Introduction to MCMC * Petros Dellaportas and Gareth O. Roberts ...

q·ÄÄIJò²òyIJ+¢¤£ G¥¤ƒ]‡ ƒ+¥G¦ ;(u£ ¦Oˆ ( ˆ,…¤‡:¥Z‡ „†… Š ņ¡a¢_­Ê¢³¥q­f¢Ä²¥qª{¦Ð†¥@¦·§I«f®c¹-®žªy§T«Ê­f¼y¹X«Ñ«Ê­M¥qª+§T¨V«Ê¨Ÿ®žª=Ò¢-­fªa¢-±©§,Ð]¡a¨Ÿ¹M¡¥q­f¢Ä²0®··¨©4+¹-¥q«Ê¨Ÿ®žªy§Ñ®­,¢-Ç¢«f¢-ªy§Ê¨Ÿ®žªy§Ñ®qÝO²c®­Ê¢t°y¥§T¨©¹µ Ø µ ²c¢-«Ê¡a®·a§_¤îÄÝw«Ê¢-ª6«Ê¡a¢!§T¢¤²0®{a¨Ê4y¢!é²0¢«f¡a®·a§t¹-¥qªF¥ž¹-¹-¢-±Ÿ¢-­M¥.«f¢«Ê¡a¢0¥q±Ÿ¬ž®­Ê¨V«Ê¡y²ˆ¦ §Ä¹-®žª{Ꞣ_­Ê¬¢-ªy¹-¢ā­f®ž¯/¢-­Ê«Ê¨Ÿ¢_§_ØîÄÝw«Ê¢_ªC§Ê¼y¹M¡=¨Ÿ²0ā­Ê®.ê¢_¹-®žª{Ꞣ_­Ê¬¢-ªy¹-¢Z¹®ž²0¢!§?¥.«,«Ê¡a¢³¹®¢§k«Ñ®qݺ¨Ÿªy¹­f¢_¥§T¢!¹®²cȳ¼·«Ê¨Ÿªa¬¤«Ê¨Ÿ²c¢¥-·§T®¤¨¸«Ñ¨Ÿ§,ªa®q«]§Ê¼8É=¹¨Ÿ¢-ª¢«?«f®4yª+«Ê¡y¢Ä²0®§T«,¢7ɹ-¨V¢_ª¢«¹-¥ž­Ê­f¦Â®¼·«]¥ā¼a­f¢-±Ÿ¦c«Ê¡a¢_®ž­f¢«Ê¨©¹-¥ž±+¹-®ž²0ȳ¥q­f¨©§T®ª®qݨØ饞­ÊÒ®.ꤹM¡y¥ž¨Vª=¹-®žª{Ꞣ_­Ê¬¢-ªy¹-¢]¨Vª=®­fa¢-­I«f®¥q±Ÿ¬ž®­Ê¨V«Ê¡y²ì†¡y¨Ÿ§0¥qȳā±V¨Ÿ¢_§0²0®¢§k«0ªy¥.«f¼a­M¥q±Ÿ±V¦;«f®†¡a¢²0®§T«c¯/®žȳ¼a±Ÿ¥ž­®qÝZ«f¡a¢_§Ê¢¨Ÿ§c«f¡a¢ÙØÙ¢«f­Ê®¯+®±V¨©§M¨'Ð]¨V«Ê¡a¨Ÿª8¨kÁt¨V°y°y§0¥q±Ÿ¬ž®ž­f¨V«Ê¡a²†¡a¢¤ØÙ¢«f­Ê®¯+®±V¨©§M¨«Ê¡y¢¤§T¨V«Ê¼y¥q«Ê¨Ÿ®žªÐ]¡a¢_­Ê¢³ªa®ž«]¥ž±V±¨®qݨ«f¡a¢³Ý€¼a±Ÿ±Ê¨m¹®ªy·¨V«Ê¨Ÿ®žªy¥ž±¨·¨©§k«f­Ê¨Ÿ°a¼·«f¨V®ªy§]¹-¥žª°+¢¢!¥ž§Ê¨V±Ÿ¦§Ê¨V²¤¼a±Ÿ¥q«Ê¢!íÐ]¨V«Ê¡a¨Ÿª8¨kÁt¨V°a°+§Z²0¢«f¡a®·Ù²0¢-­f¢-±Ÿ¦¼a¯$a¥.«f¢_§Äȳ¥q­Ê«Ê¨©¹¼a±©¥q­¹®ž²0¯/®žªa¢_ª¢«f§Z¥¹-¹®­fa¨Vªa¬c«f®¥=§Ê¼a¨¸«M¥q°a±Ÿ¦C¹M¡y®§Ê¢-ªÙØÙ¢«f­Ê®¯+®±V¨©§M¨ÛÄ¥§k«f¨Vªy¬§t§k«f¢-¯§-$Ð]¡a¨©¹M¡$4aÇ·¢!§¥ž±V±3®q«f¡a¢-­³¹®²0¯+®ªa¢-ª¢«f§@-$¥qªy6¡y¥ž§t¥ž§t§k«M¥.«f¨V®ªy¥q­f¦ìa¨Ÿ§T«Ê­f¨V°y¼·«Ê¨Ÿ®žªÙ«f¡a¢0¹®žª+·¨¸«f¨V®ªy¥q±3·¨©§d¨«Ê­f¨Ÿ°a¼·«Ê¨Ÿ®žª®žÝ¨«Ê¡y¢¤¹®ž²0¯/®žªa¢_ª¢«]«Ê®0°+¢¼y¯/a¥q«Ê¢!ì¹-®žªya¨¸«f¨V®ªy¥q±í®ªC«f¡a®§Ê¢t«Ê®0°/¢m4aÇ·¢_íÏZªy®q«Ê¡y¢-­t¯+®ā¼a±©¥q­³§k«f­f¥q«Ê¢-¬¦¨©§Ä°y±V®·¹MÒ{¨Vªy¬yÈ]¨Ÿªy§k«f¢_¥Ù®qÝ?§f¥q²0ā±Ÿ¨Vªy¬=¢_¥¹M¡6¹®²c¯/®žªy¢-ª¢«®žÝ^n;§T¢_ȳ¥q­M¥.«f¢-±Ÿ¦=Ý€­f®ž²¨¸«M§ZÝ€¼y±V±‡ §T¼+¹M¡«f¡y¥.«¤‚1t ‡ tP¨¹®ªy·¨V«Ê¨Ÿ®žªy¥ž±º·¢-ª+§T¨V«k¦;-y§f¥q²0ā±Ÿ¢¤§Ê¨V²¤¼a±¸«M¥qªa¢_®ž¼y§Ê±Ÿ¦Ý€­Ê®²¥0§Ê¼a°{Ꞣ_¹«Ê®­]®qÝanÙÐ]¨V«Ê¡Ù·¨Ÿ²c¢_ªy§Ê¨V®ª´¢×?>-@«Ê¡a®¼a¬ž¡¤°a±V®·¹MÒ³¼a¯$a¥.«f¨Vªy¬†¡a¨©§¦ā­Ê®.ê{¨©·¢_§O¥qªÂ¥ž±V¬®ž­f¨¸«f¡a²9Ð]¡a¨©¹M¡¤¨Ÿ§¦®žÝw«Ê¢-ª¤§T¼a¯/¢-­f¨Ÿ®ž­O«Ê®Ä®­Ê¨Ÿ¬ž¨Ÿªy¥ž±¢Át¨Ÿ°a°y§3§Ê¥ž²0ā±V¨Ÿªa¬®' †¡a¨©§ā­f®ž°a±Ÿ¢-²ü²¥@¦é°+¢êž¢-­f¦6§Ê¢-ê¢-­f¢c¨Ÿªöa¥q«f¥Ù¥q¼y¬ž²0¢-ª¢«f¥q«Ê¨Ÿ®žª ā­f®ž°a±Ÿ¢-²§¨Ÿª{êž®ž±Ÿê{¨Vªy¬ì²0¨©§Ê§Ê¨Ÿªa¬Ý€®ž­Â¢Ça¥q²0ā±Ÿ¢;-… + «Ê®ì¡y¥@ꢤ¬ž¢_®ž²0¢«f­Ê¨©¹§f¥q²0ā±Ÿ¢-­tÐ]¡a¨Ÿ¹M¡F·¢«f¢-­f²c¨Ÿªa¨©§k«f¨Ÿ¹_¥q±Ÿ±V¦Ù¼y¯/a¥q«Ê¢!§¢!¥ž¹M¡é¯+¥q­M¥q²0¢«f¢-­Ä¨Ÿªé«f¼a­fª6¹-¥žª6°/¢c§Ê¡a®.Ð]ªÓ),