Bulletin de liaison et d'information - Institut kurde de Paris
Bulletin de liaison et d'information - Institut kurde de Paris
Bulletin de liaison et d'information - Institut kurde de Paris
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Revue <strong>de</strong> Presse-Press Review-Berhevoka Çapê-Rivista Stampa-Dentro <strong>de</strong> la Prensa-Baszn Öz<strong>et</strong>i<br />
Facing Predicament Over Iraqi Weapons,<br />
Busn'-Warns- Saaûa-rn -<br />
By Eric Schmitt<br />
and Steven Lee Myers<br />
,New 'fork Times Service<br />
WASHINGTON - The Bush administration<br />
has warned Iraq to honor agreements<br />
to <strong>de</strong>stroy,);ts nuclear, chemical<br />
and biological wëapons programs, but<br />
the White House has said that it is too<br />
soon to say what steps it will take to<br />
ensure Baghdad's compliance.<br />
Responding to a report Monday that<br />
Iraq had rebuilt a series of factories long<br />
suspected of producing chemical and<br />
biological weapons, the White House<br />
press secr<strong>et</strong>ary Ari Fleischer, said, "The<br />
presi<strong>de</strong>nt expects Saddam Hussein to<br />
live up to the agreements that he's ma<strong>de</strong><br />
with the United Nations, espeCially regarding<br />
the elimination of Weapons of<br />
mass <strong>de</strong>struction." ,<br />
But when asked how and when the<br />
administration' would help resume internationàl<br />
inspectioQs of suspected<br />
weaponssites ~d factop~s, Mr. Fleischer<br />
sàid,"I'm not prepared to address<br />
mat today, but we will."<br />
. Nearlya <strong>de</strong>ca<strong>de</strong> after<br />
.<br />
Presl~~l)t<br />
Qeorge W. Bush's father led a coahtl~n<br />
th~' ousted Iraqi forces from Kuwait,<br />
Iraq is one of the most daunting and<br />
persistent fore~gn-pol~cy p~oblems left<br />
behind by PreSi<strong>de</strong>nt B1l1Clmton.<br />
Mr. Bûsh and his national security<br />
,advisers - including Colin Powell, now<br />
secr<strong>et</strong>ary of state, and Vice Presi<strong>de</strong>nt<br />
Dick Cheney, who both confronted Iraq<br />
as top <strong>de</strong>fense officials 10 years ago -<br />
have talked tough about Mr. Saddam.<br />
But as they enter office, it is not clear<br />
that t)ley have b<strong>et</strong>ter options than Mr.<br />
Cijpton bad.' mtemationlÙ support for<br />
tough enforcement of sanctions has,<br />
waned, while Mr. Saddam has eased his<br />
diplomatic isolation, making it difficult<br />
to re-energize the sanction regime'.<br />
If Mr. Bush pursues a more aggressive<br />
strategy, including tbe use .of military<br />
force, his administration is likely to find,<br />
few allies, <strong>de</strong>spite ev~<strong>de</strong>nce that Iraq has<br />
,-resumed its covert work on "<strong>de</strong>adly<br />
weapons. As a condition of ending the,<br />
Gulf Warin 1991, Iiaq agreed to <strong>de</strong>stroy,<br />
its nuclear, chemical and biological<br />
weapons programs, as well as stop the<br />
production of long-range missiles to <strong>de</strong>~<br />
liver to such weapons. \<br />
'<br />
But,since the mid-1998, Iraq has barred<br />
any meaningful inspections by teams of<br />
United Nations speèialists, who since the<br />
end of the war had uncovereù and <strong>de</strong>stroyed<br />
large quantities of weapons an.d<br />
found out secr<strong>et</strong> programs to create biological<br />
and chemical weapons.<br />
"The challenge is larger than a lot of<br />
people suspect," sàid Representative<br />
Porter Goss, the Florida Republican who<br />
heads the House Intelligence Committee.<br />
"To say we've lost our eyes and ears<br />
in Iraq is true. "<br />
Despite his repeated criticisms ofMr.<br />
Clinton 's handling ofIraq, Ml. Bush and<br />
his ai<strong>de</strong>s have y<strong>et</strong> to <strong>de</strong>tail a new ap-<br />
~proach. Clearly, constraining Mr. Sado<br />
dam's weapons programs is at the core<br />
of the new administration's policy.<br />
Ml. Powell said last week: "His only<br />
tool, the only thing he can scare us with,<br />
are those weapons of mass <strong>de</strong>struction.<br />
And we have to hold him to account. "<br />
The presi<strong>de</strong>nt' and his top advisers<br />
'have said that they will reinvigorate the<br />
:economic sanctions against Iraq, con-<br />
,.vince skeptical allies of their value, and '<br />
somehow spare Iraqi children from the<br />
brunt of their effect. ' ,<br />
Richard BoUcher, theState Department<br />
spokesman, sairlMonday: "The<br />
most important thing is to maintain the<br />
éore sanctions, The key sanctions that do<br />
Qlake it more difficult and prevent Iraq<br />
'fl'om rebuilding its weapons programs,<br />
particularly its weapons of mass <strong>de</strong>o<br />
struction. On that, I think we have very<br />
solid agreement. "<br />
But even some advisers to Ml. Bush<br />
question that approach.<br />
"Re-energizing sanctions is a mistake,<br />
" said Richard Perle, a foreignpolicy<br />
adviser to, Mr. Bush during the<br />
campaign. "Ten years'later, they're an<br />
obvious failure. "<br />
The new administration also supports<br />
an' Iraqi opposition whose goal is to<br />
'topple Mr. Saddam. Ai<strong>de</strong>s to Mr. Bush<br />
contend that the Clinton administration<br />
never wholly supported the plan, which<br />
only un<strong>de</strong>rmined its credibility among<br />
allies in Europe and the Middle East.<br />
Although Mr. Clinton signed the Iraq<br />
Liberation Act in the fall of 1998, authorizing<br />
$98 million in military aid and<br />
equipment, the administration proyi<strong>de</strong>d<br />
very little in the end and explicitly re"<br />
fused to provi<strong>de</strong> any weapons.<br />
The Bush administration has not ruled<br />
out bombing suspected weapons sites as<br />
a last resort.<br />
Ml. Cheney said in the vice presi<strong>de</strong>ntial<br />
<strong>de</strong>bate in October: "If in fact<br />
Saddam Hussein were taking steps to try<br />
to rebuild nutlear capability or weapons<br />
of mass <strong>de</strong>struction.we'd have to give<br />
very serious consi<strong>de</strong>ration to military<br />
action to stop that activity."<br />
."<br />
SyriaOpens a Pipeline<br />
To Illegal Baghdad Oil<br />
Clan<strong>de</strong>stine Exports Line Saddam's Pock<strong>et</strong>s,<br />
Violating UNBan and Testing U.S.Resolve<br />
, By Robin Wright<br />
, Los Angeles Times Service<br />
WASHINGTON - In a major test for<br />
the Bush administration's new foreign.<br />
policy team, Syria has opened a key<br />
pipeline to Baghdad'soil, a scheme that<br />
generates at least $2 million daily in<br />
illicit funds for the regime of the Iraqi '<br />
presi<strong>de</strong>nt, Saddam Hussein, accörding<br />
to senior U.S. officials, Mi<strong>de</strong>ast diplomats<br />
and oil experts.<br />
The smuggl.i.llgoperation: launched in<br />
mid-November, is now the largest<br />
source of in<strong>de</strong>pen<strong>de</strong>nt income for Baghdad,<br />
according to oil experts. It also<br />
represents one of the most flagrant vi- ,<br />
olations y<strong>et</strong> of United Nations sanctions<br />
impo~ed because of Iraq's invasion of<br />
Kuwait in 1990.<br />
On a broa<strong>de</strong>r level, the scheme re.flects<br />
ambitious political agendas in both Iraq<br />
and Syria, U.S. officials and Mi<strong>de</strong>ast<br />
diplomats say. By offering oil price ,dis-,<br />
counts of up to 50 percent, Iraq is trying<br />
to lure neighboring countries such as<br />
Syria into secr<strong>et</strong> pacts that will create a<br />
long-term economic <strong>de</strong>pen<strong>de</strong>ncy.<br />
"This allows Saddam to expand his<br />
influence in the region in pernicious<br />
ways," said a senior U.S. official.<br />
"Poorer countries g<strong>et</strong> hooked on lower<br />
oil prices at a time they need help economically.<br />
"<br />
Illegal oil shipments are already flowing<br />
by land through Turkey and Jordan<br />
and via Iran's sea-lanes, but they are<br />
"nickel-and-dime operations" compared<br />
with the Syrian route, the official said.<br />
, The operations to Turkey and Iran are<br />
, slow, logistically difficult and çostly due<br />
to transfers on both land and sea and<br />
heavy bribery along the way, on top of<br />
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