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The Privatization of Roads and Highways - Ludwig von Mises Institute

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Who is Responsible for Traffic Deaths? 335<br />

more important <strong>and</strong> complex provision such as highways to the<br />

always more efficient private sector. To return to our attempts to<br />

calculate the relative efficiency <strong>of</strong> public <strong>and</strong> private enterprise, if<br />

there is a two to one rule that operates regarding easy to supply<br />

products <strong>and</strong> services, then, perhaps, this rule might be amended<br />

to a three to one rule for difficult goods, such as surface transportation.<br />

If so, then, according to our calculations, highway<br />

fatalities would be cut to a third <strong>of</strong> their present level, <strong>and</strong> we<br />

would move from 40,000 to 13,334. 8<br />

We can, however, go even further than that in this direction,<br />

far further. Bennett <strong>and</strong> DiLorenzo (1983) report that, ins<strong>of</strong>ar as<br />

weather forecasting is concerned, the private sector costs are only<br />

some 28 percent <strong>of</strong> what federal government forecasters do. If we<br />

can extrapolate from this (roughly) four to one bit <strong>of</strong> empirical<br />

evidence in a very different field <strong>of</strong> endeavor to road fatalities,<br />

deaths can be cut from a horrendous 40,000 to a “mere” 10,000.<br />

But this is not at all the way that White sees matters. He<br />

states:<br />

Block . . . attempts . . . to pin . . . the blame for all highway fatalities<br />

on the government. <strong>The</strong> argument . . . consists <strong>of</strong> two<br />

related parts: 1) all highway deaths can be causally attributed to<br />

government management; (2) the government is morally responsible<br />

for these deaths. . . .<br />

Would the highway fatality rate be zero under a system <strong>of</strong> private<br />

ownership <strong>of</strong> the roads? <strong>The</strong>re is good economic reason to<br />

suspect not. . . . It is not presently zero in private amusement<br />

parks, or in private road racing, or in private air travel. If we<br />

cannot then attribute all highway deaths to governmental<br />

administration <strong>of</strong> the highways, how many can we so attribute?<br />

I find it impossible to say, for it is impossible to know a priori<br />

what the death rate would be under private ownership <strong>and</strong><br />

8 It will be readily appreciated that these numbers are used for illustration<br />

purposes only, <strong>and</strong> have no basis in any actual statistics.

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