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6 Urgences <strong>KCE</strong> reports vol. 19B<br />

The amount of demand reduction is measured by the price elasticity of demand. The<br />

lower the price elasticity, the weaker the effect on expenditures will be. What<br />

determines this price elasticity?<br />

3.1.2. Health effects<br />

The most obvious factor is the behavioral reactions of the patients. These will<br />

be stronger if treatments are <strong>le</strong>ss urgent or if substitutes are readily availab<strong>le</strong>.<br />

Reactions will be weaker if patients are more ill (or consider themselves<br />

more at risk). They may be higher for low income peop<strong>le</strong>, because a change<br />

in the relative prices will have a relatively larger effect on their purchasing<br />

power. All this presumes that patients are sufficiently informed about prices.<br />

A second e<strong>le</strong>ment is the so-cal<strong>le</strong>d supply-induced demand. In the health care<br />

sector suppliers can directly influence the quantities consumed. It is not easy<br />

to predict the final result of these provider reactions. On the one hand, one<br />

may think that providers will counteract possib<strong>le</strong> demand reductions, if these<br />

threaten their income position. In that case the supply-induced demand may<br />

counteract the immediate behavioral reactions of the patients. There may<br />

then be a difference between the short-term and the long-term effect of the<br />

introduction of cost-sharing. On the other hand, it may also be the case that<br />

supply-inducement becomes <strong>le</strong>ss pronounced after the introduction of patient<br />

cost-sharing. Patients may be more a<strong>le</strong>rt and exert more pressure on<br />

providers; ethically motivated providers may worry about the effects of<br />

increased expenditures on the economic position of their patients. In general,<br />

it is obvious that one should not only focus on the incentives for the patients<br />

but also bring the provider incentives into the picture.<br />

A distinction has to be made between on the one hand first contacts, and on<br />

the other hand referrals and prescriptions. Whi<strong>le</strong> decisions about the former<br />

are taken in the first place by the patients themselves, the latter are more<br />

strongly influenced by the providers.<br />

The behavioral effects of cost-sharing will depend on the specific form of<br />

cost-sharing considered. Co-payments and co-insurance raise the price of the<br />

service (with a fixed amount or in a fixed proportion respectively) for all<br />

possib<strong>le</strong> quantities. A deductib<strong>le</strong> only has effects once the threshold has been<br />

passed, because from that point onwards the price of the service becomes<br />

zero.<br />

Very important is that the final outcome of these various effects depends on<br />

specific contextual factors (and can only be estimated through empirical<br />

work).<br />

The absence of user charges may <strong>le</strong>ad to moral hazard and excess demand. Most policy<br />

measures introducing user charges intend to reduce unnecessary services. However,<br />

taking such a policy measure is not always hitting the target of consumption of<br />

unnecessary services. To be an effective instrument, the price signal should indeed<br />

provide incentives for cost-conscious care and se<strong>le</strong>ctively discourage the use of<br />

unnecessary services. However, if patients not only stop obtaining unnecessary care but<br />

also effective care defined by clinical criteria cost-sharing may set up barriers to<br />

needed care and health effects may be expected.<br />

Health effects can only be measured through empirical work, although some important<br />

factors are already known 6, 7, 1 :<br />

Cost-sharing will be most efficient if it can be applied to relatively inefficient<br />

services, for which more efficient substitutes (alternatives) are availab<strong>le</strong>. Such<br />

substitution will indeed compensate the effects on health.<br />

The previous argument only works if patients are sufficiently informed about<br />

the appropriateness of alternative services for their health care needs. They<br />

must be aware of the existence of alternative more effective or more costefficient<br />

treatments. Providers are probably the main source of information in

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