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Introducción a Series de Tiempo Univariadas - Centro Microdatos

Introducción a Series de Tiempo Univariadas - Centro Microdatos

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4 6 810 12 14Introducción a <strong>Series</strong> <strong>de</strong> <strong>Tiempo</strong> <strong>Univariadas</strong>December 31, 2010tssmooth exponential s<strong>de</strong>sempleo1 = <strong>de</strong>sempleocomputing optimal exponential coefficient (0,1)optimal exponential coefficient = 0.9998sum-of-squared residuals = 77.522763root mean squared error = .5179236tsline <strong>de</strong>sempleo s<strong>de</strong>sempleo11985m1 1990m1 1995m1 2000m1 2005m1 2010m1fecha<strong>de</strong>sempleoparms(0.9998) = <strong>de</strong>sempleotssmooth exponential s<strong>de</strong>sempleo2 = <strong>de</strong>sempleo, parms(0.4)exponential coefficient = 0.4000sum-of-squared residuals = 173.89root mean squared error = .77568tsline <strong>de</strong>sempleo s<strong>de</strong>sempleo236

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