Launch Excellence in the Diabetes Market: Lessons from - IMS Health
Launch Excellence in the Diabetes Market: Lessons from - IMS Health
Launch Excellence in the Diabetes Market: Lessons from - IMS Health
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WHITE PAPER | DIABETES LAUNCH EXCELLENCE<br />
PHARMERGING MARKETS: A DIFFERENT GAME<br />
The dynamics for first-to-market products are less rigid <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Tier 1 and Tier 2<br />
pharmerg<strong>in</strong>g markets than we’ve observed <strong>in</strong> developed markets. In Brazil, Russia,<br />
and India, for example, Merck’s Januvia was launched before Novartis’s Galvus.<br />
Never<strong>the</strong>less—and unlike mature markets—Novartis’s family of products accounted<br />
for more than 50 percent of <strong>the</strong> DPP-IV market <strong>in</strong> 2011. (See Fig. 3) Most of this<br />
success is attributable to Eucreas, which has outperformed Janumet considerably.<br />
Meanwhile, Galvus has held its own aga<strong>in</strong>st Januvia; its uptake has been comparable<br />
to that of Januvia <strong>in</strong> Brazil and Russia, and greater than Januvia <strong>in</strong> India.<br />
FIGURE 3: SPLIT OF DPP-IV CLASS VALUE SALES BY COUNTRY 2011 IN US$*<br />
Share of <strong>Market</strong><br />
100%<br />
90%<br />
80%<br />
70%<br />
60%<br />
50%<br />
40%<br />
30%<br />
20%<br />
10%<br />
0%<br />
6%<br />
35%<br />
36%<br />
3%<br />
20%<br />
EU5<br />
1%<br />
2%<br />
10%<br />
23%<br />
63%<br />
1%<br />
9%<br />
4%<br />
1%<br />
10%<br />
• In Brazil Galvus and Eucreas<br />
launched at <strong>the</strong> same time;<br />
21%<br />
24%<br />
17%<br />
Janumet lagged Januvia<br />
• Galvus embarked on a<br />
16%<br />
16%<br />
17%<br />
broader effort to promote<br />
than Januvia<br />
15%<br />
38%<br />
55%<br />
USA Brazil Russia India<br />
Tradjenta<br />
Kombiglyze XR<br />
Onglyza<br />
Janumet<br />
Januvia<br />
Galvus<br />
Eucreas<br />
*Galvus launched Jan 2012 <strong>in</strong> Ch<strong>in</strong>a so no sales data as yet. Galvus and Eucreas not launched <strong>in</strong> USA. Indian sales <strong>in</strong>clude local brand<strong>in</strong>g of<br />
Jalra, Jalra-M, Zomelis, Zomelis-M, Istamet and Istavel assigned accord<strong>in</strong>gly to Galvus, Eucreas, Januvia and Janumet.<br />
A number of <strong>in</strong>teract<strong>in</strong>g factors cause <strong>the</strong> differences <strong>in</strong> market dynamics between<br />
mature and pharmerg<strong>in</strong>g markets. The first is that companies may focus on mature<br />
markets at <strong>the</strong> expense of pharmerg<strong>in</strong>g markets based on assumptions about where<br />
<strong>the</strong> best return on <strong>in</strong>vestment may be achieved. It is time to revisit <strong>the</strong>se assumptions,<br />
consider<strong>in</strong>g that <strong>in</strong> 2011, comb<strong>in</strong>ed sales for non-<strong>in</strong>sul<strong>in</strong> anti-diabetics across BRIC<br />
were higher than <strong>the</strong>y were <strong>in</strong> each of Germany, France, or <strong>the</strong> UK. What is more,<br />
<strong>the</strong>se pharmerg<strong>in</strong>g markets experienced an average annual growth of 26 percent for<br />
diabetes products <strong>from</strong> 2007-2011—a rate that is expected to cont<strong>in</strong>ue. Although<br />
generic products currently dom<strong>in</strong>ate <strong>the</strong> pharmerg<strong>in</strong>g markets, growth of branded<br />
product sales is stellar, at 38 percent between 2010 and 2011.<br />
Local issues and local knowledge are also likely to have a big impact on <strong>the</strong> relative<br />
success of different DPP-IVs <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> pharmerg<strong>in</strong>g markets. Novartis’s vildaglipt<strong>in</strong><br />
family of products ga<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>the</strong> upper hand <strong>in</strong> Brazil for a number of reasons. Novartis<br />
promoted Galvus more heavily than Merck promoted Januvia, and Novartis launched<br />
its two vildaglipt<strong>in</strong>-based products toge<strong>the</strong>r (whereas Merck launched Janumet after<br />
Januvia). These factors comb<strong>in</strong>ed to help Novartis achieve sales for its family of DPP-<br />
IVs that were 40 percent higher <strong>in</strong> 2011 than Merck’s were for <strong>the</strong> Januvia family.<br />
<strong>IMS</strong> HEALTH | LAUNCH EXCELLENCE IN THE DIABETES MARKET 6<br />
27%<br />
29%<br />
100%<br />
Ch<strong>in</strong>a