Organization, No. 13. See<br />

also, World Health Organization, Manual oj the International Statistical<br />

Classification of Diseases, Injuries and Causes of Death, Vol. 1, Geneva,<br />

1948, pages 371-376.<br />

18

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