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Kyrgyzstan Country Profile - Naval Postgraduate School

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Central Asia Executive Summary Series<br />

<strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> <strong>Country</strong> <strong>Profile</strong><br />

Program for Culture and Conflict Studies (CCS)<br />

Department of National Security Affairs<br />

<strong>Naval</strong> <strong>Postgraduate</strong> <strong>School</strong><br />

No. 2, July 2009


Program for Culture & Conflict Studies at <strong>Naval</strong> <strong>Postgraduate</strong> <strong>School</strong><br />

The <strong>Naval</strong> <strong>Postgraduate</strong> <strong>School</strong>’s Program for Culture and Conflict Studies (CCS)<br />

supports the mission of Combined Joint Task Force Afghanistan commands and the<br />

International Security Assistance Force. CCS serves as a reference for mission<br />

commanders, policy makers, analysts, non-governmental organizations and the general<br />

public on issues pertaining to South and Central Asia. Our program provides a variety of<br />

information products via our team of American, Afghan and Central Asian experts,<br />

through field research, conferences and analysis.<br />

This paper on <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> provides a broad reaching, but detailed analysis of human,<br />

structural and cultural issues affecting security and development in that country. Part of<br />

our Central Asia Executive Summary Series, the profile on <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> provides<br />

significant and needed context to the overall international strategy in South and Central<br />

Asia.<br />

CCS Central Asia Executive Summary Series<br />

CCS seeks to further the education and discussion of issues pertaining to culture and<br />

conflict in South and Central Asia. CCS disseminates scholarly essays and executive<br />

summaries that attempt to contribute to the creation of a more stable environment in the<br />

region. These papers identify and discuss contemporary and interdisciplinary issues that<br />

affect US national security interests including politics, economics, ethnographic<br />

intelligence, culture, geostrategic interests, national and local development methods,<br />

regional and cooperative security, terrorism, and tribal relations. CCS papers are written<br />

by faculty and staff members of the <strong>Naval</strong> <strong>Postgraduate</strong> <strong>School</strong>, alumni, or by individual<br />

contributors. These papers are disseminated online and can be downloaded free of charge<br />

at www.nps.edu/programs/ccs/<br />

The views expressed in this publication are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily<br />

reflect the official policy or position of the <strong>Naval</strong> <strong>Postgraduate</strong> <strong>School</strong>, the Department of<br />

the Navy or the Department of Defense.<br />

We invite comments and questions and ask that you send them to:<br />

Professor Thomas H. Johnson<br />

<strong>Naval</strong> <strong>Postgraduate</strong> <strong>School</strong><br />

1411 Cunningham Road, GL-319<br />

Monterey, CA 93943<br />

Email: thjohnso@nps.edu or ccsinfo@nps.edu<br />

Phone: 831-656-3190 No. 2, July 2009


National Flag:<br />

Program for Culture & Conflict Studies<br />

www.nps.edu/programs/ccs<br />

Formal Name: Republic of <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong><br />

(Kyrgyz Respublikasy in Kyrgyz)<br />

Short Form: <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong><br />

State Emblem:<br />

Source: Lonely Planet: http://www.lonelyplanet.com/maps/asia/kyrgyzstan/<br />

Material contained herein is made available for the purpose of peer review and discussion and<br />

does not necessarily reflect the views of the Department of the Navy or the Department of<br />

Defense.<br />

The appearance of external hyperlinks does not constitute endorsement by the United States<br />

Department of Defense, the United States Department of the Navy and the <strong>Naval</strong> <strong>Postgraduate</strong><br />

<strong>School</strong> of the linked web sites, or the information, products or services contained therein.


Table of Contents:<br />

Location 1<br />

Capital 1<br />

Independence from the USSR 2<br />

Territory 4<br />

Weather 4<br />

Population/Demographic data 4<br />

Ethnic Composition of population 4<br />

Public Holidays 5<br />

Languages 5<br />

Administrative Setup 6<br />

Significant Topographic Features 8<br />

Literacy 8<br />

Number of Higher Educational Institutions 8<br />

Health Facilities 9<br />

Political Landscape: 11<br />

The government and list of Cabinet of Ministers 11<br />

Official political parties 17<br />

Banned Religious movements/parties: 18<br />

Hizb-ut-Tahrir (Party of Liberation) 18<br />

Other non-violent Islamic movements 21<br />

Human Terrain: 22<br />

Kyrgyz Clans Networks 22<br />

Tribal Division of Kyrgyz Ethnos 23<br />

North – South regional divide 24<br />

Major ethnic groups: 24<br />

Uzbeks 24<br />

Russians 24<br />

Religions/Sects 26<br />

Foreign Military bases: 26


Russian military base in Kant 26<br />

US Air Base at Manas International Airport 27<br />

Security Situation: 28<br />

A. Internal developments: 28<br />

1. Presidential elections on July 23, 2009 28<br />

2. Return of a large army of labor migrants put additional pressure<br />

on poor socio-economic conditions 30<br />

3. Criminalization of politics 30<br />

4. Sharpened tensions between powerful political<br />

and business elites 35<br />

B. External developments: 36<br />

1. Political/security situation in Afghanistan 36<br />

2. Kyrgyz – Uzbek relations 37<br />

Water Distribution 37<br />

Border Demarcation 38<br />

Gas Supply 39<br />

APPENDIX 1: Links to news and resources on Uzbekistan/ Central Asia 40


LOCATION:<br />

<strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> is a landlocked country located in Central Asia: north of Tajikistan,<br />

east of Uzbekistan, west of China, and south of Kazakhstan.<br />

<strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> means a land of Kyrgyz (Stan – land).<br />

Until recently the country used to be referred as the “island of democracy” and<br />

“Switzerland of Asia.”<br />

CAPITAL:<br />

Capital city Bishkek (called Frunze during the Soviet era) is located in the north,<br />

in the Chuy valley near the Kyrgyz-Kazakh border, at an altitude of<br />

approximately 800 m (2624.67 feet), on the edge of the Ala-Too range, which is<br />

an extension of the Tien Shan mountain range. Bishkek is the largest city in the<br />

country with a population of 824,900. 1 Manas International Airport in the<br />

outskirts of Bishkek was home to the U.S. air base established in December 2001<br />

to support the Operation “Enduring Freedom” but was closed in spring of 2009<br />

following the Kyrgyz government’s decision to shut down the base. Bishkek is<br />

also the administrative capital of Chuy Province.<br />

Bishkek, before becoming a capital city, was a fortified Silk Road stop on the<br />

caravan route under the Uzbek khans of large Quqon Khanate. It was then<br />

turned into a Russian garrison when Tsarist troops occupied the region in 1862.<br />

A large influx of ethnic Russians and later Slavs during the Russian and<br />

Bolshevik occupations developed the city and named it Peshpek. With about 70<br />

percent of the population represented by Russians and Slavs the city missed<br />

indigenous historic attributes or traditional architecture making it more of a<br />

Russian and Soviet city.<br />

The city was later given the name Frunze after Mikhail Frunze, the Bolshevik<br />

troop commander of the Eastern Front, ordered the onslaught of thousands of<br />

local people who supported resistance. Commander Frunze was born in<br />

Peshpek and the city that ironically was named in his honor in 1926.<br />

Kyrgyz’s gratitude to the Russians, who gave pastoral nomadic Kyrgyz tribes<br />

and juz (traditional cast based clans) independence from Uzbek Quqon Khanate<br />

and then statehood within the Soviet Union, is expressed in preserving the<br />

monuments of the Soviet period: the Mikhail Frunze Museum, the Monument to<br />

the Martyrs of Revolution (in commemoration of Kyrgyz women who supported<br />

the Bolshevik regime and organized the local mobilization in support of Red<br />

Army) built during the Soviet period; the Lenin Statue on Ala-Too Square in<br />

downtown Bishkek which was moved recently to a less prominent place still<br />

surprise tourists and please old residents of the capital. Many street names and<br />

locations also bear Soviet heritage.<br />

1 As of December 10, 2008, according to the State Internet Portal, see http://eng.gov.kg/<br />

1


INDEPENDENCE FROM THE USSR:<br />

August 31, 1991 is celebrated as Independence Day.<br />

Present day <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> was formed by the Bolsheviks in 1924, first as Kara-<br />

Kyrgyz (Kara means black) Autonomous province of the Russian Federative<br />

Socialist Republic after the area had been conquered by the Red Army in 1918. In<br />

1926 it became Kyrgyz Autonomous Soviet Socialist Republic and only in late<br />

1936 was given a status of a full fledged republic.<br />

2


Map of <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong><br />

Source: http://geology.com/world/kyrgyzstan-satellite-image.shtml<br />

3


TERRITORY:<br />

Total: 198,500 sq km (slightly smaller than South Dakota)<br />

Water: 7,200 sq km<br />

Land: 191,300 sq km<br />

Border length with China: 858km<br />

Border length with Uzbekistan: 1,099 km<br />

Border length with Kazakhstan: 1,224 km<br />

Border length with Tajikistan: 870km<br />

WEATHER:<br />

The climate of the country varies from sub-tropical at lower altitudes in the<br />

warm valleys, cooler continental in the mountainous valley and cold in the high<br />

peaks of the Tian Shan Mountains. The country’s geographic partition between<br />

north and south also offers a difference in temperature.<br />

The warmest areas in winter are in Osh province in the south of the country. The<br />

area to the north is Issyk-Kyl (means Hot Lake in Kyrgyz) have moderate cold<br />

averaging -5°C in the peak of winter from late December - January.<br />

The Ferghana Valley part of <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> is the warmest region with summer<br />

temperatures reaching up +35 °C in Osh and Jalal-Abad, and just a bit cooler in<br />

Batken. The Issyk-Kyl area never gets too hot attracting thousands of<br />

international and local tourists to its positive health effects and pleasant summer<br />

climate. The Highland mountain regions have short summers where the<br />

temperature does not exceed +13°C, the long winter season lasts from<br />

November - March with lots of snowfall and temperatures down to -20°C.<br />

POPULATION/ DEMOGRAPHIC DATA:<br />

As of January 1, 2008:<br />

Total Population: 5,224,300<br />

Urban population: 1,849,600<br />

Rural residents: 3,402,400 2<br />

Ethnic Composition of population as of January 2008: 3<br />

(in alphabetical order)<br />

Ethnic group Number of people in<br />

thousands<br />

Armenian 1,1 0.0<br />

Azerbaijan 16,4 0.3<br />

Belarus 1,8 0.0<br />

Chechen 2,5 0.1<br />

Percentage from total<br />

number<br />

2 According to the National Statistics Committee of <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>. See Table: ‘Kalktyn Uluttyk Kuramy’<br />

(national composition of population) available in Kyrgyz and Russian at<br />

http://www.stat.kg/stat.files/razd.files/census/3.7.pdf<br />

3 Ibid.<br />

4


Dungan (Muslims of<br />

Chinese origin)<br />

60,3 1.2<br />

Georgian 0,6 0.0<br />

German 11,5 0.2<br />

Jewish 0,6 0.0<br />

Kazakh 38,9 0.7<br />

Korean 18,2 0.4<br />

Kyrgyz 3,616,5 69.2<br />

Russian 456,4 8.7<br />

Tajik 48,0 0.9<br />

Tatar 35,0 0.7<br />

Turkmen 0,5 0.0<br />

Turk 36,4 0.7<br />

Uighur 51,2 1.0<br />

Ukrainian 25,3 0.5<br />

Uzbek 754,5 14.5<br />

Others 32,6 0.9<br />

The total population was estimated: 5,224,300<br />

PUBLIC HOLIDAYS:<br />

January 1 - New Year<br />

March 8 – International Women's Day<br />

March 21 Nooruz (comes from ancient Zoroastrian tradition which many<br />

Central Asians take for an Islamic New Year)<br />

May 1 - International Solidarity Day<br />

May 5 - Constitution Day<br />

May 9 - Victory Day (until recently was celebrated as the Victory Day over<br />

Nazi Germany in the World War II)<br />

August 31 - Independence Day (from the USSR)<br />

The dates of two Islamic holidays Orozo Ait (Eid al-Fitr in Arabic, the feast of<br />

End of Ramadan) and Qurban Ait (Eid al-Adha in Arabic, the feast of the<br />

Sacrifice) change annually depending on the Islamic calendar.<br />

LANGUAGES:<br />

• The official language is Kyrgyz, a Southern Turkic language which<br />

includes many Arabic and Persian words. There are two major dialects:<br />

one from the northern region and the other from the south.<br />

• Russian is widely used in Bishkek, among intelligentsia, political and<br />

business elites. It serves as the common language of communication<br />

between various ethnic groups.<br />

• Uzbek is spoken in Osh, Jalal-Abad and some areas of Batken provinces.<br />

5


• English is in big demand, particularly among the youth for educational<br />

and professional opportunities, and to access information.<br />

ADMINISTRATIVE SETUP:<br />

The country is divided into 7 provinces 4 which are subdivided into rayons. Rayons<br />

are districts similar to counties in the United States; each rayon has its own<br />

administrative center.<br />

Rural areas consist of town type villages (in Russian: posolok gorodskogo tipa)<br />

and ayil keneshi (union of several rural settlements 5 ) which are administered by<br />

ayil ökmötu (village administration).<br />

Each province has a capital. Capital Bishkek and Osh City represent separate<br />

administrative units also being capital cities of provinces giving them special<br />

status. Osh city is also often called “the southern capital.”<br />

Map of administrative units: 6<br />

Administrative Units (sequence: correspond to number on the above map):<br />

No. Administrative Unit Area (in sq. km) Capital City<br />

1 Bishkek city 115,700 hectares<br />

(0.1 sq. km)<br />

-<br />

2 Batken Province7 17,000 (8.5% of<br />

total territory)<br />

Batken<br />

3 Chuy Province 20,200 Bishkek<br />

4 Jalal-Abad Province8 33,700 (16.9% of<br />

total territory)<br />

Jalal-Abad<br />

4 Province in Kyrgyz is called oblast, a loanword from Russian.<br />

5 In Russian: selskiy naselonyi punkt.<br />

6 Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Administrative_divisions_of_<strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong><br />

7 Until 1999 Batken province was a part of Osh oblast until IMU incursions into <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> prompted<br />

more attention of the central government and more resources to Batken district of Osh province.<br />

6


5 Naryn Province 45,200 (25% of total<br />

territory)<br />

Naryn<br />

6 Osh Province 29,200 Osh9 7 Talas Province 11,400 (5.7% of<br />

total territory)<br />

Talas<br />

8 Issyk Kul Province 43,100 (21.6% of<br />

total territory)<br />

Karakol<br />

Map: Provinces and districts of <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>: 10<br />

The numbers on the map above represent districts in each province:<br />

Jalal-Abad province Talas province Ysyk-Köl province<br />

Centre - Jalal-Abad Centre-Talas Centre-Karakol<br />

No District Center No District Center No District Center<br />

1 Aksy Kerben 1 Bakay-Ata Leninpol` 1 Ak-Suu Karakol<br />

2 Ala-Buka Ala-Buka 2 Kara-Buura Kyzyl-Adyr 2 Jeti-Ögüz Kyzyl-Suu<br />

3 Bazar- Bazar- 3 Manas Pokrovka 3 Tong Bökönbaev<br />

Korgon Korgon<br />

4 Chatkal Kanysh-<br />

Kyya<br />

4 Talas Talas 4 Tüp Tüp<br />

5 Nooken Massy Naryn province 5 Ysyk-Köl Cholpon-Ata<br />

6 Suzak Suzak Centre- Naryn Chüy province<br />

7 Toguz-Toro Kazarman N o District Center<br />

Centre- Bishkek<br />

8 Toktogul Toktogul 1 Ak-Talaa Baetov N o District Center<br />

8<br />

From 1959 to 1990 was part of Osh province.<br />

9<br />

As of June 2003 Osh city is a separate administrative unit; at the same time it is also a capital of Osh<br />

province.<br />

10<br />

Source: http://enrin.grida.no/htmls/kyrghiz/soe2/english/map/map3.htm<br />

7


Osh province 2 At-Bashy At-Bashy 1 Alamüdün Lebedinovka<br />

Centre - Osh 3 Jumgal Chaek 2 Chüy Chüy<br />

No District Center 4 Kochkor Kochkor 3 Jayyl Kara-Balta<br />

1 Alay Gülchö 5 Tyan`-Shan` Naryn 4 Kemin Kemin<br />

2 Aravan Aravan Batken province 5 Moskva Belovodskoe<br />

3 Chong- Daroot- Centre-Batken 6 Panfilov Kayyngdy<br />

Alay Korgon<br />

4 Kara-Kulja Kara-Kulja No District Center 7 Sokuluk Sokuluk<br />

5 Kara-Suu Kara-Suu 1 Batken Batken 8 Ysyk-Ata Kant<br />

6 Nookat Eski-Nookat 2 Kadamjay Pülgön<br />

7 Özgön Özgön 3 Leilek Isfana<br />

SIGNIFICANT TOPOGRAPHIC FEATURES:<br />

The Tian Shan (in Chinese means Heavenly Mountains), Pamir and Alay<br />

Mountain Ranges constitute most of <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>’s landscape. The country is rich<br />

in lakes, rivers and glaciers which provide abundant water resources for the<br />

country. Lake Issyk Kul is the famous tourist place in Central Asia. Song Kyl and<br />

Chatyr Kul are other major lakes; Naryn (535 km, longest river in <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>),<br />

Talas, Chuy, and Kara Darya are the longest rivers. In the southern part of the<br />

country is the fertile soil and warm climate of the Ferghana Valley ideal for<br />

producing agricultural products. The Chu and Talas Valleys are other areas of<br />

irrigated land. Nearly 5 percent of the country’s total geography is woodlands.<br />

Most of <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>’s area is above 1,000 m; average altitude is above 2,500 m; 40<br />

percent is above 3,000 m; and the highest point is Peak Pobedy 11 (7,439 m).<br />

LITERACY:<br />

<strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> has a legacy of high literacy achieved in Central Asia during 70 years<br />

of Moscow’s rule over the region. According to official national census of 1999,<br />

only 40,129 out of 3,090,680 people (population whose age was 15 years old and<br />

older) were illiterate. 12<br />

Due to a lack of funding in the education sector, and low pay wages for teachers<br />

there is a shortage of teachers in both regular and vocational schools<br />

11 In Russian pobeda means victory.<br />

12 National Statistics Committee of <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>. See Table in Russian: 5.03.00.19 Gramotnost’ naseleniya<br />

(po dannym perepisei naseleniya) (Literacy of population (according to census). Available at:<br />

http://www.stat.kg/stat.files/din.files/education/5030019.pdf<br />

8


throughout the country. A 2007 report suggested the number of teachers was<br />

only 3,000 nationwide. 13<br />

Number of Higher Educational Institutions:<br />

From 1990 (a year before independence) to 2007 the number of academic<br />

institutes and universities had grown from 9 to 49, according to the National<br />

Statistics Committee. 14 Since <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> allows private education almost onethird<br />

of higher education schools are privately owned. 33 schools are public and<br />

16 are private (including foreign/international) institutes and universities.<br />

In the 2007-08 academic year 250,460 students were enrolled in 49 higher<br />

education schools throughout the country. 15 The number of schools and students<br />

are high for such a small country. Students represent nearly 5 percent of total<br />

population (477 students per 10,000 citizens). Forms of study include full-time,<br />

evening and distance learning taught by 14,400 teachers. Female students<br />

constituted 56.3 percent of all students. About 55,000 applicants are accepted in<br />

universities and institutes every year.<br />

In 2009 the number of higher education schools grew to 55. There have been<br />

concerns about the quality of private universities and institutes in particular<br />

where bribes for exams are widely known. 16 A few university teachers in Osh<br />

and Bishkek admitted to taking bribes to survive due to low wages. 17 Presently,<br />

the position of rector (president) of a prestigious university is among the most<br />

lucrative jobs in the country as they control the hierarchy of the bribe taking<br />

chain.<br />

HEALTH FACILITIES:<br />

The Ministry of Healthcare provides official statistics on healthcare indicators<br />

which show decline in the number of services including hospital beds, medical<br />

personnel and healthcare facilities. 18<br />

Hospital beds:<br />

Number of beds per 10,000 population 19<br />

13 “Kuda dvizhetsa sistema obrazovaniya Kyrgyzskoy Respubliki?”(Where is the education system of<br />

Kyrgyz Republic moving to?), Emil Kanimetov, July 7, 2007. Available in Russian at:<br />

http://www.centrasia.ru/newsA.php?st=1189112220<br />

14 See Table: 5.03.01.01 Chislo uchebnyx zavedeniy po vidam uchrishdenii (The number academic schools<br />

per level of education) available in Russian, National Statistics Committee of <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> at<br />

http://www.stat.kg/stat.files/din.files/education/5030101.pdf<br />

15 See Table: 5.03.01.04 Chislo detei i uchashihsa po vidam uchrishdenii ( Number of children and students<br />

per level of education) available in Russian, National Statistics Committee of <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> at<br />

http://www.stat.kg/stat.files/din.files/education/5030104.pdf<br />

16 The list of all 55 institutions in Russian is available at<br />

http://www.minedu.kg/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=15&Itemid=34<br />

17 CCCS’ interviews in Bishkek and Osh in 2005 and phone interviews in May of 2009.<br />

18 See Report of the Ministry of Healthcare of <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> on reform in healthcare, in English, at<br />

http://eng.med.kg/Files/R2004Eng.pdf<br />

9


Province 2000 2001 2002 2003<br />

Kyrgyz Republic 70,4 61,9 55,3 52,9<br />

Batken 64,3 61,3 56,0 49,8<br />

Jalal-Abad 62,2 54,8 47,3 45,7<br />

Issyk-Kul 53,8 36,1 31,8 29,9<br />

Naryn 59,9 57,8 34,3 31,6<br />

Osh 60,2 56,2 52,2 53,2<br />

Talas 58,8 55,8 40,0 27,3<br />

Chui 56,2 34,9 32,3 31,4<br />

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------<br />

Bishkek city 29,5 28,8 27,1 26,4<br />

Osh city 36,5<br />

Doctors:<br />

Doctors of all specialties including dentists per 10,000 populations, by<br />

regions: 20<br />

Year: 1996 2001 2002 2003<br />

Administrative<br />

Unit:<br />

<strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> 32,9<br />

27,2 26,0 25,7<br />

Bishkek city 46,2 30,7 28,7 30,1<br />

Osh city - - - 25,2<br />

Chui oblast 24,3 19,2 18,5 18,3<br />

Issyk-Kul<br />

province<br />

27,8 22,8 21,4 20,2<br />

Naryn<br />

province<br />

25,7 23,1 19,9 18,8<br />

Talas<br />

province<br />

25,0 20,8 19,4 18,7<br />

Osh<br />

province<br />

20,2 17,8 17,3 14,5<br />

Jalal-Abad 20,7 16,6 15,8 15,4<br />

province<br />

Batken<br />

province<br />

- 16,3 15,7 15,4<br />

Due to deficiency in state’s funding in the healthcare sector and widespread<br />

poverty, access to private healthcare facilities resulted in increase of problems<br />

related to people’s health and well being, weakening confidence in the country’s<br />

19 Ibid, p. 14, Table 2-4. Total number of beds and number of beds per 10 000 population, by regions<br />

(indicator 1.2/3.2) at http://eng.med.kg/Files/R2004Eng.pdf<br />

20 Ibid, Table 2-6. Health personnel (doctors) per 10000 population, by regions (indicator<br />

1.4.1.).<br />

10


health facilities. The mortality rate increased from 675.3 per 100,000 in 1999 to<br />

717.3 in 2003. 21 The child and maternal mortality rates and other indicators are<br />

among highest in the former Soviet Union zone. Babies, children and women<br />

while in hospitals in southern cities of Osh and Nookat were infected with HIV<br />

via tainted blood and the reuse of needles.<br />

As reported in U.S. press in April of 2008, 72 children and 16 mothers were<br />

infected with HIV due to professional negligence in the Osh and Nookat state<br />

hospitals. This illustrates the alarming state of affairs in the health sector. The<br />

government does not provide free treatment for mother victims and only pays<br />

$29.00 to parents of infected children for treatment. 22<br />

According to the healthcare minister Marat Mabetov, <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> lacks almost 50<br />

percent of medical cadres particularly in rural areas. 23<br />

POLITICAL LANDSCAPE:<br />

The government: 24<br />

Title/position Name of person holding the position<br />

President of Republic of <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> Kurmanbek Bakiev25 Prime Minister, Chairman of the<br />

Cabinet of Ministers<br />

Igor Chudinov<br />

21 Ibid, Table 1.6. Indicator 6: Leading causes of mortality, including mortality rate per<br />

100000 population and percent of total mortality attributable to each cause. Available at:<br />

http://eng.med.kg/Files/R2004Eng.pdf<br />

22 For instance read: Associated Press, April 9, 2008, ‘Kyrgyz mothers catching HIV from babies: After<br />

contracting virus in hospitals, infants pass disease by breast-feeding’ at<br />

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/24034536/<br />

23 “Marat Mambetov: Zdravooharanenie v <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>e ispytyvaet pochti 50-ii protsentnyi defetsit kadrov”<br />

(Marat Mambetov: Healthcare in <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> experiences almost 50 percent lack of cadres), Information<br />

Agency “24.kg,” May 29, 2009. Available in Russian at: http://www.paruskg.info/?p=10398<br />

24 The list of members of Cabinet of Ministers as of April 25, 2009<br />

25 Official web site of the President Bakiev: http://www.president.kg/en/<br />

11


First<br />

Deputy Prime-Minister<br />

Omurbek Babanov<br />

Deputy Prime-Minister Uktomkhan Abdullaeva<br />

Ministers:<br />

Minister of Economic Development<br />

and Trade<br />

Akylbek Japarov<br />

Minister of Finance Marat Sultanov<br />

12


Minister of Industry, Energy, & Fuel<br />

Resources<br />

Ilyas Davydov<br />

Minister of Justice Nurlan Tursunkulov<br />

Minister of Internal Affairs (police) Moldomusa Kongantiev<br />

Minister of Foreign Affairs Kadyrbek Sarbaev<br />

13


Minister of Education and Science Abdulda Musaev<br />

Minister of Healthcare Marat Mambetov<br />

Minister of Labor and Social<br />

Development<br />

Nazgul Tashpaeva<br />

Minister of Culture and Information Sultan Raev<br />

Minister of Defense Bakytbek Kalyev<br />

14


Minister of Emergency Situations Kamchybek Tashiev<br />

Minister of Agriculture, Water<br />

Management, and Processing Industry<br />

Minister of Transportation &<br />

Communications<br />

Iskenderbek Aydaraliev<br />

Nurlan Sulaymanov<br />

Chairpersons of the State Committees:<br />

State Committee for National Security Murat Sutalinov<br />

(formerly <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> branch of KGB)<br />

15


State Committee for State Property<br />

Management<br />

State Committee for Migration and<br />

Employment<br />

Tursun Turdymambetov<br />

Aigul Ryskulova<br />

State Tax and Duties Committee Ahmatbek Keldibekov<br />

State Committee on Customs Nurlan Akmatov<br />

16


Official Political Parties:<br />

<strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>, which in the recent past was called an “island of democracy”, had<br />

more than 100 registered political parties and movements before last<br />

parliamentary elections in December of 2007. Easy party registration laws<br />

allowed people to organize political groups of various orientations. Many parties<br />

had small membership while others were even unknown by the general public.<br />

Many parties critical of the executive branch had representation in the<br />

legislation.<br />

The recent amendment to the Constitution states that parliament members are<br />

elected on the party lists basis for 5 year terms.<br />

• Ak-Jol Eldik Partiyasi: Ak-Jol (literally translates as white road or bright path)<br />

and Eldik Partiyasi means people’s party). Short form used: Ak-Jol. The party<br />

was created in 2007 by the merger of Ata –Jurt (Fatherland), El Kelechegi<br />

(Great Future), Menin Olkom (My <strong>Country</strong>), Republican Party of Labor and<br />

Unity, and a few smaller parties informally headed by President Bakiev.<br />

Bakiev resigned from his official chairmanship of the party because officially<br />

the head of the executive branch cannot be a member of a political party.<br />

President Bakiev was involved in establishing a new party which would be<br />

loyal to the leader of the country who faced growing disagreement with the<br />

legislative branch.<br />

The Jogorku Kenesh (means Great Council; the name of Kyrgyz parliament)<br />

was dissolved in 2007 by the president and his party received 71 seats out of<br />

90 at the last parliamentary elections in December of 2007 which were<br />

criticized by international and local observers for breaching the international<br />

elections norms.<br />

Many local and international experts view Bakiev’s efforts in creating a party<br />

based parliament with a strong pro-president presence in the legislation as a way<br />

to politically weaken traditionally independent Jogorku Kenesh and minimize<br />

the presence of influential parties critical of the government. The victory of Ak-<br />

Jol Party at the 2007 elections was a successful step in strengthening the power of<br />

the executive branch.<br />

President Bakiev’s justification for creation of a new party was announced at the<br />

Ak-Jol party founding ceremony speech in October of 2007: “In the best cases,<br />

they simply criticize the authorities for their mistakes. But who will, who should,<br />

take care of affairs? Which political forces [or] political parties have done real<br />

17


work, have made progress toward those goals that stand before the country? Up<br />

until today, there haven't been any." 26<br />

In reality, considering the development of political events in the country, it is<br />

obvious that the example of the Russian former president Putin’s domination in<br />

the Duma through “Unified Russia” Party is a motivation for legal changes in the<br />

election of parliamentarians.<br />

Other dominant Kyrgyz parties with large membership nationwide are:<br />

• Party of Communists of <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong><br />

The party has 8 seats in the parliament.<br />

• Social Democratic Party of <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong><br />

The party has second largest representation in the Jogorku Kenesh by occupying<br />

11 out 90 seats.<br />

• Socialist Party Ata-Meken (Fatherland)<br />

• Ar-Namys (Dignity) Party<br />

• Erkindik (Freedom)<br />

In early May the Socialist Party Ata-Meken and the Social Democratic Party of<br />

<strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> decided to merge. This is most probably explained by the opposition<br />

parties’ efforts to defeat the current president.<br />

Jany <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> (New <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>) Party faces a split among those who call for<br />

support of President Bakiev and those who are inclined to support opposition.<br />

Banned Religious movements/parties:<br />

According to the constitution, <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> is a secular state and no parties based<br />

on religious platform may function legally, regardless whether they use violent<br />

or peaceful means.<br />

Hizb-ut-Tahrir (Party of Liberation)<br />

The party’s goal is rebuilding the single Islamic Kilafah State (Caliphate) through<br />

propagation and peaceful transformation of Muslim society and finally<br />

establishing ‘Islamic household.’ 27 The radical party which is predominatly<br />

Sunni, with Islam as an ideology, does not employ violent means but Central<br />

Asian governments have accused HT in terrorism.<br />

HT is anti-Western, anti-Semitic, anti-secular, considers democracy a Kufr<br />

system, and calls for overthrow of Muslim governments which do not obey the<br />

party’s vision of the Islamic governance and according to them, the country is<br />

currently a ‘Kufr household.’ 28<br />

26 “Kyrgyz President Aims to Build Ruling Party,” October 17, 2007, RFE/RL, Bruce Pannier, available at:<br />

http://www.rferl.org/content/article/1078973.html<br />

27 See ‘About Hizb-ut-Tahrir’ at the official web site of the party: http://www.hizbuttahrir.org/index.php<br />

28 Ibid.<br />

18


Hizb-ut-Tahrir members first appeared in Central Asia in mid1990s in<br />

Uzbekistan. The massive arrest campaign launched by the government<br />

aftermath the Tashkent February 1999 bombings brought the party in spotlight<br />

which has been unknown for Central Asians. The government blamed IMU and<br />

Hizb-ut-Tahrir but arrested not only alleged members of these organizations but<br />

anybody who regularly attended prayers and was known for religious piety.<br />

Hizb-ut-Tahrir’s regular members openly criticized the unpopular government<br />

of Karimov and did not accept the offer to ask pardon from President Karimov<br />

for pardon. The bravery brought respect of many people who might have not<br />

shared the ideology of the organization but agreed with critical statements<br />

towards the ruling regime.<br />

Although the party claims to be peaceful some members left the party and either<br />

joined the militant movements or created their separate cells (not associated with<br />

HT) which use violence. The organization is banned in all Central Asian states.<br />

Hizb-ut-Tahrir, despite its popularity in early stages of its appearance in Central<br />

Asia, failed to become a popular movement due to highly secretive recruitment,<br />

heavy repressions, little interest among populace in political Islam and<br />

theological discrepancies with mainstream Islamic doctrine called Aqidah in<br />

Arabic. Differences in doctrine of Ahl as-Sunna wal-Jama‘ah (majority of<br />

Muslims) and of HT is a significant obstacle for broad public support and<br />

recruitment of new members, particularly among religiously educated Muslims.<br />

Regular members are more preoccupied with political work and often do have<br />

much of religious knowledge that us believe the organization is more of a secular<br />

political party, despite religious rhetoric, than a religious organization. The<br />

frequency and quantity of leaflet distribution among populace in the region has<br />

been decreasing and the number of arrests of alleged members of HT has<br />

dropped down which in combination indicate the party loses the ground in<br />

Central Asia.<br />

Traditionally, HT was popular among ethnic Uzbeks; besides Uzbekistan the<br />

organization was also active in the border areas of neighboring counties<br />

populated by ethnic Uzbeks. Currently the group is most active in Kyrgyz and<br />

Tajik sections of the Ferghana Valley and southern regions of Kazakhstan.<br />

HT in <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>: an aggressive public diplomacy<br />

The most recent significant conflict between the authorities and HT occurred in<br />

the city of Nookat in southern <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> on October 1, 2008 when locals<br />

celebrated Islamic religious holiday Orozo Ait but the government suddenly<br />

refused to provide the center of the city for festivities and charity which<br />

traditionally have been held every year. The government’s refusal to allow<br />

public celebration led to a peaceful rally to the district administration building<br />

and then turned into mass riots. The security forces launched mass arrests: 32<br />

individuals (25 ethnic Uzbeks and 7 ethnic Kyrgyz) had been arrested and 90<br />

19


more people are on the government wanted list. Surprisingly the authorities<br />

included children of 10 and even 4 years old and elderly who are 71, 74 and even<br />

81 years old. Human rights organizations claim the police used torture during<br />

investigation and demanded money for release among many other violations of<br />

human rights. 29<br />

The reason behind government’s ban on publicly celebrating Orozo Ait was fear<br />

that HT would exploit this holiday for its pubic relations campaign when the<br />

party members provide free meal to poor and agitate masses to join the<br />

organization and change the government. In <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>’s more liberal<br />

conditions then in other states of the region HT utilized the opportunity to<br />

propagate its ideas more ambitiously. HT’s materials in Kyrgyz provided by<br />

ethnic Kyrgyz were able to reach the audience in northern regions of the country,<br />

including, Chuy, Bishkek and Naryn. In February 2007 the law enforcement<br />

arrested 11 members of HT who came from the south to Naryn to help rebuild<br />

the area hit by the earthquake. Despite that the party had been banned the<br />

leadership of the outlawed group shifted from closed secretive tactics to openly<br />

mass agitation via words and deeds to gain support.<br />

The new government of President Bakiev is less tolerant of decent and more even<br />

so towards Islamists of any kind. Recently the government banned headscarves<br />

in public schools, prevented school children from attending Friday prayers and<br />

extradited refugees from Uzbekistan. Bakiev’s policy reflects his own<br />

authoritarian style and attempts to please the regime of Uzbekistan which<br />

demands from Bishkek to destroy Uzbek president’s critics residing in<br />

<strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> when discussing the natural gas export.<br />

According to a leading expert on Islamist organizations in <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> Ikbaljan<br />

Mirsaitov, there are currently about 2,000 members of HT which is much less<br />

than the number cited by authorities. 30 Some experts on HT in <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>,<br />

including official estimates, claim the party has 15,000 members in <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong><br />

and 20percent of them are representatives of various ethnic groups besides<br />

Uzbeks and Kyrgyz: Tatars, Russians, Chechens, Meskhetian Turks and others. 31<br />

The party is banned since 2003.<br />

According to <strong>Country</strong> Reports on Terrorism 2008 by the U.S. State Department,<br />

“Kyrgyz officials reported growing support for and bolder public outreach by<br />

HT. Supporters of terrorist groups the Islamic Jihad Group (IJG) and the Islamic<br />

Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU) were also believed to maintain a presence in<br />

29 For more details on the conflict read the report of Human Right Center “Memorial” at<br />

http://www.memo.ru/2009/03/02/0203091.htm<br />

30 I. Mirsaitov, “Information on members of Hizb-ut-Tahrir is lifted up few fold,” 12 March 2009.<br />

available at: http://www.centrasia.ru/newsA.php?st=1236808020<br />

31 “Osobennosti proyavleniya politicheskogo Islama v <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>e” (Peculiarities of development of<br />

political Islam in <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>), N Kurbanova, April 28, 2009, Centrasia.ru News Agency. Available at:<br />

http://www.centrasia.ru/news.php?st=1240897920<br />

20


<strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>, and Kyrgyz authorities alleged that both groups received material<br />

support from HT.” 32<br />

Other Islamist organizations banned in <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>:<br />

The Kyrgyz Government and other Central Asian states, members of Shanghai<br />

Cooperation Organization, all include the following ethnic Uyghur separatist<br />

groups in the list of Central Asian terrorist organizations:<br />

1. Sharqiy Turkestan Islamiy Harakati<br />

[in English - Eastern Turkistan Islamic Movement]<br />

(a.k.a. Eastern Turkistan Islamic Party; ETIM; ETIP)<br />

2. Sharqiy Turkestan Azatliq Teshkilati<br />

[in English - East Turkistan Liberation Organization (ETLO)]<br />

China uses its power to curtail support for any Uyghur separatist group and<br />

ethnic Uyghurs from the local governments. The region has comparatively large<br />

economic influential Uyghur Diasporas, particularly in Kazakhstan and<br />

<strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> which share borders with China.<br />

Most of Uyghurs in Central Asia are disillusioned over the Chinese<br />

government’s policy towards approximately 18 million Turkic Muslims of the<br />

Xinjiang-Uighur Autonomous Region (XUAR), historically known as Eastern<br />

Turkistan. Muslim ethnic groups of <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> and from neighboring states are<br />

sympathetic with Uyghurs as they share common religion, culture and history<br />

viewing China’s presence as illegitimate while Central Asian leaders extradite<br />

“the enemies of Chinese State” without much investigation as to whether the<br />

person was actually involved in separatist, terrorist or extremist activities. In<br />

2006, Huseyin Celil, a naturalized Canadian citizen of Uyghur origin who fled<br />

China in mid-1990s, has been sent back to the People’s Republic of China by the<br />

Uzbek authorities despite the protests of human rights organizations and the<br />

Canadian authorities. The extradition of Uyghurs to China is a matter of tensions<br />

between Uyghur Diasporas and the local governments.<br />

32 <strong>Country</strong> Reports on Terrorism 2008, U.S. State Department, Chapter 2. <strong>Country</strong> Reports: South and<br />

Central Asia Overview, <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>, available at: http://www.state.gov/s/ct/rls/crt/2008/122434.htm<br />

21


HUMAN TERRAIN:<br />

Kyrgyz are the dominant ethnic group in the country estimated at 3,616,500 or<br />

69.2 percent of population as of January 2008. 33 The nation is predominantly<br />

Sunni Muslim of Hanafi <strong>School</strong> of Jurisprudence.<br />

There are traditional kin-based and regional cleavages beneath the modern<br />

structure of the Kyrgyz society which dominate the political culture and explain<br />

the trajectory of events.<br />

Kyrgyz Clans Networks<br />

Kyrgyz people received statehood only after the arrival of Russian Bolshevik<br />

administration. It divided the territory ruled by Central Asian Khanates along<br />

the ethnic lines resulting in creation of an autonomous republic in 1926. In 1936<br />

it became a full fledged member of the union of 15 Soviet states. Disjoined<br />

nomadic tribal group identities were represented in the pre-Soviet period rather<br />

than one unified national identity.<br />

The outcomes of the Tulip Revolution reveal the significance of clanship and<br />

political culture. A wished overthrow of the Akaev’s old corrupt and nepotistic<br />

network and the re-installment of another clan occurred when the more vicious<br />

group of Bakiev’s family members and friends came to power and redistributed<br />

resources.<br />

Although tribal or regional affiliations might not matter in relation to various<br />

issues of everyday life, they are important for politicians in Bishkek. Igor<br />

Chudinov believes his ethnicity (Russian) was an important factor when he was<br />

appointed as Prime Minister: “I’ll say openly: I am the least one in this country<br />

under the influence of local clans and regional groupings.” 34 Most Kyrgyz are<br />

attached to certain regional and tribal groupings. Slavs, who migrated to the<br />

country during the Soviet period, have no local roots and are considered neutral<br />

in local rivalries and are regarded as good professionals.<br />

Today kin based clanship and regionalism, important elements of political<br />

culture of Kyrgyz, still exist and play a significant role in political life in the<br />

rivalry for access to economic assets. To residents of rural areas the extended<br />

family is still an important part of self-identity, less so for urbanized Kyrgyz.<br />

Clanship:<br />

TRIBAL DIVISION OF KYRGYZ ETHNOS<br />

Kyrgyz are divided into 3 major tribal confederations:<br />

33 According to the National Statistics Committee of <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> the total population was estimated<br />

5,224,300. See Table: ‘Kalktyn Uluttyk Kuramy’ (national composition of population) available in Kyrgyz<br />

and Russian at http://www.stat.kg/stat.files/razd.files/census/3.7.pdf<br />

34 Intervyi na temy, Moskovskii Komsomolets, January 28, 2008, posted by Tazar.kg. Available at:<br />

http://www.tazar.kg/news.php?i=7723<br />

22


“Sol kanat”<br />

(the left wing)<br />

also called “Arkalyk”<br />

Ichkilik<br />

(internal)<br />

“Ong kanat”<br />

(the right wing)<br />

also called “Otuz Uul”<br />

According to North – South informal regional divide the tribal groupings are<br />

informally associated with :<br />

“Northerners” “Southerners” “Southerners”<br />

Has 7 tribes in the north<br />

and west of the country:<br />

1. Sary Bagysh<br />

2. Kushchu<br />

3. Solto<br />

4. Tynay<br />

5. Sayak<br />

6. Saru<br />

Each of the seven has a<br />

dominant characteristic,<br />

and all have fought each<br />

other for influence.<br />

Majority of the country’s<br />

leaders, including Askar<br />

Akaev came from<br />

the Sarybagysh clan.<br />

Sarybagysh clan in<br />

Akayev’s government<br />

was represented by many<br />

government officials. The<br />

list includes:<br />

- Temirbek Akmataliev,<br />

minister of finance,<br />

comes from<br />

Akayev’svillage and clan;<br />

-Tashtemir Aitbaev,<br />

minister of Interior;<br />

-Cholpon Baekova,<br />

chairperson of<br />

Constitutional Court;<br />

Osmanakun Ibraimov,<br />

secretary of state;<br />

- Bolot Dzhanuzakov,<br />

chairman of National<br />

This group includes<br />

several tribes, some of<br />

which were not of ethnic<br />

Kyrgyz origin (for<br />

instance Kypchaks) but<br />

have assimilated with<br />

ethnic Kyrgyz and now<br />

view themselves as<br />

Kyrgyz.<br />

Reside in Osh, Batken<br />

and parts of Jalal -Abad<br />

provinces in thee south.<br />

Some locals believe that<br />

President Bakiev is of<br />

Uighur origin.<br />

Has less and smaller<br />

ribes than northerners.<br />

Geographically based in<br />

Jalal-Abad and partially<br />

Osh provinces of<br />

southern part of the<br />

country.<br />

Southern Osh province had 5 governors from the<br />

northern part of the country appointed by Akaev.<br />

Former president’s frequent reshuffling of northern<br />

governors, who were perceived by southerners as<br />

rivals against the southerners coming to extract<br />

resources for personal enrichment, had increased<br />

frustration in the south.<br />

During Akaev era prominent public figures and MPs<br />

Azimbek Beknazarov, Adahan Madumarov,<br />

Omurbek Tekebaev, Dooronbek Sadyrbaev,<br />

Masaliev, Bekturn Asanov and Alisher<br />

Abdimomjunov all have ties with Ichkilik clans<br />

based either in Osh, Jalalabad or Batken regions in<br />

south. Once prime Minister under Akaev and current<br />

president Bakiev is also an Ichkilik southerner.<br />

23


Security service;<br />

- Amanbek Karypkulov,<br />

chief of presidential staff.<br />

A group of Kypchaks, a Turkic sub-ethnic group within Kyrgyz, demanded a<br />

separate status of nationality as a sovereign ethnic group during the national<br />

census conducted in <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> in March – April of 2009. Kypchaks, once a<br />

powerful confederation of pastoral steppe tribes and brave warriors, migrated to<br />

Central Asia from the Irtysh River basin. They constitute a sub-ethnic group<br />

either within larger Kyrgyz or Kazakh ethnic groups. The Kypchak language is<br />

lost and they speak the language of the dominant ethnicity of the locality:<br />

Kyrgyz in <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>, Kazakh in Kazakhstan and Uzbek in Uzbekistan. Today<br />

most of Kypchaks reside in the Ferghana Valley.<br />

North – South regional divide:<br />

High mountainous landscapes divide the Chuy, Talass, Issyk-Kul and Naryn<br />

provinces in the north from Osh, Bakten and Jalal-Abad provinces in the south.<br />

The two regions of the country are linked by the Bishkek – Osh road. Costly<br />

flights run daily between the two major cities and less frequent flights between<br />

Bishkek to Batken and Jalal-Abad cities. Despite comparatively new unifying<br />

common ethnic identity, the differences in historical, political and economic<br />

developments impact relationships between regional and kinship affiliations.<br />

The Bolsheviks did not disrupt the internal political rivalry between local elites<br />

as long as they were loyal to Moscow. After the collapse of the Soviet Union, the<br />

political battle of the former nomadic horse shepherds in the north which<br />

undergone forceful urbanization and embraced Russification against the settled<br />

tribes of the agricultural south, where Islam and close interaction with Uzbek<br />

and Tajik cultures had a significant influence, reemerged and the appearance of<br />

little known Askar Akaev became a result of an inter-regional political<br />

settlement.<br />

North and South have their regional dialects of the Kyrgyz language.<br />

Major ethnic minorities<br />

Uzbeks:<br />

Ethnic Uzbeks represent 14.5 percent of the total population. Uzbeks constitute<br />

the majority of important southern cities such as Osh, Kar-Suu and Jalal – Abad.<br />

Uzbeks were the largest indigenous minority since the region was under the<br />

Uzbek Qoqon Khanate until the Bolsheviks divided the major local ethnic groups<br />

into separate republics but the borders were drawn with a high degree of<br />

planned arbitrariness.<br />

Inter-ethnic clashes between Uzbeks and Kyrgyz which erupted in June of 1990<br />

in the Osh province resulted in nearly 1,000 casualties, most of whom were<br />

Uzbeks. Sponsored by the KGB, which tried to instigate inter-ethnic conflicts to<br />

regain control of the colonies, Kyrgyz nationalists organized violent attacks on<br />

24


Uzbeks with the epicenter in Uzgen, an ancient Uzbek city. Violence was<br />

characterized by brutality towards women, children and the elderly. This event<br />

planted the seeds of mistrust between ethnic Uzbeks and Kyrgyz in the south.<br />

Although there is status quo in relationship between the two it is more fragile<br />

than it may appear on the surface.<br />

Since Kurmabek Bakiev assumed the presidency, arrests and kidnappings of<br />

ethnic Uzbeks allegedly linked to Hizb-ut-Tahrir and IMU by the National<br />

Security of Uzbekistan with permission of the Kyrgyz authorities have increased<br />

and have led to at least two killings of prominent Uzbeks. These developments<br />

along with the underrepresentation of Uzbeks in the government and in law<br />

enforcement add to the level of tensions between two ethnic groups.<br />

Russians:<br />

Currently, less than a half million ethnic Russians reside in <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> while in<br />

1999 they numbered 603, 201. 35 During the years of independence every third<br />

Russian (or nearly 700,000) left the country. Most Russians (Slavs in general)<br />

reside in major cities, primarily Bishkek and Osh.<br />

The first wave of emigration started in 1989 and in the early years of<br />

independence in the early 1990s. The inter-ethnic clashes in the Ferghana Valley<br />

during Gorbachov’s political relaxation period, although not anti-Russian, raised<br />

fear among Russian Diaspora which forced more than 100,000 Russians to leave<br />

<strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>.<br />

With independence most government positions were transferred to ethnic<br />

Kyrgyz and many Russians realized their dominant status was lost. Anti-<br />

Russian statements by Kyrgyz nationalists on the community level made<br />

Russians feel threatened politically and sometimes physically which contributed<br />

to departure of thousands of ethnic Russians and Slavs from the country.<br />

However, high unemployment and low wages became the major factor of the<br />

second wave of emigration which started in the late 1990s. Worsening socioeconomic<br />

conditions, corruption, police abuse and lack of employment<br />

opportunities continue motivating many Russians to depart the Kyrgyz<br />

Republic.<br />

Kyrgyz - Russian relations are usually stable and positive. Closer relations<br />

between the two states were solidified by closer of the U.S. air base at Manas<br />

International Airport which was aimed at receiving economic compensation<br />

from Russia.<br />

In comparison with Uzbekistan the Kyrgyz government has tried to preserve<br />

Russian Diaspora which consisted of highly trained professionals the country<br />

lacked with the departure of thousands of qualified personnel.<br />

35 Table 5.01.00.03 ‘Natsionalnyi sostav naseleniya’ (Ethnic composition of population), available at:<br />

http://www.stat.kg/stat.files/din.files/census/5010003.pdf<br />

25


RELIGIONS/SECTS:<br />

Ethnic Kyrgyz constitute the majority of population and the second largest<br />

ethnic group Uzbeks are both Sunni Muslims of Hanafi <strong>School</strong> of Jurisprudence.<br />

Ethnic Russians belong to the Russian Orthodox Church.<br />

Nominally Muslim nomadic tribes of Kyrgyz, more in the past than at present,<br />

also practiced their ancient local religious traditions, including shamanism,<br />

which were at odds with Islam. Kyrgyz in the south are generally more religious<br />

than in the north due to the influence of the Uzbeks and Tajiks of the Ferghana<br />

valley. Although Quqon Khanate ruled from 1710 to 1876 over all Kyrgyz tribes<br />

the modern southern <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> is geographically closer to the capital of the<br />

Khanate in the Ferghana Valley city of Quqon. In recent years the north has seen<br />

an increase in the percentage of Kyrgyz who have strong religious sentiments<br />

towards Islam in comparison with previous years. The Central Mosque in capital<br />

Bishkek is overcrowded at Friday prayers and now donations are being collected<br />

for construction of a new mosque for 10,000 worshipers in the capital. Many<br />

mosques have been built in other cities in the north during the independence.<br />

Uzbeks, residing in the south, have traditionally been religious and are viewed<br />

by Kyrgyz nationalists and the secular government with suspicion. The southern<br />

<strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> with its center city of Osh was an epicenter of anti-Bolshevik<br />

resistance in 1920s.<br />

After the collapse of the Soviet Union Western Evangelist Christian missionaries,<br />

mostly from America, descended on the Kyrgyz soil in an effort to recruit<br />

converts from among formerly atheist Soviet populations.<br />

FOREIGN MILITARY BASES:<br />

Russian military base in Kant<br />

Located only 20 km from the capital Bishkek is the military base originally<br />

established in 1941 (after the invasion of German Nazi forces into the USSR) as a<br />

Soviet air force base. It also served as a military pilot training school for military<br />

air crews for the Soviet Air Force.<br />

The Russian-Kyrgyz agreement of 2003 authorized Russian military to rent the<br />

base for 15 years with a 5 year extension term. The Russian Federation spent US<br />

$2.6 million in upgrading the base in 2003 and intends to invest even more to<br />

reconstruct the runways which should be able to accept heavy TU-160 and TU-95<br />

(“Bear”) bombers.<br />

The airbase, under command of the Russian 5 th Air Army based in Uralsk<br />

Military District, is also used by the Collective Security Treaty Organization<br />

26


[CSTO], a security alliance of some post-Soviet states 36 led by Russia aiming to<br />

foster its influence over the region.<br />

The Kant base presently hosts about 500 Russian troops, four L-39 combat<br />

training jets, two MI-8 combat transport helicopters, five SU-25 attack aircrafts<br />

and five SU-27 fighters and six IL-76 transport aircrafts.<br />

In late April of 2009 Nikolai Bordyuzha, Secretary-General of CSTO, during a<br />

visit to <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> said that Russia's leadership plans to increase the number of<br />

military aircraft at Kant. He explained the decision is dictated by the situation in<br />

the region, including Afghanistan. 37<br />

In late May of 2009 the Russian Government proposed 49 years long lease<br />

contract with 25 years of automatic prolongation if no sides decides to end the<br />

deal. The Kyrgyz side expressed its readiness to accept the offer. President<br />

Medvedev is to sign the document which will then be sent to Bishkek for<br />

consideration.<br />

<strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> receives US$ 4,5 million and military and technical aid from Russia<br />

as a compensation for rent of the Kant base. 38<br />

US Air Base at Manas International Airport<br />

The US base was established in support of Operation “Enduring freedom” in<br />

December of 2001 on the territory of the Manas International Airport in the<br />

outskirts of capital Bishkek. <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>, threatened by Taliban’s expansion close<br />

to the borders of the former Soviet Central Asian states and in expectation of<br />

financial compensation, expressed its willingness to host the American and<br />

NATO forces targeting Al-Qaida and Taliban in Afghanistan.<br />

American Manas Air Base was home to the 376th Air Expeditionary Wing and<br />

approximately 1,000 military personnel from the United States, Spain and France<br />

are assigned to the wing, along with 650 U.S. and host-nation contractor<br />

personnel. Coalition aircrafts supporting the mission includes U.S. KC-135s,<br />

Spanish C-130s and French C135FRs. 39<br />

36 Armenia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>, Russia, Uzbekistan and Tajikistan are members of this<br />

organization. There are rumors that Uzbekistan is considering to leave CSTO.<br />

37 “Russian will beef up Kyrgyz base,” April 21, 2009, The Moscow Times.com. Available at:<br />

http://www.themoscowtimes.com/article/600/42/376415.htm<br />

38 “News: Russian Govt. Approves Kyrgyz Airbase Lease Extension to 49 Years,” May 29, 2009. Available<br />

at: http://defense-technologynews.blogspot.com/2009/05/dtn-news-russian-govt-approves-kyrgyz.html<br />

39 More information on the US Manas Air base can be obtained from its official web site:<br />

http://www.manas.afcent.af.mil/<br />

27


On February 20, 2009 the Foreign Ministry of <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> delivered an official<br />

letter to the U.S. Embassy in Bishkek demanding the base to be closed within 6<br />

months. Although Russian and Kyrgyz authorities deny the closure of the<br />

American base was the result of Russia’s financial assistance package promised<br />

to an impoverished country. Since the region depends heavily on foreign aid,<br />

many observers believe Russians promised to provide 2,150 million in loans to<br />

cement Moscow’s diplomatic efforts to oust the U.S. bases from the region.<br />

There were long negotiations between the United States and <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong><br />

interceded by Afghan President Karzai who asked Kyrgyz president to allow<br />

Americans to continue renting the base. The American side offered to pay a<br />

higher rent if the Kyrgyz government reconsiders its decision to evict US and<br />

NATO troops.<br />

In result of the extensive talks between the two sides the agreement was reached:<br />

the military base will turn into a cargo transit center of non-military items into<br />

Afghanistan. The Kyrgyz government agreed to use the Manas airport in<br />

exchange for higher rent in the amount of US$ 60 million and aid to <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong><br />

in the amount of US$ 41, 5 million. 40<br />

During the meeting between Russian President Medvedev and President Obama<br />

in Moscow in early July Moscow the deal was signed that will allow U.S. military<br />

cargo aircrafts to overfly Russian airspace and transit overland necessary<br />

military and non-military deliveries to Afghanistan which most probably will<br />

lead to <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>’s permission to transport military shipments despite “nonmilitary<br />

items only” agreement.<br />

SECURITY SITUATION<br />

There are currently several important internal and external developments which<br />

will influence the security situation in the country:<br />

A. Internal developments:<br />

1. Presidential elections on July 23, 2009;<br />

2. Criminalization of politics;<br />

3. Sharpened tensions between powerful political and business elites;<br />

4. Return of a large army of labor migrants put additional pressure on poor<br />

socio-economic conditions<br />

B. External developments:<br />

1. Political/security situation in Afghanistan;<br />

2. Kyrgyz – Uzbek relations<br />

40 "МК": С "Ганси" выдачи нет. Киргизия заработала на одной базе дважды, Igor Karmazin,<br />

Moskovskiy Komsomlotes, June 24, 2009. Available at: http://www.centrasia.ru/news.php?st=1245796800<br />

28


Internal Developments:<br />

Presidential Elections (July 23, 2009)<br />

The important event for <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> in 2009 and beyond is the election of the<br />

president for next 4 years. Considering the present tendency towards<br />

authoritarianism, the outcomes of the elections will have serious implications for<br />

the political trajectory of the country. The authorities and the political parties in<br />

parliament worry that the funding which NGOs receive from abroad will<br />

influence the course of elections and ultimately may sponsor President Bakiev’s<br />

defeat.<br />

The Ak-Jol and the Communist parties are sponsoring a new legislation to ban<br />

NGOs from engagement in political activity and elections, including election<br />

monitoring which should be enacted before the July 23rd presidential election.<br />

Pro-President party Ak-Jol which holds 71 seats and its ally - the Communists<br />

occupying 8 seat out of total 90 in the parliament, have been suspicious of links<br />

between local NGOs. They also view the West as an orchestrating force of color<br />

revolutions in the post-Soviet space. Considering the pro-Russian sentiments<br />

prevailing in the Jogorky Kenesh (Kyrgyz parliament) the government and its<br />

allies in the legislature have taken all measures to oppose the opposition’s<br />

victory during the election.<br />

There are additional changes in the election process which will help the<br />

president:<br />

• According to Constitution, no less than 50,000 signatures must be<br />

presented in the application for official registration of presidential<br />

candidates;<br />

• The Government banned local NGOs and the country representation<br />

offices of international organizations from monitoring the election process<br />

at the ballots;<br />

• Ink marks on hands during the election which prevented people from<br />

voting several times for their candidates will not be used this time;<br />

• Driver license which is not a significant ID as it is in the United States and<br />

which is easier to obtain than the passport will be sufficient to vote.<br />

President Bakiev submitted his application to the Central Commission on<br />

Elections and Referendums [CCER] 41 to run for elections for the second term.<br />

As of June 15, 2009 CCER registered the applications from the following<br />

candidates, besides the president:<br />

1. Temir Sariev - the leader of “Ak- Shumkar” political party;<br />

41 Official web site of the Commission: http://www.shailoo.gov.kg/<br />

29


2. Jenishbek Nazaraliev - a famous doctor and the head of a well known clinic<br />

in Bishkek;<br />

Other three politicians have submitted the applications but are still waiting the<br />

decision of Central Commission on Elections and Referendums which presently<br />

checks the applications and signatures of their supporters and conducts the<br />

Kyrgyz language knowledge test of candidates:<br />

1. Nurlan Motuev, a businessman informally called a “coal king” and also the<br />

leader of the “Zhoomart” people’s patriotic movement;<br />

2. Toktayim Umetalieva – chairperson of the Association of non-governmental<br />

and non-commercial oranizations;<br />

3. Almazbek Atambaev - the chairman of Social Democratic Party of <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>.<br />

He was chosen as a candidate from United People’s Movement that brought<br />

together opposition fractions aimed at defeating the current president.<br />

CCER rejected the application documents from Akbaraly Aitikeev, a<br />

businessman and chairman of the Party for protection of interests of agriculture<br />

industry employees and low income families. CCER claimed many signatures of<br />

his supporters were forged.<br />

Among all candidates the strongest political challenge to President Bakiev is<br />

expected from Almazbek Atambaev.<br />

At the meeting between President Bakiev and some NGOs participants in May,<br />

they agreed to create a Coordinative Council of government structures and<br />

NGOs. It is expected that the meetings between the government and the civil<br />

society sector will be held regularly. However leading NGOs linked to political<br />

opposition and human rights groups did not join the event. The creation of the<br />

council is perceived by critics as the government’s instrument of pacifying the<br />

disparagement from opposition rather than a sincere attempt to solve the<br />

problems of authoritarianism, corruption, criminality, unsolved cases of political<br />

assassinations.<br />

The largest party in the parliament Ak-Jol announced it will fully support<br />

President Bakiev at the presidential elections. The Party of Communists of<br />

<strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> stated they would not have a candidate from the party but will<br />

support the incumbent president. The Communist Party which had been in<br />

opposition to the former President Akaev is loyal to the current president who<br />

allowed the party to get few seats in the parliament in exchange for loyalty.<br />

The growing number of candidates and a split among opposition parties make it<br />

easy for current president to win the elections.<br />

Issue of Returning Labor Migrants<br />

Up to 300,000 <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>’s labor migrants are expected to return from Russia<br />

and Kazakhstan in 2009. The influx of a large number of unemployed who will<br />

30


need jobs or welfare is a serious concern for national and local authorities. The<br />

population heavily suffering from unemployment and low wages now will face<br />

even further social problems and economic hardships. People also expect a price<br />

increase for major food items like bread and flour of 15-20 percent. Housing<br />

services are expected to increase up to 45 percent. 42<br />

Criminalization of Politics<br />

Employing criminal groups by the new leadership that needed broader public<br />

support and access to economic resources in early stages of Bakiev’s realm has<br />

led to legitimization of some powerful criminal figures attempting to dominate<br />

politics and state assets. Since Kurmanbek Bakiev became president in 2005 the<br />

killings and unresolved mysterious deaths of politicians and journalists has<br />

become a part of political life in the country. In the first two years after the Tulip<br />

Revolution contract killings took the lives of 25 famous public figures, including<br />

businessmen, politicians, a famous actor and a well known sportsman. 43<br />

On April 4, 2009 the murder of the fifth parliamentarian within last four years<br />

sparked a lot of debate and claims within the Kyrgyz society about President<br />

Bakiev’s close ties with the criminal world: Tashbolot Baltabaev, a leading<br />

member of the opposition party ‘Ata Meken’ and a parliamentarian, suspects<br />

that “The criminal world and [political] power go hand in hand, and that is<br />

regarded as being in the order of things.” He further warns that “… the<br />

shootouts and contract killings will continue.” 44<br />

The list of individuals involved in politics killed/ dead/ disappeared since<br />

2005:<br />

1. Parliamentarian Sanjarbek Kadyraliev, killed outside his home on April 14,<br />

2009 by an unidentified lone gunman who shot him once in the back of the head.<br />

Politician and businessman Kadyraliev was close to the president and belonged<br />

to pro-presidential political party Ak Zhol (White Path). Kadyraliev is known for<br />

his criminal past when he confronted another gang group leader in the south<br />

Bayaman Erkinbayev who was also MP. Many believe Kadyraliev is responsible<br />

for the assassination of his major mafia rival Erkinbayev.<br />

2. Former head of the president’s administration Medet Sadyrkulov was killed in<br />

a car incident on March 13, 2009. The investigation is under way. Some<br />

opposition figures accused the government in organizing the car crash to<br />

42 “<strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>: Returning Labor Migrants are a Cause for concern,” Eurasianet.org, April 3, 2009.<br />

Available at: http://www.eurasianet.org/departments/news/articles/eav040309e.shtml<br />

43 “<strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>: Impediments to State-Building,” Johan Engvall, http://www.isn.ethz.ch/isn/Digital-<br />

Library/Publications/Detail/?ots591=0C54E3B3-1E9C-BE1E-2C24-A6A8C7060233&lng=en&id=34004<br />

44 ‘Politician’s Murder Shakes <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>,’ Institute for War & Peace Reporting, Anara Yusupova and<br />

Ayday Tokonova, RCA, No.573, April 16, 2009, Available at:<br />

http://www.iwpr.net/?p=rca&s=f&o=351794&apc_state=henprca<br />

31


eliminate an influential politician who joined the opponents of President Bakiev<br />

and a former presidential aide who knew “too much” about his former boss. 45<br />

3. The political observer of ‘Reporter – Bishkek’ independent newspaper Syrgak<br />

Abdyldaev was knifed on March 3, 2009 by unidentified individuals. The<br />

journalist produced critical reports about the government’s policies which many<br />

observers believe became the reason for the authorities’ vendetta against<br />

Abdyldaev. He is in critical conditions.<br />

4. Parliamentarian Ruslan Shabatoev a member of the opposition Social<br />

Democratic Party, disappeared in late of 2008. The police investigation produced<br />

no results.<br />

5. A well-known journalist for Voice of America Alisher Saipov (an ethnic<br />

Uzbek) was shot outside of his office in Osh in late October 2007. He is believed<br />

to be have been killed by Uzbek National Security Service on the territory of<br />

<strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> for critical reporting about Uzbek president with illicit approval of<br />

President Bakiev. This was inn exchange for a better natural gas supply deal<br />

from Uzbekistan for natural gas hungry <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>.<br />

6. In August of 2006 the Kyrgyz security service officers shot a famous Imam<br />

Rafiq Qori Kamoluddin, an ethnic Uzbek preacher whose mosque attracted up to<br />

10,000 people at a Friday prayer in the border city of Kara-Suu. Imam was well<br />

known for his criticism of Karimov’s foreign and internal policies. Qori<br />

Kamoluddin’s supporters believe he was killed by the Kyrgyz troops but on the<br />

request from an Uzbek counterpart.<br />

7. Chairman of the Kyrgyz parliament's committee for legal affairs, defense and<br />

law and order Tynychbek Akmatbaev was shot dead in Moldavanovka prison<br />

near the capital on October 22, 2005 when he tried to pacify prisoners’ protest<br />

against bad conditions in Kyrgyz jail. Experts on Kyrgyz politics believe the<br />

newly appointed president relied on support of Tynychbek Akmatbaev’s brother<br />

Rysbek who was allegedly a mafia baron in the north of the country where<br />

southerner President Bakiev had little support. Prime Minister Kulov had an<br />

alliance with the rival underworld gang leader Azizbek Batukaev, an ethnic<br />

Chechen accused in killing MP Akmatbaev who also had ties with the criminal<br />

world in the past. The conflict between two powerful criminal groups led to<br />

conflict between President Bakiev and then Prime Minister Kulov which<br />

indicates the ability of influential criminal figures to project power on the<br />

government. Following the death of Tynychbek his brother, a mafia baron<br />

Rysbek, became MP after being cleared of triple homicide. During Akaev<br />

45 Read ‘Kyrgyz Politician’s Death Widens Opposition-Government Gulf,’ Institute for War & Peace<br />

Reporting, Anara Yusupova and Ayday Tokonova, RCA, No.570, March 16, 2009, Available at:<br />

http://www.iwpr.net/?p=rca&s=f&o=351039&apc_state=henprca<br />

32


presidency Rysbek Akmatbaev was wanted on a list of charges at home but<br />

President Bakiev’s alleged support for Rysbek set the notorious criminal and his<br />

six accomplices free of all charges. In May of 2006 mafia boss and newly elected<br />

MP Rysbek Akmatbaev was shot dead in outskirts of capital Bishkek, however<br />

there were rumors that he is alive but faked his assassination.<br />

8. Bayaman Erkinbayev, a member of the Kyrgyz parliament since 1995 and a<br />

supporter of President Akaev who was also known as a leader of a powerful<br />

criminal group in the south, did not survive the third assassination attempt.<br />

Bishkek died on September 21 and various explanations were rumored about<br />

who killed Erkinbayev but the law enforcement offered no credible conclusions<br />

of the official investigation. Some experts believe Erkinbayev was killed by a<br />

rival criminal group that tried to seize the strategic economic asset - Kara-Suu<br />

bazaar on the Kyrgyz-Uzbek border which brought lucrative profits to the<br />

owner of this market. Others suspect the new political leadership got rid of a<br />

pro-Akaev politician and a powerful gang leader to control the rich resources of<br />

the southern region. By installing new criminal leaders loyal to a new<br />

government the president ensures political support in the south and access to<br />

wealth for his family.<br />

9. Parlamentarian Jyrgalbek Surabaldiev, who was known for his sympathy with<br />

former president Akaev, was killed by unidentified gunmen on June 10, 2005 in<br />

the centre of Bishkek. The assailants have not been found. MP Surabaldiev head<br />

of the “Union of Entrepreneurs –New Step” and a powerful businessman was<br />

also suspected in having ties with criminal groups that caused suspicion that<br />

criminal groups behind then Acting President Bakiev were redistributing<br />

resources and eliminating competitors. This is the first case of an MP murder in<br />

<strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>.<br />

A well recognized expert on <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> Erica Marat says new hybrids of power<br />

relations developed within the state after the Tulip Revolution, “Common<br />

economic interests between criminal and political actors merged within the state<br />

apparatus. Both groups could operate in sync in maintaining licit and illicit<br />

businesses while simultaneously representing the state and enjoying legal<br />

status.” 46<br />

Many observers claim Bakiev’s family members are involved in illegal business<br />

activities occupying important positions in the government while formally<br />

engaging in the private sector. Many <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>is say that Bakiev’s family is<br />

much larger than of the former president (Askar Akaev has no brothers; Bakiev<br />

has seven brothers) and therefore the current president and his family has<br />

significantly higher financial and political appetite. 47<br />

46 “The State Crime Nexus in Central Asia: State Weakness, Organized Crime, and Corruption in<br />

<strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> and Tajikistan,” Erica Marat, Silk Road Paper, October 2006, p. 93. Available at:<br />

http://www.silkroadstudies.org/new/docs/Silkroadpapers/0610EMarat.pdf<br />

47 CCS’s phone interviews with several residents in Bishkek and Osh, April 2009.<br />

33


Local and foreign journalists cite that businessman Maxim Bakiev, President’s<br />

younger son whose nickname is ‘prince”, is connected to the criminal world and<br />

engaged in extortion and other illegal economic crimes. 48 The famous case of<br />

Maxim’s efforts to seize a profitable TV Radio company ‘Pyramida’ in December<br />

of 2005 symbolized the aims and tactics of President Bakiev’s family clan. These<br />

are more dangerous than of the family of former President Akaev.<br />

Despite that Maxim denies his involvement in politics and claims he’s only a<br />

businessman there are allegations of Maxim’s political pressure on his father’s<br />

opponents. Former head of the Central Election Commission (CEC) Klara<br />

Kabilova in a video address to citizens of <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> 49 accused Maksim Bakiev<br />

of threatening her in front of employees. This threat was made in front of<br />

employees of the CEC one week before the elections for 491 city and town<br />

council positions. 50<br />

There are rumors that the president’s brother Janybek (more often called Janysh)<br />

Bakiev is controlling drug trafficking in the south. In 2006 Janysh was fired as<br />

deputy head of the National Security Service after the parliament learned he was<br />

helping his brother to get rid of powerful critics. Janysh allegedly ordered the<br />

deputy head of Manas International Airport to plant drugs in the luggage of<br />

highly respected Parliamentarian Tekebaev who was travelling to Poland in<br />

2006. 51 Since his brother acme president Major General Janybek Bakiev has<br />

installed many corrupt police officers on key positions in law enforcement in the<br />

south to arrange the smooth delivery of drugs. 52<br />

In general crimes of various types are on the rise. According to statistics from<br />

the Ministry of Internal Affairs, as of February of 2009, 2,600 crimes were<br />

reported which is 5.1 percent higher than in February of 2008 and 18.6 percent<br />

higher than the previous month. Murder rate increased to 14.8 percent from<br />

48<br />

For instance read articles: “Kyrgyz TV Station alleges takeover attempt,” Eurasianet.org Daily Digest,<br />

December 9, 2005. Available at:<br />

http://www.eurasianet.org/resource/kyrgyzstan/hypermail/200512/0006.shtml or read in Russian “Delo<br />

Poroskuna-Sirotinoy nesot risk dla kirgizkix elit: Vsesilnyi mladshiy syn prezidenta Kirgizii ‘prins’<br />

Maksim Bakiev otobral u zakonnyx vladeltsev pansionat ‘Utos’ na beregu Issyk-Kyla” ( The case of<br />

Poroskun-Sirotina bears a serious risk for the Kyrgyz elites: almighty younger son of Kyrgyz president<br />

‘prince’ Maxim Bakiev forcefully took over ‘Utos’ resort on the beach of Issyk-Kul Lake) by Viktor<br />

nesinov, December 13, 2007. Available at http://compromat.ru/page_24966.htm<br />

49<br />

Video address of Klara Kabilova in Russian is available at<br />

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aQbC1VhzI50<br />

50<br />

Read “Local Kyrgyz elections spark national uproar, amid fraud allegations and threats” The ISCIP<br />

Analyst Volume XV Number 2 (9 October 2008), Section: Central Asia, at<br />

http://www.bu.edu/iscip/digest/vol15/ed1502.html<br />

51<br />

For details on this case read “<strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> Rocked by Smear Scandal,” Institute for War & Peace<br />

Reporting, RCA No. 463, 12-Sep-06, at<br />

http://www.iwpr.net/?p=rca&s=f&o=323794&apc_state=henirca2006<br />

52<br />

“Narkotiki vygodnee amerikanskoy bazy” (Drugs are more profitable than American base), Positsiya.ru<br />

Internet news agency, April 24, 2009. Available at: http://www.posit.kz/?lan=ru&id=105&pub=23920<br />

34


February 2008 to February of 2009; an increase is also cited for other type of<br />

offenses: rape up 3.8 percent, hooliganism up 1.7 percent; burglary up 3.9 percent<br />

and economic crimes up 1.4 percent. 53<br />

Anara Tabyshalieva, a well - established specialist on Kyrgyz politics, claimed<br />

that there were 24 known organized criminal groups and four criminal networks<br />

in the country in 2006. 54<br />

President Bakiev’s attempts to strengthen his grip on power and secure his reelection<br />

in July of 2009 are managed by his family members and friends<br />

occupying lucrative positions in the government and seizing maximum assets<br />

from the private sector. More than former president Akaev the current president<br />

relies on services of the criminal authorities in pacifying resistance to his political<br />

and financial advancement throughout the country. Although the nexus between<br />

the political elite and the criminal groups existed before the 2005 Tulip<br />

Revolution, the mafia barons have never been as influential as they are now. This<br />

threatens the country by shifting the balance towards further criminalization of<br />

state institutions and monopolizing the economic policies which will ultimately<br />

lead to turning the republic into a criminal state.<br />

Sharpened Tensions between<br />

Powerful Political and Business Elites<br />

The 2005 Tulip Revolution disrupted the inter-clan equilibrium established<br />

during the Akaev era and triggered the attention of political and business elites<br />

whose well-being depends on new parity between the players.<br />

Surprisingly even for opposition leaders to Akaev, their bet on Kurmanbek<br />

Bakiev brought disillusionment when the new president dismantled the old king<br />

and now tries to become a new one.<br />

The emergence of new people in the political and business arena associated with<br />

the new president and their gains at the expense of the old powerful figures is<br />

still an ongoing process and needs careful attention. Resource are scarce and the<br />

country cannot satisfy economic demands of all interested parties while general<br />

socio-economic conditions of the common people do not improve. The<br />

traditional thirst for political power in Kyrgyz society is explained by the<br />

centralized distribution of resources by the executive branch with the private<br />

sector largely dependent on ties with powerful politicians. Therefore access to<br />

political power gives access to economic resources and exemption from the law.<br />

53 Kyrgyz Respublikasynyn sotsialdyk-ekonomikalyk abaly (Social-economic situation in Kyrgyz<br />

Republic), January – February 2009, National Statistics Committee of Kyrgyz Republic, Monthly<br />

Publication, Bishkek 2009, Section Prestupnost’ (Crime), pp. 110-111. Report is available in Kyrgyz and<br />

Russian at: http://www.stat.kg/stat.files/doclad/obzor2.pdf<br />

54 See “Political violence on the rise in <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>,” Anara Tabyshalieva, 01/25/2006 issue of the CACI<br />

Analyst, at http://www.cacianalyst.org/?q=node/3691<br />

35


Along with economic contention between powerful elites there is growing<br />

political opposition to President Bakiev. Although unable to unite the opposition<br />

parties and the NGOs intend to confront the current president during the<br />

elections.<br />

There are growing fears in <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> that Kurmanbek Bakiev will be willing to<br />

use force against demonstrators if unfair elections in July spark public revolt.<br />

The July presidential elections will be the test for Bakiev and his clan’s strategy to<br />

neutralize rivals and weaken political opposition. His victory in the elections will<br />

allow him to further strengthen his personal grip on power and widen Bakiev<br />

clan’s access to national assets.<br />

External Developments:<br />

<strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>’s security and economic conditions are subject to a significant<br />

influence from external relations with next door neighbors, regional and global<br />

players. Poor in natural resources and technologically disadvantaged, a nation is<br />

isolated from seaports and dependant on neighbors for communication and<br />

energy and totally reliant on larger players like Russia and China for security.<br />

At this moment of the history Kyrgyz Republic faces challenges in relations with<br />

Uzbekistan and has growing concerns over the situation in Afghanistan.<br />

Political/security situation in Afghanistan<br />

Starting 1999 the Kyrgyz Republic has been affected by the instability in<br />

Afghanistan. During the conflict between the Northern Alliance and Taliban,<br />

Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan, in an attempt to overthrow the regime of<br />

President Karimov in Uzbekistan, tried to infiltrate southern Batken province on<br />

their way to Uzbekistan. Uzbek Islamists also crossed Kyrgyz border and clashed<br />

with the law enforcement in 2000 and 2006.<br />

Kyrgyz military is underequipped and poorly trained which makes it incapable<br />

defending the republic from external threats. <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> heavily relies on<br />

security and military aid from Russia, China and the U.S.<br />

The Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan views southern <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>, which is a part<br />

of the Ferghana Valley, as a recruiting ground for support and an integral part of<br />

the Islamic state they aim to build in Central Asia.<br />

Incursions of Central Asian Islamist groups linked with Taliban and Al-Qaida<br />

into <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> and other states of the region might intensify due to military<br />

operations against Taliban and Al-Qaida in Pakistan and Afghanistan.<br />

Authorities of <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> claimed on June 23, 2009 the units of Kyrgyz National<br />

Security Committee clashed with and killed 5 well trained and equipped fighters<br />

of Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan in a private house full of explosives and<br />

ammunition in Tashbulak settlement of Suzak District of Jalal-Abad province<br />

36


neighboring with Uzbekistan – the prime target of IMU and IJU. 55 The Kyrgyz<br />

officials identified the militants but refused to announce the names but admitted<br />

they are not citizens of Uzbekistan and belong to IMU. 56 Although the Kyrgyz<br />

officials believe the Islamist group linked with Taliban was IMU it is possible<br />

that the five member group identified in Ferghana Valley was a cell of Islamic<br />

Jihad Union fighters which launched attack on law-enforcement in Andijan<br />

province of Uzbekistan on May 26.<br />

Kyrgyz – Uzbek Relations<br />

The relations between the two have a significant impact on <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>’s<br />

economic development and security. Several important issues impede healthy<br />

relations between the neighbors: water distribution, hydro-electric stations,<br />

border demarcation, and water supply.<br />

• Water distribution<br />

Water sharing between upstream countries <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> and Tajikistan on one<br />

side and downstream states Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan on the<br />

other side becomes a cornerstone issue for regional stability. Decrease of water<br />

levels, mainly coming from Syr Darya and Amy Darya and continuous growth of<br />

water consumption due to increase of population in the region, <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>’s<br />

(Kambarata -1 and Kambarata -2) and Tajikistan’s (Rogun) plans to build giant<br />

hydro-electric stations are of great concern for downstream countries. These<br />

issues along with the Aral Sea disaster are serious problems the leaders from five<br />

states have enormous difficulties to resolve.<br />

The Kyrgyz authorities seem to be very determined to build the gigantic<br />

Kambarata hydroelectric stations despite strong resentment from Uzbekistan and<br />

Turkmenistan. Addressing the meeting with NGOs in Bishkek on May 5<br />

President Bakiev announced: "We will build the Kambarata hydroelectric power<br />

stations in <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> whether one likes it or not." 57<br />

<strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> tries to establish the new terms for water, which should be treated as<br />

commodity with a price set by upstream countries. Uzbekistan strongly objects<br />

to this notion and demands that water be treated as a common good for the<br />

entire region.<br />

55<br />

“<strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> says killed five Islamist militants,” Reuters news Agency, June 24, 2009, available at:<br />

http://www.reuters.com/article/featuredCrisis/idUSLO876210<br />

56<br />

“<strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> Says Slain Militants Were Uzbek Nationals,” Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, June 25,<br />

2009, available at:<br />

http://www.rferl.org/content/<strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>_Says_Slain_Militants_Were_Uzbek_Nationals_/1762715.html<br />

57<br />

“KYRGYZSTAN: BAKIYEV STANDS UP TO UZBEKISTAN AND TURKMENISTAN ON<br />

HYDROPOWER PROJECTS,” Eurasianet.org, May 7, 2009, available at:<br />

http://www.eurasianet.org/departments/insightb/articles/eav050709d.shtml<br />

37


Uzbekistan, for lack of payment, cuts supply of natural gas to <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> during<br />

the winter season. The Kyrgyz hydro- energy sector has to let water run through<br />

the Toktogul Dam to generate power but this causes flooding in Uzbekistan<br />

which experiences shortage of water during the summer season. The Kyrgyz side<br />

is frustrated that Uzbekistan sells natural gas to <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> at almost world<br />

price (US $240 per 1,000 cubic meters) without any discount. Also not allowing<br />

Bishkek to use its internal hydro energy capacity, the Kyrgyz authorities have to<br />

maintain water reservoirs to hold water until summer for downstream states.<br />

Tashkent’s view is that natural gas is a commodity and requires investment into<br />

production, transportation and maintenance of pipelines while water is a God<br />

given resource running from the Mother Earth’s mountains to all and upstream<br />

countries should not take control of this common good.<br />

• Border demarcation<br />

On April 19 approximately 40 police and border patrol troops of Uzbekistan<br />

illegally entered Kyrgyz territory and searched homes of residents in the village<br />

of Chek of Jalal-Abad province. The Uzbek officers behaved rudely claiming<br />

they were conducting anti-terrorism operations.<br />

Kyrgyz Prime Minister Chudinov informed the parliament that 80 percent of<br />

Uzbek-Kyrgyz border is agreed to. The remaining 20 percent is a difficult<br />

portion of areas in Kugart, Shahimardan, Sokh enclave and few other places. The<br />

Prime Minister explained that the border agreement is complicated due to<br />

conflicting documents and maps that mark the border of Central Asian states<br />

first in 1924 and then in 1956. 58<br />

This border incident highlighted the importance and urgency of resolving the<br />

border demarcation issue. The unfinished demarcation of the border often sparks<br />

local conflicts between Uzbek law enforcement and Kyrgyz residents.<br />

Amid the attacks of Islamic Jihad Union fighters on law enforcement facilities<br />

and 2 suicide attacks on police officers in Andijan and Khanabad cities on May<br />

26 near Uzbek –Kyrgyz border in volatile Ferghana Valley, the Uzbek<br />

government ordered digging 3 meters wide and 3 meters (in some areas, such as<br />

Madaniyat, Bekabad - up to 5 meters) deep trenches along the border. Along<br />

some border areas such as Chek-2 the Uzbek authorities remove the houses of<br />

locals in order to create a buffer zone to protect the border - the Uzbek<br />

authorities fear new incursions of Islamic militants into Uzbekistan from Kyrgyz<br />

territory. One sided security measure of the Uzbek side triggered frustration in<br />

Bishkek which view the unfriendly action of neighbor as illegal since the both<br />

sided have not completed the delimitation process.<br />

58 “Igor Chudinov: 80 protsentov granitsy <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>a s Uzvekistanom soglasovany” (Igor Chudinov: 80<br />

percent of Uzbek-Kyrgyz border is agreed upon), Nargiza Yuldasheva, Information Agency “24kg”, April<br />

22, 2009. Available at: http://www.24.kg/parliament/2009/04/22/112622.html<br />

38


Inflexible and unfriendly border policy of the Uzbek government have caused<br />

obstacles for trade, water supply, travel and even led to a death of a local trader.<br />

On June 7, Ulug Usmanov, an ethnic Uzbek from <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> was shot by Uzbek<br />

border guards when he tried to cross the border into Uzbekistan in the point not<br />

designated for trespassing near the commercial town of Karasuu. The Uzbek<br />

authorities seized the body of the killed 29 years old resident of the border town<br />

and had not returned it to relatives for several days. Ulug Usmanov and many<br />

other local traders used to cross the Uzbek border to buy fruits and vegetables<br />

and other food stuffs and return to <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> after paying bribes to Uzbek<br />

border guards but this time he became a victim of Tashkent’s barbaric treatment<br />

of local residents living in the valley that linked three republics of Uzbekistan,<br />

<strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> and Tajikistan. Even when the Soviets formally introduced borders<br />

between these brotherly nations, locals would travel without restrictions.<br />

• Gas supply<br />

Power cuts for many hours during winter season threaten the government’s<br />

ability to provide energy. Energy is critical and a matter of survival for any<br />

regime in power in Bishkek. Every year the Kyrgyz authorities face uncertainty<br />

about Tashkent’s willingness to sell the volume needed for <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> and<br />

annual increase of price for this strategic commodity.<br />

In 2009 the price of natural gas from Uzbekistan to <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> was set at US $<br />

240 per 1,000 cubic meters while Uzbekistan was demanding US$ 300 and the<br />

2009 price is US$ 95 higher than in 2008. Irregularities with timely payment<br />

have been another problem with energy trade relations between the two states.<br />

39


APPENDIX 1<br />

Links to news and resources on <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>/ Central Asia<br />

Official sources:<br />

Official Web site of the President<br />

www.president.kg<br />

State Portal<br />

www.government.gov.kg<br />

Ministry of the Foreign Affairs<br />

www.mfa.kg<br />

Ministry of Finance<br />

www.minfin.kg<br />

State Customs Committee<br />

www.customs.gov.kg<br />

State Committee for taxes and fees<br />

www.sti.gov.kg<br />

State National News Agency “Kabar<br />

www.kabar.kg<br />

Kyrgyz Diplomatic Services<br />

http://www.kds.kg/main_en.html<br />

State Committee on State Property<br />

www.spf.gov.kg<br />

News Agency “Gazeta.kg”<br />

www.gazeta.kg<br />

News Agency “24.kg”<br />

www.24.kg<br />

News on <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>/ Central Asia in English, Russian and Uzbek:<br />

Information Agency Ferghana.ru:<br />

http://www.ferghana.ru/<br />

40


News on <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>/Central Asia in English and Russian:<br />

EurasiaNet:<br />

http://www.eurasianet.org/index.shtml<br />

CentralAsiaNews:<br />

http://en.ca-news.org/<br />

News on <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>/Central Asia in Russian:<br />

Russian news web site Centrasia.ru:<br />

http://www.centrasia.ru/<br />

FreeDoilnanet, radio news in Russian, Uzbek and Kyrgyz:<br />

http://www.freedolina.net/<br />

News on <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>/Central Asia in English:<br />

RFE/RL in English:<br />

http://www.rferl.org/section/<strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong>/159.html<br />

BBC Asia:<br />

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/default.stm<br />

Institute for War & Peace Reporting:<br />

http://www.iwpr.net/?p=rca&s=f&o=346738&apc_state=henprca<br />

The Times of Central Asia:<br />

http://www.timesca.com/<br />

CentralasiaNews.net:<br />

http://www.centralasianews.net/<br />

Transitions On Line News:<br />

http://www.tol.cz/look/TOL/section.tpl?IdLanguage=1&IdPublication=<br />

4&tpid=16<br />

Turkish Weekly:<br />

http://www.turkishweekly.net/category/5/central-asia.html<br />

Central Asia – Caucasus Institute Analyst:<br />

http://www.cacianalyst.org/<br />

41


News on <strong>Kyrgyzstan</strong> in Kyrgyz only:<br />

RFE/RL in Kyrgyz:<br />

http://www.azattyk.kg/<br />

BBC in Kyrgyz:<br />

http://www.bbc.co.uk/kyrgyz/<br />

Zaman:<br />

http://kg.zaman.com.tr/kg/<br />

Analytical Reports:<br />

International Crisis Group:<br />

http://www.crisisgroup.org/home/index.cfm?id=1251&l=1<br />

Russian and Eurasian Security Network:<br />

http://www.res.ethz.ch/news/sw/index.cfm<br />

National Bureau of Asian Research:<br />

http://www.nbr.org/<br />

RAND Center for Asia Pacific Policy:<br />

http://www.rand.org/international_programs/capp/pubs/central.html<br />

Official Web sites of ministries, international organization:<br />

Regional International Organizations:<br />

Shanghai Cooperation Organization:<br />

http://www.sectsco.org/<br />

Eurasian Economic Community:<br />

http://www.evrazes.com/<br />

Collective Security Treaty Organization:<br />

http://www.dkb.gov.ru/<br />

42

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