Building integrated PV - ECN

Outlook on BIPV
Economische Kansen voor
PV in Nederland
De Balie
A’dam 13 Juni 2012
Otto Bernsen
Senior project advisor
Directorate Energy & Climate
NL Agency

IEA Blue Scenario
Content:
1. Global outlook PV and BIPV
2. BIPV Projects examples
3. Specific BIPV markets epia brochure spain task 7 > EU
4. Conclusions

IEA Blue Scenario
The IEA Blue Map Scenario (2008) was the first IEA scenario projecting a
substantial part for solar in the foreseable future, taking off in 2030.
Projection of
Total energy
consumption

Today’s forecast has about doubled (same share already in 2060) due to the
exponential growth figures of PV installed capacity (PVPS newsletter 09-2010).
Installed PV power (MW)
40000
35000
30000
25000
20000
15000
10000
5000
0
Figure 1a - Cumulative installed grid-connected and off-grid PV
power in the reporting countries
Grid-connected
Off-grid
I992
I993
I994
I995
I996
I997
I998
I999
2OOO
2OOI
2OO2
2OO3
2OO4
2OO5
2OO6
2OO7
2OO8
2OO9
2O1O

Production (MW) by country in 2009, the Netherlands are not in the top ten.
The estimated turnover of
Scheutren and
Solland is about 400 mln €.
Machine export to China for cell
production, not included in this
picture, is a substantial 3%
market share which amounts to
Another 250 mln € turnover.
Figure 5 - Estimated world PV cell production
(MW) by country in 2009
Norway , 180 India, 120
NL
Korea, 231
Others, 200
Philippines, 400
USA, 770
Malaysia, 780
Taiwan , 1400
Japan, 1487
China, 3800
Germany, 2456

Accelerated growth of PV production in most countries but more so in Asia.
PV cell production (MW)
9000
8000
7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
Figure 8 - Evolution of the PV industry in selected countries - PV cell
production in 2007, 2008, 2009 and 2010
2OO7 2OO8
2OO9 2O1O
Korea USA Taiwan Germany Japan China

The Netherlands hold the 7th position in PV patents world wide (1995-2009).
(source EPO)
US
JP
DE
KR
FR
GB
NL
CH
IT
CN
AU
ES
CA
BE
IL
AT
TW
SE
NO
SG
overig
Aantal octrooien en aandeel top 25 landen
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500
Aantal octrooiaanvragen

Yearly R&D budgets. The Netherlands is loosing ground as other countries like
France and Austria increase their budgets. Also in Asia although no data available.
200
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
R&D million
USA KOR JPN DEU AUS FRA NOR ESP CAN NLD SWE ITA AUT MEX ISR
12
R&D million

BIPV is part of the building and BAPV is add on.
BIPV façade Pamplona Spain,
photo annual report Spain IEA PVPS
PV on historical railway buildings
Tilburg Netherlands. Photo by DEC,

BIPV in European Countries.
BIPV in Germany is < 5% of the market (highest percentage is roof tops)
BIPV in France is > 50% of the market.
BIPV in Italy is about 20% of the market.
BIPV in Spain is about 2% of the market. (highest percentage is ground
mounted systems)
In France, Italy, Germany and Spain there exist special feed in tariffs for BIPV.
This explains why we have have no estimates for the other countries.
http://www.agentschapnl.nl/sites/default/files/bijlagen/Gebouwintegratie%20zo
nnestroomsystemen.pdf

BIPV is a small part (440 MW in 2010 BCC
report) of the current global market figures
but expected to grow to a Gigawatt market in
both the USA and Europe in 2015.
BIPV has a high added value and targets
very specific markets in public, private,
commercial and industrial buildings in
different countries.
BIPV projects have a long standing in the
Netherlands (see also IEA PVPS task7),
with participation from parties like ECN
and Bear Architects.
Sequana Tower Paris, Scheuten Solar

The Netherlands have a small but innovative domestic market
IPZ SBIR BIPV four projects
entered second phase:
Peer+ Solar glass
Ballast Nedam Modulair roof
Fem2Grid smart inverter/DC.
Dimark Thermal/PV integrated

BIPV means many different products in different market segments
1. Commercial
2. Private
3. Public
4. Industrial
Public and Industrial lag behind,
price is a factor
BIPV Private sector in Heerhugowaard
Products range from facades and roofs to shading and electronics. PV cell
technologies are all applied in specific products.

BIPV business cases instead of grid parity?
BIPV follows PV trends, so lower solar cell prices and growing share of thin fiilm.
Some examples of reasons to buy BIPV:
- Aesthetics
- Energy efficiency in buildings
- Replacing building materials
- Theft
- Limited space
- Conspicuous consumption
- etc.

Meet the competition, Roman roof tiles BC.

International consolidation and shake out
Calzi project. Roof system with thin
film on steel construction, developed
by Corus (part of the Tata Group
which took over BP Solar recently.)
The Dutch PV sector has become
completely internationally integrated
over the last 3 years.
Some companies like Tata and
Bosch go for vertical integration

BIPV national actions.
• DEN program targets BIPV.
• IPZ second and third (last) phase.
• NRW – NL congres september 10 includes BIPV
• SEAC becomes active (Green deal)
• New Eranet PV joint calls include BIPV.
• General support in EU calls, Eurostars and national
Innovation Credit, Starters Facility.
• International mission EVD could include BIPV if sector shows
interest.
• Bilateral actions possible if sector shows interest/initiative.

Conclusions.
• BIPV Dutch domestic market is relatively small but
innovative.
• The existing change is in design, development and
production.
• It is about a growing markets share in growth maket.
• Focus on cost reduction in components and production.
• Focus on up scaling projects in niche markets in the EU.
• Welcome relative newcomers from other sectors like
building, creative industries and other industrial sectors.

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Thank you for attention and patience.