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<strong>Housing</strong> <strong>Finance</strong><br />

Workshop For Sub-Saharan Africa<br />

4 November 2008<br />

Johannesburg


Case study – <strong>South</strong> <strong>African</strong> <strong>Home</strong> <strong>Loans</strong> (<strong>SAHL</strong>)<br />

� Established in 1998, <strong>SAHL</strong> was the first non-bank mortgage lender in <strong>South</strong> Africa<br />

� Standard Bank holds a significant equity stake in <strong>SAHL</strong> and provides warehouse funding as well as securitisation<br />

services to <strong>SAHL</strong><br />

� Securitisation is a core part of <strong>SAHL</strong>’s funding model<br />

� <strong>SAHL</strong> launched the first RMBS transaction in <strong>South</strong> Africa in November 2001 and has gone on to issue a further<br />

6 RMBS transactions (Thekwini 2 to 7)<br />

� Second largest issuer of RMBS in <strong>South</strong> Africa behind Standard Bank<br />

� <strong>SAHL</strong> regarded as a pioneer of RMBS in <strong>South</strong> Africa, being the first also to establish a residential mortgage<br />

warehousing conduit<br />

� <strong>SAHL</strong> warehousing conduit was the first to issue extendible notes in the <strong>South</strong> <strong>African</strong> market as well as short<br />

and long term notes<br />

October 2007<br />

Thekwini Fund 7<br />

ZAR 2.5 billion<br />

Mortgage Backed<br />

Securitization<br />

Joint Lead Manager<br />

October 2006<br />

Thekwini Fund 6<br />

ZAR 2 billion<br />

Mortgage Backed<br />

Securitization<br />

Lead Manager<br />

Thekwini Warehousing<br />

Conduit<br />

ZAR 15 billion<br />

Programme<br />

Mortgage<br />

Warehousing Conduit<br />

Sole Lead Arranger<br />

June 2005 February 2005<br />

2<br />

Thekwini Fund 5<br />

ZAR 3 billion<br />

Mortgage Backed<br />

Securitization<br />

Co Lead Manager<br />

June 2004<br />

The Thekwini Fund 4<br />

ZAR 2.5 billion<br />

Securitisation<br />

Lead Manager<br />

October 2003<br />

Thekwini Fund 3<br />

ZAR 2 billion<br />

Mortgage Backed<br />

Securitization<br />

Lead Manager


Case study – <strong>South</strong> <strong>African</strong> <strong>Home</strong> <strong>Loans</strong> (<strong>SAHL</strong>)<br />

<strong>SAHL</strong><br />

<strong>SAHL</strong><br />

core<br />

core<br />

portfolio<br />

portfolio<br />

-<br />

loan<br />

loan<br />

eligibility<br />

eligibility<br />

criteria<br />

criteria<br />

� Low LTV < 81%<br />

� Low PTI < 31% at grant<br />

� Applicant : 21-65 years of age<br />

� Maximum term : 23.5 years<br />

� Security : mortgage bond<br />

� Ability to redraw prepaid principal (with manual intervention)<br />

� Mostly owner occupied properties<br />

� <strong>Home</strong>owners insurance required to be taken out and maintained<br />

Assets<br />

Assets<br />

under<br />

under<br />

management<br />

management<br />

(R<br />

(R<br />

mn)<br />

mn)<br />

3


Case study – <strong>South</strong> <strong>African</strong> <strong>Home</strong> <strong>Loans</strong> (<strong>SAHL</strong>)<br />

<strong>SAHL</strong><br />

<strong>SAHL</strong><br />

core<br />

core<br />

portfolio<br />

portfolio<br />

–<br />

funding<br />

funding<br />

model<br />

model<br />

Main Street 65<br />

Thekwini Warehousing<br />

Conduit<br />

Thekwini 6, 7 etc.<br />

Bank funded warehouse facility Short term money market funding<br />

Daily draw downs Monthly/bi-monthly acquisitions<br />

from Main Street 65<br />

� Thekwini Warehousing Conduit established in 2005 as a means for <strong>SAHL</strong> to:<br />

�diversify its funding sources<br />

�benefit of short term funding rates<br />

� Thekwini Warehousing Conduit reached a peak of R9bn in February 2008<br />

� Size is currently being reduced due to liquidity pressures in the money market<br />

4<br />

Long term capital market funding<br />

Regular disposals into term<br />

Thekwini securitisations


Case study – <strong>South</strong> <strong>African</strong> <strong>Home</strong> <strong>Loans</strong> (<strong>SAHL</strong>)<br />

Conduit<br />

Conduit<br />

funding<br />

funding<br />

spreads<br />

spreads<br />

Spread over Jibar<br />

0.63%<br />

0.42%<br />

0.21%<br />

0.00%<br />

Jan-07<br />

Mar-07<br />

May-07<br />

Jul-07<br />

� Spread widening due to<br />

�liquidity concerns<br />

Sep-07<br />

Nov-07<br />

Jan-08<br />

�negative sentiment from the global credit crisis<br />

�oversupply of commercial paper in the domestic money market<br />

5<br />

Mar-08<br />

May-08<br />

Jul-08<br />

ABSA Standard Bank Investec<br />

Sep-08<br />

RMB Nedbank SA <strong>Home</strong> <strong>Loans</strong>


Case study – <strong>South</strong> <strong>African</strong> <strong>Home</strong> <strong>Loans</strong> (<strong>SAHL</strong>)<br />

R m bps<br />

3,000<br />

80<br />

2,500<br />

2,000<br />

1,500<br />

1,000<br />

500<br />

<strong>SAHL</strong>’s cumulative term securitisation<br />

issuance<br />

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

� 5 year AAA spreads in 2001 were Jibar plus 70bps<br />

6<br />

Spreads on the Thekwini issues<br />

� Lowest spread of Jibar plus 40 bps achieved for Thekwini 6 in 2006 and Thekwini 7 in 2007 achieved pricing of<br />

Jibar plus 55 bps for 5 year AAA notes<br />

� Thekwini 8 postponed due to limited investor appetite<br />

� Questions regarding sustainability of <strong>SAHL</strong> funding model<br />

� Domestic investors reaching limits for RMBS and adopting a “wait and see” attitude regarding global credit<br />

crunch<br />

� No real performance related concerns on the mortgage portfolio<br />

64<br />

48<br />

32<br />

16<br />

THE1A<br />

THE2A1<br />

THE3A2<br />

THE3A1<br />

THE4A1 THE5A1<br />

THE6A2<br />

THE6A1<br />

THE7A2<br />

THE7A1<br />

0<br />

19-Apr-01 01-Sep-02 14-Jan-04 28-May-05 10-Oct-06 22-Feb-08


RMBS issuance in the securitisation market – <strong>South</strong> Africa<br />

Total RMBS issuance per year<br />

20,000<br />

16,000<br />

12,000<br />

8,000<br />

4,000<br />

0<br />

R m<br />

<strong>SAHL</strong> SBSA ABSA Sanlam Investec Eskom Nedbank FNB<br />

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008<br />

Total outstanding RMBS per issuer<br />

SBSA<br />

35%<br />

ABSA<br />

7%<br />

<strong>SAHL</strong><br />

19%<br />

FNB<br />

9%<br />

Sanlam<br />

8%<br />

Sources: BESA, Standard Bank Group<br />

Investec<br />

15%<br />

Nedbank<br />

4%<br />

Eskom<br />

3%<br />

7<br />

� Issuance dominated by Standard Bank and <strong>South</strong> <strong>African</strong><br />

<strong>Home</strong> <strong>Loans</strong><br />

� RMBS used by all major banks in <strong>South</strong> Africa as a funding<br />

mechanism to fund significant asset growth<br />

� Major benefits to banks include:<br />

�management of structural liquidity risk<br />

�reduced capital<br />

�reduced prudential requirements


Overview of the securitisation market – <strong>South</strong> Africa<br />

Yearly term issuance<br />

45,000<br />

36,000<br />

27,000<br />

18,000<br />

9,000<br />

0<br />

R m<br />

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008<br />

Sources: BESA, Standard Bank Group<br />

� Market started developing in earnest after 2001<br />

8<br />

54%<br />

11%<br />

RMBS CMBS<br />

7%<br />

1%<br />

6%<br />

1%<br />

20%<br />

Store-card receivables Office equipment lease receivables<br />

Vehicle finance receivables Equipment rentals<br />

Synthetic securitisation<br />

� Smooth functioning of capital markets – have been in existence for decades<br />

� Strong macroeconomic fundamentals<br />

� Strong domestic investor base<br />

� Cumulative market issuance in excess of US$15bn<br />

� Issuance dominated by RMBS transactions<br />

Term issuance by asset class (to date)


Spreads in the securitisation market – <strong>South</strong> Africa<br />

AAA spreads in <strong>South</strong> Africa<br />

100<br />

75<br />

50<br />

25<br />

0<br />

Bps<br />

0 1 2 3 4 5<br />

Years to maturity<br />

Sources: BESA, Standard Bank Group<br />

� Spreads started to widen mid way through 2007 and are currently significantly wider than those seen in previous<br />

years<br />

� Widening in spreads caused by<br />

�Large volume of paper and oversupply of certain asset classes (particularly RMBS)<br />

�Consumer credit concerns, rising interest rates and weaker inflation outlook<br />

�Negative sentiment in the global economy resulting in a lack of liquidity<br />

�Decreased participation of ABCP conduits<br />

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Log. (2008)<br />

9


Recent spreads in the RMBS market – <strong>South</strong> Africa<br />

Date Issuer Nominal value of<br />

deal<br />

AAA<br />

Sources: BESA, Standard Bank Group<br />

10<br />

Term Spread over 3m Jibar<br />

22 June 07 iKhaya 2 2,884 5yrs 47<br />

1 Aug 07 Sanlam <strong>Home</strong> <strong>Loans</strong> 1,113 5yrs 46<br />

20 Aug 07 ABSA <strong>Home</strong>s 3,292 5yrs 50<br />

18 Oct 07 Thekwini 7 2,500 5yrs 55<br />

14 Nov 07 Private Residential Mortgages 1,590 5yrs 55<br />

26 Nov 07 Green House 1,911 5yrs 60<br />

26 Aug 08 Private Residential Mortgages 1,000 3 yrs 70<br />

22 Oct 08 Sanlam <strong>Home</strong> <strong>Loans</strong> 970 1 yr 100<br />

BBB<br />

20 Aug 07 ABSA <strong>Home</strong>s 3,292 5yrs 215<br />

18 Oct 07 Thekwini 7 2,500 5yrs 220<br />

14 Nov 07 Private Mortgages 1,590 5yrs 200<br />

26 Nov 07 Green House 1,911 5yrs 200<br />

26 Aug 08 Private Residential Mortgages 1,000 3 yrs 300


<strong>International</strong> comparisons<br />

� Since 2003 UK banks increasingly embraced RMBS off-balance sheet financing<br />

� Non-bank mortgage lenders proliferated due to securitisation market liquidity<br />

� This led to a large “shadow mortgage credit” system being developed in the UK<br />

� Unlike bank balance sheet lending, lending financed by securitisation was largely<br />

unconstrained in terms of capital<br />

� By late 2006, 1 in 3 UK mortgages was funded outside the regulated capital base<br />

Source: Deutsche Bank Global Markets Research<br />

11


<strong>International</strong> comparisons<br />

Source: Structured <strong>Finance</strong> Monitor<br />

12


<strong>International</strong> comparisons<br />

Source: Structured <strong>Finance</strong> Monitor<br />

13

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