Serengeti General Management Plan

Serengeti National Park General Management Plan
Table C.2: Threats to SENAPA Conservation Targets
Target Threat Severity Scope Ranking
The Decline in Mara River flow rates Very high Very high Very high
Migration Poaching Very high Very high Very high
Cutting of migration routes due to High
human development & cultivation
Medium Medium
Early dry season fires Medium High Medium
Fencing that creates hard boundaries Medium Medium Medium
Settled agriculture in NCA (bore
holes)
Low Medium Low
Disease (e.g. rinderpest) Not ranked
Mara River Water diversion and extraction Very high Very high Very high
Water pollution Medium Very high Medium
Bank erosion from flooding Medium Very high Medium
Riverine
forest
Fire Very high Very high Very high
Acacia Hot unprescribed fires High High High
woodland Cool controlled fires Medium Medium Medium
Terminalia Hot unprescribed fires High High High
woodland Cool controlled fires Medium Medium Medium
Kopje
habitat
Fire Medium Low Low
Black rhino Poaching Very high Very high Very high
Unviable population size Very high Medium Medium
Inbreeding High Medium Medium
Human disturbance Medium High Medium
Habitat loss through fire Low Medium Low
Disease (e.g. tick borne) Not ranked
Insufficient rhino secure areas Not ranked
Wild dogs Disease Very high High High
Unviable population size Very high Medium Medium
Inbreeding High Medium Medium
Competition with other predators High Medium Medium
Human - Wild dog conflict Medium Medium Medium
During the threat assessment, several threats were identified as affecting more than one
Conservation Target. To facilitate the visualisation of the relationships between threats and
the Conservation Targets, a threat analysis matrix has been developed, as shown in Table
C.3 below. It shows that fire is the only crosscutting threat, affecting six out of the eight Conservation
Targets. The remaining threats, which in cases present a very high risk, are specific
to only one or two Conservation Targets.
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