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Bulletin de liaison et d'information - Institut kurde de Paris

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Revue <strong>de</strong> Presse-Press Review-Berhevoka Çapê-Rivista Stampa-Dentro <strong>de</strong> la.Prensa-Basm Öz<strong>et</strong>i<br />

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Go to war with Iraq?<br />

.Congress .weighs .costs<br />

8 questions shape <strong>de</strong>bate on resolution<br />

By David Von Drehle<br />

The WIshiugton Post<br />

WASHINGTON: Congress plans this<br />

week to <strong>de</strong>bate a joint resolution that<br />

would give Presi<strong>de</strong>nt George W. Bush<br />

broad powers to disarm Iraq, including<br />

the authority toinva<strong>de</strong> the country and<br />

<strong>de</strong>pose Presi<strong>de</strong>nt Saddam Hussein.<br />

The resolution is expected to PliSS<br />

easily, in part because leading Democrats<br />

want to g<strong>et</strong> the issue of war behind<br />

them, and in part because there is wi<strong>de</strong>spread<br />

agreement on Capitol Hill that<br />

Saddam must be <strong>de</strong>alt with. , '<br />

"We begin with the common belief<br />

that Saddam Hussein is a tyrant and a<br />

threat to the peace and stability of the<br />

Middle East," said Senator Carl Levin,<br />

Democrat of Michigan, chairman of the<br />

Armed Services Committee.<br />

There is also general agreement that,<br />

if it comes to war, the United States<br />

would win.<br />

But beyond this first level of agreement<br />

lie major disputes over important<br />

questions - about alternatives to war,<br />

timing and, most of all, outcomes.<br />

Although these questions might not be<br />

answerable without a crystal ball - experts<br />

have <strong>de</strong>bated them without reaching<br />

consensus incongressional hearings,<br />

op-ed and journal articles - they frame<br />

the risks and the as- , '<br />

sumptions of the U.S.<br />

approach.<br />

Here are eight, of<br />

the most important: .<br />

1. Can Saddam<br />

be "contained"<br />

and "<strong>de</strong>terred"?<br />

During the Cold<br />

War, the United<br />

States faced an enemy armed with thousands<br />

of high-yield bombs mounted on<br />

sophisticated missiles and avoi<strong>de</strong>d a direct<br />

military confrontation.<br />

How? By "containing" the enemy -<br />

that is, trying to prevent Communist expansion<br />

,- and "<strong>de</strong>terring" attacks with<br />

threats of apocalyptic r<strong>et</strong>aliation.<br />

Some experts believe this strategy,<br />

applied aggressively, can work with<br />

Iraq. Containment and <strong>de</strong>terrence are<br />

the U.S. policy for <strong>de</strong>aling with Iran,<br />

which is wi<strong>de</strong>ly believed to be more ad-'<br />

, vanced in nuclear capability and <strong>de</strong>eply<br />

involved in supporting terrorists. '<br />

Many people - among them Presi<strong>de</strong>nt<br />

Bush - 'believe <strong>de</strong>terrence is no<br />

longer enough after Sept. II, 2001, not<br />

when weaponsmight be <strong>de</strong>livered<br />

secr<strong>et</strong>ly to fanatics willing to vaporize<br />

themselves in an ;lttack. Senator John<br />

Warner, Republican of Virginia, put it<br />

this way: "The concept of <strong>de</strong>terrence<br />

that served us well in the 20th centu,ry<br />

~ changed" Ao

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