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1957 - United Nations Statistics Division

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stances, be closely correlated with those for permanent<br />

emigrants and immigrants as defined above, etc.<br />

The Recommendations also set forth, in paragraph 19,<br />

the following sub-categories of visitors, based on the<br />

purpose of the visit:<br />

(i) Visitors in transit<br />

(ii) Visitors for holiday<br />

(iii) Visitors for education<br />

a. teachers under appointment by educational institutions<br />

b. students attending regular sessions of educational<br />

institutions<br />

c. other visitors for educational purposes (e.g.<br />

study tours, summer schools)<br />

(iv) Visitors for business<br />

(v) Other visitors<br />

In paragraph 20 of the Recommendations, it is indicated<br />

that a distinction between workers and non-workers<br />

is desirable for frontier traffic.<br />

These more detailed classifications are useful for various<br />

users of the statistics; they do not generally concern<br />

the basic information required in interpreting figures for<br />

the more important categories of permanent emigrants or<br />

immigrants, and need not be discussed here in further<br />

detail.<br />

Geographic and time coverage<br />

The number of countries for which data are shown for<br />

at least one year in anyone of Tables 27 to 31 is 72. It<br />

would be desirable for several purposes that tables on international<br />

migration should have an extensive geographic<br />

coverage, but it is still more desirable that they<br />

include sufficient data on the largest migratory movements<br />

taking place in the world. From this point of view,<br />

the coverage of Tables 27 to 31 is more satisfactory than<br />

would appear from the mere consideration of number of<br />

countries included.<br />

The degree of completeness of the coverage varies between<br />

continents. Among the more significant omissions<br />

are Brazil and some other South and Central American<br />

countries for recent years, and most African and Asian<br />

countries or territories. In Europe, no statistics are available<br />

for France, recent data on the characteristics of continental<br />

migrants are lacking for Italy, and information<br />

on continental movements is not available for the <strong>United</strong><br />

Kingdom.<br />

While the collection of statistical information on travellers<br />

and migrants is generally a continuous operation,<br />

concomitant with the movements, important delays often<br />

occur in the processing of the data. These delays account<br />

for the gaps in the series for the year 1956 and even for<br />

1955. In view of the importance of current data in the field<br />

of migration, these gaps are regrettable and show the need<br />

to accelerate the processing of data. At the other end of<br />

the time period covered by the tables, that of the earliest<br />

years, gaps actually indicate progress in several cases, some<br />

countries having started only recently to compile the<br />

statistics considered here.<br />

In conformity with paragraph 27 of the Recommendations,<br />

calendar-year series were preferred to those relating<br />

to fiscal years or other twelve-month periods. The importance<br />

of this type of variation on consistency and international<br />

comparability of statistics of international<br />

population movements has declined as a result of efforts<br />

recently made by several countries to make calendar-year<br />

tabulations available, sometimes in addition to the fiscalyear<br />

data that may be required by legislation.<br />

Accuracy of the data<br />

Besides limitations resulting from methods of collection<br />

and systems of definition, statistics of international population<br />

movements and migration are also affected by errors<br />

made at the time of collection and during processing. The<br />

accuracy of migration statistics is also limited by two factors<br />

not encountered in the case of other demographic<br />

data. First, the definitions of permanent emigration and<br />

immigration are based on intentions expressed by the<br />

travellers, who may subsequently change their plans. Secondly,<br />

it is known that clandestine movements occur across<br />

certain frontiers. They escape statistical recording, except<br />

perhaps in a very limited number of cases where provisions<br />

are made for including the persons concerned in the<br />

statistics, when their status is regularized.<br />

The accuracy of statistics of permanent migrants cannot<br />

be checked effectively by finding out how closely they fit<br />

with the results of population censuses taken from time to<br />

time in a given country and the balance of births and<br />

deaths provided by the vital statistics system. This procedure<br />

is, in most cases, useless because the magnitude of<br />

migration in relation to natural increase and total size of<br />

popUlation is so small as to fall within the margin of<br />

absolute error of vital statistics and census data that are<br />

fairly satisfactory on the basis of relative accuracy.<br />

It remains possible to detect certain inaccuracies in migration<br />

data through unexplained irregularities brought<br />

out by comparison of figures for a series of years.<br />

While travellers and migrants cannot be re-counted at<br />

the point of their journey at which statistics were once collected<br />

by a particular country, migrants are usually<br />

counted by both the country of their last permanent residence<br />

and the country of their intended permanent resirence.<br />

This double count affords an obvious means for<br />

evaluating the accuracy of migration data. Certain precautions<br />

are, however, required when attempting a comparison<br />

between the number of emigrants recorded by a<br />

country E as leaving for a country I and the number of<br />

immigrants recorded in country I as arriving from country<br />

E. The coincidence of the two figures would require perfect<br />

comparability. It is not surprising, therefore, that<br />

corresponding figures from Tables 28 and 29 should differ,<br />

In itself, this fact does not imply that the data lack in<br />

reliability and comparability to the point of being of little<br />

or no value. In order that corresponding emigration and<br />

immigration figures should be even approximately equal<br />

for any two countries, many difficult conditions would<br />

have to be met. The principal ones are: equivalence in all<br />

countries of methods of collection and definition of emigrant<br />

and immigrant, and compatibility of the respective<br />

lists of countries of intended permanent residence and of<br />

countries of last permanent residence. Less fundamental<br />

conditions would also have to be satisfied, such as recording<br />

of persons changing their destination en route, of<br />

births and deaths during the period of travel, and adjustment<br />

of the data for differences in the time references of<br />

the questions put to the migrants at the places where the<br />

data are collected so as to deal with journeys extending<br />

beyond the end of a particular calendar year. However,<br />

45

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