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Prospectus - Notowania

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- 61 -<br />

RISK FACTORS<br />

Increases in the unemployment rate in Italy and in the regions to which the Group is<br />

exposed, the reduced earning-power of the companies and the rise in insolvency rates<br />

with regard to both businesses and private individuals in relation to the payment of<br />

lease fees, could increase the inability of the borrowers of funds to repay the debts<br />

taken out and reduce the market value of the collateral offered against the loans raised.<br />

As at September 30, 2009, the exposure of commercial real estate loans, concentrated<br />

in the CIB business segment, came to €50.9 billion, distributed throughout the<br />

following geographic areas: Italy 50%, Germany 27%, Austria 19%, and Poland 4%.<br />

With regard to the CEE countries (excluding Turkey), exposure as at September 30,<br />

2009 of loans to companies operating in the real estate sector amounted to €6.1 billion,<br />

down with respect to the exposure as at December 31, 2008 totalling €6.5 billion 7 .<br />

The Group handles the risk of default by the counterparts mainly in relation to the<br />

income-earning capacity of the commercial activities undertaken in the properties<br />

leased or being leased and not only the value of the properties and the collateral<br />

offered; despite this fact, it cannot be excluded that the decrease in the value of the<br />

properties and the collateral (or the deterioration of other parameters used for<br />

monitoring the loan) may lead, in certain specific cases, to a negative impact on the<br />

income-earning ability of the counterparts. In particular, the difficulties or problematic<br />

conditions which the counterparts are subject to when operating under impaired<br />

market conditions could have a negative impact on the UniCredit Group’s ability to<br />

achieve the repayment of the amounts financed.<br />

The occurrence of the circumstances described above could have negative effects on<br />

the results and the balance sheet, income statement and financial situation of the<br />

UniCredit Group.<br />

For further details, see the First Section, Chapter 9 and 20.<br />

4.1.11 Risks connected to the loan activity to the naval sector<br />

The UniCredit Group is exposed to risks connected to the loan activities to the naval<br />

sector that was negatively influenced by the recent deterioration of the<br />

macroeconomic context. This sector today is made up of multiple segments, each of<br />

which characterised by specific risk profiles connected not only to different economic<br />

parameters (amongst which, the category of the asset financed, the type of applicants<br />

and charterers) but also to the type of loans in existence (amongst which, the nature of<br />

the loan, its duration, the nature of the underlying guarantees for the loan).<br />

Furthermore, the performance of this sector depends in a decisive way on the overall<br />

turnover of the goods transported, in turn strictly connected to the increase of the gross<br />

internal profit.<br />

7 The data indicated are deduced from the management system and constructed according to internal management logic<br />

which, therefore, do not match with the tables in the explanatory notes attached to the consolidated condensed financial<br />

statements as at September 30, 2009.

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