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The Privatization of Roads and Highways - Ludwig von Mises Institute

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Road Socialism 193<br />

that “<strong>The</strong> dominant characteristic <strong>of</strong> rush hour traffic is not jam<br />

but movement.” 24 Maybe in rural Idaho, but not on the streets<br />

<strong>of</strong>the typical metropolitan district. 25<br />

THEORETICAL INNOVATION<br />

It cannot be denied that there is some innovation in the mainstream<br />

literature on this subject. In large part, it is due to the<br />

work <strong>of</strong> Lave. In that paper he explored the possibility that it is<br />

not really speed, per se, which is statistically associated with roadway<br />

deaths but rather the variance in speed. 26 If true, the highway<br />

authorities should concentrate not necessarily on slowing<br />

things down as much as on reducing the tails <strong>of</strong> the speed distribution,<br />

whether at the high end or the low. In Lave’s opinion,<br />

“Variance kills, not speed.” 27<br />

This point was sharply criticized. 28 But in none <strong>of</strong> this<br />

exchange was there ever any mention <strong>of</strong> omitted variable bias as<br />

it applied to private roads. 29<br />

24 Ibid.<br />

25For an analysis <strong>of</strong> traffic congestion as due to a lack <strong>of</strong> peak load pricing,<br />

<strong>and</strong> this, in turn, as a result <strong>of</strong> road socialism, see Walter Block, “Congestion<br />

<strong>and</strong> Road Pricing,” Journal <strong>of</strong> Libertarian Studies 4, no. 3 (Summer,<br />

1980).<br />

26Charles Lave, “Speeding, Coordination <strong>and</strong> the 55-MPH Limit,” American<br />

Economic Review 75, no. 5 (September 1985): 1159–64. Others who have<br />

written on this include T.C. Schelling, Micromotives <strong>and</strong> Macrobehavior (New<br />

York: Norton, 1978); Nicholas J. Garber <strong>and</strong> Ravi Gadirau, Speed Variance<br />

<strong>and</strong> Its Influence on Accidents (unpublished manuscript; AAA Foundation for<br />

Traffic Safety, Washington, D.C., July 1988). Ezra Hauer, “Accidents, Overtaking,<br />

<strong>and</strong> Speed Control,” Accident Analysis <strong>and</strong> Prevention 3 (January<br />

1971); <strong>and</strong> Walter Block, “Free Market Transportation: Denationalizing the<br />

<strong>Roads</strong>.”<br />

27Lave, “Speeding, Coordination <strong>and</strong> the 55-MPH Limit,” p. 1159.<br />

28See David T. Levy <strong>and</strong> Peter Asch “Speeding, Coordination <strong>and</strong> 55-<br />

MPH Limit: Comment,” American Economic Review 79, no. 4 (September<br />

1989): 913–15; Richard Fowles <strong>and</strong> Peter D. Loeb, “Speeding, Coordination

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