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Air Quality Criteria for Lead Volume II of II - (NEPIS)(EPA) - US ...

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AX6-7<br />

Table AX6-2.1 (cont’d). Prospective Longitudinal Cohort Studies <strong>of</strong> Neurocognitive Ability in Children<br />

Reference, Study<br />

Location, and Period Study Description Pb Measurement Findings, Interpretation<br />

Latin America (cont’d)<br />

Téllez-Rojo et al.<br />

(2006)<br />

Mexico<br />

Australia<br />

Baghurst et al. (1992);<br />

McMichael et al.<br />

(1994); Tong et al.<br />

(1996)<br />

Australia<br />

294 one and two yr-olds residing in Mexico City<br />

followed since birth. The Bayley Scales <strong>of</strong> Infant<br />

Development-<strong>II</strong> (MDI and PDI) were used to index<br />

developmental status. There was extensive<br />

assessment <strong>of</strong> medical and sociodemographic<br />

covariates.<br />

400-500 subjects residing in and near Port Pirie,<br />

Australia and followed since birth were re-evaluated<br />

at 7 to 8 and 11-13 yrs <strong>of</strong> age. WISCR was used to<br />

index intellectual status at both ages. Extensive<br />

assessment <strong>of</strong> medical and sociodemographic<br />

covariates.<br />

Umbilical cord blood Pb and<br />

postnatal blood Pb at 12 and<br />

24 mos<br />

Umbilical cord blood Pb 4.8<br />

(SD 3.0) µg/dL<br />

Blood Pb at 1 yr 4.27 (SD<br />

2.1) µg/dL<br />

Blood Pb at 2 yrs 4.3 (SD<br />

2.2) µg/dL<br />

Maternal prenatal, umbilical<br />

cord and serial postnatal blood<br />

Pb<br />

Antenatal avg blood Pb<br />

10.1 (SD 3.9) µg/dL<br />

Umbilical cord blood Pb<br />

9.4 (SD 3.9) µg/dL<br />

Blood Pb at 2 yrs<br />

geometric mean 21.3<br />

(SD 1.2) µg/dL<br />

Deciduous central incisor<br />

whole tooth Pb<br />

Tooth Pb geometric 8.8<br />

(SD 1.9) µg/g<br />

Blood Pb at 12 mos was not associated with MDI at either<br />

age. Blood Pb at 24 mos was significantly associated with<br />

24 mo MDI. An increase <strong>of</strong> one logarithmic unit in 24 mo<br />

blood Pb level was associated with a reduction <strong>of</strong> ~5 points<br />

in MDI. Findings <strong>for</strong> PDI were similar. In comparison to<br />

a supplemental subsample <strong>of</strong> 90 subjects with blood Pb<br />

levels >10 µg/dL, the coefficient <strong>for</strong> blood Pb was<br />

significantly larger <strong>for</strong> infants never exceeding that level<br />

<strong>of</strong> internal dose. A steeper inverse slope was observed<br />

over the blood Pb range up to 5 µg/dL (!1.71 points per<br />

1 µg/dL increase in blood Pb, p = 0.01) compared to the<br />

range between 5 and 10 µg/dL (!0.94 points, p = 0.12);<br />

however, these slopes were not significantly different<br />

(p = 0.34). In conclusion, a major finding <strong>of</strong> this<br />

prospective study was that a significant inverse<br />

relationship between blood Pb concentration and<br />

neurodevelopment was observed among children whose<br />

blood Pb levels did not exceed 10 µg/dL at any age.<br />

Significant decrements in covariate-adjusted full scale IQ<br />

were observed in relationship to postnatal blood Pb levels<br />

at both ages. At 7 to 8 yrs <strong>of</strong> age a loss <strong>of</strong> 5.3 points was<br />

associated with an increase in blood Pb from 10 to<br />

30 µg/dL. At 11-13 yrs, mean full scale IQ declined by 3.0<br />

points <strong>for</strong> an increase in lifetime avg blood Pb<br />

concentrations from 10 to 20 µg/dL. Pb levels in central<br />

upper incisors were also associated with lower 7-8 yr IQ<br />

following covariate adjustment. Adjusted estimated<br />

decline in IQ across the range <strong>of</strong> tooth Pb from 3 to<br />

22 ppm was 5.1 points.

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