Market Survey on Copper - Indian Bureau of Mines
Market Survey on Copper - Indian Bureau of Mines
Market Survey on Copper - Indian Bureau of Mines
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4.7 FUTURE SCENARIO<br />
<strong>Copper</strong> is an important n<strong>on</strong> ferrous metal used in the industries such as<br />
Electrical, telecommunicati<strong>on</strong>s, alloys, die-casting etc. India has good capacities to<br />
produce copper metal but the producti<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> ores and c<strong>on</strong>centrates is not sufficient to<br />
cater to the demand <strong>of</strong> the refineries. India’s demand <strong>of</strong> copper ores & c<strong>on</strong>centrates is<br />
mostly met with by imports India produces about 150 thousand t<strong>on</strong>nes <strong>of</strong> copper<br />
c<strong>on</strong>centrates whereas imports about 2000 thousand t<strong>on</strong>nes <strong>of</strong> copper ores &<br />
c<strong>on</strong>centrates. The major smelting plants such as Hindalco industries Ltd., Sterlite<br />
Industries (India) Ltd. and Jhagadia <strong>Copper</strong> Ltd. which depend up<strong>on</strong> the imported<br />
copper c<strong>on</strong>centrates and scrap are not running with their full capacity. The major<br />
overseas markets from which India is importing copper ores & c<strong>on</strong>centrates are Chile,<br />
Australia, Ind<strong>on</strong>esia, Brazil, Peru etc. Out <strong>of</strong> these Chile has got good capacities to<br />
produce ores and c<strong>on</strong>centrates followed by Ind<strong>on</strong>esia, Australia, Brazil, Kazakhstan,<br />
Peru etc. The new developments in the Zambian copper mining industry are showing<br />
good prospects <strong>of</strong> revival. India may look forward to import copper ores &<br />
c<strong>on</strong>centrates from Chile, Ind<strong>on</strong>esia, and Zambia in the future. As regards the exports<br />
<strong>of</strong> copper metal, India exports its copper metal to Asian Countries such as Saudi<br />
Arabia, China, Malaysia, Thailand etc. If the producti<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> copper metal in India with<br />
the help <strong>of</strong> imported copper c<strong>on</strong>centrates is increased, India can extend its export<br />
destinati<strong>on</strong>s to some <strong>of</strong> European and African countries which are good c<strong>on</strong>sumers <strong>of</strong><br />
copper metal but do not have capacities to produce the metal.<br />
The internal demand <strong>of</strong> copper in India is also increasing due to positive<br />
changes in the industrial producti<strong>on</strong> and ec<strong>on</strong>omy. The growth in the infrastructure<br />
sector also has a positive effect <strong>on</strong> India's internal demand <strong>of</strong> copper. The internal<br />
demand <strong>of</strong> copper has been discussed in Demand and Supply Chapter. Keeping in<br />
view the overall growth <strong>of</strong> <strong>Indian</strong> industry the demand <strong>of</strong> copper is expected to<br />
increase in the future.<br />
World Future Scenario Bey<strong>on</strong>d 2010<br />
It has already been menti<strong>on</strong>ed in the Foreign <str<strong>on</strong>g>Market</str<strong>on</strong>g>s Chapter that forecasting<br />
copper scenario in the entire world in respect <strong>of</strong> producti<strong>on</strong> and trade is difficult<br />
owing to fast development in respect <strong>of</strong> closing down <strong>of</strong> mines & companies and<br />
switching over, merger & acquisiti<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> companies. The Internati<strong>on</strong>al situati<strong>on</strong> is full<br />
<strong>of</strong> uncertainty.<br />
It has now become a set practice that entrepreneurs acquiring mines world-wide<br />
to feed their smelters situated in different countries. Therefore to forecast the copper<br />
demand in the world and in various regi<strong>on</strong>s, the basis <strong>of</strong> c<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> refined<br />
copper as reported in World Mineral Statistics have been adopted.<br />
The c<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong> data <strong>of</strong> refined copper from 2001-2010 has been compiled and<br />
analysed to find out rise and fall in c<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong> year- to - year basis in respect <strong>of</strong><br />
World as a whole and Europe, Africa, Asia, America and Oceania, to arrive at the<br />
CAGR based <strong>on</strong> data for 10 years.<br />
The countries included under various regi<strong>on</strong>s namely Europe, Africa, Asia,<br />
America and Oceania are given in Tablel-4.5.<br />
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