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Prospectus - Notowania

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Sensitivity to the volatility of interest rates, exchange rates and share prices<br />

In addition to the sensitivity of financial instruments to changes in the underlying risk factor, we also calculate sensitivity to the<br />

volatility of interest rates, exchange rates and share prices, assuming a positive or negative change of 30% in volatility curves<br />

or matrixes.<br />

-30%<br />

€ million<br />

30%<br />

Equities -24.6 -8.8<br />

Interest Rates -18.0 14.9<br />

of which: EUR -18.5 15.5<br />

USD 0.4 -0.4<br />

GBP -0.3 0.3<br />

CHF 0.5 -0.6<br />

JPY 0.1 -0.1<br />

Exchange Rates -0.1 6.3<br />

of which: EUR_JPY 3.4 -2.3<br />

EUR_TRY -2.8 2.1<br />

JPY_USD 1.2 1.8<br />

EUR_GBP -0.7 2.0<br />

EUR_USD 0.8 0.9<br />

USD_XAU -0.5 0.4<br />

EUR_SEK 0.4 -0.3<br />

CHF_EUR -0.5 0.1<br />

Stress tests<br />

Stress tests complement the sensitivity analysis and VaR results in order to assess the potential risks in a different way.<br />

Stress test performs the evaluation of a portfolio under both simple scenarios (assuming change to single risk factors) and<br />

complex scenarios (assuming simultaneous changes in a number of risk factors).<br />

Results for simple scenarios are reported to top management on a weekly basis, together with the most relevant sensitivities.<br />

They include shocks on:<br />

� Interest rates: Parallel shifts and Steepening/Flattening of IR curves; Increase/Decrease in IR volatilities<br />

� Credit Markets: Parallel shifts of Credit Spreads curves (both absolute changes and relative changes); sensitivity to<br />

Base Correlation, Issuer Correlation and Recovery Rates<br />

� Fx Rates: Appreciation/Depreciation of each currency; Increase/Decrease in FX volatilities<br />

� Equities: Increase/Decrease in Spot Prices; Increase/Decrease in Equity volatilities; sensitivity to Implied<br />

Correlation<br />

� Commodities: Increase/Decrease in Spot Prices<br />

As far as complex scenarios are concerned, so far, two different scenarios (Full US Recession and Financial Crisis) are<br />

applied to the whole investment banking portfolio on a monthly basis and reported to top management.<br />

CONSOLIDATED INTERIM REPORT<br />

AS AT SEPTEMBER 30, 2009<br />

200

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