Introducción a Series de Tiempo Univariadas - Centro Microdatos
Introducción a Series de Tiempo Univariadas - Centro Microdatos
Introducción a Series de Tiempo Univariadas - Centro Microdatos
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Introducción a <strong>Series</strong> <strong>de</strong> <strong>Tiempo</strong> <strong>Univariadas</strong>December 31, 2010use "hstarts.dta", cleartsset datearima DS12.starts, ar(1 12) ma(1 12)estimates store arima1arima DS12.starts, ar(1 12 24) ma(1 12 24)estimates store arima2arima DS12.starts, ar(1 12 24 36) ma(1 12 24 36)estimates store arima3arima DS12.starts, ar(1 12)estimates store arima4arima DS12.starts, ar(1 12 24)estimates store arima5arima DS12.starts, ar(1 12 24 36)estimates store arima6estimates table arima1 arima2 arima3 arima4 arima5 arima6, stat(aic, bic)b(%7.3g) p(%4.3f)--------------------------------------------------------------------------Variable | arima1 arima2 arima3 arima4 arima5 arima6-------------+------------------------------------------------------------starts |_cons | .0134 .0147 .015 .034 .0324 .0286| 0.771 0.790 0.791 0.919 0.909 0.896-------------+------------------------------------------------------------ARMA |ar |L1. | -.288 -.257 -.267 -.28 -.267 -.232| 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000L12. | .122 -.327 -.217 -.393 -.478 -.544| 0.006 0.001 0.148 0.000 0.000 0.000L24. | .103 .0783 -.195 -.344| 0.022 0.515 0.000 0.000L36. | -.124 -.286| 0.014 0.000|ma |L1. | .00621 -.058 -.0523| 0.796 0.106 0.098L12. | -.931 -.554 -.718| 0.000 0.000 0.000L24. | -.517 -.445| 0.000 0.000L36. | .0579| 0.728-------------+------------------------------------------------------------sigma |_cons | 10.9 10.3 9.94 12.7 12.4 11.9| 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000-------------+------------------------------------------------------------Statistics |aic | 4197 4188 4186 4336 4317 4272bic | 4222 4222 4229 4354 4338 4298--------------------------------------------------------------------------legend: b/p87