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world cancer report - iarc

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ipated, is primarily attributable to young<br />

people taking up the habit. Factors that<br />

lead youngsters to start smoking include<br />

smoking by parents and siblings and, most<br />

significantly, peer pressure. Thus, smoking<br />

by a best friend, or belonging to a group<br />

where a majority smoke has a strong influence<br />

[14]. The task of promoting nonsmoking<br />

as a healthy lifestyle choice may<br />

be accorded to teachers in general or to<br />

Nicotine replacement therapy (NRT)<br />

Gum (49 trials, N=16,706)<br />

Patch (30 trials, N=15,677)<br />

Intranasal spray (4 trials, N=877)<br />

Inhaler (4 trials, N=976)<br />

Sublingual tablet (2 trials, N=488)<br />

AII NRT formulations<br />

132 Prevention and screening<br />

0.7 1 1.5 2<br />

specialist educators. The goal must be to<br />

prevent schoolchildren from starting to<br />

smoke. Therefore, programmes must be<br />

initiated early (before the age at which<br />

experimentation is likely to start) and to<br />

achieve a positive impact, an intensive programme<br />

over several years should be integrated<br />

into the school curriculum. Limited<br />

interventions by health professionals from<br />

outside the school setting cannot be<br />

Odds ratio (95% C.I.)<br />

1.63 (1.49 - 1.79)<br />

1.73 (1.56 - 1.93)<br />

2.27 (1.61 - 3.20)<br />

2.08 (1.43 - 3.04)<br />

1.73 (1.07 - 2.80)<br />

1.71 (1.60 -1.82)<br />

Fig. 4.4 Meta-analysis of nicotine replacement therapy trials; nicotine replacement therapy increases the<br />

chance of quitting smoking by more than one and a half times. T. Lancaster et al. (2000) BMJ 321, 355-358, with permission<br />

from the BMJ Publishing Group.<br />

expected to have a lasting impact. Unless<br />

interventions are strengthened with inclusion<br />

of booster sessions, the positive<br />

effects of most programmes will wear off.<br />

However, even under the best conditions,<br />

there seems little room for optimism.<br />

Under real life conditions, it has proved<br />

impossible to replicate the encouraging<br />

results from pilot trials [15]. While effort<br />

continues to be directed at health promotion<br />

campaigns aimed at youth, there is<br />

abundant recognition of the worth and<br />

need for development of campaigns directed<br />

towards women [16] and members of<br />

communities in the developing <strong>world</strong> [17].<br />

Smoking cessation<br />

Preventing young people from starting<br />

smoking would cut the number of deaths<br />

related to tobacco, but not until after<br />

2050. Quitting by current smokers is the<br />

only way in which tobacco-related mortality<br />

can be reduced in the medium term. The<br />

risk of lung <strong>cancer</strong> decreases inversely<br />

with the time since quitting smoking (Fig.<br />

4.3). About 20% of smokers are prepared<br />

to make an active attempt to quit in the<br />

immediate future (within 30 days) [18].<br />

Fig. 4.5 Death rates at ages 35-69 from lung <strong>cancer</strong> in smokers versus non-smokers in various parts of China, 1986-88. Although lung <strong>cancer</strong> rates show wide<br />

variation between cities and between urban and rural areas, lung <strong>cancer</strong> mortality in smokers was consistently about three times higher in smokers than in nonsmokers.<br />

Lung <strong>cancer</strong> mortality rates in some areas greatly exceed those found in the USA, which in 1990, similarly standardized for age, were 1.4 per 1,000<br />

male and 0.6 per 1,000 female smokers, and 0.1 per 1,000 male or female non-smokers. R. Peto et al. (1999) Nature Medicine 5: 15-17.

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