CEE in 2020 – Trends and perspectives for the next ... - Roland Berger
CEE in 2020 – Trends and perspectives for the next ... - Roland Berger
CEE in 2020 – Trends and perspectives for the next ... - Roland Berger
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Quo vadis <strong>CEE</strong>? <strong>–</strong>The region has to re<strong>in</strong>vent itself as a<br />
European growth region of global significance<br />
Ten assumptions <strong>for</strong> <strong>CEE</strong> through <strong>2020</strong> (1/2)<br />
1<br />
2<br />
3<br />
4<br />
5<br />
<strong>CEE</strong> <strong>in</strong> its current <strong>for</strong>m will not exist any more <strong>–</strong> Europe will consist of EU <strong>and</strong><br />
non-EU countries, <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> region will be much more diverse<br />
The region will not be among <strong>the</strong> global emerg<strong>in</strong>g markets but will rema<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> ma<strong>in</strong><br />
European growth region. GDP growth will plateau at about 2% above WE level<br />
Although <strong>the</strong> <strong>CEE</strong> countries cont<strong>in</strong>ue to develop from "workbenches" to <strong>in</strong>novation-driven<br />
economies, <strong>the</strong> gap between Western Europe <strong>and</strong> <strong>CEE</strong> will persist<br />
Lack of basic requirements (<strong>in</strong>stitutions, <strong>in</strong>frastructure) will rema<strong>in</strong> <strong>CEE</strong>'s ma<strong>in</strong> weakness,<br />
whereas efficiency enhancement is a competitive advantage<br />
Human capital issues (demographic development, bra<strong>in</strong> dra<strong>in</strong>, education) will rema<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
second bottleneck <strong>for</strong> fur<strong>the</strong>r economic development<br />
Source: Rol<strong>and</strong> <strong>Berger</strong> <strong>–</strong> <strong>CEE</strong> <strong>2020</strong> study<br />
<strong>CEE</strong>_<strong>in</strong>_<strong>2020</strong>_Study.pptx<br />
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