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Launch Excellence in the Diabetes Market: Lessons from - IMS Health

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WHITE PAPER | DIABETES LAUNCH EXCELLENCE<br />

PHARMERGING MARKETS: A DIFFERENT GAME<br />

The dynamics for first-to-market products are less rigid <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Tier 1 and Tier 2<br />

pharmerg<strong>in</strong>g markets than we’ve observed <strong>in</strong> developed markets. In Brazil, Russia,<br />

and India, for example, Merck’s Januvia was launched before Novartis’s Galvus.<br />

Never<strong>the</strong>less—and unlike mature markets—Novartis’s family of products accounted<br />

for more than 50 percent of <strong>the</strong> DPP-IV market <strong>in</strong> 2011. (See Fig. 3) Most of this<br />

success is attributable to Eucreas, which has outperformed Janumet considerably.<br />

Meanwhile, Galvus has held its own aga<strong>in</strong>st Januvia; its uptake has been comparable<br />

to that of Januvia <strong>in</strong> Brazil and Russia, and greater than Januvia <strong>in</strong> India.<br />

FIGURE 3: SPLIT OF DPP-IV CLASS VALUE SALES BY COUNTRY 2011 IN US$*<br />

Share of <strong>Market</strong><br />

100%<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

6%<br />

35%<br />

36%<br />

3%<br />

20%<br />

EU5<br />

1%<br />

2%<br />

10%<br />

23%<br />

63%<br />

1%<br />

9%<br />

4%<br />

1%<br />

10%<br />

• In Brazil Galvus and Eucreas<br />

launched at <strong>the</strong> same time;<br />

21%<br />

24%<br />

17%<br />

Janumet lagged Januvia<br />

• Galvus embarked on a<br />

16%<br />

16%<br />

17%<br />

broader effort to promote<br />

than Januvia<br />

15%<br />

38%<br />

55%<br />

USA Brazil Russia India<br />

Tradjenta<br />

Kombiglyze XR<br />

Onglyza<br />

Janumet<br />

Januvia<br />

Galvus<br />

Eucreas<br />

*Galvus launched Jan 2012 <strong>in</strong> Ch<strong>in</strong>a so no sales data as yet. Galvus and Eucreas not launched <strong>in</strong> USA. Indian sales <strong>in</strong>clude local brand<strong>in</strong>g of<br />

Jalra, Jalra-M, Zomelis, Zomelis-M, Istamet and Istavel assigned accord<strong>in</strong>gly to Galvus, Eucreas, Januvia and Janumet.<br />

A number of <strong>in</strong>teract<strong>in</strong>g factors cause <strong>the</strong> differences <strong>in</strong> market dynamics between<br />

mature and pharmerg<strong>in</strong>g markets. The first is that companies may focus on mature<br />

markets at <strong>the</strong> expense of pharmerg<strong>in</strong>g markets based on assumptions about where<br />

<strong>the</strong> best return on <strong>in</strong>vestment may be achieved. It is time to revisit <strong>the</strong>se assumptions,<br />

consider<strong>in</strong>g that <strong>in</strong> 2011, comb<strong>in</strong>ed sales for non-<strong>in</strong>sul<strong>in</strong> anti-diabetics across BRIC<br />

were higher than <strong>the</strong>y were <strong>in</strong> each of Germany, France, or <strong>the</strong> UK. What is more,<br />

<strong>the</strong>se pharmerg<strong>in</strong>g markets experienced an average annual growth of 26 percent for<br />

diabetes products <strong>from</strong> 2007-2011—a rate that is expected to cont<strong>in</strong>ue. Although<br />

generic products currently dom<strong>in</strong>ate <strong>the</strong> pharmerg<strong>in</strong>g markets, growth of branded<br />

product sales is stellar, at 38 percent between 2010 and 2011.<br />

Local issues and local knowledge are also likely to have a big impact on <strong>the</strong> relative<br />

success of different DPP-IVs <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> pharmerg<strong>in</strong>g markets. Novartis’s vildaglipt<strong>in</strong><br />

family of products ga<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>the</strong> upper hand <strong>in</strong> Brazil for a number of reasons. Novartis<br />

promoted Galvus more heavily than Merck promoted Januvia, and Novartis launched<br />

its two vildaglipt<strong>in</strong>-based products toge<strong>the</strong>r (whereas Merck launched Janumet after<br />

Januvia). These factors comb<strong>in</strong>ed to help Novartis achieve sales for its family of DPP-<br />

IVs that were 40 percent higher <strong>in</strong> 2011 than Merck’s were for <strong>the</strong> Januvia family.<br />

<strong>IMS</strong> HEALTH | LAUNCH EXCELLENCE IN THE DIABETES MARKET 6<br />

27%<br />

29%<br />

100%<br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>a

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