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Sozialalmanach - Caritas Luxembourg

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economy remained strong – although this was largely thanks to the housing bubble –<br />

and companies diligently repaired their balance sheets. This cheap money created a very<br />

competitive environment for financial institutions, which could only get high returns if<br />

they made ever-riskier investments.<br />

Global imbalances<br />

Macro imbalance in trade has accelerated dramatically over the past ten to fifteen<br />

years, partly as a result of loose US monetary policy. Asian emerging economies and<br />

the oil-exporting countries accumulated large current account surpluses, and these were<br />

matched by large current account deficits in the US, as well as the UK, Ireland, and Spain.<br />

A key driver of these imbalances was the high savings rates in countries like China. The<br />

run-up to the crisis should actually be traced back to the 1997 Asian financial market<br />

crash. Following this disaster, Asian governments (and citizens) felt increasingly insecure<br />

and ramped up their reserves – primarily in US dollars – in order to avoid becoming<br />

vulnerable to such a scenario in the future. This exacerbated the US debt burden, further<br />

perpetuating the trade imbalance.<br />

Lax financial regulation<br />

Loose monetary policy and the international trade imbalance were compounded by<br />

a third factor: the deregulation of the financial sector. With the liberalisation of capital<br />

markets, finance became global, but regulation remained national. In addition, throughout<br />

the neo-liberal epoch, even domestic financial markets were systematically deregulated,<br />

allowing financial innovations to evolve unchecked. As the financial sector grew and became<br />

truly global, insufficient latitude was reserved for domestic government regulation and<br />

international supervision 34 . Financial sector deregulation allowed the macro-imbalances in<br />

savings rates to stimulate a massive wave of financial innovation, focused on the origination,<br />

packaging, trading and distribution of derivatives, credit default swaps, and other securitised<br />

credit instruments. Since the mid-1990s there has been huge growth in the value of credit<br />

securities, an explosion in the complexity of the securities sold, and a related explosion of<br />

the volume of credit derivatives, enabling investors and traders to hedge underlying credit<br />

exposures. As securitisation grew in importance from the 1980s on, this development was<br />

lauded as a means to reducing banking system risks and to cutting the total cost of credit<br />

intermediation. The politics of international deregulation, together with computer-based<br />

finance mathematics, finally extricated the capacity to produce money by credit from<br />

public control – which to some extent at least had tied it to production and consumption<br />

34 Posner (2009).<br />

163

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