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1957 - United Nations Statistics Division

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SOURCES OF VARIATION<br />

Completely adequate statistics of international population<br />

movements would show the number of all persons<br />

having crossed an international frontier during a given<br />

period of time, the direction of their movements, and<br />

their characteristics. The data for different periods, or<br />

for different groups such as emigrants or immigrants, visitors<br />

and residents returning, would be consistent for any<br />

particular country, and comparable for different countries.<br />

This implies that uniform or equivalent statistical<br />

nomenclatures and methods of collection would be used,<br />

such as are described in the Recommendations. National<br />

series meeting those standards would readily fit in a set<br />

of international tables, giving complete and unduplicated<br />

representation of the movements of international travellers<br />

and migrants.<br />

Existing data do not generally meet the standards of<br />

quality set forth in the Recommendations. They constitute<br />

only fragments of the complete representation of international<br />

migration and travel referred to above. Time<br />

will be needed to achieve a substantial improvement in<br />

migration statistics, since considerable administrative<br />

difficulties will have to be overcome in many countries,<br />

but steady progress is possible. In effect, noticeable improvements<br />

have taken place during recent years in the<br />

geographic and time coverage, scope, consistency and<br />

comparability of statistics of international population<br />

movements made available by the various countries for<br />

publication in the Demographic Yearbook. A brief<br />

analysis of the limitations to which existing data are<br />

subject will now be given. 59<br />

Sources of data<br />

The materials presented in Tables 27-31 have been<br />

obtained generally by means of a questionnaire sent to<br />

governments by the International Labour Office. Supplementary<br />

information was extracted by the Secretariat<br />

from official publications and documents.<br />

In the various countries, the data are drawn from a<br />

variety of sources. These are shown in Tables 28-31 by<br />

Roman numerals, in terms of a code which is also<br />

used in the International Labour Office Year Book of<br />

Labour <strong>Statistics</strong>. The code does not indicate degrees of<br />

reliability. The classification of sources and their code<br />

numbers are as follows:<br />

I. Port statistics, provided by the shipping authorities<br />

and based on ship or aircraft manifests or other administrative<br />

documents made out by the navigation<br />

companies or, in some cases, on individual forms<br />

completed by each traveller or head of travelling<br />

family group.<br />

II. <strong>Statistics</strong> of frontier control, provided by the police<br />

or immigration authorities supervising the crossings<br />

of international frontiers. In some cases, the data are<br />

based on individual forms.<br />

III. <strong>Statistics</strong> based on coupons detached at points of de-<br />

69 A detailed comparative analysis of the migration statistics of 69<br />

countries or territories and an examination of the difficulties relating<br />

to them are available in Problems of Migration <strong>Statistics</strong>. <strong>United</strong><br />

<strong>Nations</strong>, Department of Social Affairs, document STjSOAjSER.Aj5,<br />

Lake Success, November 1949 (Sales No. 1950XUI.l). A discussion<br />

of the problems of organization and operations in migration statistics,<br />

induding possible applications of sampling methods, is presented in<br />

International Migration <strong>Statistics</strong>, op. cit.<br />

43<br />

parture and arrival from identity documents issued<br />

to migrants by their own country.<br />

IV. Passport statistics; being the number of passports<br />

issued to certain categories of prospective travellers,<br />

these data are limited to national emigrants.<br />

V. <strong>Statistics</strong> of local population registers, provided by<br />

the authorities in charge of the registers, are based on<br />

entries recording declarations of change of residence,<br />

which are compulsory under the laws of a few countries.<br />

VI. Other statistics, including those obtained in connection<br />

with the enforcement of regulations concerning<br />

immigration, work-permits for aliens, transport contracts<br />

for emigrants, etc.<br />

The diversity in the sources of statistics on international<br />

popUlation movements corresponds, in a certain measure,<br />

to the variation in definitions analysed above. This<br />

diversity complicates the interpretation of different series<br />

available for the same country and the making of international<br />

comparisons. Uniformity in the method of collection<br />

would therefore represent an improvement. In<br />

paragraph 13 of the Recommendations, definite preference<br />

is given to collection at the occasion of frontier<br />

control for all countries except for the small number of<br />

those where satisfactory data on international population<br />

movements can be obtained from existing population<br />

registers. The application of the recommended method<br />

of collection would be facilitated by neighboring or<br />

related countries making arrangements for the joint<br />

compilation of the data. Paragraph 14 of the Recommendations<br />

directs the attention of governments to this point.<br />

An analysis of sources shows that outside Europe<br />

migration data are obtained in seventy per cent of the<br />

countries from reliable sources, frontier control and port<br />

statistics, and popUlation registers. In Europe, a great<br />

diversity of methods prevails, reflecting the particular<br />

difficulty of collecting migration data in that continent<br />

as a result of the multiplicity of frontiers crossed by large<br />

numbers of travellers each year.<br />

In general, no outright conclusion regarding the<br />

quality of migration data can be drawn from the mere<br />

indication of the source from which they were drawn. It<br />

is necessary to analyze in some detail the collection procedures<br />

followed by the country to determine what<br />

limitations may result from the procedures. Furthermore,<br />

in order to produce internationally comparable statistics,<br />

collection methods need not be identical but should be<br />

equivalent. In an island country, port statistics may give<br />

results comparable to frontier statistics in a country<br />

having only land borders. The latter type of data may,<br />

under certain conditions, be comparable with statistics<br />

from popUlation registers. Only a detailed study of each<br />

case may reveal the reliability of the figures, and show<br />

how comparable they may be for different countries and<br />

periods of time.<br />

Definitions and nomenclatures<br />

Problems of definition and nomenclature are different<br />

in statistics of international migration from those in<br />

other demographic statistics. Population census and vitalregistration<br />

data, at least elementary ones, relate to well<br />

defined events such as the presence of a person in a<br />

particular area, a birth or death. The crossing of an inter-

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