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The Privatization of Roads and Highways - Ludwig von Mises Institute

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Public Goods <strong>and</strong> Externalities: <strong>The</strong> Case <strong>of</strong> <strong>Roads</strong> 131<br />

As a statement <strong>of</strong> the measurement task, Smerk’s is par for<br />

the course. It is really no more than an exhortation that measurement<br />

be undertaken, <strong>and</strong> a specification <strong>of</strong> some <strong>of</strong> the facets to<br />

be measured. But it does not help us to overcome any <strong>of</strong> the problems<br />

involved. Indeed, it underscores them. How, for example,<br />

would we approach a calculation <strong>of</strong> the value <strong>of</strong> increasing<br />

“overall freedom <strong>of</strong> movement”? Even if we choose to ignore the<br />

lack <strong>of</strong> a unit <strong>of</strong> pleasure <strong>and</strong> the problem <strong>of</strong> interpersonal comparisons<br />

<strong>of</strong> utility, the task is insurmountable. Nor is his specific<br />

suggestion for measuring the benefits <strong>of</strong> a belt highway in terms<br />

<strong>of</strong> “the resulting increase in sales” 46 <strong>of</strong> much use. Smerk seems to<br />

be saying that we can measure the external benefits <strong>of</strong> a belt highway<br />

by noting the sales <strong>of</strong> the relevant stores before <strong>and</strong> after its<br />

construction <strong>and</strong> simply attribute the difference to the road. But<br />

there is no constancy in human affairs, <strong>and</strong> other factors may<br />

well have intervened between the first measurement <strong>and</strong> the second.<br />

Tastes <strong>and</strong> fashions, consumer knowledge concerning alternatives,<br />

the prices <strong>of</strong> substitutes <strong>and</strong> complements, zoning laws,<br />

the alacrity with which laws are enforced—all <strong>of</strong> these might<br />

have changed in the interim. Thus, to ascribe all measured<br />

change to the belt highway would be illegitimate. Moreover, the<br />

use <strong>of</strong> econometric techniques, which are commonly employed<br />

for purposes <strong>of</strong> this sort, are unsuitable. 47 Perhaps their most<br />

important drawback is that they rely on the facile assumption<br />

that discrete, unique, nonrepeatable events (e.g., a presidential<br />

election, or the economic effects <strong>of</strong> opening a road at a particular<br />

time <strong>and</strong> place) can be abstracted from to produce a series <strong>of</strong> r<strong>and</strong>om<br />

events (i.e., all presidential elections, all road openings).<br />

This assumption is necessary for econometric equations; but if<br />

46Ibid., p. 241.<br />

47See Bruno Leoni <strong>and</strong> Eugenio Frola, “On Mathematical Thinking in<br />

Economics,” Journal <strong>of</strong> Libertarian Studies 1, no. 2 (Spring, 1977): 101–10;<br />

<strong>Mises</strong>, Human Action, pp. 107–15, 350–52; <strong>and</strong> Rothbard, Man, Economy,<br />

<strong>and</strong> State, pp. 277–80.

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