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Bulletin de liaison et d'information - Institut kurde de Paris

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Revue <strong>de</strong> Presse-Press Review-Berhevoka Çapê-Rivista Stampa-Dentro <strong>de</strong> la Prensa-Baszn Öz<strong>et</strong>i<br />

Facing Predicament Over Iraqi Weapons,<br />

Busn'-Warns- Saaûa-rn -<br />

By Eric Schmitt<br />

and Steven Lee Myers<br />

,New 'fork Times Service<br />

WASHINGTON - The Bush administration<br />

has warned Iraq to honor agreements<br />

to <strong>de</strong>stroy,);ts nuclear, chemical<br />

and biological wëapons programs, but<br />

the White House has said that it is too<br />

soon to say what steps it will take to<br />

ensure Baghdad's compliance.<br />

Responding to a report Monday that<br />

Iraq had rebuilt a series of factories long<br />

suspected of producing chemical and<br />

biological weapons, the White House<br />

press secr<strong>et</strong>ary Ari Fleischer, said, "The<br />

presi<strong>de</strong>nt expects Saddam Hussein to<br />

live up to the agreements that he's ma<strong>de</strong><br />

with the United Nations, espeCially regarding<br />

the elimination of Weapons of<br />

mass <strong>de</strong>struction." ,<br />

But when asked how and when the<br />

administration' would help resume internationàl<br />

inspectioQs of suspected<br />

weaponssites ~d factop~s, Mr. Fleischer<br />

sàid,"I'm not prepared to address<br />

mat today, but we will."<br />

. Nearlya <strong>de</strong>ca<strong>de</strong> after<br />

.<br />

Presl~~l)t<br />

Qeorge W. Bush's father led a coahtl~n<br />

th~' ousted Iraqi forces from Kuwait,<br />

Iraq is one of the most daunting and<br />

persistent fore~gn-pol~cy p~oblems left<br />

behind by PreSi<strong>de</strong>nt B1l1Clmton.<br />

Mr. Bûsh and his national security<br />

,advisers - including Colin Powell, now<br />

secr<strong>et</strong>ary of state, and Vice Presi<strong>de</strong>nt<br />

Dick Cheney, who both confronted Iraq<br />

as top <strong>de</strong>fense officials 10 years ago -<br />

have talked tough about Mr. Saddam.<br />

But as they enter office, it is not clear<br />

that t)ley have b<strong>et</strong>ter options than Mr.<br />

Cijpton bad.' mtemationlÙ support for<br />

tough enforcement of sanctions has,<br />

waned, while Mr. Saddam has eased his<br />

diplomatic isolation, making it difficult<br />

to re-energize the sanction regime'.<br />

If Mr. Bush pursues a more aggressive<br />

strategy, including tbe use .of military<br />

force, his administration is likely to find,<br />

few allies, <strong>de</strong>spite ev~<strong>de</strong>nce that Iraq has<br />

,-resumed its covert work on "<strong>de</strong>adly<br />

weapons. As a condition of ending the,<br />

Gulf Warin 1991, Iiaq agreed to <strong>de</strong>stroy,<br />

its nuclear, chemical and biological<br />

weapons programs, as well as stop the<br />

production of long-range missiles to <strong>de</strong>~<br />

liver to such weapons. \<br />

'<br />

But,since the mid-1998, Iraq has barred<br />

any meaningful inspections by teams of<br />

United Nations speèialists, who since the<br />

end of the war had uncovereù and <strong>de</strong>stroyed<br />

large quantities of weapons an.d<br />

found out secr<strong>et</strong> programs to create biological<br />

and chemical weapons.<br />

"The challenge is larger than a lot of<br />

people suspect," sàid Representative<br />

Porter Goss, the Florida Republican who<br />

heads the House Intelligence Committee.<br />

"To say we've lost our eyes and ears<br />

in Iraq is true. "<br />

Despite his repeated criticisms ofMr.<br />

Clinton 's handling ofIraq, Ml. Bush and<br />

his ai<strong>de</strong>s have y<strong>et</strong> to <strong>de</strong>tail a new ap-<br />

~proach. Clearly, constraining Mr. Sado<br />

dam's weapons programs is at the core<br />

of the new administration's policy.<br />

Ml. Powell said last week: "His only<br />

tool, the only thing he can scare us with,<br />

are those weapons of mass <strong>de</strong>struction.<br />

And we have to hold him to account. "<br />

The presi<strong>de</strong>nt' and his top advisers<br />

'have said that they will reinvigorate the<br />

:economic sanctions against Iraq, con-<br />

,.vince skeptical allies of their value, and '<br />

somehow spare Iraqi children from the<br />

brunt of their effect. ' ,<br />

Richard BoUcher, theState Department<br />

spokesman, sairlMonday: "The<br />

most important thing is to maintain the<br />

éore sanctions, The key sanctions that do<br />

Qlake it more difficult and prevent Iraq<br />

'fl'om rebuilding its weapons programs,<br />

particularly its weapons of mass <strong>de</strong>o<br />

struction. On that, I think we have very<br />

solid agreement. "<br />

But even some advisers to Ml. Bush<br />

question that approach.<br />

"Re-energizing sanctions is a mistake,<br />

" said Richard Perle, a foreignpolicy<br />

adviser to, Mr. Bush during the<br />

campaign. "Ten years'later, they're an<br />

obvious failure. "<br />

The new administration also supports<br />

an' Iraqi opposition whose goal is to<br />

'topple Mr. Saddam. Ai<strong>de</strong>s to Mr. Bush<br />

contend that the Clinton administration<br />

never wholly supported the plan, which<br />

only un<strong>de</strong>rmined its credibility among<br />

allies in Europe and the Middle East.<br />

Although Mr. Clinton signed the Iraq<br />

Liberation Act in the fall of 1998, authorizing<br />

$98 million in military aid and<br />

equipment, the administration proyi<strong>de</strong>d<br />

very little in the end and explicitly re"<br />

fused to provi<strong>de</strong> any weapons.<br />

The Bush administration has not ruled<br />

out bombing suspected weapons sites as<br />

a last resort.<br />

Ml. Cheney said in the vice presi<strong>de</strong>ntial<br />

<strong>de</strong>bate in October: "If in fact<br />

Saddam Hussein were taking steps to try<br />

to rebuild nutlear capability or weapons<br />

of mass <strong>de</strong>struction.we'd have to give<br />

very serious consi<strong>de</strong>ration to military<br />

action to stop that activity."<br />

."<br />

SyriaOpens a Pipeline<br />

To Illegal Baghdad Oil<br />

Clan<strong>de</strong>stine Exports Line Saddam's Pock<strong>et</strong>s,<br />

Violating UNBan and Testing U.S.Resolve<br />

, By Robin Wright<br />

, Los Angeles Times Service<br />

WASHINGTON - In a major test for<br />

the Bush administration's new foreign.<br />

policy team, Syria has opened a key<br />

pipeline to Baghdad'soil, a scheme that<br />

generates at least $2 million daily in<br />

illicit funds for the regime of the Iraqi '<br />

presi<strong>de</strong>nt, Saddam Hussein, accörding<br />

to senior U.S. officials, Mi<strong>de</strong>ast diplomats<br />

and oil experts.<br />

The smuggl.i.llgoperation: launched in<br />

mid-November, is now the largest<br />

source of in<strong>de</strong>pen<strong>de</strong>nt income for Baghdad,<br />

according to oil experts. It also<br />

represents one of the most flagrant vi- ,<br />

olations y<strong>et</strong> of United Nations sanctions<br />

impo~ed because of Iraq's invasion of<br />

Kuwait in 1990.<br />

On a broa<strong>de</strong>r level, the scheme re.flects<br />

ambitious political agendas in both Iraq<br />

and Syria, U.S. officials and Mi<strong>de</strong>ast<br />

diplomats say. By offering oil price ,dis-,<br />

counts of up to 50 percent, Iraq is trying<br />

to lure neighboring countries such as<br />

Syria into secr<strong>et</strong> pacts that will create a<br />

long-term economic <strong>de</strong>pen<strong>de</strong>ncy.<br />

"This allows Saddam to expand his<br />

influence in the region in pernicious<br />

ways," said a senior U.S. official.<br />

"Poorer countries g<strong>et</strong> hooked on lower<br />

oil prices at a time they need help economically.<br />

"<br />

Illegal oil shipments are already flowing<br />

by land through Turkey and Jordan<br />

and via Iran's sea-lanes, but they are<br />

"nickel-and-dime operations" compared<br />

with the Syrian route, the official said.<br />

, The operations to Turkey and Iran are<br />

, slow, logistically difficult and çostly due<br />

to transfers on both land and sea and<br />

heavy bribery along the way, on top of<br />

96

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