South African Home Loans (SAHL) - International Housing Finance ...
South African Home Loans (SAHL) - International Housing Finance ...
South African Home Loans (SAHL) - International Housing Finance ...
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<strong>Housing</strong> <strong>Finance</strong><br />
Workshop For Sub-Saharan Africa<br />
4 November 2008<br />
Johannesburg
Case study – <strong>South</strong> <strong>African</strong> <strong>Home</strong> <strong>Loans</strong> (<strong>SAHL</strong>)<br />
� Established in 1998, <strong>SAHL</strong> was the first non-bank mortgage lender in <strong>South</strong> Africa<br />
� Standard Bank holds a significant equity stake in <strong>SAHL</strong> and provides warehouse funding as well as securitisation<br />
services to <strong>SAHL</strong><br />
� Securitisation is a core part of <strong>SAHL</strong>’s funding model<br />
� <strong>SAHL</strong> launched the first RMBS transaction in <strong>South</strong> Africa in November 2001 and has gone on to issue a further<br />
6 RMBS transactions (Thekwini 2 to 7)<br />
� Second largest issuer of RMBS in <strong>South</strong> Africa behind Standard Bank<br />
� <strong>SAHL</strong> regarded as a pioneer of RMBS in <strong>South</strong> Africa, being the first also to establish a residential mortgage<br />
warehousing conduit<br />
� <strong>SAHL</strong> warehousing conduit was the first to issue extendible notes in the <strong>South</strong> <strong>African</strong> market as well as short<br />
and long term notes<br />
October 2007<br />
Thekwini Fund 7<br />
ZAR 2.5 billion<br />
Mortgage Backed<br />
Securitization<br />
Joint Lead Manager<br />
October 2006<br />
Thekwini Fund 6<br />
ZAR 2 billion<br />
Mortgage Backed<br />
Securitization<br />
Lead Manager<br />
Thekwini Warehousing<br />
Conduit<br />
ZAR 15 billion<br />
Programme<br />
Mortgage<br />
Warehousing Conduit<br />
Sole Lead Arranger<br />
June 2005 February 2005<br />
2<br />
Thekwini Fund 5<br />
ZAR 3 billion<br />
Mortgage Backed<br />
Securitization<br />
Co Lead Manager<br />
June 2004<br />
The Thekwini Fund 4<br />
ZAR 2.5 billion<br />
Securitisation<br />
Lead Manager<br />
October 2003<br />
Thekwini Fund 3<br />
ZAR 2 billion<br />
Mortgage Backed<br />
Securitization<br />
Lead Manager
Case study – <strong>South</strong> <strong>African</strong> <strong>Home</strong> <strong>Loans</strong> (<strong>SAHL</strong>)<br />
<strong>SAHL</strong><br />
<strong>SAHL</strong><br />
core<br />
core<br />
portfolio<br />
portfolio<br />
-<br />
loan<br />
loan<br />
eligibility<br />
eligibility<br />
criteria<br />
criteria<br />
� Low LTV < 81%<br />
� Low PTI < 31% at grant<br />
� Applicant : 21-65 years of age<br />
� Maximum term : 23.5 years<br />
� Security : mortgage bond<br />
� Ability to redraw prepaid principal (with manual intervention)<br />
� Mostly owner occupied properties<br />
� <strong>Home</strong>owners insurance required to be taken out and maintained<br />
Assets<br />
Assets<br />
under<br />
under<br />
management<br />
management<br />
(R<br />
(R<br />
mn)<br />
mn)<br />
3
Case study – <strong>South</strong> <strong>African</strong> <strong>Home</strong> <strong>Loans</strong> (<strong>SAHL</strong>)<br />
<strong>SAHL</strong><br />
<strong>SAHL</strong><br />
core<br />
core<br />
portfolio<br />
portfolio<br />
–<br />
funding<br />
funding<br />
model<br />
model<br />
Main Street 65<br />
Thekwini Warehousing<br />
Conduit<br />
Thekwini 6, 7 etc.<br />
Bank funded warehouse facility Short term money market funding<br />
Daily draw downs Monthly/bi-monthly acquisitions<br />
from Main Street 65<br />
� Thekwini Warehousing Conduit established in 2005 as a means for <strong>SAHL</strong> to:<br />
�diversify its funding sources<br />
�benefit of short term funding rates<br />
� Thekwini Warehousing Conduit reached a peak of R9bn in February 2008<br />
� Size is currently being reduced due to liquidity pressures in the money market<br />
4<br />
Long term capital market funding<br />
Regular disposals into term<br />
Thekwini securitisations
Case study – <strong>South</strong> <strong>African</strong> <strong>Home</strong> <strong>Loans</strong> (<strong>SAHL</strong>)<br />
Conduit<br />
Conduit<br />
funding<br />
funding<br />
spreads<br />
spreads<br />
Spread over Jibar<br />
0.63%<br />
0.42%<br />
0.21%<br />
0.00%<br />
Jan-07<br />
Mar-07<br />
May-07<br />
Jul-07<br />
� Spread widening due to<br />
�liquidity concerns<br />
Sep-07<br />
Nov-07<br />
Jan-08<br />
�negative sentiment from the global credit crisis<br />
�oversupply of commercial paper in the domestic money market<br />
5<br />
Mar-08<br />
May-08<br />
Jul-08<br />
ABSA Standard Bank Investec<br />
Sep-08<br />
RMB Nedbank SA <strong>Home</strong> <strong>Loans</strong>
Case study – <strong>South</strong> <strong>African</strong> <strong>Home</strong> <strong>Loans</strong> (<strong>SAHL</strong>)<br />
R m bps<br />
3,000<br />
80<br />
2,500<br />
2,000<br />
1,500<br />
1,000<br />
500<br />
<strong>SAHL</strong>’s cumulative term securitisation<br />
issuance<br />
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />
� 5 year AAA spreads in 2001 were Jibar plus 70bps<br />
6<br />
Spreads on the Thekwini issues<br />
� Lowest spread of Jibar plus 40 bps achieved for Thekwini 6 in 2006 and Thekwini 7 in 2007 achieved pricing of<br />
Jibar plus 55 bps for 5 year AAA notes<br />
� Thekwini 8 postponed due to limited investor appetite<br />
� Questions regarding sustainability of <strong>SAHL</strong> funding model<br />
� Domestic investors reaching limits for RMBS and adopting a “wait and see” attitude regarding global credit<br />
crunch<br />
� No real performance related concerns on the mortgage portfolio<br />
64<br />
48<br />
32<br />
16<br />
THE1A<br />
THE2A1<br />
THE3A2<br />
THE3A1<br />
THE4A1 THE5A1<br />
THE6A2<br />
THE6A1<br />
THE7A2<br />
THE7A1<br />
0<br />
19-Apr-01 01-Sep-02 14-Jan-04 28-May-05 10-Oct-06 22-Feb-08
RMBS issuance in the securitisation market – <strong>South</strong> Africa<br />
Total RMBS issuance per year<br />
20,000<br />
16,000<br />
12,000<br />
8,000<br />
4,000<br />
0<br />
R m<br />
<strong>SAHL</strong> SBSA ABSA Sanlam Investec Eskom Nedbank FNB<br />
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008<br />
Total outstanding RMBS per issuer<br />
SBSA<br />
35%<br />
ABSA<br />
7%<br />
<strong>SAHL</strong><br />
19%<br />
FNB<br />
9%<br />
Sanlam<br />
8%<br />
Sources: BESA, Standard Bank Group<br />
Investec<br />
15%<br />
Nedbank<br />
4%<br />
Eskom<br />
3%<br />
7<br />
� Issuance dominated by Standard Bank and <strong>South</strong> <strong>African</strong><br />
<strong>Home</strong> <strong>Loans</strong><br />
� RMBS used by all major banks in <strong>South</strong> Africa as a funding<br />
mechanism to fund significant asset growth<br />
� Major benefits to banks include:<br />
�management of structural liquidity risk<br />
�reduced capital<br />
�reduced prudential requirements
Overview of the securitisation market – <strong>South</strong> Africa<br />
Yearly term issuance<br />
45,000<br />
36,000<br />
27,000<br />
18,000<br />
9,000<br />
0<br />
R m<br />
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008<br />
Sources: BESA, Standard Bank Group<br />
� Market started developing in earnest after 2001<br />
8<br />
54%<br />
11%<br />
RMBS CMBS<br />
7%<br />
1%<br />
6%<br />
1%<br />
20%<br />
Store-card receivables Office equipment lease receivables<br />
Vehicle finance receivables Equipment rentals<br />
Synthetic securitisation<br />
� Smooth functioning of capital markets – have been in existence for decades<br />
� Strong macroeconomic fundamentals<br />
� Strong domestic investor base<br />
� Cumulative market issuance in excess of US$15bn<br />
� Issuance dominated by RMBS transactions<br />
Term issuance by asset class (to date)
Spreads in the securitisation market – <strong>South</strong> Africa<br />
AAA spreads in <strong>South</strong> Africa<br />
100<br />
75<br />
50<br />
25<br />
0<br />
Bps<br />
0 1 2 3 4 5<br />
Years to maturity<br />
Sources: BESA, Standard Bank Group<br />
� Spreads started to widen mid way through 2007 and are currently significantly wider than those seen in previous<br />
years<br />
� Widening in spreads caused by<br />
�Large volume of paper and oversupply of certain asset classes (particularly RMBS)<br />
�Consumer credit concerns, rising interest rates and weaker inflation outlook<br />
�Negative sentiment in the global economy resulting in a lack of liquidity<br />
�Decreased participation of ABCP conduits<br />
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Log. (2008)<br />
9
Recent spreads in the RMBS market – <strong>South</strong> Africa<br />
Date Issuer Nominal value of<br />
deal<br />
AAA<br />
Sources: BESA, Standard Bank Group<br />
10<br />
Term Spread over 3m Jibar<br />
22 June 07 iKhaya 2 2,884 5yrs 47<br />
1 Aug 07 Sanlam <strong>Home</strong> <strong>Loans</strong> 1,113 5yrs 46<br />
20 Aug 07 ABSA <strong>Home</strong>s 3,292 5yrs 50<br />
18 Oct 07 Thekwini 7 2,500 5yrs 55<br />
14 Nov 07 Private Residential Mortgages 1,590 5yrs 55<br />
26 Nov 07 Green House 1,911 5yrs 60<br />
26 Aug 08 Private Residential Mortgages 1,000 3 yrs 70<br />
22 Oct 08 Sanlam <strong>Home</strong> <strong>Loans</strong> 970 1 yr 100<br />
BBB<br />
20 Aug 07 ABSA <strong>Home</strong>s 3,292 5yrs 215<br />
18 Oct 07 Thekwini 7 2,500 5yrs 220<br />
14 Nov 07 Private Mortgages 1,590 5yrs 200<br />
26 Nov 07 Green House 1,911 5yrs 200<br />
26 Aug 08 Private Residential Mortgages 1,000 3 yrs 300
<strong>International</strong> comparisons<br />
� Since 2003 UK banks increasingly embraced RMBS off-balance sheet financing<br />
� Non-bank mortgage lenders proliferated due to securitisation market liquidity<br />
� This led to a large “shadow mortgage credit” system being developed in the UK<br />
� Unlike bank balance sheet lending, lending financed by securitisation was largely<br />
unconstrained in terms of capital<br />
� By late 2006, 1 in 3 UK mortgages was funded outside the regulated capital base<br />
Source: Deutsche Bank Global Markets Research<br />
11
<strong>International</strong> comparisons<br />
Source: Structured <strong>Finance</strong> Monitor<br />
12
<strong>International</strong> comparisons<br />
Source: Structured <strong>Finance</strong> Monitor<br />
13