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CEE in 2020 – Trends and perspectives for the next ... - Roland Berger

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2 <strong>CEE</strong> AS A GROWTH REGION<br />

<strong>CEE</strong> will not rega<strong>in</strong> its status as a global growth eng<strong>in</strong>e <strong>–</strong><br />

The region is stuck <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> middle <strong>and</strong> has to redef<strong>in</strong>e itself<br />

Survey results<br />

REGION/<br />

COUNTRY<br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>a<br />

India<br />

Turkey<br />

Russia<br />

<strong>CEE</strong><br />

South America<br />

Africa & Middle East<br />

EU-15<br />

North America<br />

EXPECTED DEVELOPMENT<br />

-1 0 1 2 3 4 5<br />

-5 0<br />

5<br />

How will <strong>the</strong> economic situation develop <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> follow<strong>in</strong>g regions from 2010 to <strong>2020</strong>?<br />

-5… deteriorate / 0… rema<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> same / +5… improve<br />

1.0<br />

0.9<br />

0.9<br />

2.0<br />

1.8<br />

1.8<br />

1.6<br />

Source: Rol<strong>and</strong> <strong>Berger</strong> <strong>–</strong> <strong>CEE</strong> <strong>2020</strong> study; International Monetary Fund (IMF)<br />

3.0<br />

2.9<br />

Growth<br />

eng<strong>in</strong>es<br />

Grow<strong>in</strong>g<br />

economies<br />

GDP GROWTH 2010-2015,<br />

AVERAGE ANNUAL CHANGE [%]<br />

9.7<br />

8.4<br />

4.5<br />

Moderate<br />

Growth Ch<strong>in</strong>a India Turkey RUS <strong>CEE</strong> North EU-15<br />

America<br />

4.2<br />

3.8<br />

2.6<br />

1.8<br />

<strong>CEE</strong>_<strong>in</strong>_<strong>2020</strong>_Study.pptx<br />

12

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