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.Bulletin de liaison et d'information - Institut kurde de Paris

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Revue <strong>de</strong> Presse-Press Review-Berhevoka Çapê-Rivista Stampa-Dentro <strong>de</strong> la Prensa-Basm Öz<strong>et</strong>i<br />

ister: Joschka Fischer, told reporters.<br />

"But I think that is the wrong discussion.<br />

The question is, what must we do<br />

so that we do not come to the use of military,means,"<br />

he ad<strong>de</strong>d.<br />

Koti Annan, the UN secr<strong>et</strong>ary-general,<br />

addressed the lea<strong>de</strong>rs about the<br />

"very precarious" hu~anitarian situ-<br />

, ation looming in the Iraqi crisis and<br />

urged them to go through with contin-<br />

,'gency planning in case of war.<br />

Annan said afterward that he was<br />

concerned with tensions in the trans-<br />

Atlantic relationship ,and that these<br />

could be resolved to a large <strong>de</strong>gree if the<br />

question ofIraq were resolved.<br />

He also urged lea<strong>de</strong>rs not to ignore<br />

prQblems outsi<strong>de</strong> the Middle East. saying,<br />

"what happens in Iraq will not hap;.<br />

pen in a vacuum."<br />

'<br />

In the daysleading up to the summit<br />

me<strong>et</strong>ing, lea<strong>de</strong>rs had disagreed on the<br />

guest list. Britain and Spain sought to<br />

invite the 10 mostly East European<br />

countries scheduled to join the Union<br />

, next y;ear- most of them relatively pro-<br />

Amencan and not averse to a hard line<br />

on Iraq.<br />

France and GeQDany lobbied successfully<br />

to have these countries ex-<br />

, clu<strong>de</strong>d - an argument that won the day<br />

when Greece, which currently holds the<br />

Union's rotating presi<strong>de</strong>ncy, invited the<br />

10countries scheduled to join next May<br />

for a briefing about the me<strong>et</strong>ing Tuesday<br />

- but not to the me<strong>et</strong>ing itself.<br />

Tu,.key Demands $32 Billion U.S.Aid Packcige<br />

if It Is to Take Part in a War on Iraq<br />

By DEXTER FILKINS<br />

with ERIC SCHMITT<br />

ISTANBUL, Feb. 18- Turkish and<br />

American officials continued their<br />

diplomatic brinkmanship today, as<br />

the.Turks said they were waiting for<br />

the Bush administration to answer<br />

their <strong>de</strong>mand for an economic aid<br />

package worth as much as $32billion<br />

to ensure their participation in a war<br />

with Iraq.<br />

The American ambassador to Turkey,<br />

Robert Pearson, was summoned<br />

to the Turkish Foreign Ministry after<br />

10 p.m. on Monday and han<strong>de</strong>d the<br />

proposal, which he forwar<strong>de</strong>d to<br />

Washington; American officials said.<br />

The Turkish request is about $6<br />

'billion higher than what. American<br />

officials said over the weekend was<br />

their final offer. Of the $26 billion<br />

Washington has offered, $20 billion is<br />

in loan guarantees and $6 billion in<br />

direct grants. Although a Western<br />

diplomat said the Turks were seeking<br />

about $10 billion in direct aid, the<br />

White House is adamant that $6 billion<br />

is the limit for direct aid.<br />

It remains to be seen wh<strong>et</strong>her negotiations<br />

will begin anew or wh<strong>et</strong>her<br />

the administration's plan to use<br />

Turkey as a launching pad for an<br />

invasion of northern Iraq will fall<br />

through. That prospeét seemed to<br />

put an unusual strain on the relationship<br />

b<strong>et</strong>ween the longtime allies, who<br />

have been speaking of each other in<br />

increasingly harsh tones.<br />

As of this evening, Turkish offi- '<br />

,cialssaid they had received no answer<br />

from the Americans. As the day'<br />

. began in Washington, Ari Fleischer,<br />

Presi<strong>de</strong>nt Bush's spokesman, called<br />

on the Turkish lea<strong>de</strong>rs to approve the<br />

<strong>de</strong>al that the Americans had put in<br />

front of them.<br />

"We continue to work with Turkey<br />

, as a friend, but it is <strong>de</strong>cision time,"<br />

Mr. Fleischer said.<br />

As Mr: Fleischer spoke, senior administration<br />

officials gathered at the<br />

White House to discuss the Turkish<br />

proposal, still hoping, at least in public,<br />

that. Turkish, lea<strong>de</strong>rs would approve<br />

the smaller economic package.<br />

That seemed increasingly unlikely<br />

here, as the day passed without a<br />

vote by Parliament on the <strong>de</strong>ployment<br />

of American combat troops.<br />

Turkish officials had scheduled one,<br />

but canceled it on Monday, saying<br />

they would go forward only after<br />

they reached an agreement on an<br />

economic aid package.<br />

There is a growing sense on both<br />

si<strong>de</strong>s that time is running short.<br />

American military planners have<br />

drawn up two s<strong>et</strong>s of war plans: one<br />

, that inclu<strong>de</strong>s Turkey as a staging<br />

area and one that does not.<br />

Two senior American military officials<br />

said today that without Turkish<br />

consent by the end of the week, the<br />

Pentagon would be forced to shift to<br />

a less <strong>de</strong>sirable backup plan.<br />

'~Two or three more days is about<br />

all that's left," said one of the senior<br />

officials.<br />

With ships carrying equipment for<br />

more than 15,000 soldiers of the<br />

Fourth Infantry Division now approaching<br />

Turkish ports, the military<br />

can wait only so long before<br />

planners need to divert the equip-<br />

. ment to the Persian Gulf iri time to<br />

• unload it and have it ready for troops<br />

, there by early March.<br />

Turkish lea<strong>de</strong>rs publicly warned<br />

, that they might ultimately refuse to<br />

;take part in an American operation<br />

,against Iraq. In a speech that<br />

'seemed inten<strong>de</strong>d for an American<br />

audience, Tayyip Erdogan, the lea<strong>de</strong>r:of<br />

the majority Justice and Devel-<br />

.opment Party, said Parliament's r<strong>et</strong>ei:tt<br />

vote authorizing American engin~rs<br />

'to upgra<strong>de</strong> Turkish military<br />

, bases did not mean that the Turks<br />

would agree to open their bases to<br />

thousands of American troops.<br />

"Our American friends should not<br />

interpr<strong>et</strong> this <strong>de</strong>cision to mean that<br />

Turkey has embarked on an irreversible<br />

road," Mr. Erdogan said.<br />

"It is not possible for us to accept<br />

anything which we don't approve of,<br />

which we don't believe as necessary<br />

or which we can't explain to our<br />

people."<br />

Pentagon officials, seeking to put<br />

the best face on a bad situation, said<br />

that starting a northern offensive<br />

from ~urkey, while <strong>de</strong>sirable, was<br />

not esst:l1i.ialto victory.<br />

But officials clearly want to move<br />

ahead, one way or another, Paul D.<br />

Wolfowitz, the <strong>de</strong>puty <strong>de</strong>fense secr<strong>et</strong>ary,<br />

told a Turkish reporter last<br />

week that ships ferrying American<br />

soldiers were in the Mediterranean<br />

Sea and could not wait in<strong>de</strong>finitely<br />

for an agreement.<br />

"We can no longer keep our troops<br />

waiting on ships, wan<strong>de</strong>ring around<br />

the eastern Mediterranean," Mr.<br />

Wolfowitz said in the interview,<br />

printed in Hurriy<strong>et</strong>, a Turkish newspaper.<br />

Without a <strong>de</strong>cision soon, he<br />

said, "it is highly likely that we<br />

would or<strong>de</strong>r our ships in the eastern<br />

Mediterranean to shift their direction<br />

to the gulf."<br />

The <strong>de</strong>adlock seemed to grow out<br />

of the belief, held by each country,<br />

that it holds the upper hand in the<br />

, negotiations. Turkish lea<strong>de</strong>rs believe<br />

, that the Americans, whatever they<br />

.say privately, <strong>de</strong>sperately need the<br />

country's participation in a war<br />

agains~ Iraq.<br />

It is not just that a northern front<br />

would make an invasion easier, it is<br />

that Turkey is a Muslim country that<br />

is <strong>de</strong>mocratic and secular - precisely<br />

the kind of government the Eush<br />

administration hopes an invasion of .<br />

Iraq might help bring about in other<br />

comers of the Middle East .<br />

At the same time, the Turkish public<br />

overwhel.mingly opposes a war.<br />

For many hère, the potential war<br />

with Iraq seems to promise a repeat<br />

of the Persian Gulf war of 1991,when<br />

Turkey was swamped with half a<br />

million refugees and its tra<strong>de</strong> with<br />

Iraq plumm<strong>et</strong>ed.<br />

, For their part, the Americans believe<br />

that Turkey carinot afford to<br />

turnthem down, and that Turkey's<br />

iea<strong>de</strong>rs will ultimately un<strong>de</strong>rstand<br />

that. .<br />

68

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