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CEE in 2020 – Trends and perspectives for the next ... - Roland Berger

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A SPECIAL LOOK AT CROATIA<br />

Croatia has to start structural re<strong>for</strong>ms immediately <strong>and</strong><br />

position itself as a hub <strong>for</strong> Sou<strong>the</strong>astern Europe<br />

Croatia<br />

COUNTRY FACTS<br />

> Population (millions) 4.4<br />

> GDP/capita (USD) 14,243<br />

> Unemployment rate 16.1%<br />

> GDP composition<br />

<strong>–</strong> Agriculture 6.3%<br />

<strong>–</strong> Industry 28.1%<br />

<strong>–</strong> Services 65.6%<br />

MANAGER ASSESSMENT<br />

Above <strong>CEE</strong> average Below <strong>CEE</strong> average<br />

> Geographical position<br />

> Cultural similarity to<br />

Western countries<br />

> Infrastructure<br />

> Primary education<br />

> Higher education <strong>and</strong><br />

tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />

> Language skills<br />

> Political <strong>and</strong> social<br />

stability<br />

> Innovation, R&D<br />

Source: Rol<strong>and</strong> <strong>Berger</strong> <strong>–</strong> <strong>CEE</strong> <strong>2020</strong> Study; CIA World Factbook, WEF GCR 2010<br />

> Work<strong>for</strong>ce resources<br />

> Fiscal framework<br />

> Labor costs<br />

> Legal framework<br />

> Bureaucracy<br />

> Corruption<br />

CONCLUSIONS<br />

> Croatia switched from <strong>the</strong> most<br />

optimistic to most pessimistic <strong>–</strong><br />

Bus<strong>in</strong>ess volume <strong>and</strong> jobs will<br />

grow slowly from a low basis<br />

> The consolidation of public<br />

f<strong>in</strong>ances will be on top of <strong>the</strong><br />

agenda, grow<strong>in</strong>g social imbalance<br />

is ranked No. 4<br />

> Croatian managers expect more<br />

Russian <strong>in</strong>fluence <strong>and</strong> a<br />

stagnat<strong>in</strong>g EU<br />

> Ma<strong>in</strong> future <strong>in</strong>dustry will be<br />

susta<strong>in</strong>able tourism<br />

<strong>CEE</strong>_<strong>in</strong>_<strong>2020</strong>_Study.pptx<br />

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