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Sheraton Hotel Redding At Sundial Bridge - Redding Record ...

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Competitive Position<br />

calculated by dividing the total rooms revenue achieved during a specified period<br />

by the number of rooms sold during the same period. The projected average rate<br />

and the anticipated occupancy percentage are used to forecast rooms revenue,<br />

which in turn provides the basis for estimating most other income and expense<br />

categories.<br />

Although the average rate analysis presented here follows the occupancy<br />

projection, these two statistics are highly correlated; in reality, one cannot project<br />

occupancy without making specific assumptions regarding average rate. This<br />

relationship is best illustrated by revenue per available room (RevPAR), which<br />

reflects a property's ability to maximize rooms revenue.<br />

<strong>At</strong> this time, the subject property is expected to be the newest hotel in the market<br />

and proximate to one of the major leisure demand generators in <strong>Redding</strong>. The<br />

property will offer upscale rooms. It is our opinion that the average rate, if the<br />

hotel were operating as a stabilized property in 2010, would be moderately above<br />

the rates of the Hilton Garden Inn and Hampton Inn and Suites. The base-year<br />

(2010) average rate for the subject property as if open and stabilized has been<br />

estimated at $121.78. The following table summarizes the historical 2010 average<br />

rate and the RevPAR of the subject property’s future competitors.<br />

FIGURE 7-5 BASE-YEAR AVERAGE RATE AND REVPAR OF THE COMPETITORS<br />

Property<br />

Estimated 2010<br />

Average Room<br />

Rate<br />

Average<br />

Room Rate<br />

Penetration<br />

Rooms Revenue<br />

Per Available<br />

Room (RevPAR)<br />

RevPAR<br />

Penetration<br />

Hilton Garden Inn <strong>Redding</strong> $112.00 115.0 % $90.72 143.5 %<br />

Hampton Inn & Suites <strong>Redding</strong> 112.00 115.0 90.72 143.5<br />

Holiday Inn <strong>Redding</strong> 103.00 105.7 64.89 102.6<br />

Best Western Twin View Inn & Suites 76.00 78.0 43.32 68.5<br />

La Quinta <strong>Redding</strong> 92.00 94.4 55.20 87.3<br />

Red Lion <strong>Hotel</strong> 91.00 93.4 56.42 89.2<br />

Oxford Suites 90.00 92.4 58.50 92.5<br />

Best Western Hilltop Inn 110.00 112.9 74.80 118.3<br />

Ramada Limited <strong>Redding</strong> 75.00 77.0 39.00 61.7<br />

Fairfield Inn & Suites <strong>Redding</strong>, CA 102.00 104.7 61.20 96.8<br />

Average - Primary Competitors $97.42 100.0 % $63.22 100.0 %<br />

The estimated base-year average rate for the subject property as if open and<br />

stabilized is then adjusted annually with inflationary growth in 2011, and more<br />

robust growth in 2012 and 2013, and inflationary growth thereafter. The following<br />

February-2011 Projection of Occupancy and Average Rate<br />

<strong>Sheraton</strong> <strong>Hotel</strong> <strong>Redding</strong> <strong>At</strong> <strong>Sundial</strong> <strong>Bridge</strong> – <strong>Redding</strong>, California 61

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